Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, March 23, 2016
Bullard Gives Stocks Bears a Boost / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
This is a close approximation of the trendlines that SPX is dealing with. Fortunately, SPX has made a declining impulse (5 waves) to the 4.3-year trendline. It is now in a bounce that may take it back to yesterday’s close or the shorter-term trendline, depending on how long it takes.
Confidence in the reversal rises once the retracement is complete, preferably beneath the short-term trendline.
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Wednesday, March 23, 2016
The Greatest Stock Market Crash Of Your Life Is Just Ahead… – Warns Harry Dent / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: GoldCore
Harry Dent, best-selling author and economist, has warned that the stock bubble in the U.S. today is the biggest in history and that the “greatest crash of your life is just ahead…”
Writing on his website EconomyandMarkets.com, Dent warned that
Read full article... Read full article...The story on Wall Street and CNBC continues to be that we’re in a correction and this is a buying opportunity. Even Warren Buffett joins the chorus of stock market cheerleaders for the skeptical public. Well, I agree with the skeptical public, not the experts here!
Wednesday, March 23, 2016
Stock Market Trendlines May be Crossed Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket attempted to stay above the trendline in overnight action. However, it has lost upward momentum without making a new high and is threatening to cross beneath the short-term rally trendline.
The larger 4.3-year trendline is still the most important, so a decline below 2040.00 may indicate that the longer trendline is also being taken out.
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Tuesday, March 22, 2016
Stock Market Drilling down to see what's going on / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Sometimes it helps to “drill down” to a smaller scale to see if we may make some sense out of where this rally may be leading us. The first thing to check is the Wave relationships. Wave A = Wave C at 2027.60. At this point, Wave C is 121% the size of A.
We drill down a little further and find that Wave [iii] is 107% the size of Wave [i]. Wave [iii] times 1.07 equals a target of 2052.18 for Wave [v]. That is why it is easy to mistake Wave b of (iv), which happened near yesterday’s close, as the probable top. It wasn’t, but now we appear to be getting closer in our calculation of the size of this rally. Let’s go a step further.
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Tuesday, March 22, 2016
Stock Market 4.3-year Trendline is at SP 2040 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
This morning’s trendline shown on the Premarket report missed an important detail that I though should be filled it. The 4.3-year trendline is at 2040.00 as well.
It is possible that the panic decline starts beneath that level, so it follows that aggressive short positions may be taken there.
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Tuesday, March 22, 2016
The Financial Crisis Has Just Begun; Is The American Dream Is Over? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Global Central Banks have run out of ‘ammunition’. Since March 2008, Central Banks have cut interest rates 637 times and have purchased a staggering $12.3 trillion dollars’ worth of assets. There is not much more that they can do, and currently, the next ‘great crisis’ is upon us.
The global economy and the global financial system will continue to weaken before our very own eyes.
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Tuesday, March 22, 2016
Expect the Unexpected! Don't Ever Underestimate What Central Bankers & Government Will Do / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gordon_T_Long
Falling Progits and Weakening Markets
The full report explores falling corporate profits, slowing cash-flow levels and weakening market breadth.
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Tuesday, March 22, 2016
Stock Market Refusing To Sell At Overbought... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market was overbought on many of the index charts going in to the weekend. One would expect the market to pull back from overbought, especially when the overbought conditions were on both the short-term, sixty-minute charts and the daily charts. When that happens it's usually a short-term top and down we go. Not today. The market is refusing to fall with any force. The bulls are back and back in full force, and dare I say, full froth. Markets are all about emotion as we all know by now. It's not about truth or reality. It's about the flavor of the day, regardless of what may be happening in the real world. The flavor of every day seems to be BUY!!! No matter what, BUY!!!!!
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Monday, March 21, 2016
Stock Market Cycles are Delayed. A Panic May Play Catch-up / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
All eyes are on China as PBOC attempts to manage its debt load while keeping the markets aloft. The Shanghai Index closed above 3000 for the first time since January. This is an inversion of a Master Cycle which was due for a low this week. Instead, it will be a high. However, these inversions don’t end well, as the low may arrive within the next two weeks .
Monday, March 21, 2016
Stock Market Extends Its Month-Long Uptrend, Will It Go Even Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, March 21, 2016
Stock Market Top Near, GDX Makes New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last week, I was looking for a top in the stock market within a week or two. We are still very close to that top and nothing has changed. The SPX needs to break decisively below the rising trend line. Normally, markets coming off a top are slow to descend, giving the short seller plenty of time to react. A strong move down into June looks forthcoming.
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Monday, March 21, 2016
Stock Market Pushing The Envelope / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Severe correction underway
SPX Intermediate trend: Rally pushing the envelope
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, March 20, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Continues to Gravitate Towards New All Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The supposed great bear market of 2016 keeps on trending in the WRONG direction as the bears latest hopes for an imminent bear market apocalypse, the March Fed meeting on which they hoped to be raptured into perma-bear heaven following a second rate hike in this series, instead resolved in the exact opposite outcome, with not only the Fed keeping interest rates on hold but issuing a dovish statement on the future prospects for US interest rates which apparently caught many by surprise. What's the surprise? When over a month ago we saw BoJ panic!, and only a week ago we saw the ECB panic of negative interest rates! I could go on at length with why the Fed, BoJ, ECB and BoE are clueless and what they actually should be forced to do for it will take force because they only tend to print trillions to save and support their bankster brethren and of course inflating asset prices at the expense of the purchasing power of earnings of the wage slaves, but I will save this for another article.
Sunday, March 20, 2016
Stock Market Manipulation: You Better Believe / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Savage
Let me start off and say the longer one continues to operate under the assumption that we still have free markets the less likely you are to make money, and the more likely it is you will lose money.
Folks we have virtually every central bank in the world printing money (and I think this includes the US). We have negative interest rates in many parts of the world and 0 every place else. I can say without a bit of hesitation that market intervention is now just a fact of life in modern markets. To ignore it is to ignore a very big fundamental piece of the puzzle.
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Saturday, March 19, 2016
Major Stock Market Reversal Signal from Waning Enthusiasm for Share Buybacks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: EWI
"State of the Global Markets Report -- 2016 Edition" (excerpt)
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Saturday, March 19, 2016
Stocks Bear Market Rally Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started at SPX 2022. After a small rally to SPX 2025 on Monday the market pulled back to 2005 on Tuesday. After that the market continued to rise for the rest of the week, with only 10 point pullbacks, to SPX 2052 on Friday. Ending the week at SPX 2050. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.80%, the NDX/NAZ gained 1.05%, and the DJ World gained 1.40%. On the economic front reports continued to come in with a negative bias. On the uptick: the NY/Philly FED, business inventories, leading indicators housing starts, and the WLEI. On the downtick: retail sales, the CPI/PPI, building permits, industrial production, capacity utilization, consumer sentiment, GDPN, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get reports on Durable goods, the Q4 GDP and more Housing.
Saturday, March 19, 2016
Stock Market Rally Keeps Going.....Fed Responsible Again.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
What is left to say that hasn't been said already. When you look at the charts from this report over the weekend, you will see that they are very self-explanatory. It's been a straight up move leaving the bears feeling sick. You would think that after so much upside action, the market would have hesitated at the S&P 500 2044 gap. Not to be. Right through at 70 RSI on the daily chart. The Dow got to near 81 RSI today on its sixty-minute, short-term chart. Nothing stopping this machine.
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Friday, March 18, 2016
Surge in Negative Headlines Usually Very Good Stock Market Omen / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
Watch out for emergencies. They are your big chance. Fritz ReinerOver the past few weeks, the number of individuals in the neutral camp rose, as did the number of bulls, and only the number of bears experienced a drop. When we combine the neutrals and the bears, the total is 72%, and that tells us that the sentiment is still too negative for a crash.
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Friday, March 18, 2016
Rise of the Quantitative Robots / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
I read an article at Bloomberg the other day that focused upon a former mathematics professor who now runs his own Mom & Pop ‘quant’ shop (his home) from the desert plains in New Mexico. The article noted that there are big, powerful quants in New York City and there is a constellation of little guys out there writing their algos and skimming the markets with the precision that mathematical codes instruct.
Friday, March 18, 2016
Rising Stock Market Vollatility - Watch out below! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
I have profiled the 4.3-year trendline which was violated yesterday. You can see that there was another false breakout on September 29. Whether that breakout remains standing at the end of the day is uncertain, since there is a double Trading Cycle Pivot on Saturday.
Today is all about options expiration. This week is known as quadruple witching, which adds to the potential volatility.
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