Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, February 05, 2018

Trading the Shadows - Oil, Dollar, Stocks, Gold Trend Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Submissions

B.R. HollisterI’ve spent over thirty years analyzing markets and have noticed an interesting correlation between the Wall St. Markets (stocks, interest rates) Gold (and the mining shares), the Dollar Index and Oil. In the charts below, I describe what I call “shadows” of the past and how they repeat certain patterns.

Right now I know that traders are concerned with rising interest rates, but at this point in the game I don’t think they matter too much, this is just a much needed 4-6% pull back in the stock market as we fall into the 20 week low. The problem with excessive over speculation should come home to roost especially as we come in to the latter half of the year. My read is that we may see a 20% bear market much like May-Oct 2011 or July-Oct 1998.  Meanwhile, buying the dips should prove lucrative.

Monday, February 05, 2018

Did The Stock Market Top Last Week? I think Not / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We’re certain that many of you are asking yourself this question after seeing the markets rotate to the downside so hard recently.  If you had been reading our past analysis for the early portion of 2018, you would likely know the answer to this question. If not, this research article will assist in your understanding of the market’s rotation and what to expect over the next few weeks/months.

We called a market advance in early 2018 nearly three weeks before the end of 2017.  We also called the current move, lower, at that same time.  Recently, we’ve made calls regarding the US Dollar, metals markets, and natural gas that have played out exceptionally well for our members.  Now, we’ll show you what to expect in the markets for the next few weeks.

Sunday, February 04, 2018

Where Have All The Stock Market Investors Gone? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: WMA

Given that most trading in capital markets today is momentum-based buying and selling, where much of the trading is a reaction to news and directed to ETFs that are being manipulated by computer algorithms, it’s a legitimate question to ask where have all the investors gone?

Is most everybody today just a buyer or a seller of prices? If so, the marketplace has gotten off track. Are people fed up with market intervention, are they too indifferent to market risk until they panic or are they simply not able or not caring to understand the assets they are buying?

Sunday, February 04, 2018

Removing Fuel from a Stock Market Rally on Fire / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Doug_Wakefield

Friday, January 26, 2018; the Dow sets a record, adding almost 2,000 points in the first 4 weeks of the year.

Forget rising rates. Ignore what is taking place in Washington. Central Banks? Who are they? Wealth from the “perfect bull” only comes in two speeds, slow and fast.

Saturday, February 03, 2018

Stocks Plunge. Volatility Spikes. Fear Returns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: EWI

Urgent Message Two Must See NASDAQ Charts

This short video shows you everything you need to know about the position of the stock market today. It's a must-see message for anyone investing in stocks today. 

Saturday, February 03, 2018

Have Stock Investors Gone Insane? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

This has the appearance of a Wave (iii) of a Leading Diagonal Wave [i]. Thus far it has not succeeded in making its Head & Shoulders target, but it may not be complete. This may be where the wheels fall off, so I am hesitant to put a label on the structure yet. It doesn’t look very good, does it?

ZeroHedge advises, “With positioning at extremes, and leverage at extremes, and valuations at extremes, Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha raises the red flag as the correlation across asset-classes soars to record highs signaling extreme contagion risk.

Saturday, February 03, 2018

Stock Market Plunge Protection Team Spotted Atop Mount Everest! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

Many market observers would agree that the current stock market is either in a bubble or at least richly valued by historical standards. Not that it matters. The Dow’s ascent looks like Mount Everest complete with a lack of oxygen at the top. All that has mattered when it comes to stocks for thirty years now is the Federal Reserve and their ‘Plunge Protection Team (PPT)’ activities.

When stocks needed a boost, they were there to buy market indices back up when no one else would dare. Since the election of President Donald Trump, market indices have been moving straight up. The PPT has not been needed. There have been no sell-offs. That is, until the very end of January, 2018. Even then, the Dow dipped just a couple of percentage points.

Friday, February 02, 2018

The Stock Market Lugnuts are Loose! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has crossed the neckline and round number support at 2800.00. While Kolanovic and the Risk Parity algos ignored the initial decline, they will have a harder time of it today. The real question is, how far will it go today? Panic may set in if not already, as the Head & Shoulders target appears to be an easy mark.

ZeroHedge reports, “Last Friday, when the S&P hit an all time high and inexplicably melted up in the last hour of trading in a burst of frenzied buying, we warned that according to Bank of America, "Biggest Sell Signal In 5 Years Was Just Triggered." Incidentally, on that very day, the S&P 500 bull market became the second largest of all time last Friday, as the global equity market cap of $86.6TN rose $57.9TN from 2009 lows and $29.9TN from 2016 lows, according to BofA.

Friday, February 02, 2018

How to Trade the Stocks, Gold, Oil and Dollar Markets Next Week - Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

How to Trade the Stocks, Gold, Oil and Dollar Markets Next Week - 53 years experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and clear market forecasts available today. Our stock and ETF trading alerts are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter, Technical Trading Mastery book, and  3 Hour Trading Video Course are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.

Friday, February 02, 2018

Urgent Message Two Must See NASDAQ Charts / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: EWI

This short video shows you everything you need to know about the position of the stock market today. It's a must-see message for anyone investing in stocks today.

Friday, February 02, 2018

This is Crazy! Stock Market Investors Have Simply Gone Nuts! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX took out yesterday’s low at 2813.04. This may be the beginning of the slide suggested by the Head & Shoulders formation. Confirmation comes at the neckline at 2805.00. There is still a chance of a pop to the upper reaches of the right shoulder, but that probability seems to be fading fast.

Many are ignoring this decline as being “too insignificant.” Vic Kolanovic at JPM is one of them. It appears that a larger decline will be needed to wake these fellas up.

Thursday, February 01, 2018

Stocks Went Sideways, No Quick Reversal Means Trouble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

The main U.S. stock market indexes gained 0.1-0.3% on Wednesday, as they fluctuated following recent move down. Investors were uncertain ahead of quarterly earnings, FOMC Rate Decision, economic data releases. The S&P 500 index remained below its Tuesday's relatively big daily gap down. It currently trades around 2.1% below its January 26 record high of 2,872.87. Yet, it remains 4.7% above its December 29 close of 2,673.61. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.3% on Wednesday, as it bounced off support level at 26,000, and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 0.1%.

The nearest important level of support of the S&P 500 index is at 2,790-2,810, marked by the January mid-month consolidation. The next level of support remains at 2,770-2,780, marked by some previous local lows. On the other hand, the nearest important level of resistance is at 2,840-2,850, marked by Tuesday's daily gap down of 2,837.75-2,851.48. The next resistance level remains at around 2,870-2,875, marked by Friday's record high of 2,872.87. The resistance level is the price level at which the selling interest is strong enough to overcome buying pressure and push the price lower. It usually refers to previous high or highs, gap downs, trend lines, retracement levels etc.

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

Stocks Bull Market or Hyperinflationary Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Raymond_Matison

More than a decade ago several insightful people recognized that the bond market as it related to the then AAA rated mortgage backed bonds was a well-crafted illusion.  The eventual default in these bonds fostered a market meltdown which was within hours of totally freezing up markets, creating a global financial crisis.  The stock market reflected this crisis by the Dow Industrial Index declining from 16,437 in October of 2007 to 8,207 in February of 2009, a 50% decline in less than a one and half year period.

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

Panic Selling On New York Stock Exchange – Get Ready! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

In this short conversation, we talk about Palladium and how it topped last week, and this metal has already dropped 5.5% in value since then.

We also mentioned a few days ago when gold was testing key resistance that traders should expect a correction in gold and mining stocks. This week we already locked in a quick 11% profit with DUST inverse ETF for gold miners and there is likely more selling to come!

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

How Will The S&P 500 Reach 4000? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

There is no real secret to the market. In fact, it is rather simple. But, that does not mean the specific smaller degree moves in the market will be just as simple.

You see, markets are no different wherever you look. Whether that be metals, equities, Forex, crypto-currencies, etc, they all react in the exact same way. Markets simply move from one extreme to another. And, we need to be able to identify where those extremes can cause a turn.

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

Crises and Opportunity – Possible End of the Line for Stocks! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Enda_Glynn

There is not one person living today that has seen a period of overvaluation such as the onewe are living through right now.
And there are few people still alive who witnessed a crash similar to the one we are about to experience.

The market hit such an extreme level last week
that it brought the long term valuation metrics I follow
To a level higher than the property bubble highs of 2007,
the DOTCOM bubble highs of 1999,
the cocaine highs of 1987,
the space age highs of 1966,
and the roaring 20's highs of 1929.

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

Stock Market Short-term Support May Come Into Play / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is getting some lift at the Short-term support level at 2815.25. It suggests that may be the downside limit for this decline. If so, it may have its work cut out for it at the gap, which refused to be filled this morning. My best estimate is that SPX may make a probe (lower) to the Short-term support level before attempting a bounce.

Tuesday, January 30, 2018

Stock Market Sell Signal Confirmed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has a substantial gap down this morning. It is likely that there will be an attempt to fill the gap. However, should this be the beginning of Super Cycle Wave (C), the gap may not be filled. Find the best level you can to place your short positions, but don’t try to outguess what happens next. You are likely to beat the crowd by being early and let the market do the rest.

Tuesday, January 30, 2018

Stock Market Trendlines are Violated. SPX Sell is On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

USD futures are sown this morning as the index probes toward a new low. Yesterday it back-tested its Cycle Bottom resistance prior to the resumption of its decline. As mentioned, USD is likely to overshoot its target before the main reversal. The Cycles Model implies that the turn may come on Monday February 5. If so, I suggest taking downside profits on Friday.

ZeroHedge reports, “The global selloff that started on Monday as traders were spooked by the double whammy of surging interest rates and fears about iPhone X demand, and resulting in the biggest drop in US stocks since September, accelerated overnight and as seen below world stocks and US equity futures are a sea of red this morning:”

Monday, January 29, 2018

Are Bond Yields About to Slap Stocks Out of Their Euphoria? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Graham_Summers

Rates continue to rise, though stocks remain oblivious.

The yield on the 10-Year US Treasury continues to soar, with a confirmed breakout from its 10-year downtrend.

Now, cynics would ask, “why does this matter? The yield is at the same level as it was in 2009, 2010, 2011, 2013, and 2014.”

It matters because throughout this time period, corporates and governments were adding debt.