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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 03, 2019

The Stock Market Is Not Looking Healthy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Avi_Gilburt

I am often asked to provide a sample of the analysis I provide to members. So, in this week’s article regarding the stock market, I chose to reproduce the general discussion I provided within my analysis posted to members on Saturday night. Please understand that my detailed charts and the discussion of the specific smaller degree analysis is being left out from this public update, and is only available to members.

Back in the 1930s, an accountant named Ralph Nelson Elliott discovered that financial markets are fractal in nature. This means that they are variably self-similar at different degrees of trend.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 03, 2019

Stock Market Trend Forecasts When Mega-Trends Collide / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Dow chart says it all in terms of the volatile month of August we have just witnessed in the count down to the expiry of my 6 month long Dow stock forecast trend forecast as of 1st March 2019. During the month the Dow traded down from near its all time closing high of 27,359 (16th July 2019), trading down to a low 25,300 with the most recent price action attempting to break out of August's trading range of between 26,400 and 25,300 by closing at 26,403.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 03, 2019

Stock Market in a Holding Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way?  How much longer, is the question.

Intermediate trend –  We have started a correction of intermediate nature.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 02, 2019

Could Hong Kong Disrupt China & The Global Markets Further? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Reading the news this weekend and watching the chaos in Hong Kong, one has to wonder how this violence and disruption in commerce is really affecting the Asian and global markets.  Many different news sources are already reporting that Chinese economic data continues to show weakness over the past 4 to 5+ months. 

Additionally, Hong Kong, being a strategic source of income and business for the western world, has been disrupted with riots, protests and not violence as a result of a political battle between Chinese rulers and local Hong Kong residents.

It seems obvious to anyone outside of this situation that neither side is about to stop their actions any time soon and that means we are going to experience even further disruptions to the global markets and local markets.  Right now, our greatest concern is that the disruption in economic activity in China/Asia will result in a “cold” in the US and other foreign markets. 

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 02, 2019

U.K. Markets Showing Stable Recovery / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: Submissions

Recent moves in the U.K market have highlighted deteriorating sentiment levels as a result of continued Brexit uncertainties.  However, it can be argued that many in the market have overreacted in response to these events as a limited impact has actually been seen in equities.

As a clear expression of these trends, the U.K. 100 Index retraced some of its prior gains during the trading period that spanned from July to August of this year.  In the process of these declines, U.K. stock markets have fallen through their 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages.  In most cases, traders will view these types of events as exceedingly bearish.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 02, 2019

Stock Market S&P500 Candlestick Pattern On Friday Signals Price Breakdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As we close out the week and watched the markets trade in a rotational price manner, it became very clear to us that the patterns setting up in price continue to support our overall analysis of the markets and the potential for a bigger downside price move.  We issued a call that an August 19th breakdown was expected on or near the trigger date (Aug 19th).  We’ve taken some heat from our followers and readers regarding this call and the fact that the markets have yet to really breakdown below current support levels.

As we’ve learned from our experience and previous analysis/calls – the markets can continue to act in ways that run counter to our analysis for much longer and in a much more irrational manner than we can survive the risks associated with any irrational price moves.  Yet, at this point, we don’t see anything irrational in the markets – we see opportunity.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 30, 2019

Stock Market S&P 500 Nearing Previous Highs, What’s Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Paul_Rejczak

Wednesday’s trading session didn’t change much. Stocks extended their short-term consolidation following Monday’s rebound off a support level. The S&P 500 index continues to trade within a four-week-long consolidation after the early August decline. Was Monday’s advance an upward reversal or just upward correction before another leg down?

The U.S. stock market indexes gained 0.4-1.0% on Wednesday, as they retraced their Tuesday’s decline. The S&P 500 index got back to the short-term local lows on Friday and then it bounced off that support level. The broad stock market’s gauge is now 4.7% below July the 26th record high of 3,027.98. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.0% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.4% on Wednesday.

The nearest important resistance level of the S&P 500 index is at 2,900-2,920, marked by the recent local highs. On the other hand, the support level is at 2,850-2,860. The next support level is at 2,820-2,825, marked by the previous lows.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 30, 2019

Europe on the brink, World on a Edge – Stocks Trading as a 15% correction Draws Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: QUANTO

These are brutal times. Stocks are still at highs while the underlying economy is slipping away sharply. United States is slipping into a recession which they can ill afford. The country runs a debt of over 20 trillion. CBO has forecast the future deficit to be in range of $1 trillion for the next 10 years. Never before has the country seen such extended budget shortfall. Over and above that, they cannot finance the deficit easily because of the existing debt. What the US desperately needs is a stock market correction to pummel money back into bonds which is exactly what is happening. Without a stock market correction, US may default on payments on its debt.

In times like these, it is best to trade with our profitable trading system called QUANTO. To use this system, you need to contact us

In Europe things are getting worse. EUROPE centric funds are seeing record outflows. Never in the last 5 years has such a large amount of capital flown out of Europe based ETF.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 28, 2019

U.S. Stocks: See What Can Happen After Volume Contracts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: EWI

Look at these "rare streaks" of contracting volume

Elliott Wave International President Robert Prechter has noted that stock market volume is the most important indicator to watch besides price.

Market volume waxes and wanes. However, there are times when volume goes on mini-streaks, either expanding or contracting for four or five consecutive days.

Yet, six consecutive days is almost unheard of. But, it just happened, ending on Aug. 22. That's only the third time that volume has contracted six days in a row since 1987.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 27, 2019

Stock Market ES Must Hold Above 2800 Or The Selling Will Intensify / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

First off, we were so happy to hear from all of our followers over the weekend and early today regarding their support for our incredible market predictions – specifically the call about the August 19th breakdown prediction.  We stuck to our guns believing in our predictive modeling systems and our research team.  We knew it would be just a matter of time before the weakness our models were showing us to actualize in a real price breakdown.  We want to thank all of you who wrote to us and thanked us and our team for their hard work and dedication.

Now, we’ll highlight some recent events in the ES chart (S&P500 E-Mini Futures) and how it related to the bigger picture in the markets.

Before we get into the details of the market recovery today, we want all of you to understand that is natural for the markets to move in rotational waves as price establishes new highs or lows.  In fact, it is essential and healthy for the markets to do this.  When the markets move in an unnatural way by trending excessively over short periods of time, it reflects an imbalance in the fundamentals of the markets or the core elements of supply/demand economics.  When the bottom falls out of a market, for example, it is usually because of some type of external news item or some other type of external factor/event.  The markets themselves naturally have a way of processing expectations and price value through the process of buying and selling in an open market.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 27, 2019

Anybody's Game in Battle Over Stock Market Week/Month-End Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Ricky_Wen

Much of last week was spent completing the upside continuation pattern from the previous week's 2823 must-hold support level on the Emini S&P 500 (ES), and then bears finally fought back on Friday.

Essentially, the bulls did a great job as the 2900/2920 ‘easy money’ targets were hit, but they just could not nail in the coffin of the bears with a close above 2955 when it mattered the most. The bears fought back against the 2955 must-hold resistance, holding the ES to a top of 2939.75 on Friday before breaking it down below the 2892 intraweek must-hold level to slaughter the bulls on a lovely August Friday. The bears were fairly impressive because they were able to fulfill all extension targets by the end of the day.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 27, 2019

Trade War Escalation Put Selling Pressure to S&P 500 (SPX) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: ElliottWaveForecast

Last week, there was anticipation of market volatility as the Fed’s Chairman Jerome Powell was scheduled to speak at Jackson Hole. President Trump and China however stole the show. China introduced fresh retaliatory tariffs on $75 billion of U.S. imports, targeting politically sensitive products. President Trump immediately responded. Trump announced in twitter the existing 25% tariffs on $250 billion Chinese goods will rise to 30% on October 1. In addition, the 10% tariffs on another $300 billion Chinese Goods will rise to 15% instead on September 1.

In a series of Tweet storm, Trump also accused Powell of a bigger enemy than China’s President Xi Jinping and issued an order to American companies to get out of China.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 27, 2019

S&P500 heads to 3020: Big Turn for Risk Markets as US-China Steadies to a Deal / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: QUANTO

A lot has changed over the weekend. - G7 has been positive for risk. Trump expressed regret over his latest escalation of trade war. - China on its part said will negotiate. - No news on Iran - No bad tweets on FED

US seems to be retreating from world stage on many accounts and this will mean big changes in world markets. Initially it will be positive as it will be led by a imminent trade deal with China which could rip the equity markets higher and go to all time highs. But reality will set in later. Either ways, it makes no difference to us as our automated system is tuned for all kinds of markets.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 27, 2019

Stock Market Setting Up A Break Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Avi_Gilburt

For the last 8 years, I have been publishing my analysis publicly. Yet, I am still amazed at how the market follows the patterns we track almost perfectly, and how news seems to fit in within those patterns.

This past week, as we were expecting a market top, Mr. Powel and President Trump certainly provided the catalysts for the decline for which the market was setting up.

Now, for those of you that believe that the tariff news was the “cause” the decline, I again want to remind you that the same tariff war escalation seemed to have “caused” a 9% rally in 2018. I remember how many of you who commented to my articles during that uptrend noted how it did not make sense to you.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 27, 2019

4 Measures of Market Risk to Keep an Eye on / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Submissions

It wasn't a big surprise that President Trump commented earlier today that trade negotiations with China have reopened. Had he not done so, it would have led to further losses in the equities markets and potentially a significant technical break in the S&P 500.

The appetite for risk is back, the question is whether it is here to stay. Based on charts of some of the commonly traded assets in times of risk aversion, I think a case can be made that a bottom is in for risk appetite, or at least, we might be close to one.

Starting with equities, the S&P 500 has traded in a range for most of the month. Friday's decline had momentum behind it. As mentioned, the absence of Trump's comment earlier today would have likely led to a downside continuation.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 27, 2019

Is the Stock Market Bear Growling? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way?  How much longer, is the question.

Intermediate trend –  We have started a correction of intermediate nature.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, August 26, 2019

S&P 500 Stock Market Index Must Bounce Here Or Hold On Tight! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The fragility of the markets can not be underestimated for investors at this time.  Our research has continued to pick apart these price swings in the US stock markets and our July predictions regarding a market top and an August 19th (or near) breakdown price move have been SPOT ON.  We’ve heard from hundreds of our members and followers regarding our research and predictive analysis work – many thanking us for our dedication to helping traders/investors.  Some people, although, didn’t quite understand the message that we were trying to deliver.

So, in this message, we are going to try to make it very clear for everyone. But first, be sure to opt-in to our free market forecasts newsletter

First, we believe the US and Global markets are setting up for a broad price sell-off/reversion move.  This means we believe the US and Global stock markets could move lower and contract by relatively large percent levels (15% to 25% or more) in the coming months.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 26, 2019

Huge Stock Market Rally Monday, Gold Drops? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Brad_Gudgeon

It has been a while since I have posted.  I believe after the huge stock market drop on Friday that we have even a bigger move up Monday like 4%.  The mining shares GDX could fall 12%.

This is quite a prediction and a bit ball-zy I know, but my system (astro,cycle,wave,technical analysis) seems quite clear to me.  It may be the G7 Meeting, it may be something else, but that is what I see.

The charts below of the SPX, GDX, GLD and SLV gives my perspective for the short term into Sept 3 for the stock market and out to 2024 for GDX, Gold and Silver.

As you can see, I believe this expected stock rally Monday will be termed a bear rally as I believe we should be near SPX 2424 by Sept 3.  Yes, I’m looking for a crash. The Sun/Mars conjunction due Sept 2 and the numerous trines that weekend with all the astro-planetary dealings in Virgo dealings up until August 30 with the new moon and my current e-wave look, wow.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 26, 2019

Stock Market Melt Down. See What Elliott Waves Are Showing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: EWI

Hi Reader,

Just yesterday -- even this morning! -- it seemed that stocks were finally out of the woods.

But as I'm typing this...

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 23, 2019

Stock Market August Breakdown Prediction and Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our August 19th breakdown prediction aligns with our other analysis tools and predictive modeling systems.  The key to understanding price action lies in two modes of operational aspects for analysts.  Either the analysis is going to be correct and the markets will break down as we have predicted or the analysis will be incorrect and the markets will break higher to rally to new highs.  We call this the “failure to fail” mode or the “failure to succeed” mode of compliance for price.  Either it will do what we expect or it won’t.

There are a few things that we, as analysts, must take into consideration with regards to future predictions of price action and direction.  First, sometimes we fail to make perfect predictions.  It is not easy or 100% guaranteed that our predictions will become valid or accurate on the day we suggest price should move in a certain direction. 

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