Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, September 07, 2010
The Stock Market Uncertainty Will End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Last week we saw the S&P 500 rally 6.4% off of its August low. Before that rally started the S&P 500 fell 8% off of its August high. And of course before that we saw a big rally in July, a big move down in June and the scary "flash crash" day in May. Despite last week's rally the market is still well off its April highs. It has spent the past few months going through scary drops and big rallies that have caused investors to swing quickly from fear to hope and back again.
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Tuesday, September 07, 2010
Stock Market’s Rally A Salute to Slow Economic Growth / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: The markets staged a relief rally last week that reflects Wall Street's attitude about the overall economy. Simply put, investors are saying they can live with slow growth, so long as the U.S. can avoid a double-dip recession.
Stocks leapt around the world last week like jets of water shooting out of a fountain that had been closed down for weeks. The major U.S. indexes rose 3%, the NASDAQ rose 4%, non-U.S. foreign big-caps rose 3.6% and small-caps rose 4.6%.
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Tuesday, September 07, 2010
Four year Presidential Cycle and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
US equities have had a difficult time since April of this year as fears over a double dip recession, a stubbornly high unemployment rate, and the possibility of slowing corporate profit growth have weighed on the markets. In addition, small investors are pouring money into bond funds sending yields crashing through the floor while equities are being labeled as risky investments.
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Monday, September 06, 2010
Stock Market Risk Tone Eases Ahead of Most Negative Month / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Following the August 15, 2010 market update titled "Supportive tone remains fragile and volatile", market measures have eased slightly to the positive side as September begins to unfold. In the August 15 article, both the NYSE and TSX were in the bearish zone with a majority of their holds trending lower.
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Monday, September 06, 2010
Utilities Lead Holiday Thinned Stock Market Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
US stocks rose Friday, with the S&P 500 Index gaining a fourth day in a row and the Dow erasing its loss for the year, as better- than-estimated growth in private payrolls eased concerns that the economy is set to double dip. JPMorgan , the second-biggest US bank, gained 2.7 percent and Caterpillar advanced 2.3 percent as private employers climbed 67,000 last month. Monster Worldwide , the online-recruiting company, increased 7 percent and H&R Block surged 5.8 percent after posting a narrower quarterly loss. I must say I was bemused by the markets muted & sanguine reaction to the very soft US services ISM report at 15.00 Friday . The US economy is NOT a manufacturing economy anymore, services are key and to dismiss the unexpected drop seemed to me complacent.
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Monday, September 06, 2010
Key Stock Market Index Re-Entry Price Minimums / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Stocks had a good week this week. They may follow through, or they may stall and reverse. Only time will tell, and that time is near.
While we hold positions in some strong single country funds, and some conservative high yield US individual stocks, we have been mostly on the sidelines for a few months.
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Sunday, September 05, 2010
Inflation Mega-Trend Long-term Growth Spiral Continues to Drive Stock Market Trend / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The stock market closed up 298 points on the week at 10,448 (10,150). The bears that predominantly follow a non existant deflationary scenario, consistently and persistently fail to comprehend what drives the worlds economies and stock markets which is the inflation mega-trend. Governments and their respective central banks are engaged in a perpetual cycle of inflationary money printing policies with the sole aim of concentrating power and wealth into their own hands by stealing the wealth of savers and purchasing power of workers.
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Sunday, September 05, 2010
Stock Market Sideways Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Here I am, back from a three-week hiatus. You may recall from my last newsletter prior to that hiatus I urged all my long term investors to stay in cash while possibly allocating some portion of their portfolio to biotechs.
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Sunday, September 05, 2010
Hindenburg Omen Stock Market Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Of late there has been a lot of attention on the Hindenburg Omen and the excessive number of 90% volume days. I’ve been receiving e-mails and phone calls asking me about this and how it affects my work. In short, it doesn’t. Here’s why.
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Sunday, September 05, 2010
SPX Bounces as Nasdaq Readies for its Next Flash Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
FDIC Friday back on the job. - The FDIC Failed Bank List announced no new bank closures this week. The total number of institutions on the troubled banks list rose to 829 from 775. That means more than 10% of the banks insured by the FDIC are designated as troubled. The number of problem institutions is at its highest rate in 17 years. In 1993, more than 900 banks were deemed troubled.
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Saturday, September 04, 2010
Stock Markets Clear Moving Averages.. Trend Line Headache Dead Ahead... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This week saw some good things happen for the key indexes. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both cleared their 20-, 50- and 200-day exponential moving averages from underneath. You don't see that take place all that often. Getting through a single moving average can be tough enough, but getting through all three major moving averages is something the bulls have to be feeling pretty good about. The 20-, 50- and 200-day exponential moving averages on the S&P 500 are at 1078, 1086 and 1092 respectively.
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Friday, September 03, 2010
Premium Charts Analysis and Forecasts of Asian-Pacific and European Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
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You can access EWI's near-term analysis of Asian-Pacific and European markets from EWI's Short Term Update services (combined valued at $98/month) right now through noon Eastern time Friday, Sept. 10.
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Friday, September 03, 2010
5 Reasons To Lock In Stock Market Gains Today! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Take a look at the red lines on the 3 charts below.
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Friday, September 03, 2010
Non-Farm Friday - Time to Spring the Stocks Bear Trap? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I was up last night putting together a dozen stock selections for Members with 2 or three trade ideas on each one, generally on a shorter-term than usual and with less hedging than usual, almost a downright bullish assortment just in case we get good jobs numbers today because those bears are going to find themselves in one hell of a trap if we do!Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 03, 2010
Stock Market Apocalypse Not Yet? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
(originally published 08/28/10-09/02/10 for BullBear Trading members)
There are significant indications that an important bottom may have been made in the equities markets on Friday, August 27th. Overnight, markets in Asia and Europe reversed initial weakness to rally 1-3% higher on no news. After dumping to a new low following another poor inventories report, crude oil continued to rally strongly. And copper rallied yet again.
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Friday, September 03, 2010
Stock Market Relief Rally Beckons? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The calendar was crowded yesterday with an ECB meeting and a number of key US data releases, but market movements were tempered as participants remain sidelined ahead of today’s Sultan of all statistics, the US payrolls report.
Non Farms
So the mother of all monthly stats came out & it was a win for the bulls, with the pivotal US non farm payrolls at just -54k versus an expected read of -115k. More crucially though the private sector actually added 67k jobs & there were chunky positive revisions to the previous two months data. An big up day ahead of the long US Labour day weekend looks in prospect at the off.
Friday, September 03, 2010
US Global Consumer Franchise Stocks –Surely Value lies with these Stocks not Bonds! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
To say that the 2000s have been a difficult period for investors in risk assets is an understatement. Equities have suffered two significant bear markets and the bursting of the property bubble and resultant global banking crisis brought the global economy to its knees. And the ordinary saver, looking for a risk free return, is suffering too with generational low interest rates. And to cap it off, the Greek debacle has highlighted that even government bonds are not risk free. One might justifiably ask – is there any port in this seemingly endless financial storm?
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Friday, September 03, 2010
Stock Markets Catch Their Breath... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Asian markets climb in reaction to U.S. economic news but European markets stall...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Friday, September 03, 2010
Stock Market Nominal Low is Behind Us! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
BIG PICTURE – Global stock markets are in a multi-year bull-market and nominal prices are likely to appreciate for several more months. In our view, we are currently amidst a normal multi-week consolidation phase and most stock markets are likely to stage a sharp year-end advance.
Look. We know that the developed economies are in trouble and they are unlikely to improve anytime soon. For instance, unemployment remains stubbornly high, deficits are spiralling out of control and debt levels are unprecedented. At first glance, things do look dire but we still believe that nominal stock prices will continue to rise.
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Friday, September 03, 2010
Charts Reveal Stock Market Truths / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
There has been a lot of discussion lately about whether or not we are in a bull market or bear market. Is the economic ‘recovery’ for real or just a government stimulus blip? Should Representative Maxine Waters face charges of misusing her office to get her husband’s bank some of that TARP money? Personally, I think Ms. Waters is being unjustly accused. So she used her office for self-enrichment. Isn’t that what we elect Congress people to do? Aren’t they just pigs at a trough helping themselves to everything they can plunder from the suckers that vote for them? She’s an American politician for crying out loud. I expect them to be corrupt, sleazy, self-promoting, narcissistic pigs. I’m never disappointed. What’s all the fuss about? Back to my story.
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