Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, September 20, 2010
Stock Market Quadruple Witching / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Quadruple witching (expiration of stock index futures, stock index options, stock options, and single stock futures) occurred with relatively low volume and volatility...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Monday, September 20, 2010
Stock Market SP500 Options Expiry Overnight Shakeout, What’s Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I think it’s safe to say that everyone knows the markets are manipulated... but during options expiry week we tend to see prices move beyond key resistance and support levels during times of light volume which triggers/shakes traders out of their positions.
Trading during low volume sessions Pre/Post holidays for swing traders or between 11:30am – 3:00pm ET for day traders tends have increased volatility and false breakouts. This happens because the market markets for individual stocks can slowly walk the prices up and down beyond short term support and resistance levels simply because there is a lack of participation in the market.
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Sunday, September 19, 2010
Stock Market Trend, the Gold-Plated Economy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market continues to show technical improvement – even as the economy continues to exhibit fundamental deterioration. On the technical front, Market Edge has its Strength Indices showing improvement while its Momentum Index remains very strong. At the same time, 81 of the 91 Industry Groups followed by Market Edge are rated either strong or improving. This all adds up to a stock market that continues to inch up on weak volume.
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Sunday, September 19, 2010
Stock Market Caught in a Boundary Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The market at the moment is going through a “boundary cycle”. Believe it or not the range the Dow Transports is caught in is the range that was created by the flash crash of May 6th. (Dow 30: 10,800 – 9800). As I said immediately after this event it would take a while for the technical position of the market to repair itself and this has proven to be the case. Nothing coming from the SEC has proved that they have managed to deal successfully with the issue of Over The Counter High Frequency Quant Trading and until they do so we will continue to observe outright manipulation of individual equity and index positions. Modern market confidence will not be set on solid ground until HFQT is regulated or banned.
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Sunday, September 19, 2010
SPX Revisits Old Low as VIX Makes Primary Cycle Low / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
FDIC Friday back on the job. -
The FDIC Failed Bank List announced six new banks closure this week. Only three were acquired by another bank. This week’s failures cost the agency’s deposit- insurance fund $347.6 million.
Shadow Bank Liabilities Plunge By $700 Billion In Q2, $2.1 Trillion Year To Date - (ZeroHedge) Continuing the analysis of today's Z.1 report, we next focus on recent developments in the shadow banking system. And it's a bloodbath: total shadow bank liabilities dropped by $680 billion in Q2, and a massive $2.1 trillion YTD. If one wonders why Ben Bernanke (yes, it's technically TurboTim) continues to print trillions and trillions of debt, and it is still doing nothing (yet) to stimulate the system, here is your answer.
Saturday, September 18, 2010
Stock Market Resilient Indices Close Slightly Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices had a narrowly positive session. They opened with a big gap up to new highs, pulled back very sharply on negative economic news, but then bounced around, bounced back, and then backed and filled all day, failing to break out above or below support or resistance intraday.
Net of the day, the Dow was up just 13.02 at 10,607.85. The S&P 500 was up 93 cents at 1125.59. The Nasdaq 100, however, was up 7.72 at 1955.83.
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Saturday, September 18, 2010
Stock Market Failure At S&P 500 1131...Overall Action Is Bullish... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The futures were rocking higher last night. Upon waking this morning those futures held very well, and it looked as though 1131 was going to be left behind once the market opened. The bears had other ideas. The futures slowly started to gather some momentum back down on no news. The bears piling in to knock it down. By the time the market opened, things were green, but well off the highs. That didn't stop the bulls from making one more move back towards that elusive level as the S&P 500 touched 1131.47.
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Saturday, September 18, 2010
It's Late September...Where's the Bear? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
(originally published for BullBear Trading Room members on 9/12/10, re-published here with updates)
In the last BullBear Weekend Report on I concluded:
...the likelihood of continued upside in defiance of bearish expectations is high. Whether this represents an intermediate term blip or something more significant is as yet unknown, although there are some long term divergences and indications that point towards a long term bullish conclusion.
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Saturday, September 18, 2010
These Realities are Investor Profit and Protection Enablers / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“THE FED - Yesterday I read Saturday's front page headline in the LA Times and my blood boiled. The headline read, "Fed Stands Ready to 'Do all that it can.' With Growth slowing, Bernanke Says the Central Bank is Willing to Act to Keep the US Out of Recession." The nerve of these bastards; Fed Chairman Greenspan kept interest rates too low for too long, setting off the greatest housing bubble in US history. The bubble burst, as all bubbles do, sending the US into recession and near-deflation. And now our new Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke, has the nerve to tell us that the Fed is going to save us. What kind of pure BS is that? First the Fed kills us and then it steps forward and says it's going to be our savior. Yuck.
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Friday, September 17, 2010
Stock Market Short-Term Rally; Long-Term Worry Still the Name of the Game / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
I often get asked the question: “Why are you so gloomy?” Or “Why can’t you look at the BRIGHT side of things?”
And you know what my answer is? In regular life, I am an optimist. Optimistic to a fault actually! Just ask my family or friends.
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Friday, September 17, 2010
Defeat of the Shadow Shogun, Means It's Time to Buy Japanese Stocks / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
Martin Hutchinson writes: Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan's narrow Tuesday victory over Ichiro Ozawa for the leadership of the Democratic Party of Japan wouldn't normally get investor pulses racing - after all Japan has had five prime ministers in four years.
However, the Bank of Japan's heavy intervention in the currency markets this week confirmed my view that this political twitch was really very different.
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Friday, September 17, 2010
Euro/Yen Weakness Points to Stable Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In the September 9, 2010 Market Minute titled: US bond yields and the S&P 500, technical evidence indicated that 10-year yields were starting to rise. This data is key because bond yields and the S&P 500 trade in parallel patterns. Another signal of potential equity stability is now coming from the currency market.
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Friday, September 17, 2010
S&P 500 Lags as Indices Snapback from Morning Losses / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices opened lower today and spent much of the day in negative to neutral territory, meandering back and forth in consolidation ranges. When it was apparent that support was holding, after being tested three times, they then turned back north, and in early afternoon started a rally that lasted until near the close, a very strong move that took the Nasdaq 100 up near 1950.
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Friday, September 17, 2010
Major Market Corrections Brewing for Gold, Silver, Oil & SP500? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
We are at the tail of another light volume choppy options expiry week and a big move is brewing… So I thought I would do a mid-week update on what I think is about to unfold in the coming days.
First off I will touch on gold. Everyone is in love with this shiny metal. But as I mentioned last week I think we are nearing a sharp correction. Previously I pointed out that we needed gold to make a new high to the $1275- 1285 area before everyone piles in and gets married to it, only then will the market reverse… Remember the market is out to take money from the masses and the gold trade is getting a little crowded in my opinion.
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Thursday, September 16, 2010
Throw the Bums Out Thursday / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
There’s only one thing voters hate worse than Democrats:That is, of course, Republicans. The latest NY Times/CBS News poll found that, while while voters rate the performance of Democrats negatively, they view Republicans as even worse with 63 percent disapproving of Democrats and 73 percent disapproving of Republicans. Still, the prevailing "they all suck" attitude is not good news for the Democrats as they have the most seats up for re-election and over 63% of the voters are pretty much determined to vote for "the other guy."
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Thursday, September 16, 2010
Stock Market’s Internals Improving; Volume Remains Light / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market’s internals are healthier than they have been in seven weeks. The CCM Bull Market Sustainability Index (BMSI) has poked its head out of neutral territory and into the very low-end of bullish territory. Wednesday’s BMSI reading came in at 2,036. We designed the BMSI as an “it’s time to pay attention” index. It is telling us to pay attention right now as the BMSI sits on the neutral-to-bullish line of demarcation.
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Thursday, September 16, 2010
Yen Intervention: Impact on U.S. Dollar, Copper, Oil, Silver, and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
In today’s global environment of slower growth and high debt levels, no country wants a strong currency. Japan has seen the yen rise more than 10% since May, which has exporters very uneasy in the Land of the Rising Sun.
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Thursday, September 16, 2010
Stock Market Investment Contingency Plans 2010-2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The immediate fork in the road for stocks involves whether we (a) remain in a range between 940 and 1,130 on the S&P 500 or (b) can see a sustainable move above 1,130.
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Thursday, September 16, 2010
Stock Market On the Battle Line... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The June 21st high horizontal resistance halted the advance of the major indexes...
Recommendation: Take no action.
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Thursday, September 16, 2010
Investor European Escape Hatch From the U.S. Recession / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Martin Hutchinson writes: When I speak with the U.S. subscribers to my Permanent Wealth Investor advisory service, there's one bit of wisdom that I repeat time and again: Just because you're living through a recession doesn't mean that your money has to.
If that's a high-falutin way of telling folks to invest globally, so be it. The reality is that there are other places to invest than in the U.S. economy - and many of those "other" spots offer much better returns.
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