Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, June 01, 2015
Gold Sector Big Picture / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
On shorter time frames the gold sector has been viewed as being on an 'anti-USD' inflation bounce. This bounce scenario in gold stocks and commodities took a hit last week with the US dollar's strong bounce.
In NFTRH we are managing things on both short and long time frames, with the short-term currently tied to movements in the USD. On the long-term however, things appear to be setting up for the next big macro play. The following charts are used for big picture updates to give perspective to the shorter-term work we do each week in NFTRH.
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Monday, June 01, 2015
Gold Charts Back to The Future / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
In today's report I would like to show you some old charts, that we've not looked for the most part, in a long time. Some of the long term members may remember some of these charts that go all the way back to when we first opened our doors at Rambus Chartology. When you build long term weekly or monthly charts things change very slowly vs the minute charts. What you were thinking several years or longer ago can still be relative to today's price action. It lets you know if what you were seeing in the charts back then was way off base or if what you were thinking back then was correct or at least fairly close to what the present day's price action is showing. It forces you to be honest with yourself.
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Monday, June 01, 2015
Gold Price YAWN! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Another week passes and once again, the word best used to describe the price action in gold is, “YAWN”. As in boring; as in repetitive, as in comatose, as in going nowhere.
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Sunday, May 31, 2015
Gold And Silver – Charts Only / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
We have a conflict in time, this weekend, so we are presenting charts only, since they provide the best information about what the market is doing, especially when almost all fundamental data has not produced the positive results they appear to indicate.
The fiat Federal Reserve “dollar” remains the antithesis of gold, since the elite’s central bankers do all they can to discredit the metal that makes a lie out of all the fiats issued and without taking responsibility for its ultimate destructive outcome. After all, the sole objective of the elites is to steal as much wealth from the masses as possible during their quest for a New World Order, well on its way.
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Saturday, May 30, 2015
Gold and Silver Non-Farm Payrolls Week Risk Management / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
There is quite a bit of macroeconomic data coming out for the US next week. I have included the calendar below.
Among these will be the Non-Farm Payrolls number for May, which will be released on Friday.
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Saturday, May 30, 2015
U.S. Crude Oil Production Sets New Modern Record / Commodities / Crude Oil
Saturday, May 30, 2015
Gold Price in Different Currencies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
The slowdown of worldwide trade and GDP may affect different currencies in distinct ways. It is well time that we briefly analyze the relationship between the yellow metal and other currencies than the U.S. dollar. It is very important issue, since many non-American investors measure gold in their local currencies.
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Saturday, May 30, 2015
Gold Still Waiting / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Gold has been frustrating for bulls and bears since its crash in Q2 2013. In the two years since it has traded in a wide range, frustrating traders and investors. The net result has been nothing but the passing of time. Until Gold breaks above $1300 or breaks below $1150, we will remain in waiting mode. Personally, I believe Gold is far more likely to break lower in the weeks and months ahead. In any case, we are still waiting.
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Friday, May 29, 2015
Goldman Sachs Warns “Too Much Debt” Threatens World Economy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
- Debt load of many countries is an economic risk
- Ageing populations in developed world to put pressure on economies
- Goldman proposes “creative” social policy to deal with looming crisis
- Entire debt-based monetary system needs reform
Friday, May 29, 2015
Silver Exothermia / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Every new chemistry student is warned about the dangers of pouring water into acid. The water causes the solution to boil over violently, splashing concentrated acid out of the container.By definition, concentrated sulfuric acid is very dense. Adding water creates a sudden dilution, which produces heat or an exothermic reaction.
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Friday, May 29, 2015
Gold, Silver and US Dollar Strength / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Markets this week have been all about renewed dollar strength, with precious metals side-lined. The only notable move was when gold lost $20 and silver 40 cents on Tuesday, following holidays in the US and UK on Monday. The reason for the sudden fall was the dollar strengthened against the euro, which faces a possible Greek exit, and also the yen for unspecified reasons other than its recent consolidation looks to be over. In the case of the yen, the chart level of ¥123 was comprehensively taken out, clearing the way to a run north of €130 (note that a higher number is a weaker yen).
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Thursday, May 28, 2015
Don’t Dare Sell Your Gold! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Have you noticed the trend in mainstream headlines over the past week?
The gold price may be stagnant, but forces behind the scenes signal that something big is gelling.
What conclusion would you draw from this rundown of recent headlines?
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Thursday, May 28, 2015
Ongoing Battles In Markets And Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
2015 has been an unusual year characterized by directionless markets. The U.S. stock market has barely moved since December / January, precious metals and copper are trading at the same prices as on the first days of the year, and we see a similar picture in most grains. Bonds in the U.S. are trading at the same level as half a year ago. Only a few soft commodities are significantly lower for the year.
The most prominent “winners” so far in 2015 are the U.S. dollar and stocks in Europe, Japan and China. The inflationary effect of weakening currencies has driven most stock markets higher, except for those in the U.S.
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Wednesday, May 27, 2015
Gold Price Has Bottomed – More Evidence / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Prominent analysts have announced often and persistently that gold will drop to $1,000, $850, and even below $500. Mainstream media, “gold-bashers,” and banks encourage the “gold is going lower” meme. But gold is real money, in contrast to the paper stuff that is valuable only as long as people, businesses, and countries retain confidence that it will devalue, but only slowly. The world runs on paper and digital fiat currencies so don’t expect banks, central banks, or western governments to encourage or support gold.
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Wednesday, May 27, 2015
Gold Is “100% Guarantee from Legal and Political Risks” States Russian Central Bank / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
- Gold is a “100% guarantee from legal and political risks”
- Russia’s central bank buys another 300,000 ounces in April
- Russia views its overseas assets as vulnerable
- ‘De-dollarisation’ continues across Asia
- Gold offers protection from growing risks today
Russia’s central bank once again increased its gold holdings substantially in April. They added another 300,000 ounces to their existing stockpile bringing the total up to 40.1 million ounces (see chart below).
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Wednesday, May 27, 2015
Gold Has Two Major Hurdles to Overcome / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Background
Gold has 2 major hurdles to overcome and they are as follows:
1. Interest rate rises in the US
2. Money printing by other nations, Japan, UK, Europe, etc.
Both support the US$ and put downward pressure on gold.
Tuesday, May 26, 2015
Crude Oil Price Stochastic Signals / Commodities / Crude Oil
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions with a stop-loss order at $65.23 are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
The Stochastic indicator is quite a popular tool for commodity traders (including those interested in trading crude oil and precious metals) and it is not without a reason. This indicator has proven itself many times as something that can really indicate the next move in the market – however, it has to be applied carefully, as not all ways in which it works are really profitable. We have just seen 2 signals from this important indicator – one bullish (based on daily closing prices) and one bearish (based on weekly closing prices). Which should one focus on?
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Tuesday, May 26, 2015
Gold and the Suicidal Credit-Based Money System / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Bill Bonner wrote a hypothetical college graduation speech which he did not present. What he would have said included:
“You are heirs to claptrap, nonsense, bogus theories, and trillions of dollars in debt.
The systems, programs, and institutions your parents set up are mostly worthless scams. Worse, they produce outcomes contrary to their stated goals.
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Tuesday, May 26, 2015
Introduction to Peak Food / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
Your high-tech toy watch won't buy you an egg. To date, the U.S. is on course to destroy 40,721,073 birds, mainly laying hens. Yes, elves at USDA do like precision in their numbers. Those birds are the casualty of pathogenic avian influenza outbreak. Despite the state of today's technology, eggs still come from chickens not from factories or 3-D printers. And eggs are not the only Agri- Commodity that has defied both technology and conventional wisdom. By the way, U.S. egg prices are up 120% or more in the past month.
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Tuesday, May 26, 2015
Silver is a Special Metal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
It always has been. And on a value basis, it's also a good buy. Silver has been chugging more than gold but once it pops up, it could take off like a bandit.
There are many reasons why silver will go higher and it's just a matter of time. And as our dear friend Richard Russell points out, JP Morgan is aggressively accumulating physical silver by the hundreds of millions of ounces.
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