Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, September 21, 2010
How High Will Gold Go Autumn 2010? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Jeff Clark, Senior Editor, Casey's Gold & Resource Report writes: The gold price has been hitting ever-new records over the past couple weeks, now closing in on the $1,300 mark. Some gold followers are saying this is extremely bullish for the near-term price since it broke so decisively through its June 28th high of $1,261. If they're right, how high might this particular surge go?
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Tuesday, September 21, 2010
Crude Oil Under Pressure / Commodities / Crude Oil
Nearby crude oil prices are under pressure again today, and are putting pressure on key near-term support levels at $73.10/00, at $72.75 (9/17 low), and possibly at $72.20 (major trendline from Jan '09 low). While the enclosed chart reflects the nearby contract, which expires today, the continuation pattern remains problematic for the bulls because pressure continues to mount that should test and likely violate the aforementioned support levels.
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Tuesday, September 21, 2010
Who Will Buy the Last 88.3 tonnes of I.M.F. Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
As you all know Bangladesh bought 10 tonnes of the gold on sale from the I.M.F. last week. This leaves 88.3 tonnes to sell now. The 10 tonnes that Bangladesh bought cost them around $1,260 an ounce. This tells us that price was not a determinant in the matter. This may surprise many, but it does highlight something about why central banks in general are buying gold now.
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Tuesday, September 21, 2010
Gold's "Straight North" Rally Driven by Fears of QE / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
THE PRICE OF WHOLESALE gold bullion eased back from yesterday's new record highs in London on Tuesday, unwinding Monday's 0.7% gain as world stock markets crept higher ahead of the US Federal Reserve's latest policy decision.
Major-economy government bonds rose, and crude oil fell.
Tuesday, September 21, 2010
AMEX HUI Gold BUGS Stocks Index Elliott Wave Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Sorry for the delay in posting this article...the amount of time for deducing the Elliott Wave count has occupied an inordinate amount of time. The present behaviour of the HUI leaves only the presented Elliott Wave count as being plausible at the moment. There are many undercurrents in the market at present and often how they blend to create sudden vortexes or expansions in strength of flow are impossible to predict. If the HUI were to take out 450 in the coming correction, then I would have to revise my thinking...however, analysis on gold, and the broad stock market indices support the presented ideas of this article (at least for the moment).
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Tuesday, September 21, 2010
Five Ways to Profit as Coffee Prices Soar, Food Price Inflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Jack Barnes writes: If you’re anything like me, you can’t resist stopping in for a “cup of Joe” every morning. If so, you’re probably also like me in that you’re experiencing a bit of pain in the wallet right now, given the steady increase in coffee prices we’ve see over the last year (and especially in the last few months).
If you want physical proof that we’re operating in a truly global economy these days, just look at how these three factors have creamed your coffee budget:
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Tuesday, September 21, 2010
Saudi Arabia Has Enough Crude Oil For 80 Years / Commodities / Crude Oil
Khalid al-Falih, CEO of Saudi Aramco, a state-run oil enterprise of Saudi Arabia, said at the 21st World Energy Conference in Montreal that his nation's oil reserves would be enough for at least 80 years, taking account of the current development of the oil industry.
The official added that there would be more crude extracted because Saudi Arabia was increasing the output level for its oil fields from 40 to 70 percent, RIA Novosti reports.
Tuesday, September 21, 2010
Gold Perfect Storm / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
A few months ago, U.S. Global Investors' CEO and Chief Investment Officer Frank Holmes told The Gold Report readers to watch the horizon for a confluence of three forces creating the "perfect storm where gold takes off." Those forces are now in alignment, that perfect storm is raging and gold is on the move. In another exclusive interview, Frank updates us on the metal's march, its implications for gold equities, his enthusiasm for doing business in Colombia and his thoughts about the upcoming midterm U.S. elections.
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Tuesday, September 21, 2010
Has the Price of Gold Reached its Zenith? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Today are going to be looking at gold and analyze the recent run-up that has created a great deal of excitement and fear for many investors and traders.
We're also going to be looking at some upside measurements that we have for this market. Conversely, we are also looking at an area that should provide support should the gold market pull back from its current levels.
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Monday, September 20, 2010
Moderating the Gold Rush Euphoria / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The herd is rushing into gold and silver. These commodities have staged a multiyear rally by a scale that is not fully justifiable on physical demand, but mostly from futures speculators. What is ahead for these?
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Monday, September 20, 2010
Precious Metals Short Squeeze Underway / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The first thing I want you to do this week is to read this past article from the spring entitled ‘Smoke and Mirrors Markets to Sponsor Precious Metals Mania’, which will benefit new and exiting subscribers alike for several reasons. (Apologies to non-subscribers as this article cannot be opened to the public.) First and foremost, and reflecting the title, it discusses market sentiment in detail – it’s importance and how sentiment is a primary driver in any market. Secondly, it discusses this with respect to silver as a focus, which makes for a good comparison with present circumstances. What’s more along these lines, it also discusses aspects of the bullish fundamentals that are now driving silver (i.e. seasonals, fractional reserves finally drying up, etc.) that are contributing to silver’s long awaited breakout higher, which is occurring as we speak in my opinion.
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Monday, September 20, 2010
Gold, Crude Oil and China / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
It’s been a lively year for both gold and oil investors but the year to remember may be the one ahead.
Goldman Sachs is forecasting a 27 percent jump in energy and a 17 percent rise in precious metals over the next 12 months. On the oil side, Goldman credits a rebound in industrial production for a 520,000-barrel-per-day increase in China’s implied oil demand in August (year over year). As you can see from the left-side chart, Chinese oil demand has remained a fairly consistent story going back several years.
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Monday, September 20, 2010
Gold Demand Swells at Record-High Prices as USD-Price Reverts to Moving with Euro / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
THE PRICE OF GOLD in US Dollars edged up to fresh record highs above $1283 at the start of London trading on Monday, while silver re-visited last week's 30-year highs above $21 per ounce.
World stock markets also rose sharply, as US crude oil futures recovered to $73 per barrel.
Monday, September 20, 2010
Gold New Record Near $1,300/oz Level as Irish Bond Sale and QE2 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Gold rose to a record for a third day in London and early New York trading while silver traded 2.3 percent below $21.355 an ounce, its highest price since it reached $48.70/oz in 1980. Sterling is also under pressure today and this has seen gold rise in sterling terms to over £820/oz (see Cross Currency Table).
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Monday, September 20, 2010
CRB Index Trying to Shake Off the Bears / Commodities / CRB Index
The first half of 2010 was marked by general weakness in the CRB Index, following a modest 2009 recovery. In Aug, however, the signals started changing, and the bear case has weakened.
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Monday, September 20, 2010
Sobering Lesson for the World as Gold and Silver Set to Explode Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
As the old expression has it, there are: “None so blind as those who will not see.”
The world is about to get a sobering lesson over the next year or two as the precious metals markets move explosively to the up side. As happens so often in the affairs of men, reality is there in front of us just sitting and being itself. Yet so few of the species homo sapiens can see it.
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Sunday, September 19, 2010
Agri-Foods Alternative Investment to Gold Going Parabolic / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
With $Gold clearly in a parabolic formation, investors may need to realistically appraise their investing activities. $Gold is likely to suffer inevitable consequences of disappointment that follows from a parabolic move. Investors may want to direct their investment flows elsewhere. With Agri-Food prices marching higher, that sector of investment world is an attractive offensive alternative.
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Sunday, September 19, 2010
Gold Back to New Bull Market Highs, Though Lacks Momentum / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Well, we’re back into new bull market highs for the gold price but not for the momentum of the move. The strength of the move, although positive, is less than the strength of previous moves. Friday looked like a reversal day but anything can happen during the week-end to change that.
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Sunday, September 19, 2010
Gold Forecast $2,500, Silver Could Easily Reach $180 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
More than 95 respected economists, academics, analysts and market commentators are of the firm opinion that gold will go to $2,500 and beyond before the parabolic peak is reached. In fact, the majority (55) think a price of $5,000 or more - even as high as $15,000 - is actually more likely! As such, just imagine what is in store for silver given its historical price relationship with gold!
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Sunday, September 19, 2010
False Trumpeting of Silvers Breakout? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Many have been trumpeting a silver breakout over the past week, but while silver has clearly broken out of its Summer triangle, it HAS NOT broken out to clear new highs, although the indications are that it is going to before much longer.
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