Category: Gold and Silver 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, January 04, 2016
Gold Advanced During 2015 in Most Major Currencies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Sentiment towards gold has been so bearish lately that you might think the yellow metal declined by 50% or more during 2015. In fact, it was only down 11% in U.S. dollar terms and gold actually advanced in most major currencies. Out of the 17 currencies tracked, gold was up in 10 of them and down in only 7 of them.
Gold advanced in both Canadian and Australian dollars, rocketed higher in Argentine pesos and Brazilian real, climbed higher in Mexican pesos, Russian Rubles, South African Rand, Turkish Lira and Ukrainian Hryvnia.
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Saturday, January 02, 2016
Dollar Collapse Gold Price Forecast 2016, Monetary Experiment - Audio / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Gold is down in the US but rising in most other places. Could this be the start of the next bull market in precious metals and mining stocks? Meanwhile, the shape of next year's monetary policy is becoming more clear, and it's unlike anything seen since, well, biblical times. You'll be amazed and probably shocked.
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Wednesday, December 30, 2015
Gold a Safe Harbor on an Ocean of Excess Reserves / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
"We had initially asked to pay interest [in 2006] on reserves for technical reasons. But in 2008, we needed the authority to solve an increasingly serious problem: the risk that our emergency lending, which had the side effect of increasing bank reserves, would lead short-term interest rates to fall below our federal funds target and thereby cause us to lose control of monetary policy. When banks have lots of reserves, they have less need to borrow from each other, which pushes down the interest rate on that borrowing — the federal funds rate." Ben Bernanke, The Courage to Act
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Tuesday, December 29, 2015
Gold Price $1071 Cap - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Gold is being capped at the 1071 level. This may or may not lead to one final attack to drive it to 1030 before the paper shorts get out of the way and let another bear market rally begin"
Transcript Excerpt:
today's commentary I'm going going to go over what's happening in the gold market
in the morning discuss the manipulation the gold market extensively in the last two videos I'm
just gonna chill down a little bit into what's happening right now we've got a
break this supports the intermediate low in July and it's become pretty clear
Tuesday, December 29, 2015
Gold and Silver Kabuki Bonus Time / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
There were no silver deliveries reported, and JPM took another slug of gold for 'delivery.'
The Bucket Shop is little more than a betting parlor these days.
There were some little movements in the inventories as reported below.
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Tuesday, December 29, 2015
Economic Lessons from the Age of the Pharaohs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
“Joseph urged the Pharaoh to set aside one fifth of the crop in the good times and store the grain to ease the famine in the bad times, because if he didn’t do that, the good times would be forgotten and all the people would remember was the bad times. This wouldn’t be politically good for the Pharaoh.”
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Tuesday, December 29, 2015
Gold and Silver COTs Feature Short Covering / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
As suspected, the gains seen last week in both gold and silver ( and copper for that matter) were primarily the result of short covering. My view is that the bulk of this was tied to year-end book squaring ahead of Christmas and the New Year's holiday.
Starting with gold...
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Tuesday, December 29, 2015
Gold and Silver Forecast 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Clint Siegner writes: Looking Ahead to 2016
Forecasting today's volatile, high-frequency machine driven and manipulated futures markets using fundamental analysis is futile, as a great many precious metals bulls will attest. To complicate matters, an obsession with Fed policy dominates all markets. Officials at the Federal Reserve are often less than forthcoming and are just as bumbling as the Soviet bureaucrats when it comes to centrally planning our economy.
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Monday, December 28, 2015
Silver Price Tradeable Rally Probable / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
I'm of the opinion that the metals have probably formed at least an intermediate bottom, and are ready to generate a trade-able rally over the next 4-8 weeks"
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Monday, December 28, 2015
Do the Consumer Reports Drive the Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
GDP, employment and inflation are a Holy Trinity of economic indicators. However, reports on consumer activity are also extremely important for the financial markets. It is not surprising: consumers are the ultimate rulers of the economy and their actions affect GDP, corporate profits and stock prices, labor market, inflation, the housing market and so on. There are several ways of measuring consumer activity, but it is the Personal Income and Outlays report that is the most widely watched data on consumer spending. The report includes data both on personal income and personal consumption expenditures (PCE). The latter primarily measures consumer spending on goods and services in the U.S. economy. It indicates the economic growth, since it is released monthly (while GDP is published quarterly) and it accounts for about two-thirds of the final domestic spending. Therefore, it should move very closely together with the GDP. Does it really do so? Let’s look at the chart below.
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Wednesday, December 23, 2015
Gold Market Manipulation - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
I explain how and why I think the gold bear market is artificial, and due to manipulation by a few big banks in the paper market. I discuss the market reaction that will confirm I’m correct. The analysts that for a couple of years have been trying to deny manipulation are ultimately going to look like idiots, and the Sinclairs of the world are going to have the last laugh, and will be proven correct in the end.
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Tuesday, December 22, 2015
Gold and Silver: A Positive Big Picture View of Risk vs. Reward / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
While routinely following the precious metals as one of many sectors in NFTRH, we have mostly left it alone with respect to public writing over the last few years. That is because it is in a bear market and since I am not a slick short-term trader, I have felt it is best to mostly just let it play out to the bear’s will without overly active involvement.
But several indicators have us on alert that 2016 is going to be the year that the bear ends in gold and gold stocks. So why not publicly discuss the shiny rock a bit more in anticipation? I am still 100% in line with the value aspect of a monetary metal that is historically sought after in times of doubt about the Monetary Politburo’s (Central Bankers’) ability to manipulate the global macro backdrop as desired and to positive effect over the long-term.
Tuesday, December 22, 2015
Gold Price Not Signaling a Long-term Bear Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Gold isn't doing anything unusual. It's not signaling a long-term bear market. It's just doing what every D-wave except one has done by retracing to test the previous C-wave top.
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Monday, December 21, 2015
Silver: May the 100 Year Force Be With You / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
What force? Some of the “forces” in our world that are supportive of higher silver prices are:
- Debt Increases: Global debt exceeds $200 Trillion and rising rapidly.
- Warfare: Syria, Turkey, Russia, Ukraine, South China Sea, Chicago and others. It is a long list.
- Welfare: Bank bailouts, military contractors, Medicaid, food stamps, dozens of “programs” and so much more.
- Central bank “money printing:” Bank of Japan, European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve, Bank of England and others are doing what they do best – devaluing their currencies. The bubbles created in the bond, stock, and currency markets must be fed and supported.
Monday, December 21, 2015
Gold Price Double Bottom and Bitcoin - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Transcript excerpt:
December 21st 2015 I'll be talking today about a prop probable or possible double
bottom in the price of gold and also about Bitcoin which is doing it been
doing quite well recently where trading around 4:40 right now we are down twenty
one dollars from from the highs 468 earlier you know earlier in the day
gold is trading at 1068 we we did get up to a thousand 74 earlier in London it's
right now almost 1 p.m. London time almost 8 a.m. Eastern Standard Time New
York so the possible double bottom in gold is between it looks like reform
that you know I double bottom 2047 which was the law on the 3rd of December and
roughly the same low on the 17th of December with that in mind I've looked
at the high on the 4th of December which is a thousand and 89 and that will be
Monday, December 21, 2015
When Gold Comes Back Into Favor? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Sasafuturestrading writes: Stocks usually change direction before commodities.
There is one market that really shines when stocks and the dollar are in bear markets together, and that market is gold.
In other words, a climate of falling stock prices, a falling U.S. dollar, and historically low interest rates don’t leave investors with a lot of investment alternatives. This is the exact type of intermarket climate that drives money to gold.
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Monday, December 21, 2015
U.S. Silver Production Plunges by 20% / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
To view The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) released their September silver production numbers this week and the results were incredible. Only 82.6 metric tons (mt) of silver were produced domestically in September versus 103 tons during September of last year. This represents a massive decline of 20% and is part of a greater trend of declining silver supply.
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Monday, December 21, 2015
Silver Price Stuck in a Grim Downtrend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Silver has been somewhat weaker than gold in the recent past and dropped to clear new lows last Monday, as we can see on its 6-month chart below, but this should not come as a surprise as its recent COT structure has been nowhere near as positive as gold's, and at the end of a bearmarket or beginning of a bullmarket, gold outperforms silver.
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Monday, December 21, 2015
Gold Price Suspected Bullish Falling Wedge Pattern / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Gold's technical picture is actually little changed from the last update posted on the 6th, apart from its having made marginal new lows late last week. What has changed is that we have since seen the Fed raise interest rates for the first time in many years, and the Junk Bond market has started to seriously fall apart.
With respect to the rise in interest rates there are two points to be made. The first is that, contrary to the general belief that gold is less attractive in an environment of rising rates because it doesn't pay interest, it actually does well, because some of the money that floods out of the stockmarket flows into gold. Second, the Fed's diminutive rate rise was a hollow face-saving measure, intended to salvage some credibility after it had been "crying wolf" for so long. It is too little and far too late.
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Sunday, December 20, 2015
Why Gold Price is going down, in Two Words: IT's NOT ! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
So as ephemeral as anything is to “prove” by math, we can observe and draw the following conclusion, that REAL METAL GOLD is priced far differently than PAPER CONTRACTS settled in Dollars. Having not “proved” this but empirical observations to illustrate and support this enduring phenomena, we conclude that: “Currencies fluctuate, at different rates against MANDATORY DELIVERIES of METAL GOLD vs. PAYMENT in any given currency.”
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