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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, December 01, 2009

Using Gold's Cyclical Model to Trade Junior Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Bob_Clark

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold is cyclical. Can knowing this help us make logical trading decisions about low priced gold stocks known as Juniors? Do these wild, speculative stocks even care  what the price of gold is doing. Even if they do, why would I want to gamble on such a high risk investment? Lets take a look.  

Since gold has bolted to new highs, I am getting more questions about the gold ETF, gold stocks, their options and juniors in particular. Here are a few of the questions and issues.    

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 01, 2009

USD$ Reaches Key Support / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Donald_W_Dony

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKEY POINTS
• USD$ hits major support zone. Stability expected until Q1
• Gold reaches second target of $1145, Weakness expected by January
• Oil starts seasonal strength in December. $88-$89 remains next target

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 01, 2009

Devastating Oil Crisis Ahead? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Joseph_Dancy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJohn Hess, the Chairman of the US independent producer Hess Corporation, issued a warning last month to global governments claiming a “devastating oil crisis” looms large on the horizon if global action is not instituted. In a speech delivered at the Money & Oil conference, Hess said that once economic growth recovers, it is likely the world will return to the market conditions of one year ago:

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 01, 2009

Gold Attempting to Break Above $1200 As Barrack Ends Hedging / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTHE PRICE OF GOLD hit a new intra-day high in London trade early Tuesday, driven within $1.50 of $1200 per ounce as world stock markets leapt and the US Dollar sank after Dubai World – which requested a "debt freeze" last Thursday – said it's in talks to restructure almost half of its $59 billion owing.

The Dollar fell below $1.50 per Euro for the third time in six weeks. Crude oil rose above $78 a barrel.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 01, 2009

Gold Rich Australia Hikes Interest Rates Again / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Neil_Charnock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInterest rates are up again here in Australia as the RBA hikes our prime rate by 0.25% to 3.75%. One bank has already come out with a 0.45% hit on mortgage borrowers of nearly double that figure.  The Federal Treasurer stated that the banks have no justification to take this policy course however I beg to differ – truth is they have to rebuild their balance sheets to cover the bad and doubtful loans on their books – some of which are disguised as performing assets.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 01, 2009

U.S. Oil Lobby is Blind to the Looming Spike in Crude Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKent Moors, Ph.D. writes: John Felmy has been the chief economist of the American Petroleum Institute (API) for years. He’s well respected. And I appreciate his experience. But the two of us disagree more often these days.

We most recently locked horns at Malone University in Canton, Ohio, last week, where we were debating the future of oil. (Actually, when the invitation was made, I was supposed to debate Sarah Palin. But she pulled out to go on the road and pitch a book she didn’t write.)

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 01, 2009

Gold and Silver Soared During November / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: GoldCore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold traded between $1,177/oz and $1,187 overnight and has continued its move upward this morning and reached $1,199.22/oz a new record nominal high – a fraction away from the psychological $1,200/oz. Gold is currently trading at $1,197/oz and in euro and sterling terms, it is trading at €793/oz and £722/oz respectively, near record nominal highs in both currencies. Gold rose by 14% in sterling terms in November and by 10.6% in euro terms.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 01, 2009

The New Gold Rush Is Underway / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: LewRockwell

James Quinn writes: Although the British-based bank has decided to stop retail investors depositing the shiny stuff at its New York vaults in favour of storing gold for higher paying institutional customers, it has not stopped the rest of the world from clamouring to join the gold rush.

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Commodities

Monday, November 30, 2009

Agri-Food Companies Are a Good Contrast with Gold stocks / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOver the Thanksgiving holiday driving I-95 in Florida provided some insight into the state of at least some segments of the U.S. economy. I-95 is the major North-South highway on the East coast of Florida. It runs from Miami to Georgia. Driving it from mile marker 47 to about mile marker 300 provides a fairly complete sample of travel activity in the state. Travel activity in Florida is a reflection of economic activity within the nation.

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Commodities

Monday, November 30, 2009

If the U.S. Eonomy Weakens Again, What Happens to Gold and Base Metals? / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: HRA_Advisory

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe announcement of a surprisingly large US trade deficit for September had some assuming the US consumer is back in a buying mood.  Alas, the much watched Michigan consumer confidence index for November quickly followed, and it is off a large 4.6 points, from 70.6 in October to 66.0 now.  The import gains were largely for crude oil, and there was some gain from the “declunkering” auto sector.  Even in weak markets there will periods of restocking that have to be figured into single bits of data.  Before Friday was done inventory levels for crude came out that were full enough to knock its price back from recent highs. 

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Commodities

Monday, November 30, 2009

Gold Miners Making More Money? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Adam_Brochert

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMining is a tough business and profits are rarely easy to come by. I learned the concept of the "real" price of Gold from Bob Hoye at Institutional Advisors. This concept ignores the nominal price of Gold (i.e. ignores the currency effect, which is difficult for paperbugs but easy for long term Gold bulls) and focuses on the price of Gold relative to the price of other commodities as a ratio. Mr. Hoye has his own proprietary index, but as we all stand on the shoulders of giants before us, I use my own proxy of this ratio by dividing the Gold price by other commodities indices (I typically use the Continuous Commodities Index [$CCI]).

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Commodities

Monday, November 30, 2009

Iran’s Nuclear Ambitions Highlight Kazakhstan’s Uranium Potential / Commodities / Uranium

By: OilPrice_Com

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne bonus of the global recession is that it wiped a lot of incompetent hedge fund managers and energy speculators from the canyons of Wall Street. As the Gordon Gecko sycophants regroup and look for the next Big Thing, maximizing profit while minimizing risk, the landscape looks very different than it did a year ago. In such a climate, it is uranium, not oil and natural gas that would seem to have the brightest future for one simple, overriding capitalist principle – supply and demand.

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Commodities

Monday, November 30, 2009

China Sees Buying Opportunity in Gold and Crude Oil Drop / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTHE PRICE OF GOLD traded in a wide 1.5% range early Monday in London, bouncing fast from a dip to $1165 as world stock markets reversed last week's gains and crude oil slipped below $76 per barrel.

The "safe haven" US Dollar rose on the forex market, alongside the Japanese Yen.

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Commodities

Monday, November 30, 2009

Gold Volatility to Rise as Next Phase of Global Credit Crisis Unfolds / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: GoldCore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold touched $1,179/oz overnight but has since dropped slightly. Gold is currently trading at $1,171/oz and in euro and sterling terms, gold is trading at €778/oz and £709/oz respectively.

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Commodities

Monday, November 30, 2009

The Speculator / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Howard_Katz

My first financial newsletter was called “The Speculator.”  My dictionary defines speculate as:

  1. “to engage in thought or reflection;”
  2. “to buy and sell commodities, stocks, etc. in the expectation of a profit through a change in their market value.”
  3.  from Latin, speculatus, observed, examined:
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Commodities

Monday, November 30, 2009

Silver Plods Along Whilst Gold Soars, Bearish Wedge Pattern? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Clive_Maund

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile gold has soared in recent weeks silver has put in a plodding performance unable, thus far at least, to break above the zone of major resistance and the return line of the uptrend channel in force from late last year shown on our 2-year chart. Of course, if gold marshalls itself soon and resumes its advance then we can expect silver to overcome these restraining influences.

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Commodities

Monday, November 30, 2009

Overbought Gold Runs into Dubai Debt Crisis Turbulence / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Clive_Maund

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week gold continued to rise to become super-extremely overbought as measured by short-term oscillators and then ran into heavy turbulence late in the week as the Dubai debt problems surfaced. The purpose of this update is to try to figure whether the action last week marks the start of a significant corrective phase.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 29, 2009

CO2 In The Cuckoo's Nest / Commodities / Climate Change

By: Andrew_McKillop

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleITS A GAS
Climategate has come and gone, like Dubai World, with only ripples in the agonizing V-shaped, W-shaped or X-shaped recession and recovery sequence. Recession and recovery of hopes and fears that COP15 will be a success or failure have also rippled.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 29, 2009

Reasons Why Gold Is Going to $1,300 an Ounce / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Sean_Brodrick

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe gold bears got tossed a bone last week, when the World Gold Council reported that total gold demand dropped 34% in the third quarter from a year earlier. To be sure, total identifiable gold demand was up 15% from the abysmal second quarter, but the bears seized on the news as a sign that gold has one foot on the Slip ‘n’ Slide of Doom.

Yeah, sure. That’s why gold prices just hit a new high.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 29, 2009

Gold Rebounds After Friday's Plunge, Where Next? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Merv_Burak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt looked like a rough time on Friday but gold rebounded and in the end it wasn’t all that bad.  Where does that leave us now?

GOLD LONG TERM

Although the week was a good one, even with a day’s holiday, the long term momentum indicator continues to give some concern.  As mentioned last week, concern is one thing but what’s happening is another.  Although there is concern for the loss of strength shown by the momentum indicator the direction of action continues to be upward.  For now everything still looks good but we should not forget the warning from the diminishing momentum.

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