Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, February 16, 2010
Gold Rises to New Record Nominal Euro High over €817/oz / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Gold built on last week’s gains and rose nearly 1% yesterday, closing at $1,099.50/oz and gold also rose in other major currencies. Gold has risen in Asian trading and again in early European trade and is currently trading at $1,113.20/oz and in euro and GBP terms €816/oz and £710/oz respectively. As expected the crisis in the Eurozone has seen gold surge in Euro terms to new record (nominal) highs over €817/oz – thus surpassing the previous record high seen in December 2009 at €813/oz.
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Tuesday, February 16, 2010
Gold Hits New Euro High, US Threatens "Soft Default" via 9% Inflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
THE WHOLESALE PRICE of gold bullion rose at both the Asian and London openings on Tuesday, breaking new record highs versus the Euro as finance ministers from the 16-country currency zone met to discuss Greece's ongoing debt crisis.
Crude oil broke above $75 per barrel, while global stock markets rose some 0.7%, as Eurozone government bonds fell.
Tuesday, February 16, 2010
United States Heavy Snowfall Impact on Agri-Food's Harvest and Planting / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
We admit to having been gullible at points in our life. Yes, we have believed stories that on reflection made very little real sense. That is the human part of us, a tendency to believe that others would not intentional mislead us. Perhaps we have leaned from our mistakes. We are not ready to listen to those telling us that the cold weather all around the Northern Hemisphere is due to global warming. We are beginning to suspect that Climate Evangelists and Keynesian economists have a common belief. They both think pigs can fly.
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Monday, February 15, 2010
Gold, Silver, and HUI Bear Market and Crash Trend Forecasts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
First, EXCERPT FROM “THE DELTA TURNING POINTS STORY”
By Welles Wilder (creator of the RSI, DMI and numerous other technical indicators)
Monday, February 15, 2010
Gold Hits New Euro High, Speculative Froth Evaporates / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
THE PRICE OF GOLD rose sharply in early London trade Monday, recording its highest-ever Gold Fix in Euros as global stock markets rose, government bonds slipped, and the major currencies were little changed.
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Monday, February 15, 2010
Gold Rises on Increased Monetary Risk / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Gold rose 3.4% last week closing at $1,088.20/oz on Friday and gold also rose in other major currencies. The higher weekly close in all currencies may embolden traders and investors to buy gold again after gold’s most recent sharp selloff. Those holding large short positions will also be nervous and could cause a short covering rally. Gold has risen in Asian trading before giving up early gains and then surged again in early European trade. Gold is currently trading at $1,100.20/oz and in euro and GBP terms €807.47/oz and £701.73/oz respectively.
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Monday, February 15, 2010
Sugar Commodity Key Reversal Signals Bull Retreat / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Another Key Reversal Week in Sugar has appeared, an earlier one seen in Sep-09, which marked a distinct pause in uptrend. Prospects for another pause/pullback phase are currently good, so we here take a look at the technical factors.
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Monday, February 15, 2010
Gold Price Weakness Due to Risk Aversion / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Are the Gold bears broken? It’s not clear.
The Technical Trader’s view:
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Monday, February 15, 2010
Offshore Oil Companies Investing The Warren Buffett Way / Commodities / Oil Companies
Commodities, particularly crude, were trending down last week after China's Central Bank raised bank reserve requirements boosting the US dollar against other major currencies. That marks the second time China has raised its bank reserve requirement in a month.
Ongoing worries about the economy stemming from European debt problems, specifically the lack of a firm Greek bailout plan from European leaders also prompted investors moving out of risky assets. Crude oil fell for the first day in five to below $75 a barrel also partly due to government data showing U.S. inventories rose more than forecast.
Sunday, February 14, 2010
Gold Falling Bullish Wedge / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The past week has seen the convergence of a variety of factors that together point to a powerful rally in gold soon. Thus it appears that we have been too cautious in the recent past. Little harm has been done, however, as gold has yet to break out of its downtrend and Precious Metals stocks have advanced but little, compared to what may be coming soon, although it would obviously have been ideal to get in on last Monday`s reaction following the preceding Friday's clear bull hammer in gold, silver and in many stocks.
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Sunday, February 14, 2010
Silver Price Trend Shows Strong Signs of a Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
We sidestepped the recent C-wave decline in the sector, in particular the plunge in silver, scaling back positions the day before it began, and as we now know the PM sector has followed the script set out in the Marketwatch update of the 19th January to the letter. However, the evidence that has accumulated over the past week or so suggests that we have since become too cautious - we should have stuck to that script as it now appears that the correction is over and that the PM sector is powering up for a major advance. Fortunately little has been lost provided that we get back on track without delay.
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Sunday, February 14, 2010
Gold Price Trend Forecast For February and March 2010 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Visual Guidance | Trade Triggers | Price Targets >> Gold
One of the highest standards in assessing trading models is to determine whether such models provide profitable entry set-ups and exit criteria with dependable levels of consistency.
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Sunday, February 14, 2010
Gold Potentially Bullish Falling Wedge Pattern, But Momentum is Bearish / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The weekly action has been primarily to the up side but still we’ve gone no place. Since Dec gold has formed a downward sloping wedge pattern which usually breaks to the up side BUT the Penny Arcade Index is starting to give us a different warning.
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Saturday, February 13, 2010
My Secret Gold Stocks Timing System / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jeff Clark writes: Right now is the best time in a year to buy into the precious metal sector.
My long-time readers know I rarely buy gold stocks. Because of the long-term bull market in gold, these stocks get very popular with the public in a hurry. Gold stock investors are a highly emotional bunch, and they'll change
Saturday, February 13, 2010
Will Gold and Silver Follow Dollar Higher or Euro Lower? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
We are so used to looking at gold rising when the $ falls that the concept of gold rising when the $ rises seems to break the rules. We have often commented that there is no rhyme or reason why the € and gold should move in step with each other. And yet they have driven mainly by COMEX speculators and traders for well over a year now. Just read most daily commentaries and you will see this link to an inverse path to the $ given as the main reason why gold moves.
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Saturday, February 13, 2010
Crude Oil Market Summary for Week Ending 12th Feb 2010 / Commodities / Crude Oil
Crude oil prices took a dive on Friday after a week of gains from U.S. blizzards were undercut by another move in China to tighten monetary policy.
China's central bank raised reserve requirements for its banks for the second time this year as it tries to curb lending and avoid asset bubbles from forming in an overheated economy. China is the world's second-largest importer of oil, after the U.S., and one of the world's fastest-growing economies, so energy markets are very sensitive to any change in conditions there.
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Saturday, February 13, 2010
Economic Recovery Signals Gold Bear Market Targeting $750 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
As investment demand for gold—including its attraction as a preservation asset—diminishes in a recovering economy, Siddharth Rajeev, vice president of research for Fundamental Research Corp., suggests the price may dip back to the $750 neighborhood by 2012. But even at that level, he tells The Gold Report in this exclusive interview, "most projects can still make very good profits at very high margin," particularly those that manage to keep a lid on operating costs. Sid is also bullish on base metals in a recovering economy, and has a positive outlook on rare earth metals and uranium as well.
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Friday, February 12, 2010
Gold Stocks, Sooner or Later You’ll Invest Abroad / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jeff Clark, Editor of Casey’s Gold & Resource Report writes: Many conventional U.S. brokers are relatively clueless when it comes to gold stocks. If you asked them to name one, chances are it would be a domestic producer, one with assets located primarily in North America. But that's not where the big money will be made over the next decade.
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Friday, February 12, 2010
Gold, Silver, Precious Metal Stocks Final Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
It was exactly a week ago when precious metals and main stock indices formed a bottom and provided a favorable entry point for all willing to participate in the next move up in the metals. Consequently we've sent out a Market Alert, and our Subscribers were able to get back on the market during Monday's decline (with prices lower than there were at the end of the session on Friday). While it may seem that the worst is behind us, we still believe one needs to keep an eye on the situation in case it turns around in a flash - especially, if the general stock market is to move much lower from here.
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Friday, February 12, 2010
Greece Debt Crisis Is Another Investment Opportunity for Gold Investors / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Athens-Upon-Tyne - So, who gets to play Lehmans in this comedic repeat...?
ISN'T GREECE marvellous?
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