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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Why the Fed's QE Policy is Bullish for Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: Most investors have followed what the Fed's QE policy has done to gold, but few realize its impact on oil prices.

Recently, I talked about how crude was beginning to occupy a position as a store of market value ("Why Oil Is Becoming the New 'Gold Standard," May 20, 2013). The development has been a direct consequence of the flight from holding gold.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Crude Oil Prices Start to Breakout / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Donald_W_Dony

Following the May 25, 2013 Market Minute titled "Is oil about to breakout to higher levels?", Light crude prices have moved over a resistance level that have contain the commodity for over six months. As this transition is in its early stages, several additional days of price advancement will be required to confirm the breakout. Nevertheless, WTI prices are firming and signals a change in traders attitude toward this commodity.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

The Global Race for Shale Natural Gas Development / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Marin_Katusa

Guess who the US Energy Information Agency (EIA) says has 430% more proven gas reserves than the US?

Guess who has twice as much as the US in shale gas technically recoverable?

Guess who has over twice as much proven oil reserves as the US?

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Cocoa Investing - Where a Resources Manager is Uncovering a Sweet Find / Commodities / Cocoa

By: Frank_Holmes

After traveling nearly 6,000 miles by plane, helicopter and jeep, Evan Smith, portfolio manager at U.S. Global, is walking along a dirt path in Kenema past dilapidated shops covered with rusted, corrugated metal. He can hardly believe he has arrived at his destination. Surrounded by hundreds of miles of forest and savannah, it's tough to imagine an agricultural diamond-in-the-rough nearby.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Will Silver Price Drop to $10? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Peter_Zihlmann

A drop of the silver price to $ 10/ounce is highly unlikely in view of the sharply rising National Debt in the USA but also in Europe.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Silver Price to Rise as Top Miner's High Grade Production Evaporates / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Steve_St_Angelo

One of the most insidious problems taking place in the gold and silver mining industry is the decline in falling yields.  Not many realize, when yields decline, production evaporates and disappears.  To offset the decline in metal yields, the mining companies have to add new mines and or increase the amount of processed ore.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

U.S. Gold Reserves, They Would Not Lie to Us, Right? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: DeviantInvestor

The official gold holdings (rounded numbers) of the US Treasury Department are as follows:

Fort Knox 147,000,000 ounces
West Point 54,000,000 ounces
Denver 44,000,000 ounces
Federal Reserve of NY 13,000,000 ounces
Other 3,000,000 ounces
Total 261,000,000 ounces
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Commodities

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Gold, Silver Drift Lower, Market See's Paradigm Shift in Investor Attitudes / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Ben_Traynor

GOLD drifted to a one-week low below $1380 an ounce Tuesday morning, as silver dipped below $21.80 an ounce, with stocks and commodities broadly flat on the day ahead of tomorrow's US Federal Reserve decision, with analysts speculating on whether the Fed will give details of when and how it might slow down its quantitative easing program.

"The outlook for the gold price remains negative from a technical perspective," says Karen Jones, head of FICC technical analysis at Commerzbank.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Manipulated Crude Oil Market Malarkey – Welcome Greater Fools! / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: PhilStockWorld

What complete BS the Futures are!

We started out last night, at 6pm, with the Dow Futures right at 15,000, flat to Friday's close. However, MIRACULOUSLY, by Asia's close at 4am, we were back to 15,130 (Friday's high) and you have to be high if you could read the weekend headlines we were going over in early morning Member Chat and thought that kind of move was justified! We concluded that oil futures (/CL) would be the best short at a ridiculous $98.50 so we called that line and, already, less than two hours later (8:17), we're back at the $98 line with $500 per contract profits! Maybe we should just take the rest of the week off and quit while we're ahead.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

The Hidden Costs of Gold and Silver Miners’ Optimism / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Casey_Research

By Andrey Dashkov, Research Analyst:

The junior resource sector is struggling financially, something most investors seem to agree on – and rightly be wary of. Here at Casey Research, we've analyzed both producers and explorers to see how profitable (or value-adding) they may be under current market conditions. The rather obvious conclusion, shared by many company executives, is that now is the time to be frugal.

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Commodities

Monday, June 17, 2013

Undervalued Gold Miners Historically Contrarian Investor Opportunity / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Jeb_Handwerger

There is no doubt about it. Precious Metal mining companies are going through a time of testing. The financing markets are challenging. Investors have lost faith in the major gold and silver producers who have over-promised and under-delivered in high cost projects in questionable jurisdictions. Acquisition strategies have been poorly executed near interim tops at high valuations. Some could say it is the worst of times for this sector. However, long term contrarian investors say that the worst of times may be the best time to find the top junior mining situations for the next upturn.

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Commodities

Monday, June 17, 2013

Gold Market - Pieces Of The Puzzle! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Robert_M_Williams

Over the last several weeks I’ve received a lot of e-mails asking about gold. Half want to know if they can buy gold and/or gold stocks here, and the other half are demanding a pronouncement as to whether or not the bull market in gold is over. After all, if you hear it on Bloomberg from Betty Liu it must be true! Personally I don’t like it when the mainstream media tries to make the news instead of simply reporting the news. Unfortunately, we’ve been conditioned to let the media do our thinking for us and that includes everything from who should be President to which stock we should buy. Edward R. Murrow must be turning over in his grave as he stares down and listens to what passes for news today.

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Commodities

Monday, June 17, 2013

FOMC The Big Driver for Gold and Silver this Week / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Ben_Traynor

THE U.S. DOLLAR gold price drifted back below $1390 an ounce Monday morning in London, but remained well within its trading range of the last few weeks, as European stock markets edged higher, with analysts citing Wednesday's Federal Open Market Committee decision on US monetary policy as "the big driver" for this week.

"On the whole, the market hopes for insightful comments in the course of the next Fed policy meeting...which will affect gold's further development as well," says a note from bullion refiner Heraeus.

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Commodities

Monday, June 17, 2013

Western Governments Diffuse Gold Bull Market With Central Banks Supply / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Alasdair_Macleod

There has been considerable throughput of gold in western capital markets, with substantial buying from all round the world following the April price crash. The supply can only have come from two sources: the general public, or one or more governments. It really is that simple. Two months later the gold price has only partially recovered, so physical supplies have continued to be made available. Physical demand cannot have been entirely satisfied by ETF liquidations, confirming governments are involved. This article looks at the dynamics of the gold market around this event and the implications.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 16, 2013

Will Gold Price Drop to $500? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Peter_Zihlmann

A drop of the gold price to $ 500/ounce is highly unlikely in view of the sharply rising National Debt in the USA but also in Europe.

To quote John Hathaway, manager of one of a most respected gold fund, a sharp rise of the gold price is more likely:

"With gold and silver under continued attack from the mainstream media, John Hathaway warned King World News that we are at the point where global investors will be shocked as gold is quickly repriced a jaw-dropping $1,000 higher, taking gold to new all-time highs.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 15, 2013

Why U.S. Spreading Panic on the Gold Market? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Pravda

Why investors are sometimes misled? Perhaps, the goal is to further scare and disorient the investment funds and individuals so that they quickly get rid of their gold (and earlier - silver) because the gold has allegedly lost its former appeal and reliability, and stock quotes have sharply declined.

Likely, someone needed them to fall. Where else if not at the George Soros exchange various currency speculators can earn their billions of dollars? If so, this goal was achieved by someone. At the time when newspapers exorbitantly inflated information on the readiness of Cyprus to sell a small amount of gold to pay off the debt (total of 10.36 tons of the precious metal), a few hundred tons of gold metal that someone quietly purchased were sold on exchanges in Asia, Europe and America in the middle of April of this year.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 15, 2013

Gold And Silver Greater Certainty is Found in the Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

Opinion: noun 1. A belief or judgment that rests on grounds insufficient to produce complete certainty.

That pretty much sums up what has been proposed and "re-proposed" as to the lofty heights that both gold and silver will/may/should attain. For many, the anticipated higher prices should have already been attained. In fact, over the past several months, many opinions have been "re-proposed" as often as central bankers have re-hypothecated their gold holdings. With all the known information: strong demand,[for the physical], inability to deliver the contracted physical, etc, gold and silver remain at recent lows. Hence, the value of opinions.

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Commodities

Friday, June 14, 2013

Contrarian Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Zeal_LLC

Successful investing requires buying low before later selling high.  And stock prices are the lowest when they are the most deeply out of favor.  That perfectly describes gold miners’ stocks these days, this sector is loathed and despised after a horrendous year so far.  But these battered stocks are now offering epic buying opportunities for contrarians who have steeled themselves to be brave when others are afraid.

Our subscribers have made fortunes trading gold stocks over the past decade.  Between November 2000 and September 2011, the flagship HUI gold-stock index rocketed up an astounding 1664%!  This dwarfed gold’s 603% gain over that same span, and the general stock markets as represented by the mighty S&P 500 actually lost 14%!  Gold stocks were almost certainly the past decade’s best-performing sector.

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Commodities

Friday, June 14, 2013

How will the 'Fracking' in Oil Production Affect Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

The process of "Fracking" in the production of oil is increasing global oil reserves by around 11%. More importantly, it has been a success in the U.S. but is yet to be used in Europe and Russia to the same extent. Nevertheless, this is expected to happen. The initial impact is that the world's dependence on Middle Eastern oil is falling fast and the stranglehold OPEC has had on oil prices is weakening considerably. But how should this affect the gold price you may well ask?

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Commodities

Friday, June 14, 2013

Have Gold and Silver Stopped Responding to U.S. Dollar Price Action? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Gold cannot be printed or manufactured in contrast to the currency. That’s why over the long term it has kept its value as the ultimate currency. There can be no “gold war.” However, we often hear about a currency war. Sounds familiar, were did we hear this before?

The phrase “currency war” was coined by Brazilian Finance Minister Guido Mantega after the financial crisis of 2008. The idea is that highly indebted nations weaken the value of their currency by cutting interest rates down to zero and printing fiat currency in order to gain trade advantages (cheaper products to export) and to pay less debt service on their bonds. Countries compete against each other to achieve a relatively low exchange rate for their own currency. The policy can trigger retaliatory action by other countries that in turn can lead to a general decline in international trade, harming all countries.

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