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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, August 28, 2019

Niche Gold Stocks Are the Best Way to Invest in Gold Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: Robert_Ross

For your sake, I hope you already have some gold in your portfolio.

Gold is on an amazing run. It’s up over 21% since last August.

Meanwhile, the S&P 500 is up a mere 0.7%, as you can see in the chart below.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 28, 2019

Has the Basing Setup In Natural Gas Completed? / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Back in June 2019, we posted a research article suggesting that Natural Gas was setting up an extended basing pattern below $2.35 preparing for a seasonal rally that typically initiates in late August or early September.  We believe the basing pattern has nearly completed and now is the time to begin positioning for the upside price rally that we believe will hit in Natural Gas as early a September 5th or so.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 27, 2019

Gold and Silver ADL Predictions Getting Ready For A Big Move / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

This weekend we thought we would share some really important data and charts with all of you precious metals bugs/traders (like us).  You probably remember our October 5th, 2018 call in Gold that has set off an incredible series of events for all of us.  We made a prediction that day that Gold would rotate higher from the $1200 level targeting the $1300 level, then stall and move lower to set up a “momentum base” near April 21~24 before accelerating much higher after June/July 2019.  Our original research chart is shown below. But first, be sure to opt-in to our free market forecast newsletter

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Commodities

Monday, August 26, 2019

Gold In Pre-Recession World / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The yield curve has inverted. It suggests that we are about one year before the recession. How should the yellow metal behave in such a period? We invite you to read our today’s article and find out how gold is likely to behave in the pre-recession world.
The yield curve has inverted. If its strong predictive power of the recession remains intact – in the previous part of this report, we presented strong arguments that this is really the case (or, that there are no strong evidence for a weakened predictive power) – it means that we should expect an economic slump around May 2020. 

But what about gold? How should the yellow metal behave in a pre-recession world? To answer this trillion question, we analyzed the historical yield curve inversions and examined their impact on gold prices. We put the results in the table below.

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Commodities

Monday, August 26, 2019

We’re Now Forecasting Sharply Higher Gold & Silver Prices Sooner… / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: MoneyMetals

Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.

Coming up we’ll hear some very interesting comments from a first-time guest, Jeffrey Christian of the CPM Group. Jeff talks about who’s been buying gold, and who hasn’t been – at least not compared to levels of a few years ago, tells us why they’ve moved up their price forecasts for gold and silver a couple of years, and also answers the question about whether or not he believes there is widespread manipulation in the precious metals markets. You’ll want to be sure to stick around for my conversation with Jeff Christian, coming up after this week’s market update.

As investors glean takeaways from the Jackson Hole symposium this week , gold and silver markets are bouncing off of some near-term technical support levels.

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Commodities

Sunday, August 25, 2019

Gold's Next Move / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Donald_W_Dony

Gold has drawn a lot of attention lately with its recent strong upward swing. But where it goes from here is what must subscribers are asking.

Let's look at the driving factors.

About 78% of all the gold mined is used for jewelry and industrial applications. The remaining 22% is used in financial applications.

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Commodities

Friday, August 23, 2019

U.S. To “Drown The World” In Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

The U.S. could “drown the world in oil” over the next decade, which, according to Global Witness, would “spell disaster” for the world’s attempts to address climate change.

The U.S. is set to account for 61 percent of all new oil and gas production over the next decade. A recent report from this organization says that to avoid the worst effects of climate change, “we can’t afford to drill up any oil and gas from new fields anywhere in the world.” This, of course, would quickly cause a global deficit, as the world continues to consume around 100 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, August 23, 2019

What Will Jackson Hole Bring to Us and Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The 2019 Economic Symposium in Jackson Hole has begun! On Friday, we’ll hear Jerome Powell discuss the latest monetary policy shifts. How will it affect the gold market?

Jackson Hole 2019 Has Begun

This week is rather light in terms of incoming economic data, with the minutes from the last FOMC meeting being the only exception. Now, investors await the annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium scheduled August 22-24 in Wyoming. The conference is one of the most famous and important gatherings of central bankers, policy experts, academics, and leading financial market players, and it is closely followed by investors. It is very often a major market-moving event, as central banks hint at new policy moves. The best example may be the 2010 symposium when Ben Bernanke announced the second round of quantitative easing, which supported the gold prices. On the contrary, in 2016, Janet Yellen delivered a hawkish speech which pushed the yellow metal downward.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 22, 2019

Gold Price Trend Validation / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: Denali_Guide

So who is on First, or Are we there yet ?

         Either addresses the current CUT 2 CHASE question.

         Blind faith can be good or bad, but tempered with some evidence, might be a good thing.    Lets look  at several categories of evidence concerning the position and trend of Gold and Gold Stocks.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 21, 2019

Gold and the Cracks in the U.S., Japan and Germany’s Economic Data / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Talk of a synchronized world - all three economic superpowers are in a recession! The U.S. suffers from industrial recession, Japan from export recession, while Germany may fall into a broad economic recession. Will the gold market warm up to these news?

Recent U.S. Data Shows Industrial Recession

The recent inversion of the yield curve has sparked recessionary fears. Some of the newest pieces of the U.S. economic data confirm the gloomy outlook. For example, the industrial production fell 0.2 percent in July, the second drop in the past four months, according to the Federal Reserve, as one can see in the chart below. Although the scale of slump might be overstated due to the Hurricane Barry hitting oil production in the Gulf of Mexico, the industrial sector remains in a technical recession.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 21, 2019

The Gold Rush of 2019 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Rodney_Johnson

One side of my family has held a reunion every few years for more than four decades. It’s a big, raucous event filled with lots of food, many half-true stories about the past, and copious amounts of alcohol.

In other words, it’s a not-to-be-missed event.

Hosting responsibilities transferred from one sibling at the oldest generation to the next, and then moved down a level. My relatives are spread across the nation. So, we’ve held the reunion in Minnesota, Wisconsin, the Upper Peninsula of Michigan, California, Texas, and Florida. Last week we gathered in Colorado, descending on Mt. Princeton Hot Springs Resort just outside of Salida.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 20, 2019

The Case for Gold Keeps Getting Stronger As Negative Interest Rates Spread / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: MoneyMetals

The world has truly entered uncharted waters with negative interest rates spreading so far and wide. 

Frank Holmes, CEO of US Global Investors, recently noted that a whopping 25% of all bonds sold globally now carry a negative yield. “Investors” are even buying some “junk” rated bonds which will repay the bearer less than purchase price upon maturity. 

Now European banks, who have been absorbing the European Central Bank’s 0.4% charge to hold deposits, are throwing in the towel and getting ready to pass those charges on to clients. 

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, August 19, 2019

Is This Time Different? Predictive Power of the Yield Curve and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

This time is different. This is what the experts say. The inversion of the yield curve did a great job in predicting recessions in the past, but the current inversion is not like the previous. The predictive power of the yield curve has weakened, so it does not signal the recession. This is what the pundits claim. We invite you to read our today’s article and find out whether the experts are right and what does it mean for the gold market.

This time is different. This is what the experts say. The inversion of the yield curve did a great job in predicting recessions in the past, but the current inversion is not like the previous. The predictive power of the yield curve has weakened, so it does not signal the recession. This is what the pundits claim. Are they right?

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, August 19, 2019

Gold Set to Correct but Internals Remain Bullish / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Last week we wrote that near-term risk in precious metals (Gold and GDX especially) was rising and a correction could begin soon. 

As Gold nearly reached major resistance at $1550/oz, the miners already began to correct. That negative divergence is an ominous signal for the sector in the short term.

However, the good news is, at least at present, Gold remains very strong in real and intermarket terms.

The first example of that is Gold’s strength against foreign currencies (Gold/FC). Gold/FC made a new all time high a few weeks ago and is now 4% above the previous all time high.

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Commodities

Monday, August 19, 2019

The Number One Gold Stock Of 2019 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: OilPrice_Com

...

 


Commodities

Friday, August 16, 2019

Gold & Silver Stand Strong amid Stock Volatility & Falling Rates / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: MoneyMetals

Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.

Coming up we dive into China with one of the foremost experts on the subject Gordon Chang. Gordon shares his thoughts on the U.S.-China trade war and why he believes it’s not likely to end anytime soon, talks about the pending economic catastrophe he sees in China and the effects it’s going to have on the global economy and, more importantly, for metals investors. You will not want to miss this incredibly in depth and fascinating conversation with the man nearly everyone goes to these days for an explanation of what’s really happening in China, Gordon Chang, coming up after this week’s market update.

Gold and silver prices have been on the move again this week. The metals continue to serve as a safe haven from trade wars, currency wars, plunging bond yields, and stock market volatility.

For the week, gold prices are up another 0.7% to bring spot prices to $1,509 per ounce. It’s down a bit today and is looking to hang on for a weekly close above the technically important $1,500 level. With a few hours here left in the trading week we’ll see if it can do that. Silver is higher by 0.6% since last Friday’s close to trade at $17.15. Platinum isn’t faring too well, down $20 or 2.3% to come in at $845. But its sister metal palladium shows a weekly gain of 1.5% and currently trades at $1,450 an ounce.

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Commodities

Friday, August 16, 2019

Gold Mining Stocks Q2’19 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Zeal_LLC

The major gold miners’ stocks have soared in recent months, fueled by gold’s decisive breakout to new bull-market highs.  Nothing motivates traders like performance, so interest in this long-neglected sector has exploded.  While gold stocks’ technicals and sentiment have greatly strengthened, their just-reported Q2’19 results reveal whether their underlying fundamentals support their powerful surge and further upside.

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  Required by the US Securities and Exchange Commission, these 10-Qs and 10-Ks contain the best fundamental data available to traders.  They dispel all the sentiment distortions inevitably surrounding prevailing stock-price levels, revealing corporations’ underlying hard fundamental realities.

The definitive list of major gold-mining stocks to analyze comes from the world’s most-popular gold-stock investment vehicle, the GDX VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF.  Launched way back in May 2006, it has an insurmountable first-mover lead.  GDX’s net assets running $11.8b this week were a staggering 44.0x larger than the next-biggest 1x-long major-gold-miners ETF!  GDX is effectively this sector’s blue-chip index.

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Commodities

Friday, August 16, 2019

Precious Metals Gone Wild! Reaching Initial Targets – Now What’s Next? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We have heard from so many of our followers and members regarding our precious metals calls and research articles.  Additionally, many of our members and followers have recently asked us about our August 19 breakdown prediction for the US/Global markets.  In this research post, we’ll highlight some of our expectations for the precious metals and how that relates to the potential August 19 breakdown expectations.

October 5 ADL predictive modeling forecast chart

Our incredible October 5 ADL predictive modeling chart, below, highlights just how powerful some of our proprietary price modeling tools really are.  Imagine having the ability to look 10+ months into the future to be able to attempt to understand exactly what price may attempt to do and to be able to plan and prepare for these moves well ahead of the “setup”.  So far, our analysis of the precious metals has been spot on and we’ll continue to try to update our members and followers as this movement continues.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, August 15, 2019

Is Widening Yield Curve Inversion Lifting Gold Prices Up? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The yield curve inversion just got more pronounced. Not only the spread between 10-year and 3-month Treasuries, now also the spread between 10-year and 2-year turned negative. That sends a warning signal about the state of the real economy. About a recession on the horizon. Some might argue that the yield curve’s predictive power has diminished with all the unorthodox monetary policies since the Great Recession. Yet, it’s a valid reason to worry – how does gold welcome this message?

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Commodities

Thursday, August 15, 2019

GOLD BULL RUN TREND ANALYSIS / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is part 2/2 of my Gold price forecast update Gold Price Breakout - Trend Forecast 2019 July Update.

So the gold price has broken out of it's long-term trading range of $1370 to $1150. Which means $1370 should now act as a floor under the Gold price, else it's back into the range for several more years! Next resistance is at just above $1500 and then $1800 which is my long-term target for the Gold price as of December 2016.

Therefore, as I stated in my May analysis, as the Gold price has now overcome resistance of $1350 to $1370 then the Gold price should be propelled higher towards a target of between $1500 to $1530.

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