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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, September 30, 2016

Silver Way Undervalued / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

After rocketing higher mid-year, silver has spent most of the third quarter drifting sideways to lower.  This has naturally weighed on sentiment, with investors and speculators alike growing more bearish during recent months.  Yet silver remains way undervalued relative to its primary driver gold, so silver’s young bull market is far from over.  This metal’s upside from here is still massive as it mean reverts higher with gold.

Silver has always been exceptionally volatile, which is partially a function of this market’s relatively-small size.  The world’s leading authority on global silver supply and demand is the venerable Silver Institute.  It reported total worldwide silver demand of 1170.5m ounces in 2015.  At last year’s average silver price of $15.68, that works out to an annual market value of $18.3b.  That’s practically a rounding error!

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Commodities

Friday, September 30, 2016

Why Krugman, Roubini, Rogoff And Buffett Dislike Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

By Jan Skoyles Edited by Mark O’Byrne : A couple of weeks ago an article appeared on Bitcoin Magazine entitled ‘Some economists really hate bitcoin’.

I read it with a sigh of nostalgia. As someone who has been writing about gold for a few years, I am used to reading similar criticisms as those bitcoin receives from mainstream economists, about gold.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 29, 2016

GOLD MARKET FLASH NOTE: Ending With a Bang, Not a Whimper / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, co-founders of Seabridge Gold, discuss how extreme monetary policy does not stimulate growth.

As we have predicted for some time, central bankers are doubling down on the madness that has failed to achieve economic lift-off. It is no surprise to us that easy money has not stimulated growth. There was never any reason why it should. It reminds us of trying to force hay into the wrong end of an elephant.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 29, 2016

Gold vs. Paper: The Only Debate That Matters / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Peter_Schiff

While a record audience watched the first presidential debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, the sad truth is that the candidates differ very little on the issues that matter most. As president, both Clinton and Trump are likely to drive the country deeper into debt, expand government power, and further curtail individual liberty and economic freedom. Though we can vote against the candidate we feel will accelerate this trend, our votes may do nothing to change the direction we are headed.
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Commodities

Thursday, September 29, 2016

Mining Stocks’ Rally Despite Gold’s Decline / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Quite a few rallies in the recent months were preceded by the mining stocks’ outperformance relative to gold and we just saw the same kind of phenomenon on Wednesday – GDX rallied while gold declined. Is the bottom in?

Let’s take a look at the miners’ chart for details - other charts don’t feature important changes from what we described previously so mining stocks are the part of the PM sector that we’ll focus on in today’s free article (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com):

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Commodities

Thursday, September 29, 2016

2017: Gold and Silver's Year of "Public Recognition" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

In all probability, December 2015 marked the bottom of the cyclical gold and silver bear market – a bear cycle that had been in play since silver topped in May 2011 and gold in September of the same year.

During the fourth quarter 2015, share price declines of the precious metals mining companies tapered off once the last of the weak hands gave up and sold their positions to stronger, forward-looking investors.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 28, 2016

Where Will Oil Prices Go After Algiers? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Saudi Arabia and Iran may yet come to terms on some sort of production arrangement, but the outcome of the negotiations in Algeria this week may not do much to rescue oil prices. Following the media spectacle, the oil markets may have to shift their attention back to the supply and demand fundamentals, which are not reassuring.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 28, 2016

Crude Oil Bull Market Correction / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Ed_Carlson

Crude gained $1.45/bbl. last week closing at 44.48 even after a $1.84 loss on Friday. Since the August high, crude looks like a descending triangle (bearish). The upper trendline passes through 46.75 this week. Support is at 43.25. A break of support opens the door for a decline to 38.25. The weekly Coppock Curve did confirm the June high so look for higher highs in the future. However, new lows are expected once wave C has completed.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 27, 2016

This Commodity Has Perked Up its Investors' Portfolios / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: EWI

The 90% rally in sugar prices since late 2015 fulfills our long-standing forecast

Imagine that the world's leading commodity markets were cars speeding down a two-lane highway. Who do you think is in the driver's seat controlling which direction prices go?

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 27, 2016

Charting the Continuing Gold Market Correction / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan plots the continuing correction in the gold and silver markets.

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Commodities

Monday, September 26, 2016

Gold’s Moving Averages and Long-Term Outlook / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Gold moved about $30 last week and many investors view this fact as a bullish sign and indication that much higher gold prices are likely to follow. Is this really the case? Let’s take a look at the gold charts (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com):

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Commodities

Saturday, September 24, 2016

Gold and Gold Stocks Corrective Action Continues Despite Dovish Federal Reserve / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

There were some hopes that a non-move by the Fed would end the current correction in precious metals and spark a move to new highs. Unfortunately, the Federal Reserve cannot override the supply and demand component of the market. Gold and gold stocks popped higher but less than two days later the sector (and specifically the miners) has given those gains back. That tells us plenty of sellers remain and this sector needs more time and perhaps lower prices before this correction ends.

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Commodities

Friday, September 23, 2016

Gold Unleashed by the Fed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold surged sharply this week after the Yellen Fed yet again chickened out on raising its benchmark interest rate.  Gold-futures speculators’ irrational fear of Fed rate hikes has been a major drag on gold.  And rate-hike risks just plummeted in the coming months, since the Fed can’t risk acting heading into this year’s critical US presidential election.  So gold’s next major upleg was likely just unleashed by the Fed.

Oddly, Wall Street’s expectations for a rate hike at this week’s latest meeting of the US Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee were surprisingly high.  The interest-rate target directly controlled by the FOMC is the federal-funds rate.  Commercial banks are required to hold reserves at the Fed.  They lend these reserves to other banks overnight in the federal-funds market, at the FOMC’s federal-funds rate.

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Commodities

Friday, September 23, 2016

Gold around U.S Presidential Elections / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

In previous articles, we examined gold's performance in the presidential election cycles. The only relatively reliable conclusion we were able to draw from the long-term analysis is that the post-election year is the worst for the price of gold in the whole cycle. Let's now focus on gold's short-term dynamics around election time.

The two charts below show the dynamics of gold prices thirty trading days before Election Day and thirty days after.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 22, 2016

Overcoming The Second Steel Crisis / Commodities / Steel Sector

By: Dan_Steinbock

Today, advanced economies blame China for steel overcapacity. In reality, four decades ago Washington and Brussels opted for bad policies, which China seeks to transcend. 

In the G20 summit in Hangzhou, some world leaders had harsh words for China’s steel overcapacity. Before the summit, President Barack Obama was urged by US lawmakers, unions and trade associations to blame China’s trade practices for US mill closures and unemployment and to stress the need for “aggressive enforcement of US trade remedy laws.”

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Commodities

Thursday, September 22, 2016

Gold Rises 1.5%, Silver Surges 3% After Fed Stays Ultra Loose At 0.25% / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Gold was up 1.5% and silver surged 3.1% yesterday after Janet Yellen again failed to raise rates from record lows at 0.25%. The Fed maintained ultra loose monetary policies which are again creating stock and bond market bubbles in the U.S. and other countries.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 22, 2016

Silver Price Forecast: Higher Silver Prices For Many Years To Come / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Hubert_Moolman

In a previous article, I highlighted how a Head and Shoulders Bottoming pattern on the silver chart
suggested that the silver rally since the beginning of 2016 is likely to continue.

This pattern has now matured nicely, thanks to the retrace to the breakout area. Below, is a silver chart (all charts from tradingview.com), with that pattern and the retrace to the breakout area highlighted:

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 21, 2016

Frack Sand: The Unsung Hero Of The OPEC Oil War / Commodities / Fracking

By: OilPrice_Com

The late-2014, Saudi-initiated oil-price war may have taken the ‘boom’ out of the US shale industry as it seriously threatened OPEC market share, but Saudi victory has been elusive: US shale has proven amazingly resilient. The industry has adapted quickly to the new playing field, and the unsung hero of a new uptick in drilling and investment isn’t just true grit—it’s sand.

The Saudi victory is equally dulled by the fact that it was not a decline in US shale production that rebalanced supply and demand; rather, it was chaos in Libya, militant attacks in Nigeria, massive fires in Canada and the destabilization of OPEC’s own Venezuela.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 21, 2016

What’s Happening With Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Bob_Loukas

Robert Alexander writes: GOLD WEEKLY :  Using cycle timing, we should be close to a low for GOLD, but I am expecting an ICL.  An ICL is a quick sharp sell off into a low, and then a move higher.  It shakes out the bulls. I have pointed out Prior ICL’s  on the chart below, and you can see that they come roughly 4-5 months apart lately. We are 4 months from the ICL at the end of May, and I have been calling for a Deep Meaningful Trade-able LOW at the end of September / early October for several weeks.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 20, 2016

Gold Fever / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

Gold Fever – as in "illness". Gold's bear market has been slow to get started. Rather it has played out as a consolidation since last June. But gold is now testing important support and despite bullish seasonality in September, we expect a breakdown in the metal to be forthcoming.

Gold fell $24.30/oz. last week and closed at $1,305.80 on the 89-dma and the December bull trendline. Resistance is at 1,365 (38.2% retracement of the 2011 bear market) and support is near 1,295.

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