Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, September 26, 2012
Crude Oil Prices are Headed Higher / Commodities / Crude Oil
Dr. Kent Moors writes: My latest trip to London may have centered on the briefings I gave on Iranian oil sanctions, but I also did a number of media appearances.
As I have mentioned before, questions from European interviewers are generally more knowledgeable and to the point than in the states. This may be because places like London are much closer to the events directly affecting oil prices.
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Wednesday, September 26, 2012
Cutting-Edge Technologies Will 'Green' Natural Gas Fracking / Commodities / Natural Gas
Fracking in the U.S. is here to stay, affirms Keith Schaefer, editor of the Oil & Gas Investments Bulletin. North American business is dependent on cheap energy, and even energy utilities are switching from coal to natural gas. Although environmental concerns remain, the industry has incentive to do the right thing, says Schaefer. In this exclusive interview with The Energy Report, Schaefer profiles service companies that are using cutting-edge technology to make fracking safer, greener and cheaper.
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Wednesday, September 26, 2012
The Great Graphite Supply Shakeup / Commodities / Metals & Mining
Investors who remember the lithium boom (and bust) a few years ago may be twice shy to enter a space with big upside potential tied to electric vehicles. But the parallels between graphite and lithium are superficial, insists Simon Moores, analyst with Industrial Minerals. Graphite, unlike lithium, supplies layers of demand, with reliable end-users in the steel industry. Meanwhile, China's production lull is making way for market entrants. In this exclusive interview with The Critical Metals Report, Moores profiles graphite miners around the world competing for the market's attention.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2012
Measuring Gold Fiat Currency Performance Since 1971 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
In 1971 President Nixon closed the window that allowed U.S. dollars to be sold for gold owned by the U.S. Just before that, the price of gold was $35 an ounce. Since then gold has been called a 'barbarous relic', a term used by Keynes, the famous economist.From that time on, the world's currencies stood merely on the confidence their governments engendered and the control they exercised over international financial dealings of all kinds. That confidence lasted until 2007 when the credit crunch brought government financing on both sides of the Atlantic into question. Up until now the performance of the underlying value of currencies has hidden these questions as exchange rates are adequately 'managed' through swap arrangements to stabilize exchange rate movements to the extent that violent moves don't happen. But the real value of currencies in terms of their real solvency is now a matter of open debate. As of now, relative to the amount of gold available to markets, the price of gold is the only measure of value that currencies can be held to. We look at that and look at the conditions that are determining the value of currencies now and in the future.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2012
QE and the Commodity Markets / Commodities / Commodities Trading
QE and the Commodity Markets
After the recent announcements of the ECB’s OMT program, (outright monetary transactions), and the FED’s QE 3 program, (open ended asset purchases), we were forced to not only review the equity markets, but also the commodity markets. We updated the commodity charts last weekend. Those who review our public charts, on a regular basis, are one step ahead of this report. We will start with a review of the GTX (S&P GSCI Commodity Index), then all five of its sectors.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2012
Gold ETFs Set New Record, Bullion Prices "Should Break Higher After Consolidation Period" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
SPOT MARKET gold bullion prices traded around $1765 an ounce Tuesday morning in London, 1.8% off last Friday's seven-month high.
"It looks to me like we've got a short period of consolidation," says Standard Chartered analyst Daniel Smith.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2012
Gold and Silver Price October Correction Is Seasonally Weak / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,766.75, EUR 1,369.36, GBP 1,088.37 per ounce. Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,758.50, EUR 1,361.91 and GBP 1,084.96 per ounce.
Silver is trading at $34.23/oz, €26.58/oz and £21.18/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,633.75/oz, palladium at $643.00/oz and rhodium at $1,100/oz.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2012
Manipulation of the Gold Price and the Crash of Paper Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
There is much discussion these days as to whether the price of gold is being manipulated. The answer is simply “yes.”
It is likely that most potential gold investors would agree that the major financial institutions have the ability to influence the gold price. They would also agree that to do so would be of benefit to those institutions. Yet, many investors still have difficulty making the final leap to agree that, if the institutions can manipulate the gold price and, by doing so, will profit from it, they will actually manipulate the price. Odd, as this would seem to me to be the easiest of the three premises to accept.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2012
Just When You Thought It Was Safe To Buy Silver Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Kerry Kutz submits: Silver hits $35 and gets driven down again
We were in Chicago for the HardAssets conference last week. This was a new show that was sparsely attended. However, there were some good companies telling their stories and I think you'll enjoy hearing about them. If we own them or plan to own them, we'll always let you know. We don't tout stocks for anyone. All we do is tell their stories. But there's another story that's far more important than that of any precious metals producer. And that is market rigging. Chris Powell of GATA.org said it best when he uttered the phrase, "There are no longer any markets, only interventions."
Tuesday, September 25, 2012
Gold and Silver When Financial Repression Fails / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Financial repression may prove to be the policy that triggers the inevitable return to fair value in precious metals. The failure of this academic policy, originally deployed in the 1950’s,adds to the list of possible scenarios triggering the failure of the manipulative price suppression that has been observed in the precious metals futures markets.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2012
How Gold and Silver Safe Haven in Today's Troubled World / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
The reasons for holding precious metals as a relatively safe haven for one’s personal wealth are numerous.
One common investing thesis for buying precious metals is that these intrinsically valuable commodities can hold their value in times of rising price levels. This characteristic can help American savers keep pace with credit expansion and paper currency debasement.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2012
Creating Fiat Currency Is a Blank Check for Gold Miners / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Worldwide monetary creation today has implications for the watchful investor in gold and silver. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Leonard Melman, publisher and editor of The Melman Report, explains why, and shows who will be well positioned to benefit from current economic stimulus strategies.
The Gold Report: Now that the curtain has been raised and we can see the Federal Reserve's much-anticipated program of a third round of quantitative easing (QE3), what are your thoughts? How do you expect QE3 to affect your portfolio?
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Monday, September 24, 2012
Secular Commodity Markets Peak Forecast 2013 / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Forecasting a secular commodities bull market peak is two-part: why commodities should make a blow-off price acceleration and why commodities should then fall out of favour in an enduring way.
Let me start by showing that commodities have been a particularly poor-performing asset class over time:
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Monday, September 24, 2012
Investor Gold Buying to Resume & Fed Doubling Their Balance Sheet AGAIN! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
A leading precious metals consultancy, Thomson Reuters GFMS, has forecast that investors will buy record amounts of gold in the remainder of 2012. GFMS produces the benchmark supply and demand statistics for the gold market. GFMS forecasts that investors will purchase 973 tons of gold in the second half of 2012, more than during the wild gold market of the summer of 2011. This surge in demand for the yellow metal, GFMS says, will move gold above the $1850 an ounce level, not far from the record high of $1920 hit in September 2011.
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Monday, September 24, 2012
"Do You Own Gold?" Ray Dalio at CFR: "Oh Yeah, I Do" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,758.50, EUR 1,361.91, GBP 1,084.96 per ounce. Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,773.75, EUR 1,361.28and GBP 1,089.19 per ounce.
Silver is trading at $33.87/oz, €26.31/oz and £20.98/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,614.00/oz, palladium at $641.80/oz and rhodium at $1,150/oz.
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Monday, September 24, 2012
Gold "Still a Buy" as "Alternative to Money" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
WHOLESALE MARKET gold bullion prices dropped to $1757 an ounce Monday morning in London – 1.7% off a seven-month high hit briefly last Friday – as stocks, commodities and the Euro also ticked lower and US Treasuries gained amid signs of ongoing political stalemate in Europe.
Silver bullion dropped to $33.71 per ounce – 4% down from Friday's high.
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Sunday, September 23, 2012
The Best Way to Cash in on Silver’s Next Run-Up / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Mike Kapsch writes: Over the past 10 years, silver prices have jumped an astounding 630%. In comparison, gold prices have risen 450%.
However, unlike gold, after hitting a 30-year high in April of last year, silver prices dropped 45% to $26.25 in June.
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Saturday, September 22, 2012
Gold Double Flash Crash / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
The 'Dr. Evil' strategy in two pictures. From Nanex Research:
Read full article... Read full article...Trading was so furious in Gold, that the CME circuit breakers triggered and halted the futures contract for 5 seconds. First on the downside, then on the upside. This is the same circuit breaker that triggered only once in the eMini during market hours: that time was at the bottom of the flash crash on May 6, 2010.
Saturday, September 22, 2012
Fears of a repeat of the 2008 Global Food Crisis / Commodities / Food Crisis
The United Nations Organization sees signs in the current situation in world food markets that point towards a possible repeat of the world food crisis in 2007 and 2008, when prices of staple foods skyrocketed, creating instability which led to huge social upheavals. Measures are needed in the short, medium and long term, state experts from the UN.
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Saturday, September 22, 2012
Gold-Silver Ratio Declining As U.S. Dollar Collapses / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Since July we have alerted our readers to a breakout in gold and silver prices as we expected a risk on rally in commodities with the catalyst being QE3 combined with worldwide stimulus moves from Central Bankers. Since that time silver has soared 30% higher almost 10 straight weeks in a row as Bernanke announces a QE 3, 4, 5+…? and record low interest rates until mid 2015.
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