Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, November 07, 2014
Gold and Silver Bear Markets Close to the Bottom but Not There Yet / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The selloff in precious metals intensified over the past week. GDXJ declined 25% in seven days while Gold plunged below $1180 to $1140 and Silver plunged below $16 and to as low as $15.20. Precious metals are becoming extremely oversold and the bear market is clearly in the 9th inning. Be on alert for a snapback rally to repair the extreme oversold conditions. Although we are likely very close to the bottom in the miners, Gold’s current position continues to leave me skeptical.
Friday, November 07, 2014
Silver Price Extremes! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Investmentscore.com
To identify “buying opportunities” in “extreme” situations, we identify historical extreme situations and use them for a benchmark. Provided that a correction occurs in an active bull market, the insights from this kind of analysis can be very helpful.
Most should agree that the credit crisis was a major economic event that pushed nearly all assets down to an extreme low. We have used this kind of extraordinary market action as a comparison for the current commodities correction.
Friday, November 07, 2014
$80 Crude Oil Price is the New Normal Minimum / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: The_Energy_Report
Saudi Arabia has nothing to do with falling prices at the pump, argues Bob Moriarty. He sees falling demand as the culprit, driven by economic slowdown in China, Europe and the U.S. In this interview with The Energy Report, Moriarty explains why increased consumer spending won't solve our problems, and discusses why he's still a fan of North American energy stocks—even though he hates shale oil.
Friday, November 07, 2014
Why the Saudis are Fighting a Losing Battle Over Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Money_Morning
Dr. Kent Moors writes: For the second time in a month, Saudi Arabia has grabbed the headlines in the oil markets. The kingdom is cutting prices again in its global oil feud.
In its latest version, Saudi Aramco (the national oil company) has restored an earlier price cut to Asia, but reduced its price to U.S customers.
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Friday, November 07, 2014
Could Gold Stocks Bottom at 2008 Credit Crisis Low Prices? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
By: Jeb_Handwerger
The commodity equities are selling off as The Fed halts QE3. However, we are reaching oversold levels and support areas where short covering could soon begin. Commodities, metals and the junior miners are hitting multi year lows and falling below 2008 credit crisis levels. This crash is not based on fundamentals only on an artificially inflated dollar due to Yen and Euro weakness.
This is not a time to panic but continue to accumulate as the bear market may be reaching the final capitulation stage. This decline may be a sign that the quantitative easing may have lifted stock market indices, but it did little to improve demand and growth in the economy reflected by demand for energy and metals.
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Thursday, November 06, 2014
The Driving Force Behind the US Oil Boom / Commodities / Oil Companies
By: OilPrice_Com
The shale revolution’s sweet spot is oilfield services, the lower-risk backbone of the American oil and gas boom that pays off regardless of a play’s economics.Behind the stardom of the explorers and producers who have put themselves on the revolutionary shale map and absorb most of the risk—are the service providers who make up a highly lucrative market segment.
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Thursday, November 06, 2014
U.S. Mint Sells Out of Silver Eagle Coins as Buying Surges / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: GoldCore
The gulf between the physical precious metals markets and the paper or electronic gold and silver markets is growing again and risks becoming as broad as it has ever been. Demand for gold and particularly silver bullion has been very high across the world in recent weeks.
The sharp price falls in recent days has led to even greater demand and concerns about supply and rising bullion premiums. Now the U.S. Mint is sold out and the Canadian Mint is rationing supplies.
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Thursday, November 06, 2014
The Swiss Gold Initiative and Why it May Affect Gold Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Bob_Kirtley
The people of Switzerland go to the polls on 30th November to vote on the gold initiative. The proposal requires the Swiss National Bank to hold gold reserves of at least 20% of the value of the assets of the Swiss National Bank. The initiative also wants no further gold sales by the SNB and all Swiss Gold to be stored in Switzerland.
If the yes vote is successful then they would be required to buy 1500 tons of gold over a period of five years, in order to achieve the 20% target. This acquisition would then be held indefinitely as they would not be allowed to sell it. However, in the case of a yes vote, the referendum would still have to run the gauntlet in the Swiss parliament in order to gain ratification.
Thursday, November 06, 2014
Crude Oil, Gold, Are Commodity Price at a Major Turning Point? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Toby_Connor
As most of you probably know, I have been expecting the CRB to form a major three year cycle low sometime next summer. However, I'm now starting to see some things that might indicate a major cycle bottom is going to occur earlier than I expected.
Since oil is the main driver of the CRB, and most commodities will follow its lead, I'm going to focus on the action in oil. Notice in the next chart that oil has now reached oversold levels similar to, if not more extreme than, the previous two 3 year cycle lows.
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Thursday, November 06, 2014
Gold, Economic Theory and Reality: A Conversation with Alan Greenspan / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: The_Gold_Report
When Dr. Alan Greenspan became chairman of the Federal Reserve, he moved from the world of rhetorical economics to the world of action. His most recent memoir, "The Map and the Territory 2.0: Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting," attempts to make sense of how the financial crisis of 2008 came to be and how we can better predict future crises, along with the role of gold in a global monetary system. In this excerpt from Greenspan's appearance at the New Orleans Investment Conference with Navellier & Associates Senior Writer Gary Alexander, Gloom, Boom & Doom Report Publisher Marc Faber and Stansberry & Associates Investment Research Founder Porter Stansberry, The Gold Report delves into the role of gold versus fiat currency, why central banks own so much gold if it is truly "a barbarous relic," and the reason China is buying so much gold today.
Wednesday, November 05, 2014
Where Are Gold Prices Headed and How to Profit / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: DailyGainsLetter
George Leong writes: As far as investment and trading opportunities go, gold is currently the stock market’s poor cousin. No one really craves the yellow ore at this time. The reality is that unless you are looking for jewelry, there’s really no reason to buy the metal right now.
Back in September, when I last discussed the prospects for this precious metal, I wrote that “in the absence of further turmoil in Ukraine, gold prices could deteriorate to below $1,200, possibly even $1,180.”
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Wednesday, November 05, 2014
Global Scramble For Silver - Coins “Hard To Get,” “Premiums Likely To Jump” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: GoldCore
Silver has had a torrid time in recent months and has fallen nearly 40% since July. In less than four months, it is down from $21.40/oz to $15.45/oz today. Silver is 70% lower since reaching over $49/oz in April 2011. The selling has accelerated in recent days and silver has fallen from $17.20/oz on October 28 and is down 12% in the last week.
There is blood in the streets of the silver market with futures speculators long silver, again having their heads handed to them on a plate and incurring sharp losses. However, the silver sell off has again seen a global scramble for physical silver.
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Wednesday, November 05, 2014
Natural Gas Prices are Going Higher (So are these “Super Shift” Investor Opportunities) / Commodities / Natural Gas
By: Money_Morning
Dr. Kent Moors writes: While everybody is focused on oil, natural gas prices are moving in a very different direction.
Up.
As of this afternoon, natural gas prices at Henry Hub stood at $4.15 per 1,000 cubic feet (or million BTUs). Since last Thursday, the price of natural gas has jumped by 13.7%.
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Wednesday, November 05, 2014
Suppressed Uranium Price Shouldn't Keep Hedged Producers and Promising Explorers Down / Commodities / Uranium
By: Metals_Report
Near-term oversupply is suppressing uranium prices but there are signs of upside movement, says Colin Healey, research analyst with Haywood Securities. In this interview with The Mining Report, he notes that non-discretionary buying in the uranium spot market returned in Q3/14 after a lengthy absence and that the 71 reactors being built around the world should support Haywood's long-term $75/lb uranium forecast. Healey also discusses companies suited to perform in the current market and beyond.
The Mining Report: The spot price for uranium stayed below $30 per pound ($30/lb) in May through late July. Since then the price popped up above $36/lb before settling at around $35/lb. Is that the near-term floor?
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Tuesday, November 04, 2014
A GREAT Model to Understand Gold Price Swings / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: EWI
What do the last three chairs of the U.S. Federal Reserve have in common?
Well, it's not their taste in structured black blazers. It's the fact that they all see gold as a kind of Winston Churchill-like nesting doll -- a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma.
Read full article... Read full article...July 2013: Then Fed chairman Ben Bernanke told Congress he doesn't "pretend to understand gold prices... nobody does."
Tuesday, November 04, 2014
Silver Price What Happens Next? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: DeviantInvestor
Disclosure: I expected the triple bottom in gold and silver to hold. It did not! Silver crashed lower (from $19.28 on August 28 to $17.26 on October 29 to under $16 on October 31) and then gold plunged below $1179 to about $1160.
Tuesday, November 04, 2014
Why We Need Overpriced Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Andrew_McKillop
High on High Priced Oil
Royal Dutch Shell's new chairman Chad Hallyday says that falling oil prices are the top of his agenda and like other “historic majors” such as ConocoPhillips and ENI, Shell gets a painful bottom line hit from lower prices. Reported by the 'Financial Times', October 31, Hallyday says that each $10 fall in the barrel price means $3 billion less earnings a year and a prolonged period of Brent prices around $85 a barrel would translate to $8 bn-a-year of reduced profits for Shell. Nevertheless Hallyday is not only a former BofA banking chief, but also co-chaired the UN's high level group on sustainable energy, which in 2011 pledged a doubling of renewable energy in world energy by 2030. The recent doomster grandstanding by UN Secretary General Ban ki-Moon to “prevent planetary disaster from global warming” calls for the total elimination of all fossil fuels “before the end of the century”.
Tuesday, November 04, 2014
Understanding Global Monetary Policy: And How to Profit From It / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Bob_Kirtley
To say that the last month as been turbulent in markets would be a drastic understatement. We saw the biggest intraday range in US bond yields in 16 years, equities nosedive then whipsaw right back to new highs, VIX hit the highest levels since 2011 whilst gold, silver and oil hit multi year lows. With such volatility around the theme of uncertainty is rife across financial markets, therefore it is important to reassess ones views of the market and properly understand the underlying drivers of market action.
Tuesday, November 04, 2014
Gold and U.S. Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Gold continued weak in its performance during September. The yellow metal’s price dropped almost 5.5% from $1286.50 to $1216.5 (London PM Fix). In the last Market Overview we came to the conclusion that the real interest rate is one of the main drivers of the gold price. Although the negative relationship between real interest rates and gold prices does not always hold, the recent medium-term declines (including the last month) were probably, to a large extent, caused by the rise in the long-term real interest rates.
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Tuesday, November 04, 2014
Sunny Silver Price Forecast - Low Price Today Means High Price Tomorrow / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: John_Rubino
Solar power has been the next big thing in energy for as long as most people have been alive. But it was always too expensive to be anything more than a niche technology, attractive more for its coolness than its efficiency. That has changed, in a big way.
According to a report by Deutsche Bank, generating electricity from sunlight is now as cheap as getting it from coal in most US states when current subsidies are included. Extrapolate the inexorably-falling cost of solar just a few more years, and the subsidies won’t be necessary.
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