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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Elliott Wave Analysis of Crude OIl and the US Dollar / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Dan_Stinson


Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD has completed a leading diagonal and is currently in a wave (2) correction. The current wave up is close to completion and we should see one more wave down to complete wave (2) down. Once this wave down completes, we should see a strong rally in wave (3) up.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Nothing Sweet About Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne thing that I have noticed whenever I publish an article on gold that concludes with a bearish outlook, it tends to be followed by an healthy email response usually informing me that I am completely wrong and that gold is destined to travel to the moon. No other market analysis generates such a response. This clearly signals to me that many, many investors are over weighted in the gold and precious metals which in itself is a warning sign of an imminent peak.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Crude Oil Rising, Clean Energy Reversing? / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen I look at the daily chart of crude oil, now it appears that a new upleg is in progress with a target of ... $150? ... $160? ... who knows? What is really interesting to me now is the potential geopolitical connections that could be the underlying reasons why crude just never sustains lower prices for very long.

It seems to me from what I have been reading that the three leaders around the globe who are in trouble are Bush, Olmert, and Ahmadinejad. And all three could be looking at confrontation as a way to save their presidencies, and/or to try to ensure that their political party remains in office. Confrontation?

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Gold Sinks to 5-Week Low / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES slid yet again overnight on Thursday, giving back all of yesterday's 1.9% rally to reach fresh one-month lows below $862 per ounce as Western stock markets rallied, led by beaten-down banking shares.

Bond prices slipped, pushing interest rates higher. The Dollar rose sharply on the forex market. Crude oil and commodity prices fell.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Oil Bull Market: It's Not Too Late to Profit! / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLarry Edelson writes: Being bullish (or bearish) on a market should not mean being blind. For instance, I've been forecasting sharply higher oil prices ever since I turned bullish way back in 2001. And I am still bullish. But I also keep my eyes wide open for anything that might get in the way of oil's bull market.

I often step back in order to make sure I'm not overly influenced by greed and fear, which are the dominant emotions on Wall Street. This is critically important when a market gets as euphoric as oil is today.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Gold Stocks - the Rumbling Volcano About to Explode! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Alex_Wallenwein

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRising inflationary expectations keep money exiting the faltering stock markets away from their designer-made "safe havens" - government bonds. The result will be a powerful breakout of the precious metals and their mining shares.

The time for gold stocks to regain their old leverage over gold and ratchet up into their next higher orbit is very near, even though at the moment it may not look that way. Here are the reasons why:

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Gold Remains the Fringe Preserve of the Smart Money / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold closed at $881.00 in New York and was up $13.20 and silver closed at $16.84 up 27 cents. Gold has subsequently given up some of yesterday gains and has fallen in Asia overnight and in early European trading this morning.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

Forced Commodity Long-term Investment liquidations Coming? / Commodities / Government Intervention

By: Christopher_Laird

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe CFTC is looking at changing commodity rules to force big funds to disgorge multi thousand contracts positions.

The CFTC stated the commodity markets are not geared to have big funds sitting on long term positions of thousands of commodity contracts for long periods for foods and so on.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2008

A Primer on the Silver Basis- Putting Loin-Cloth On The Naked Bogeyman / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI started writing this piece as the sub-prime crisis was unfolding. I wanted to establish the connection between the silver basis and the budding banking crisis caused by phony bond insurance schemes and the lack of hedging irredeemable dollar debt with metal holdings. My original title was Putting Clothes on the Naked Bogeyman . As writing progressed I realized that it would take more than one article to dress up the bogeyman; hence the revised title.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

US / China Trade Imbalance Driving Dollar Lower and Gold Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"...Take a gun-boat and 1,200 tonnes of opium, and America could close its trade gap with China tomorrow..."

DO DEFICITS MATTER? Right around the time that English missionaries produced the first Bible in Chinese, the British Empire found itself with a trickier kind of translation problem.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

An Historic Year for Gold... June 2007 to May 2008 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Michael_J_Kosares

July, June, August 2007

  • Subprime crisis hits media, discovered to be global
  • World central banks inject billions to save financial system

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

Oil Crisis Set to Worsen as Crude Oil Exports Decline / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn ancient times, when mapmakers came to uncharted territory, they would scrawl: "Here There Be Dragons."

Flash-forward to the 21st Century; oil markets went into uncharted territory on the charts last week. Friday's dramatic spike up was the biggest one-day move EVER. Morgan Stanley now predicts that oil prices could hit $150 per barrel by the 4th of July.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

Gold Back to $1,000 on ECB Inflation Busting Interest Rate Rising Plan / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES ticked higher in London trade early Wednesday, recovering 1.3% from yesterday's one-week low as crude oil jumped back to $133 per barrel.

Asian equities were mixed after the US Dollar retreated from a new 15-week high against the Japanese Yen above ¥107.70.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 10, 2008

World Only One Crop Failure Away From Grain Shortage / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInvestors are still adapting to the world of investing in commodities. In the world of paper equities, news is often important. A new phone is indeed actionable information that markets should discount. Investors have become accustomed to trading stocks based on such bits of news. However, they have not yet learned to discern news noise from real news on commodities. Agri-Foods have a seasonality to both availability and prices. That seasonality arises because of the planting and harvesting cycle. In between, comes the weather which often makes difficult the forecasting of supply.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 10, 2008

Gold Slides as Dollar Bounces on Bernanke's New "Strong Dollar" Policy / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF PHYSICAL BULLION slid further in Asia and London on Tuesday, losing half of the Gold Market 's bounce from last Thursday's three-week low after Ben Bernanke – chairman of the US Federal Reserve – repeated his claim of wanting to fight inflation.

Base metal and food prices sank, while crude oil dropped another 0.5% to trade more than $5 below Friday's All-Time Record Oil Price .

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 10, 2008

Gold Weakens on Another Dollar Dead Cat Bounce / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold closed at $894.80 in New York and was down 70 cents and silver closed at $17.15 down 22 cents. Both have sold off in Asia overnight and in early European trading this morning.

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Commodities

Monday, June 09, 2008

Interest Rates and Commodity Cycles- What Makes a Bubble? / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: David_Petch

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLarry Moe and Curly formed one of the most successful comedy trios in history, who rightfully so, went with the stage name The Three Stooges . Their routine was based on physical slapstick comedy applied to numerous stories and awkward situations. Their bumbling stupidity and lack of focus on any given situation made for entertaining comedy clips that spanned several decades of the 20th century. An example of their fine comedic routines can be seen in this clip titled Carpenters . To view an infinite supply of "The Three Stooges", simply enter this into the search bar on www.youtube.com and be prepared to be entertained for hours.

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Commodities

Monday, June 09, 2008

Gold Rally Failure Could be the Shorting Opportunity of the Year / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“The rising trendline from the May low will be a crucial support... with the 50-day sma continuing its decline, the convergence at the trendline will create a crucial decision area that could lead to the new lows mentioned here for weeks. Some Fed members have indicated a desire to reverse their rate cuts aggressively, which seems an optimistic outlook. Greenspan's assurances notwithstanding, the possibility remains of the entire mess devolving into a deep recession.”~ Precious Points: Confirmation , June 02, 2008

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Commodities

Monday, June 09, 2008

Gold Follows Crude Oil Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES rose sharply at the London opening on Monday, starting the week $20 per ounce above last Monday's start as crude oil dipped from its new all-time highs.

The US Dollar fell hard on the currency market. The Nikkei share index in Tokyo closed the day more than 2% lower.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 07, 2008

Crude Oil Sets New High Above $139; Gold Surges as Dollar Dives / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Jason_Simpkins

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCrude oil for July delivery traded at an all-time high of $139.12 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange today (Friday), after the U.S. dollar nosedived on speculation that the European Central Bank would raise its key lending rate and on worries that a bigger-than-expected spike in unemployment meant the U.S. economy was far weaker than feared.

For the day, July crude oil soared $10.75, or 8.4%, to close at an all-time high of $138.54. For the week, the contract climbed 8.8% on the NYMEX.

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