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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, December 20, 2007

Gold in Tight Trading Range / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold was down $1.80 to $801.10 per ounce in New York yesterday and silver was up 4 cents to $14.07 per ounce. Gold traded sideways in Asia and Europe and the London AM Fix was at $799.50 (down from $801.50).

At the London AM Fix gold was trading at a new all time record in British pounds at £401.62 GBP (up from yesterday's London AM Fix at £399.35). Gold went up to €557.30 EUR (up from yesterday's London AM Fix at €556.83 ). Gold has again increased in sterling and in euros. Gold thus surpassed it's all time record high in british pounds at £400.47 and will likely do so in euros and dollars early in the New Year.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 20, 2007

Uranium Stocks Rally in Attempt to Break Bearish Trend / Commodities / Uranium

By: Merv_Burak


Well, it's a start, now if we can only have a few more days like this, or better, we just might get a rally going. The Merv's Daily Uranium Index was up 0.085 points or 2.21% on the day. There were 29 winners and 16 losers with 5 unchanged. It would be nice to see a few more winners and a few less losers, but we will take what we get. Of the five major stocks, Cameco gained 3.5%, Denison gained 0.5%, Paladin, the only loser of the bunch, lost 0.9%, UEX gained 5.4% and Uranium One gained 1.0%. The best daily performer of the 50 component stocks was Triex Minerals with a gain of 23.4% while the worst performer was Pele Mountain with only a 4.8% loss.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 19, 2007

2008 Gold and Gold stocks Fundamentals, Forecast and Technical Review / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: John_Lee

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe fundamentals for gold relates to the confidence level in paper currencies. When demand outstrips supply of dollars, the value of dollars goes up. The supply of dollars has been rising steadily at an average of 10% annually from less than $1 trillion in 1980 to over $12 trillion today. The fundamentals for gold thus have much to do with the lessening demand for dollars.

When dollar denominated assets lose value, people ditch dollars. As we have meticulously documented since August (see here ), the subprime mess has been the dollar's worst disaster in the last three decades. The subprime meltdown is now causing supposedly high-quality government sponsored debts to be selling at 70 cents on the dollar (Mad Cow contagion as we call it).

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 19, 2007

Wholesale Credit Creation Benefits Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments


Gold was up $8.40 to $802.90 per ounce in New York yesterday and silver was up 22 cents to $14.03 per ounce. Gold traded sideways in Asia and Europe and the London AM Fix was at $801.50 (up from $796.25).

At the London AM Fix gold was trading at £399.352 GBP (marginally up from yesterday's London AM Fix at £395.67) and €556.83 EUR (up from yesterday's London AM Fix at €553.53 ). Gold has increased in sterling and in euros. The recent record highs for gold at the London AM Fix on the 7th of November were $841.75, £400.47 and €573.55. Gold is thus very close to surpassing it's all time record high in british pounds at £400.47.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 19, 2007

GOLD AND SILVER – Buy Signal Green Flags! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Peter_Degraaf

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“When people see gold and silver shining brightly amidst the battered economic ruins, they will finally realize that the gold bugs were right all along.”

Buy signals are popping up in many places as a result of today's positive action in the metal pits.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 19, 2007

Only Gold Bullion Can Beat the Credit Crunch / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Alex_Wallenwein

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOf course - to any Wall Street power broker, economist, or US policy maker, this headline means the equivalent of “Only Space Aliens Can Halt Teenage Pregnancies”. In other words, it's a total non-sequitur to them.

So what? Who cares about Wall Street, economists, or politicians? Individual investors, business owners, workers, fathers, mothers, and college students, they are the ones who must survive if the United States is to survive the mounting credit collapse more or less intact. Why worry about those who caused the mess?

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 18, 2007

Gold Triangle Pattern Formation to Result in Explosive Breakout / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Dan_Stinson

The price action for Gold appears as a triangle pattern, indicating that an explosive breakout is imminent. This breakout could be to the upside or downside, but we are expecting it to break to the upside. We can let the price action within the triangle tell us which way its going to break.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 18, 2007

Metals Strong on Supply Demand Fundementals / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Gold_Investments

Gold was up $1.50 to $794.50 per ounce in New York yesterday and silver was unchanged at $13.81 per ounce. Gold was flat in Asia but has since rallied in Europe and the London AM Fix was at $796.25.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 18, 2007

Gold False Break Lower to Spook Traders Before Resumption of Bull Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe don't normally look at fundamentals in these Gold Market updates, but it is worth stopping for a moment to consider the implications of the latest stroke of genius announced last week by the Fed in its desperate attempts to prevent a credit crunch, as it has important implications for the price of gold.

Like a magician pulling a rabbit out of a hat, the Fed and foreign central banks announced that they will conjure up $50 billion to inject into the system, which they will generate by selling low interest rate loans for those who like throwing good money after bad, or have no choice but to.

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Commodities

Monday, December 17, 2007

Silver Hit by Dollar Strength - Further Near term Weakness Expected / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the last Silver Market update on 2nd December it was stated that if dollar strength continued as expected, silver could drop below the support zone centered on $14 and head lower towards the next support level in the $13.25 - $13.50 area. Since that time it has held up above the $14 support zone, but it dropped quite sharply late last week on renewed dollar strength and at the time of writing on Sunday 16th it has just broken below this support.

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Commodities

Monday, December 17, 2007

Gold Strength Expected as Global Fiat Financial System Continues to Deteriorate / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold was down $5.50 to $793.10 per ounce in New York Friday and silver was down 28 cents to $13.81 per ounce. Gold opened strongly in Asia but has since sold off and the London AM Fix was at $787.00. At the London AM Fix gold was trading at £391.38 GBP (marginally down from Friday's London AM Fix at £392.18) and €549.08 EUR (up from Friday's London AM Fix at €547.18). Thus while gold has sold off in dollars, it has remained flat in sterling and actually increased in euros.

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Commodities

Sunday, December 16, 2007

Gold and Silver Stocks Looking Bearish - Traders Don't be Fooled by the End of Day Settlement Prices! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Gold ended the week just about where it started but the “feel” of the activity had a decided negative emphasis. Will this week set the pace for the next few months?

Closing Price versus Settlement Price
I have mentioned in the past that I use gold futures to obtain my gold prices used for charts and analysis. I usually use the contract month with the largest trading volume and open interest. When it comes time to change contract months I may go through a little song and dance routine modifying the price to ease into the new price schedule of the new month. This week we had a vivid picture of another feature of futures prices most investors may not be fully aware of. There are really two different “closing” prices. One is referred to as a closing price by the commodities exchange and the other is referred to as a settlement price. I do not consider myself an expert in commodities and futures and have been curious about these two prices. What I found was quite interesting for a technician who likes to have ACTUAL trading prices to work with.

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Commodities

Sunday, December 16, 2007

Worsening Credit Crunch Crisis to Send Gold Soaring and US Dollar Plunging / Commodities / Credit Crunch

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhy are the banks hurting so much?

In the U.K. banks have asked top U.K. corporate clients not to draw on lending facilities to which they are entitled in order to preserve their balance sheets as they approach the financial year-end. The banks are urging some of their biggest clients not to draw on standby credit facilities as the sub-prime crisis and squeeze on interbank lending have affected banks' ability to fund themselves. The problems started with the closure of the commercial paper market as a means of cheap funding for companies in the summer. Banks have to provide standby financing of up to 100% to backstop commercial paper programs.

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Commodities

Sunday, December 16, 2007

Subprime Credit Crisis Far From Over - Precious Metals to Benefit During 2008 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“I've been following a fourth wave triangle consolidation pattern in gold that, as the daily chart below reveals, is still valid. Taking out the 50-day moving average, currently about $784 in the futures, would be a warning sign and indicate a deeper correction to the $759-775 area. Silver also held up well … with the 200-day sma looking like strong support, an intermediate bullish outlook in silver is looking increasingly favorable even as a selloff to $13.50 continues to appear likely.

The Fed will err on the side of caution on Tuesday, likely with a 25 bps cut and … the impetus for explosive new rallies in metals over the short term seems to be lacking unless crisis returns to the financial markets. This is certainly not entirely unlikely between now and next summer, so at least until then one new high in precious metals is likely.” ~ Precious Points: Consolidation in Gold and Silver, December 08, 2007

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Commodities

Sunday, December 16, 2007

Uranium Stocks Momentum Still Bearish / Commodities / Uranium

By: Merv_Burak

Ho-Hum, another day and another bummer. We are getting close to a potential break-out but unfortunately that could be on the down side. The Merv's Daily Uranium Index closed lower by 0.068 points or 1.61%. That may not sound like much but as with water torture little drops on your forehead may not sound like much but after a while it's hell. There were only 9 stocks closing higher on the day while 36 stocks closed lower. 5 stocks remained unchanged. All of the biggies closed lower. Cameco lost 0.4%, Denison lost 1.9%, Paladin lost 3.0%, UEX lost 2.6% and Uranium One lost 1.9%. The best performer on the day was Nuinsco with a miserly 5.5% gain while we had two worst performers, Pele Mountain and UNOR, both with 10.0% losses.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 15, 2007

Crude Oil Demand to Continue Accelerating for Decades - Energy Sector Trends Analysis / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Joseph_Dancy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile we did not see $100 a barrel crude oil in the futures market last month we remain bullish on the energy sector. One of the more interesting charts we happened across last month was from the Oil Drum. It plots global crude oil and natural gas liquid production versus time. (See chart at right)

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Commodities

Saturday, December 15, 2007

Coal and Commodities Bull Markets for Several More Years / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Emanuel_Balarie

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhy coal (and other commodities) should be in your stocking this year ...and the next year ... and the year after that!

For several years now, commodities have garnered attention because of their prolific appreciation. The price of oil has climbed by over $80/barrel during this first stage of this bull market, gold prices have more than tripled in price, and soybeans, corn, wheat and coal have suddenly become part of the investor's vocabulary.  At the same time, however, it seems that while investors are now more familiar with commodities (in the general sense), they are still apprehensive about finally taking the steps to add commodities to their investment portfolios.

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Commodities

Friday, December 14, 2007

Euro Gold Breakout Above Resistance Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDespite Washington and the Fed working fast and furiously to destroy international confidence in the US dollar, it still remains the currency of choice for pricing many international markets. Among these is gold. Regardless of where this metal is mined, it is almost always priced and sold in US dollars.

If you are an American investor, this is great. We have always thought of gold as denominated in dollars and it is hard to imagine any other way of thinking about it. But if you live outside the States, the gold price is a lot more relevant as quoted in your own local currency. Your mind is wired to think in local-currency terms and various investment options are only comparable within this life-long mental framework.

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Commodities

Friday, December 14, 2007

Gold Sell off Due to Dollar Strength on the Encouraging Retail Sales Data / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold was down $14.60 to $798.60 per ounce in New York yesterday and silver was down 55 cents to $14.09 per ounce. Subsequently gold rallied back up to $803 in Asian trading but it has since given up those gains and has gradually traded down in European markets and the London AM Fix was at $796.25. At the London AM Fix gold was trading at £392.18 GBP (down from yesterday's London AM Fix at £396.18) and €547.18 EUR (down from yesterday's London AM Fix at €550.60).

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Commodities

Friday, December 14, 2007

US Dollar Rallies and Gold Fall Ahead of US Inflation Data / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT GOLD MARKET slipped back early Friday from a 1% bounce overnight, dropping to a new six-session low beneath $792 per ounce as the US Dollar rallied towards the Wall Street open.

Asian stock markets ended the week lower, dropping more than 3% from last Friday in Tokyo . Europe 's major bourses reversed early gains to trade flat by lunchtime in London , while US crude oil ticked higher to $92.34 per barrel.

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