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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, January 21, 2008

Precious Metals Consolidation on US 50 Basis Point Interest Rate Cut / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“Now that gold has hit $900, the question becomes whether this magnetic price that played on the yellow metal for weeks, calling it ever upward, will act like $100 has for oil, or will gold break through.  Two factors that tend to indicate gold getting through that resistance level in a matter of weeks if not days, are the difference in the inflation adjusted highs for gold and oil, and the bullishness of the Fed's current rate cutting disposition. It's clear not only will the Fed cut by 50 basis points in January, it will justify … by a view of inflation that overlooks short term measures.” ~ Precious Points: Gold and Inflation , January 11, 2008

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Commodities

Saturday, January 19, 2008

Gold - No Imminent Blow-off Phase / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNow that the sound of cork-popping and other signs of celebrating the New Year, and the new record highs in the price of gold, are dying down, some questions arise the answering of which brooks no delay. How high is high? Is it the nominal price or the so-called ‘real' price of gold that gives us a valid reading of whence we came, where we are, and whither we go? Chrysophobes have already started their dissonant chorus reminding gold bugs that the last time gold was trading at these levels, in January, 1980, it was a sign marking the onset of a bear market taking the price down by more than 75 percent, lasting over twenty years. Goldbugs take comfort in the thought that the previous peak in the price of gold was much higher in “real terms”, so that the current price is not so high after all. However, this begs the question. The previous peak was the result of a blow-off, and further rise from here may make a new blow-off loom large on the horizon, with all the unpleasant consequences.

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Commodities

Friday, January 18, 2008

Silver Set to Outperform Gold - Real Silver Highs 2 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold is definitely not the only commodity enjoying a very happy new year. The strong global investment demand for precious metals has spilled over into silver as well. Just last week, silver soared above $16 for the first time since January 1981! Silver investors are naturally very excited about this dazzling 27-year high.

I am very thankful to be one of the early investors in this secular bull. Silver's bear-market bottom was carved in November 2001 just over $4. That very month I started formally recommending silver bullion as a long-term investment to our newsletter subscribers. Soon after in early 2002 I started investing and speculating in silver stocks. Over the years since, we've been blessed with many awesome realized and unrealized gains in this silver realm.

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Commodities

Friday, January 18, 2008

Gold Correction Has Further Downside Potential / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Once again the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) has attempted an early session rally, but appears to have failed below key near-term resistance at 88.00 -- and has since reversed below 87.00 and now finds itself in an ominous near-term position. As for as my pattern and momentum work is concerned, the GLD still has unfinished business to the downside prior to the completion of the correction that started at the 1/15 high of 90.34. The optimal target zone for the current down-leg is below 85.50.

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Commodities

Friday, January 18, 2008

Uranium Stocks Bearish Chart Signals / Commodities / Uranium

By: Merv_Burak

Boy, there are going to be some good bargains after all this is over, but it's not all over yet. Another bad day at the markets. The Merv's Daily Uranium Index closed lower by 0.158 points or 4.17%. It just feels like things are getting worse every day. There were only 3 stocks that closed higher today while 44 (out of 50) closed lower. There were 3 unchanged. As for the biggies, they all have seen better days. Cameco lost 4.2%, Denison lost 4.0%, Paladin lost 6.2%, UEX lost 4.7% and Uranium One lost 4.0%. The best performer of those three winners was Western Uranium with a 9.4% gain (not bad for a crummy day) while the worst performer was Alberta Star with a loss of 14.7%.

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Commodities

Friday, January 18, 2008

Gold Weak on US Stimulus Package / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES bounced but held inside the week's downtrend early in London on Friday, recording an AM Fix of $872.50 per ounce – the lowest fix in nine sessions.

"Overnight gold traded as low as $870," says today's Gold Market note from Mitsui, "as investors begin to liquidate positions.

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Commodities

Friday, January 18, 2008

Three Reasons To Invest In Agricultural Commodities Now  / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Mary_Rivas

Agricultural commodities surged in 2007. The S&P GSCI agricultural commodities index rose 31% in 2007, its best performance since 1981. Wheat and rice prices, for example, hit record highs as a result of low inventories. Soybean prices soared to a 34-year high while corn prices jumped to an 11-year high.

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Commodities

Friday, January 18, 2008

Indians Selling Gold To Buy Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Alex_Wallenwein

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMineweb.com reported today (January 16, 2008) that Indians are selling gold to buy their country's stocks, allegedly because gold is "so expensive" and, in their view, therefore has little upside. On the other hand, they think that Indian penny stocks allow them to make quick 100 percent profits in the span of only one or two months.

Indian investors are about to learn a lesson in bubble psychology.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 17, 2008

Gold Targeting Decline Towards $850 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The streetTRACKS Gold ETF (AMEX: GLD) looked like it was going to rocket this morning in a flight to quality type of trade. However, a closer look at the near term chart structure argues just the opposite-- that the GLD is very tired, and is in the midst of an initial correction of its near-vertical advance off of the Dec. breakout point just above 78.00. See our chart at MPTrader.com "Markets" section.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 17, 2008

Platinum – The Most Precious and Overlooked Precious Metal / Commodities / Platinum

By: Mark_OByrne


Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhy Platinum Remains a Strong Buy

Introduction - Gold and Silver Investments Limited continue to be bullish on precious metals and bullish on platinum. Platinum has recently hit new record highs at $1590 per ounce along with gold. Even though platinum has surpassed its 1980 high of $1,070 per ounce in nominal terms, it is still only some half the price of its inflation-adjusted high of $2,800 per ounce. We believe this high will be reached in the next 5 to 8 years in this new supply/ demand driven secular bull market in platinum.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 17, 2008

Indian Surge in Gold Demand due to the 'Wealth Effect' / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold continued to sell off yesterday and was down $19.70 to $880.90 per ounce at the close in New York yesterday and silver was down 42 cents to $15.78 per ounce. Normally sell offs are quite sharp and last some 2 to 4 days and therefore some follow through selling may be witnessed. However, the strong fundamentals should result in gold being well supported at previous resistance at $850.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 17, 2008

Gold Rallies on Record ETF Positions / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES for physical bullion ticked higher from their new one-week lows in early European trade on Thursday, moving 0.9% higher to $884 by midday in London .

Government bonds were sold lower as world stock markets bounced for the first time in three days. But 10-year German bund yields remained near 4.0% – the seven-week low hit after European Central Bank member Yves Mersch pointed to "downside risks" to the region's economic growth late on Wednesday.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Gold Tumbles - What's Changed? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"...The long-term trend for Gold Prices won't turn sharply lower until the price of money itself turns sharply higher..."

SO GOLD TOOK A TUMBLE already this week, losing more than $30 an ounce between Tuesday and Wednesday before bouncing...falling...and then bouncing and sliding once more into the London close.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Crude Oil $200 - Smart Investors Stand to Make a Fortune! / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSean Brodrick writes: They say the highway to hell is paved with good intentions. I think the same can be said for the road to $200-a-barrel oil. And the car on that road will be the Nano, the new ultra-cheap vehicle from India's Tata Motors.

See, the Nano will be sold for less than $2,500, which suddenly puts car ownership within reach for a huge slice of India's population.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Silver Elliott Wave Puzzle Could Wipe Out Entire Bull Market Gain / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Roland_Watson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWell, it is not a puzzle really but in the search for a silver exit strategy we occasionally come across rocks in the road which make us wonder "Will this or that happen?"

I always say that fundamental and technical analysis are complementary and not opposing tools in the search for silver and gold profits. The fundamentals point you in the general long term direction but technical analysis helps negotiate the bends and dips on the road.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Gold and Commodities Sell off on Reversal of Recent Trends / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold's expected correction materialised yesterday and gold was down $1.30 to $900.60 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday and silver was down 9 cents to $16.20 per ounce. Gold continued to sell off in Asian and European trading. The London AM Fix was at $881 (down from $904.75 the previous day). Gold also sold off in other major currencies. At the London AM Fix gold was trading at £450.20 (down from £460.76 yesterday) and €595.47 (down from €609.05 yesterday).

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Gold Bounces as Equities Bull Market Sinks on Unwinding of the Carry Trade / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES continued to plunge early in London on Wednesday, dropping 3.8% from Tuesday's high to bounce off $880 per ounce and recover $886 as the US open drew near.

"The latest data shows that net Comex gold [futures] positions and holdings in the physically-backed ETFs have reached to record levels," according to Suki Cooper at Barclays Capital.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Commodities Secular Bull Continues Into 2008 - Many More Years to Run! / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Donald_W_Dony

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe rebirth of the secular bull market of commodities beginning in 2000 can be mainly contributed, first to the cresting and eventual decline of the U.S. dollar and second, the mounting economic expansion of China and India. Combined, these two forces have propelled raw material prices into a long-term uptrend.

The current extended rise in natural resources is best measured against a broad equity market. In Chart 1, the Commodity Research Bureau Index (CRB) and the S&P 500 are compared for performance over the past 12 years. During most of the 1980s and all of the 1990s, paper-based equities (S&P 500) greatly outperformed raw materials (CRB).

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Gold Approaching Mania Stage / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Vaughn

Gold appears to be holding up well. Over 900 an ounce now but most investors are still asleep. What is a “mania?”

“ An abnormally elevated mood state characterized by such symptoms as inappropriate elation, increased irritability, severe insomnia, grandiose notions, increased speed and/or volume of speech, disconnected and racing thoughts, increased sexual desire…” “…inappropriate social behavior.” “Mania is the Greek word for madness.” MedicineNet.com

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Gold Euphoria Points to an Imminent Correction / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Gold's explosive start of year move has been enjoyed by all. Has it been over enjoyed? Fundamentals of the U.S. dollar did not suddenly get worse on the first day of the year.

Current euphoria in the Gold market may have been over done. One way of assessing that possibility is to compare the Gold price of the dollar to what is happening to the value of the dollar in other national monies. In the chart below, the red line is the Gold price of the U.S. dollar. It is how much Gold is required to purchase a single dollar, and is measured in ounces. The calculation is 1 divided by the dollar price of Gold. When that red line is falling, the dollar price of Gold is rising. When rising, dollar price of Gold is falling.

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