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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, November 26, 2007

Precious Metals Bull Market - Why Silver Is About To Take Over For Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Captain_Hook

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US Dollar ($) is losing its global reserve currency status, and the rate at which this is occurring is accelerating in direct proportion to easy money policy of the Fed. As with the $'s reaction to the Fed's policy decision, any further administered rate cuts will be met with an accelerating decline in the $, along with unfavorable and opposite reactions in market rates. This is why gold was able to slice through $800 easily Friday, because the commercial shorts (banks) are the same people who are exposed to trillions of Structured Investment Vehicles (SIV's), Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO's), and various other forms of toxic waste; and they are discovering a direct bailout may not be forthcoming. This in turn cranks up the need for even easier money policies of course, which is why neither gold nor the $ ever correct much on trend, and is a condition that will be with us for some time considering the banks have only come clean with approximately 5-percent of their true exposures to toxic debt. This is why gold could vault to $1,000 and beyond by Christmas.

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Commodities

Monday, November 26, 2007

Gold Surges in European Trading to $835 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold
Gold surged $26.90 to $824.60 per ounce in New York on Friday and silver was up 35 cents to $14.74 per ounce. Gold's safe haven qualities were again in evidence and gold was up nearly 5% for the week. Gold has since moved upwards in Asia and European trading and is at $835.50 per ounce at 1200 GMT. Gold also surged in euro, British pounds and other currencies and is trading near new record all time highs in pounds and euro at £403 GBP (up from £387 on Thursday) and €561 EUR (up from €541 on Thursday).

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Commodities

Monday, November 26, 2007

Gold Breaks New Record Highs vs. Sterling and Aussie Dollar as Bear Market Looms for Global Stock Markets / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES leapt in early trade Monday, gaining nearly 0.9% in the first hour of London trade to reach an 11-session high of $836 per ounce.

For British investors, Gold Priced in Pounds Sterling broke a new all-time record high above £404 per ounce, gaining 6.9% from its three-week low of midnight last Monday.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 25, 2007

Gold Long-term Bull Market Uptrend Remains Intact / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

It was a shortened week but still a good one. A bounce off the intermediate term moving average line places gold in a good position to continue the rally.

GOLD : LONG TERM
The rally since August had reached the initial projection of $840 a few weeks ago and the new target is now $915. After reaching that initial projection gold reacted lower for a couple of weeks but bounced back to the up side this past week. As seen on the intermediate term chart, gold bounced off its intermediate term moving average line, still far above its long term line. Although the long term P&F chart has reversed its plotting direction it is still far away from reversing its bullish trend.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 24, 2007

Long-Term Trends in Global Natural Gas and Crude Oil Supply and Demand Point to Much Higher Prices / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Joseph_Dancy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe energy consulting firm of Groppe Long & Littell made a presentation to the Kansas Independent Oil & Gas Association last month on the outlook for the energy sector. Two charts prepared by that firm are worth reviewing:

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Commodities

Friday, November 23, 2007

Rush to Gold as Global Banking Crisis Unfolds / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

This week saw the $ cross the $1.48 line to the € heading for $1.50 after the U.S. markets closed for Thanksgiving. It then bounced after the London market had opened on Friday. We do expect a bounce, but not for long as a secondary phase of the crisis comes into play. What crisis, you may well ask? It is the sub-prime crisis/credit crunch/$ crisis as it spreads into the global economy [as well as inside the U.S. of A.]

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Commodities

Friday, November 23, 2007

Gold Peaked, Euro Peaking, Dollar Rallying / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Not only does my work tell me that the GLD (Gold ETF) has peaked, it also is telling me the Euro may have hit a signficant high, and is ripe for a significant downside correction, which will pressure the gold as well...Today's conspicuous test of 150.00 is followed by what so far represents a key downside reversal amidst very significant momentum failures to confirm new highs since the 1.4600 area. Caution is the watch-word for the euro vs dollar now, which should impact gold prices negatively in the days ahead.

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Commodities

Friday, November 23, 2007

Gold Drops 1% from Sudden Spike as US Dollar Bounces from New Record Lows / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

STRONG BUYING late in the late Asian session on Friday drove Gold Prices to a series of one-week highs as the US Dollar sank to new all-time lows vs. the Euro before suddenly putting in its fastest rally in a month.

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Commodities

Friday, November 23, 2007

Will the Gold Bull Market Deflate? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Alex_Wallenwein

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOf course not. Ever tried deflating a balloon that hasn't been blown up yet? Kind of hard to do, isn't it?

When we think and talk about things, we often unknowingly accept and attach misleading labels to them, without giving it any thought at all. It's sort of a "garbage in, garbage out" principle. We accept a label others have unthinkingly given a subject, and then we run with it, which means by necessity that we are misapplying it.

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Commodities

Friday, November 23, 2007

Energy Prices Continue Long-term Upward Trend / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Joseph_Dancy

As we have noted for several years now the supply and demand balance for both crude oil and natural gas remains bullish for energy sector investors. Last month the following events occurred in the sector that are of interest to investors:

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Commodities

Thursday, November 22, 2007

Poor, Poor Investors & Analysts Who Have Blinders On To Real Inflation Adjusted Returns / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Investmentscore.com

As an investment, we do not favor gold and silver over US stocks or US stocks over gold and silver, but rather we believe that all investments are cyclical and that recognizing and investing in the long term trend is the key. However, in our opinion bypassing the distorting effects of inflation for a clearer perspective of the markets real performance is the secret.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 22, 2007

Gold Holds Steady as Base Metals Plunge & Oil Slips on Paulson's US Home-Loan Default Warning / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES traded in a $4 range around $803 an ounce in London Thursday morning, as global stock markets struggled to end three weeks of losses and crude oil slipped further away from $100 per barrel.

Ahead of the long holiday weekend in the US – starting with today's New York shutdown for Thanksgiving – equity markets in Asia lost another 0.6% on average today, led down by a 2.3% loss in Hong Kong .

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 21, 2007

Commodities Supercycle Metals and Mining's Merger Mania! / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSean Brodrick writes:Australian mining giant BHP Billiton's stunning $149 billion bid for rival Rio Tinto — a combination that would control more than one-third of the world's iron sales — shows what we'll likely see in natural resources for at least the next 12 to 18 months — merger and acquisition activity escalating into a frenzy.

Already, a five-year rally in metals prices has spurred more than 1,448 takeover offers in the mining industry (with a value of about $185.7 billion) in just the past 12 months!

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 21, 2007

Gold Dumps $12 Per Ounce After 4.5% Surge as Dollar Hits Crisis; Change in Oil's Currency Regime Now "Inevitable" / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT GOLD MARKET dumped more than $12 an ounce in London on Wednesday morning after peaking at $807.45 late in the Asian session – nearly 4.5% above Tuesday's low.

This wild volatility hit Gold Prices as world stock markets plunged, the US Dollar sank to new all-time lows, and crude oil came within 71¢ of $100 per barrel.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 21, 2007

Agricultural Commodities Sector Remains Attractive: 'A Sense of Panic' / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Joseph_Dancy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe continue to add to positions that should benefit from a strong global agricultural sector. Like the mining and energy sector, long term capital investments in this sector have lagged, especially in light of growing global demand for grains. 

Recent events have occurred in the sector which are of interest to investors:

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 21, 2007

Uranium Stocks Maintain Bearish Intermediate Term Trend / Commodities / Uranium

By: Merv_Burak

I guess we should give thanks for small mercies. That's one up day in a row, maybe we can go for two. The Merv's Daily Uranium Index closed higher by 0.051 points or 1.18%. In uranium terms that's not so hot. Of the 50 component stocks we had 20 that closed higher, 24 that closed lower and 6 that were unchanged. Of the five largest stocks by market value, Cameco gained 2.2%, Denison gained 0.1%, Paladin lost 0.3%, UEX gained 1.8% and Uranium One gained 1.0%. Quaterra was the best daily performer with a gain of 19.7% while Titan Uranium was the worst with a loss of 9.3%.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 21, 2007

Gold in Second Gear - US Fed Out of Gas! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Alex_Wallenwein

As observed in August , gold has broken out of its first gear and ratcheted into second gear back in early 2006, not long before its top for that year. Although it broke down in May of '06, it has steadfastly remained atop its then-established bottom trendline, which was the upper limit of the bull market's "first gear" stage.

When the August "Gold Uptrend" article was published, this second gear was merely a possibility, based on the latter observation (i.e., that it never dipped significantly below its former uptrend ceiling. The recent top near $850/oz last Friday has now confirmed that formerly theoretical second gear stage as a valid second trend channel piggybacking right on top of the first gear stage.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 21, 2007

GOLD THOUGHTS - Gold is in a Structural Bull Market - Buy On Corrections / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

So, OPEC finally figured out what the western world has been doing to them. Oil producers have been swapping oil for green pieces of paper. Suddenly, they discovered the intrinsic value of those green pieces of paper, the market value of the paper and ink. Only governments can take paper, cover it with ink, and make it worthless.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 20, 2007

Gold Price Experiencing Extreme Volatility / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Vaughn

Gold is showing extreme volatility now and consolidating after its tremendous gains of the past month.

I have told not to be too bullish and I feel I am about as balanced as I can be. Of course short term I never attempt to speculate. But long term I see a great deal of volatility. And short term I see a great deal of volatility. Already we are observing price movements of 25 dollars and more in a single 24 hour period.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 20, 2007

Gold Continues to Tumble Despite US Dollar Weakness / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold
Gold was down $8.90 to $776.50 per ounce in New York yesterday and silver was down 31 cents to $14.12 per ounce. Gold has since moved upwards in Asia and European trading and is at $790.10 per ounce at 1130 GMT. It has thus recovered much of the ground lost yesterday. Gold is trading at £382 GBP (from £387 on Friday) and €534 EUR (down from €541 on Friday).

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