Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, July 20, 2009
Seven Myths About Gold Debunked, Bubble Bursting Warning Target $600? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
A bubble is when prices gets distorted from fundamentals by speculation, fear, market manipulation...etc; they are different from cycles which are the natural trade-off and re-adjustment of supply and demand; the difference is that bubbles pop (The Seven Immutable Laws of Bubbles: Example, Housing Markets in USA, UK & Duba). The problem with understanding gold is it's hard to work out the fundamentals, which explains why there are so many myths about it.
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Monday, July 20, 2009
Precious Metal Storage......Industry Leader is Leaving the Individual Storage Business / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
When an industry leader offers exceptionally low rates for storing precious metals it is easy to become complacent to the real costs associated with storage. Part of a successful storage program is to offer a service that is competitively priced without sacrificing safety. If the program’s expenses do not meet their incoming revenue, a decision has to be made. What many large depositories are finding out is that the old depository model for storing precious metals is simply unprofitable. The costs associated with storage and insurance are only rising. Some large depositories are raising their fees and others are walking away.
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Monday, July 20, 2009
Correlations between Commodity Trading Advisors & Trend Follwers / Commodities / Commodities Trading
A question I encounter often is, what are the correlations between your trading and other commodity trading advisors. More so…what makes you different.. Both are great questions..First in my opinion out of the thousands of commodity trading advisors, I would only consider diversified trend followers. This cuts out the options strategies that I have seen too often blow up.
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Monday, July 20, 2009
GOLD Analysis and Trading Strategy for 20th July 2009 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold in USD (1 ounce = US$936,70
- Compared to the price two weeks ago nothing much has happened in the goldmarket. After a short drop down to 905US$ Gold moved up again to the rising 50d MA (US$ 938,03). Short covering, a weaker dollar and the strong rally in the broader stock market were responsible for the US$35 gain in the last 5 trading sessions.
Monday, July 20, 2009
Commodities Trading Analysis for Gold, Silver, Crude Oil and Natural Gas / Commodities / Commodities Trading
The rising tide lifts all boats, and that is exactly what we saw last week. Gold, silver, oil, natural gas, and stocks all put in a solid bounce last week.
All our funds put in solid moves with GLD, SLV and GDX all breaking out of their down trend channels which is bullish. While they have generated breakout buy signals we continue to wait for more price action to unfold before putting our hard earned money to work. Each of these funds currently have over 3% down side risk so no position will be taken at this time.
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Monday, July 20, 2009
China Surging Money Supply a Strong Driver for Inflation and Commodities / Commodities / CRB Index
Honest Money Gold & Silver Report - According to the data published by the People's Bank of China on July 15, the broad money supply (M2) expanded more than 2 trillion Yuan in June alone, to 56.89 trillion Yuan. That’s an increase of 7.28 trillion so far this year (14.6%) and a year on year increase of 28%.
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Sunday, July 19, 2009
Gold and Silver Rose Rapidly Along With Most Stocks, But Is The Bottom Already In? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
One way to make a killing in gold is to forgo blueberry picking. I read an article in this week’s New York Times about two Swedish grandmothers who found, what experts say, may be one of the richest gold deposits in Europe. The blueberry crop failed that summer, so instead of looking for blueberries, as they did every summer, these amateur geologists went prospecting around their small village.
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Sunday, July 19, 2009
What is Golds Current Trading Range? - Video Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
In today's video we'll be looking at gold.
One of the nice features about MarketClub is the fact that we have real-time gold prices. If you're going to be trading or looking at gold (XAUUSDO) you need real-time prices.
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Sunday, July 19, 2009
Crude Oil Price Collapse Portends of Larger Monumental Rise / Commodities / Crude Oil
There is little known or written about the reason why crude oil was required to undergo a monumental collapse similar to a huge dive. This monumental collapse portends an even bigger and more monumental rise. In jest i would like to call this reason “the rule of rosen.” However, i know better than to usurp in any way those forces that are far more powerful than any mortal or collection of mortals.
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Saturday, July 18, 2009
Gold Bullish Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The trend started to look good at the beginning of the week but petered out by week-end. Now, what’s next? Well, despite what I might have mentioned last week we just might be setting up a reverse head and shoulder pattern. Read about it in the short term section.
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Friday, July 17, 2009
Silver, the Metal of Hope / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Recently I was asked to do an interview with Philip Judge of The Anglo Far-East Company.
After the interview was completed, Mr. Judge sent our interview out with a short story called "THE METAL OF HOPE."
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Friday, July 17, 2009
The Gold Stocks Are Still Undervalued / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Even after a massive recovery with sustained gains the gold stocks are still significantly undervalued. At the major highs of Gold $1030/oz and HUI 520, the costs to these companies were very high. Oil was high, steel was high and because of general inflation most costs were escalating. Now we have Gold 940, and HUI 350, but Oil and Steel are much lower.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 17, 2009
Plunging CCI Resulting in Cheap Commodities on False Bearish Prognostications / Commodities / CRB Index
Commodities have had a rough go lately, especially before this week. You couldn’t open a financial newspaper or turn on CNBC without seeing endless bearish prognostications for raw materials’ prices. Ongoing global economic fears led to the widespread belief that commodities are doomed to grind lower.
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Friday, July 17, 2009
Gold Breaking Out To the Upside / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The week is beginning with some major changes in equities, treasury bonds and commodity prices. Starting on Monday, Gold started significant move to the upside, turning both short and intermediate term charts bullish:
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Friday, July 17, 2009
Gold Remains Stable as Global Stock Markets Tick Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
THE PRICE OF PHYSICAL GOLD slipped into the New York opening on Friday, easing back $2 from a London AM Gold Fix of $934.50 an ounce as global stock markets ticked higher for the fourth session this week.
Crude oil held onto Thursday's bounce above $62 per barrel. US government debt prices rose, pushing the yield on 10-year Treasuries down to 3.45%.
Friday, July 17, 2009
Gold Tight Trading Amidst Swine Flu Pandemic Fears / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold continues to trade between $932/oz and $939/oz as it has done since Wednesday. The precious metals market may take direction from US corporate results today. Despite the ramifications of a possible bankruptcy by CIT Group, the commercial lender, US stocks closed near their highs for the year following a late rally.
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Friday, July 17, 2009
Soft Commodities Trading, Sugar Strength May Be Sapping / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
Sugar is one of the Softs that has been performing very well over the last few weeks. However, certain bull targets have been reached/exceeded and we are looking closer now for a pullback phase.
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Friday, July 17, 2009
How to Protect Your Wealth With Commodity Trading / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Everyone is concerned these days on how to protect their net wealth. Nothing is safe. Leaving your money…regardless if it is British pounds ( which fell from the low 2.00 to 1.60s to the US dollar), the US dollar or even Eurodollars ( do to a breakup in the EU). So far the specter of inflation has not come to life.
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Thursday, July 16, 2009
The Long-term Crude Oil Bull Market / Commodities / Crude Oil
The outlook for oil seems to be brightening amid scant new reserve discoveries and declining reserves at the world's large oil fields. "We believe we're in a fundamentally positive market for oil in the 21st century," says Art Smith, president of Triple Double Advisors, who anticipates oil moving back into the three-digit price range within three to five years. In this exclusive interview with The Energy Report, the 35-year veteran of oil analysis shares his knowledge of energy markets and reveals some of his own investment strategies.
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Thursday, July 16, 2009
With Inflation on the Horizon, Gold Prices are Ready to Rocket / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Jason Simpkins writes: With the global economy on the mend, could gold be gearing up for another record-setting run? It sure looks that way. After peaking north of the $1,000 per ounce price level last year, gold hit a stumbling block when deflationary fears in the world's largest economy sucked the air out of commodities prices and sent hoards of investors stampeding into the safe-haven of U.S. Treasuries, and helped spawn a rebound in the U.S. dollar. Since that time, the global economic outlook - especially beyond U.S. borders - has improved, and gold prices have stabilized. The next step - many gold bulls say - is for the yellow metal to make a run for new highs.
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