Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, May 28, 2015
Ongoing Battles In Markets And Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: SecularInvestor
2015 has been an unusual year characterized by directionless markets. The U.S. stock market has barely moved since December / January, precious metals and copper are trading at the same prices as on the first days of the year, and we see a similar picture in most grains. Bonds in the U.S. are trading at the same level as half a year ago. Only a few soft commodities are significantly lower for the year.
The most prominent “winners” so far in 2015 are the U.S. dollar and stocks in Europe, Japan and China. The inflationary effect of weakening currencies has driven most stock markets higher, except for those in the U.S.
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Wednesday, May 27, 2015
Gold Price Has Bottomed – More Evidence / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
Prominent analysts have announced often and persistently that gold will drop to $1,000, $850, and even below $500. Mainstream media, “gold-bashers,” and banks encourage the “gold is going lower” meme. But gold is real money, in contrast to the paper stuff that is valuable only as long as people, businesses, and countries retain confidence that it will devalue, but only slowly. The world runs on paper and digital fiat currencies so don’t expect banks, central banks, or western governments to encourage or support gold.
Wednesday, May 27, 2015
Gold Is “100% Guarantee from Legal and Political Risks” States Russian Central Bank / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
- Gold is a “100% guarantee from legal and political risks”
- Russia’s central bank buys another 300,000 ounces in April
- Russia views its overseas assets as vulnerable
- ‘De-dollarisation’ continues across Asia
- Gold offers protection from growing risks today
Russia’s central bank once again increased its gold holdings substantially in April. They added another 300,000 ounces to their existing stockpile bringing the total up to 40.1 million ounces (see chart below).
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Wednesday, May 27, 2015
Gold Has Two Major Hurdles to Overcome / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Bob_Kirtley
Background
Gold has 2 major hurdles to overcome and they are as follows:
1. Interest rate rises in the US
2. Money printing by other nations, Japan, UK, Europe, etc.
Both support the US$ and put downward pressure on gold.
Tuesday, May 26, 2015
Crude Oil Price Stochastic Signals / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions with a stop-loss order at $65.23 are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
The Stochastic indicator is quite a popular tool for commodity traders (including those interested in trading crude oil and precious metals) and it is not without a reason. This indicator has proven itself many times as something that can really indicate the next move in the market – however, it has to be applied carefully, as not all ways in which it works are really profitable. We have just seen 2 signals from this important indicator – one bullish (based on daily closing prices) and one bearish (based on weekly closing prices). Which should one focus on?
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Tuesday, May 26, 2015
Gold and the Suicidal Credit-Based Money System / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
Bill Bonner wrote a hypothetical college graduation speech which he did not present. What he would have said included:
“You are heirs to claptrap, nonsense, bogus theories, and trillions of dollars in debt.
The systems, programs, and institutions your parents set up are mostly worthless scams. Worse, they produce outcomes contrary to their stated goals.
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Tuesday, May 26, 2015
Introduction to Peak Food / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
Your high-tech toy watch won't buy you an egg. To date, the U.S. is on course to destroy 40,721,073 birds, mainly laying hens. Yes, elves at USDA do like precision in their numbers. Those birds are the casualty of pathogenic avian influenza outbreak. Despite the state of today's technology, eggs still come from chickens not from factories or 3-D printers. And eggs are not the only Agri- Commodity that has defied both technology and conventional wisdom. By the way, U.S. egg prices are up 120% or more in the past month.
Tuesday, May 26, 2015
Silver is a Special Metal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Aden_Forecast
It always has been. And on a value basis, it's also a good buy. Silver has been chugging more than gold but once it pops up, it could take off like a bandit.
There are many reasons why silver will go higher and it's just a matter of time. And as our dear friend Richard Russell points out, JP Morgan is aggressively accumulating physical silver by the hundreds of millions of ounces.
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Monday, May 25, 2015
China Sets Up Gold Bullion Fund For Central Banks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
- China’s new gold fund – 60 countries to develop gold mining projects
- Allow member central banks to have easier access to gold
- Gold to be traded on increasingly important Shanghai Gold Exchange
- Another important step in making yuan reserve currency
- China and Russia challenging U.S. dominance in key Eurasia
- New gold fund shows monetary importance placed on gold by China
- China ensuring supply in event gold flows from West to East end
- Gold’s reemergence as important monetary asset both for individuals and powerful nations
Monday, May 25, 2015
Is The Silver Trade Getting Crowded? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dan_Norcini
That is the question I am asking myself today after having some time to analyze its Commitments of Traders report.
Here is the Daily Silver chart:
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Sunday, May 24, 2015
Gold : Truth is Stranger than Fiction / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Rambus_Chartology
Below is a combo chart that has gold on top and silver on the bottom. This chart goes back to the bull market top for both gold and silver and the bear market that ensued. Silver topped out in April of 2013 with gold topping out in September of the same year. Their first bear market consolidation patterns were rectangles and both broke down at the same time. From that initial low in June of 2013 they both started to form consolidation patterns and that’s where they parted ways. Silver built out a 15 month 6 point triangle consolidation pattern before it broke down. The bottom rail of the 6 point triangle consolidation pattern has held resistance for nine months or so. The first thing that would get me excited about silver would be if it could take out the apex of the blue triangle above 18.65. Below the apex bearish and above bullish.
Saturday, May 23, 2015
What You Know for Certain - Huge Demand for Gold And Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Michael_Noonan
If there is any certainty in the world, [and there is very little], it is that the demand for gold and silver is at its highest and has been running at a fevered pitch for several years. From John Keats "Ode On A Grecian Urn," "...that is all ye know on earth, and all ye need to know." Anything else stems from subjective conclusions drawn from lying politicians, no matter the source or government. They all lie under the aegis of political diplomacy. For Obama and his entire administration there is very little diplomacy, so mostly just lies.
Saturday, May 23, 2015
Gold Miners Fail at 200-day Moving Average / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Last week we wrote that the precious metals complex had not broken out yet and had more work to do before it could attempt a true breakout. The metals had some more upside and so did the shares. However, the poor performance of the shares this past week could warn of a larger reversal.
Saturday, May 23, 2015
Gold Price Primary Driver Bullish / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold has been fairly volatile so far this year, seeing plenty of big daily surges and selloffs. But with all these largely netting out to the sideways grind of recent months, gold’s price action has been frustrating for bullish and bearish traders alike. Gaming gold in these strange central-bank-distorted times requires closely watching its primary driver, the collective bets of American futures speculators. They portend a rally.
Just last week, the venerable World Gold Council published its latest comprehensive analysis of global gold supply and demand. The intersection of these core fundamentals ultimately determines prevailing gold price levels. And since bringing new gold mines online takes well over a decade, supply levels only change very gradually. So gold prices are mostly determined by the shifting tides on the demand side.
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Friday, May 22, 2015
BitGold - Imitation Is the Sincerest Form of Flattery / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Peter_Schiff
To hear BitGold founders Joshua Crumb or Roy Sebag talk about their new company, one would think they came up with the idea of individuals transacting in gold or using a debit card to access their gold holdings on their own. While I agree it’s a good idea, it’s certainly not original.
I first began writing about this concept in my 2007 book, “Crash Proof: How to Profit from the Coming Economic Collapse”. I put it into effect with the establishment of my offshore bank, Euro Pacific Bank. In fact, BitGold is simply hoping to expand on my existing platform, which expanded on concepts first pioneered by e-gold and GoldMoney (which BitGold just purchased using its vastly overpriced stock).
Friday, May 22, 2015
Gold and Silver Rally Consolidates / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Alasdair_Macleod
Gold and silver rallied strongly last Friday and into Monday's overnight trading (UK time) before spending the rest of the week drifting lower from initial highs to consolidate above notional support at $1200 and $17 respectively. As of first thing this morning, UK time in US dollars gold is now up 2.2% and silver 10.2% on the year.
Friday, May 22, 2015
Gold Lifeboat to Global Economies “Titanic Problem” Warn HSBC / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
-“The world economy is like an ocean liner without lifeboats …” – HSBC
- Four areas of high risk identified by HSBC
- Risk of stock market crash
- Pension funds and insurers may not meet obligations
- Chinese recession may drag U.S. into recession or depression
- Premature rate rise would expose very fragile global economy
- “There aren’t enough lifeboats to go round”
- Gold vital lifeboat when global ship strikes iceberg
Thursday, May 21, 2015
New World Currency Backed By Gold or Silver? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Chris_Vermeulen
History has proven that 100% of fiat currencies have failed the test of time. The average life span of a fiat currency is 40-50 years. With the US dollar now in it’s 44th year it makes you wonder if the end of the greenback is near.
The only money that has held the test of time has been asset-backed currencies using gold. Or through owning gold and silver bullion.
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Thursday, May 21, 2015
Gold “Less Sexy” Than Bitcoin … For Now - GoldCore on CNBC / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
- “There is a global financial bubble”
– Stock markets and bond markets at all time record highs
– Medium to long term, gold’s “fundamentals look very sound”
Thursday, May 21, 2015
This Innovation Will Help U.S. Companies Win The Oil Price War / Commodities / Oil Companies
By: OilPrice_Com
Although some US oil companies are struggling with low oil prices, a new wave of innovation is hitting the oil patch, allowing for a significant reduction in drilling costs.A variety of different improvements in production are starting to show up at all levels across the industry from small firms to oil majors. Statoil for example recently noted that it is experimenting with different types of sand and chemicals to improve production. And a number of companies have noted that they are moving from drilling wells one at a time, on an ad hoc basis, to drilling multiple wells at once. GE Oil & Gas has produced variable-use pumps that can be turned on and off in order to save energy versus the previous 24-hour a day operation cycle.
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