Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, December 14, 2009
Orange Juice Futures 2010 Commodity Trade Setup / Commodities / Futures Trading
In this weekly issue, The J.E.D.I. Way will be covering price trends in the Futures, and Futures Options Markets for the long-term, intermediate-term, and short-term time periods for the MARCH 2010 ORANGE JUICE contract and then list one or more trading opportunities that The J.E.D.I. Way will be seeking to add to its current holdings.
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Sunday, December 13, 2009
Gold Long-term Performance Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
How has gold performed in the 42 years since 1967 when it last traded at a fixed price of $35 in the US?
Let’s look at it versus the total return of the S&P 500, the total return of 1-yr T-Bills, West Texas Intermediate Crude and the Urban Consumers All Items Consumer Price Index?
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Sunday, December 13, 2009
Silver Rising Bearish Wedge Price Pattern / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
A bizarre anomaly of gold's recent strong runup was the unusually poor performance of silver, which normally outpaces gold noticably during the middle and later stages of an uptrend. It did not gain any serious traction and is already back below its September peak. The fact that it did not even manage to break out to new highs is taken as a non-confirmation of gold's move, as is the failure of the PM stock indices to make new highs, and is viewed as bearish for the sector over the intermediate-term, meaning the coming 2 to 6 months.
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Sunday, December 13, 2009
Gold Approaching Important Support and U.S. Dollar Bullish Wedge Pattern / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The last update posted on the 29th November called a top in gold, which occurred just a few days later. This was actually quite easy to do given the overbought extreme that then existed and the fervour of bullishness spilling over into the mainstream financial media. Gold has since reacted back heavily and our task now is to decide whether this is just a reaction in an ongoing and possibly still accelerating uptrend, or whether it marks an intermediate top, or worse the onset of a full-blown bearmarket.
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Sunday, December 13, 2009
Financial and Commodity Bubbles Everywhere? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The financial markets are generally unpredictable, so one has to have different scenarios. The idea that you can actually predict what’s going to happen contradicts my way of looking at the market – GEORGE SOROS
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Sunday, December 13, 2009
Agriculture Investing, Everybody Has to Eat / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
“If you can tell me something else where the fundamentals are so attractive…I’d be happy to put my money there, but I don’t know of any other place” – JIM ROGERS ON AGRICULTURE
It sure seems like gold and oil have stolen the limelight when it comes to commodities lately.
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Sunday, December 13, 2009
How to Trade Precious Metal Stocks Right Now / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Matt Badiali writes: When you're sending out your Christmas cards this month, gold and silver stock investors should send one to Beijing.
The people of China have helped gold and silver stock investors (and readers of my S&A Resource Report) make a lot of money this year. And they've helped make several of my predictions turn out right on the money.
Saturday, December 12, 2009
Gold Correction, When Will it Bottom? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
The rough period in gold is upon us. Now the question is for how long? I’ll let others answer that question. I’ll just follow the action wherever it takes me. For now that is the down side but it does look like a slight bottoming taking place.
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Saturday, December 12, 2009
Sell Your Gold Only IF You Want to Lose Money! / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Something about gold just makes people irrational. The latest meme making the rounds in the mainstream media is that gold is a bad investment over the longer term. A couple of radio hosts asked me about it, and even Bloomberg ran a story on this earlier this week, saying that gold can’t beat the returns on a checking account over the last 30 years. The rest of the story was about while hedge fund managers are buying gold, it’s a poor investment for regular folks.
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Saturday, December 12, 2009
Jim Rogers Says Gold Not a Bubble, Silver a Better Buy / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Commodities are still a great place to invest, while some currencies also offer value and investors should stay away from US stocks and bonds, Jim Rogers, chairman of Jim Rogers Holding, told CNBC Thursday.
Rogers has long been bullish on commodities, especially since central banks started to print money to combat the financial crisis.
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Friday, December 11, 2009
Safeguarding Our Future Supply of Rare Earth Metals / Commodities / Metals & Mining
"Price may not be as important as security of supply," says Jack Lifton, an independent consultant with more than 45 years of experience in sourcing nonferrous strategic metals. In the U.S., our dependence on rare metals is undermined by the simple fact that we're not producing any. Given that China now controls 95% of these 'technology metals' and the world is projected to eat 200,000 tons of rare earth metals near 2015, Jack tells The Gold Report we need to jumpstart our own domestic supply chain and, more importantly, build the refineries to process them—rather than sending them to China for refining, which is our only option currently.
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Friday, December 11, 2009
Has Gold Lost Its Glitter Again? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Periodically through the bull market for gold that began in 2001, after gold has rallied significantly off an intermediate-term low the media belatedly picks up on what has happened and becomes very excited about gold and its prospects. That’s usually an indication that the intermediate-term move is just about over, with one more spike up created by additional investors getting caught up in the media’s excitement, and jumping in.
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Friday, December 11, 2009
Gold is Money in Extreme Times, Have They Now Arrived? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
It was Alan Greenspan who said that, “gold is money in extremis”. By this all understood that when times got tough, gold became money that people could trust. But what constitutes “in extremis”?
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Friday, December 11, 2009
A Hot Future for Geothermal Energy / Commodities / Renewable Energy
Capturing energy from the earth’s heat is pretty easy pickin’s for geologically-active areas of the world like Iceland, Indonesia, and Chile. In some locations, hot fluids are so near the earth’s surface that heat from naturally-occurring hot fluids can be directly circulated through buildings for heating. Iceland, in particular, takes advantage of this low-hanging energy fruit.
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Friday, December 11, 2009
Gold Brutal Sell off Over or Just Beginning? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Gold fell almost 5% last Friday to below $1,160 an ounce on the latest “positive” jobs data. Tuesday, gold futures fell for a third straight session as worries about credit problems in Greece and Dubai helped the U.S. dollar extend gains. This clearly is the beginning of the gold correction that I have been predicting for weeks (Market Alerts about exiting positions were sent on Nov 27th and Nov 30th).
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Friday, December 11, 2009
Gold and the Last Real American Dollar / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Every now and then there are extraordinary events that occur that end up shaping the world for many years to come. The Lincoln and JFK assassinations come to mind. More recently, 39 years ago (Dec 8 1980), John Lennon was gunned down in front of his own house. In many ways, the generation that grew up with him, grew up that night. As he eloquently put in his post Beatles album, "The Dream is Over." For that generation it was.
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Friday, December 11, 2009
GLD ETF and Fake Gold Conspiracy Theories / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
As the world’s second-largest exchange-traded fund, and sixth-largest holder of gold bullion, the GLD gold ETF has grown into a juggernaut. GLD’s mounting popularity among stock-market investors and speculators has made it one of the most powerful forces in the global gold markets. This ETF’s success is all the more remarkable considering it was born just 5 years ago, its rise to prominence has been meteoric.
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Friday, December 11, 2009
China Buying Gold, The Big Story / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Squinting at the gold news from China, both official and private...
CHINA'S LATEST SLEW of positive data "raises the prospect" of Beijing tightening its easy money and fiscal policies, or so the newswires claim. Currency strategist Steven Barrow at Standard Bank adds that China could be more significant for global liquidity than the United States, too.
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Friday, December 11, 2009
Nuclear Power, the Real Money to be Made in Copenhagen Conference / Commodities / Energy Resources
More than 1,200 limos, 140 private jets, and an additional 40,000 tons of carbon dioxide have converged on the Danish capital of Copenhagen this week to “save the world” from climate change.
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Friday, December 11, 2009
Gold and Crude Oil Seasonal Analysis / Commodities / Seasonal Trends
Over the course of the past three months, gold has taken the lead from the crude oil market is a normal autumn seasonal pattern. Granted, Oil held up longer than usual and gold rallied longer, but the seasonal trends are still playing.
Let's look at the gold market first, as it has been front and center. A lot of investors shun gold but a hard look at the commodity market shows that it is one of the lesser volatile commodities. As far as a bubble goes, gold is nowhere near the price appreciations seen in other commodities like copper, sugar, cocoa, orange juice and a host of others.
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