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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, May 27, 2008

Leverage Alternatives for Junior Mining Shares / Commodities / Options & Warrants

By: Dudley_Baker

Investing in the junior mining shares over the last year or two has been considered risky at best and perhaps insanity by some investors. So, why would we be looking for leverage on the junior mining sector when the shares and the mining indices are hardly keeping up with the price of the bullion, gold or silver? Why not just purchase gold or silver? The simple answer is that many analysts believe the juniors will eventually break out and greatly out perform (as they have historically) and will reward investors beyond their dreams. Currently, there are signs of a bottom forming and thus it is a great time to discuss different forms of leverage for those investors willing to take on slightly more risk than merely purchasing the junior mining shares.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 27, 2008

Importance of Covariance between Agri-Food Prices and Gold / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Prices are influenced by two forces. Inflation, caused by monetary expansion, is an increase in the general price level. That influence is felt directly though domestic prices rising and through a depreciating national money forcing imported prices higher. Additionally, prices on a relative basis can change. In the Agri-Food sector both influences have been felt. Prices for Agri-Food commodities have moved higher on a relative basis as a massive global demand shift has occurred.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 27, 2008

Cyclical Corrections In Secular Trends  / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Captain_Hook

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThat is what is happening right now in stocks, commodities, and currencies, as the secular trends that were prevalent in all three asset groups up until mid-May will reassert themselves at the appropriate time, in the not too distant future. For stocks, this will involve a newer trend lower in both absolute and relative terms. For currencies and commodities the understanding is not so straightforward however, where all of the former are depreciating against the later being the important take-away. As per our title however, in the meantime cyclical (intermediate-term) corrections that can last for months are in play at present, meaning commodities could correct lower for some time (months) as the US Dollar Index ($) works off an oversold condition.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 27, 2008

Don't Blame Crude OIl Speculation- Commodity Prices Are Driven by Fundamentals / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Frank_Holmes

John Derrick writes: U.S. Global Investors (Nasdaq: GROW ) recently hosted a webcast titled “Energy and Commodities Trends: Speculative or Sustainable?” to provide a closer look at the current strength in natural resources prices. Our timing for this topic was good: oil prices hit a record $135 a barrel last week and drivers get more and more depressed every time they pull up to the gas pump.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 27, 2008

Gold Dips as Crude Oil Gains / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES ticked lower in early action on Tuesday, slipping just below the tight trading range seen on Monday, when London and New York – the center of world Gold Trading – were closed for public holidays.

Crude oil meantime rose above $133 per barrel after militants hit key pipelines in Nigeria .

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 27, 2008

Middle Eastern Gold Demand Surges in 1st Quarter / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

With markets in the U.S. and UK closed yesterday for US Memorial Day and UK bank holiday, gold traded sideways in slow trade in Asia and Europe. Stock markets in Asia were positive overnight but European markets have come under pressure and the FTSE has given up its early morning gains to trade flat for the session so far.

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Commodities

Monday, May 26, 2008

Raising Margin Requirements May Spike Oil Prices Higher / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Mack_Frankfurter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCommodity pricing theory mainly focuses on the transference of a “risk premia” from risk-adverse hedgers to speculators. This insurance-like context was first proposed by Keynes (1930) in his theory of normal backwardation. Essentially, Keynes believed that hedgers have to pay speculators a risk premium to convince them to accept their risk.

Dr. Richard Spurgin (2000) explained it in the following way. There are four types of participants in futures markets: short hedgers, long hedgers, speculators and arbitrageurs. Short hedgers are commercial producers and long hedgers are commercial consumers.

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Commodities

Monday, May 26, 2008

Why Crude Oil Prices have Spiked Higher / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMaybe it is just bad timing. Maybe our luck has run out. Whatever the case, it is downright unfortunate that the full effects of skyrocketing world oil supplies had to be realized during the silly season of a presidential election cycle. It is virtually a lock at this point that what needs to be said will be left unsaid and what needs to be done will be left undone. This week as crude oil pierced the $130/bbl mark and headed all the way above $135 before pulling back a multiple of reasons were offered. Some have merit while others do not even deserve mentioning.

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Commodities

Monday, May 26, 2008

Silver Coin Shortage Could Lead to Silver Price Spike / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold was up 3% last week and silver surged nearly 8% (more on silver below) and in normal circumstances profit taking would be expected in the early part of this week. But with oil remaining near record levels and inflation concerns increasing significantly, gold (and silver) may again surprise to the upside. Oil was up by 4.6% last week and is up another 1% today. Gold and silver will outperform oil in the coming weeks.

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Commodities

Monday, May 26, 2008

Sell Gold in May and Go Away? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Roland_Watson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold is currently moving in volatile times and to me at least the debate on where it is going next looks increasingly polarized. While the hot money seems to have abandoned gold and silver to ride the crude oil bandwagon (which will certainly suffer the same drop soon), the old maxim "Sell in May and go away" seems to have been pinned to gold's lapel.

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Commodities

Sunday, May 25, 2008

Why Gold Will Get Whacked Again! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Alex_Wallenwein

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold has recovered from its previous two “whacks” rather nicely this past week and the Friday before, but it will very likely be whacked again very soon, possibly as early as this coming Monday.

Why?

Because gold is rising while the Dow/US stocks are in ultra-dangerous territory.

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Commodities

Sunday, May 25, 2008

Gold Rallies Towards Resistance at $950 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Despite a good week for gold, it seems to be laboring in its attempt to move higher. Silver, however, seems to be doing okay.

HOLIDAY SCHEDULE - The commentaries will be highly simplified over the next few weeks. Visiting relatives and stuff like that.

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Commodities

Saturday, May 24, 2008

Rising Crude Oil Price Brings Out Nut Case Energy Crisis Solutions / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Mike_Shedlock

The price of oil has been soaring and nut case solutions are coming out of the woodwork in response. I have talked about this twice recently in Congress Threatens Oil Producers and Congressional Insanity: Sue OPEC over Oil Prices .

But as silly as those actions are, it is nothing compared to the stark raving lunacy proposed by Martin Hutchinson in Time to do something about oil .

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Commodities

Saturday, May 24, 2008

Crude Oil and the Polar Bear / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Kurt_Kasun

Last week the Bush administration declared polar bears as threatened species, acknowledging that global warming jeopardizes the species' livelihood as a result of rapid Artic sea ice depletion. The polar bear serves as a symbol for those who view climate change and global warning as the most important issue of our time. On the contrary, the panda represents China 's seemingly insatiable appetite for consuming raw materials, with the world's resources being further strained by the unprecedented growing masses of people in India and other developing nations increasing their standard of living with their financial upward mobility out of poverty.

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Commodities

Friday, May 23, 2008

Crude Oil Spikes Impact on Gold and Silver Price - Part 2 of 2 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Why Supply is Not Rising with Higher Prices?
On the supply side, certain opaque realities are often overlooked and have to be faced clearly. Non-OPEC oil producers are unable to push up oil production as fast as incremental demand is expanding. Old oil fields are declining while new ones are not coming on stream fast enough. This situation will not change in the next few years, unless new oil fields are found.

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Commodities

Friday, May 23, 2008

The Case for Gold Hitting $1300 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: John_Lee

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn October 2007, when gold was USD 750/oz and a US Dollar fetched 7.5 Chinese Renminbi Yuan (RMB), I published an article titled “Gold and RMB – Last Shoe to Drop for the dollar” , in which I said:

For a US family that spends $300 to $500 a month on Chinese goods, a further 40% appreciation of the RMB will translate into a $100 to $200 monthly cost increase. The logic of asking the Chinese to revalue their currency upwards is no different from asking the Saudi's to jack up their oil price further, which is no logic at all for a US consumer.

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Commodities

Friday, May 23, 2008

Silver Technicals Suggest Basing Patern Before Next Leg Up / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI've never seen any other commodity generate such a fanatical following as silver. There are many investors and speculators interested in nothing but silver and its miners. There are financial newsletters focused solely on silver. This metal's ecosystem, birthed by a legendary superspike over 28 years ago, is totally unique.

With so much riding on silver for so many traders, emotions are amplified tremendously. If 10% of your portfolio is exposed to silver, and it doesn't live up to your expectations, you can shrug it off. But if 90% of your capital is deployed in the silver realm, and silver lets you down, it is devastating. This is made all the worse by the capricious and hyper-volatile nature of silver. It takes no prisoners.

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Commodities

Friday, May 23, 2008

Upside Continuation for ProShares UltraShort Oil & Gas ETF (AMEX: DUG) / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The ProShares UltraShort Oil & Gas ETF (AMEX: DUG) is smacking right up against its 8-week resistance line at 28.25, which could stall the upmove off of Wednesday's low at 26.43. However, the overwhelming weight of my technical work argues for upside continuation towards 28.80-29.20 (corrected from numbers in chart below) prior to the initial bout of profit-taking.

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Commodities

Friday, May 23, 2008

Gold Rallies as Crude Oil Bounces / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES recovered an overnight dip of 0.7% early in London on Friday, nearing the US open above $926 per ounce as crude oil bounced from yesterday's sharp sell-off.

The US Dollar held flat against the Euro after a surprise fall in the PMI index, which tracks the European economic outlook.

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Commodities

Friday, May 23, 2008

China Gold Demand Surges as Chinese Investors Diversify / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold  was down 1% ($ 9.50 to $9 18.10 )  but silver  remained firm and closed marginally lower  ( down $0.06  to $17.9 2 ) and profit taking on oil's weakness was seen by many as the primary cause of yesterday's sell off . Gold  traded sideways in Asia but has rallied in early trade in Europe. 

With increasing doubts about the sustainability of the recent rebound of the dollar and of global stock markets, safe haven demand for gold is likely to reaccelerate in the coming weeks.

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