Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, February 14, 2012
Natural Gas Price Bottom Building / Commodities / Natural Gas
The bottom-building processing in natural gas and its related ETFs continues, these ETFs including the U.S. Natural Gas Fund ETF (UNG) and ProShares Ultra DJ UBS Natural Gas ETF (BOIL).
The BOIL pattern begins to round to the upside towards a confrontation with its Jan-Feb resistance line, now at 13.95, which if hurdled and sustained should trigger upside follow-through directly to test the prior rally peak at 14.55 (hit on Feb 7).
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Tuesday, February 14, 2012
Graphite of Critical Importance, Investors Pencil It In / Commodities / Metals & Mining
Sometime between 1500 and 1565 a large graphite deposit was discovered in Cumbria, England. Because the graphite was extremely pure and solid it could easily be sawed into sticks. The graphite was actually thought to be a form of lead and called plumbago - Latin for lead ore.
The Borrowable Mine was soon ordered to be put under armed guard by Queen Elizabeth because the "lead" could be used to line the moulds for making her armies cannonballs. But black marketers managed to smuggle out the graphite for continued use in pencils. Artists from all over the known world quickly learned to appreciate the qualities of Cumbria's graphite but it wasn't until 1795 that Nicholas Conte learned to mix graphite powder with clay and fire it in a furnace to actually make something with the equivalent quality of Borrowables plumbago.
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Tuesday, February 14, 2012
Gold Sideways Trading Supported by Physical Demand and Debt Warnings / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
THE WHOLESALE market gold price eased to $1713 per ounce Tuesday lunchtime – 1.1% down on the previous day's high – while stock and commodity markets were broadly flat despite several European countries having their sovereign ratings or outlooks lowered last night.
The silver price dipped to $33.37 per ounce – a 0.8% fall on last week's close.
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Tuesday, February 14, 2012
Why I’m Taking Gold Double-Eagles on My Next Trip to Utah / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Martin Hutchinson writes: Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke may think he has everything under control, but the truth is the monetary ground is literally shifting beneath our feet.
That's why his loose monetary policy has some U.S. states looking to get into the gold coin business.
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Tuesday, February 14, 2012
Inevitable US, UK, Japan, Euro Debt Downgrades Lead to Further Currency Debasement And Gold Safe Haven Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,721.00, EUR 1,303.10, and GBP 1,091.80 per ounce.
Yesterday's AM fix was USD 1,727.00, EUR 1,302.22, and GBP 1,093.17 per ounce.
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Tuesday, February 14, 2012
Sideways Trading for Gold and the HUI Index / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
TDV Golden Trader writes: At the beginning of last week, we mentioned that gold was still in the up channel, but something to watch for is gold diverging out of the channel and that this could signal the start of a correction. Thursday and Friday’s price action last week is concerning for short term trading going into this coming week because gold is no longer in the strong up channel that has been in place for the last six weeks. We mentioned that gold was bumping up against resistance at $1750 and that a reversal could be in the making. Gold most likely will continue its correction and sideways pattern during the early part of this coming week.
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Tuesday, February 14, 2012
Stock Market Repeating Itself, TSX Venture Composite Index / Commodities / Resources Investing
The resource markets have weathered some death defying ups and downs lately. But Michael Ballanger, senior investment advisor with Toronto-based Union Securities, is looking for a renewed period of growth in the TSX Venture Composite Index. Is it too soon to see such a heady rebound? In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Ballanger makes his case for history repeating itself.
The Gold Report: The TSX Venture Composite Index reached a bottom of around 1,300 in October after it more than tripled from 2009 to early 2011. You believe the index is poised for another two-year gain. It's an interesting theory. Why should we believe that history will more or less repeat itself so quickly?
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Monday, February 13, 2012
Gold is the Answer to Currency Wars / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis is a national bestseller that discusses the serious financial threats facing the U.S. dollar. Readers will discover that currency wars have happened before and they always end badly. The U.S. dollar is currently at the center of a new currency war, which threatens its very existence.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 13, 2012
Dollar Weakness "Creating Gold Demand" after Greek Debt Deal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
SPOT MARKET gold prices touched $1733 per ounce Monday morning – 0.5% up on last week's close – as stock markets, commodities and the Euro all rallied following Greece's vote in favor of new austerity measures.
Silver prices meantime hovered around $33.90 per ounce – 0.8% up on the end of last week – while government bond prices dipped and the Dollar fell on the currency markets.
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Monday, February 13, 2012
Asia Buying Gold On Dips - “Empires May Fall, Currencies May Change... Gold Will Always Survive” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,727.00, EUR 1,302.22, and GBP 1,093.17 per ounce.
Friday's AM fix was USD 1,715.50, EUR 1,295.21, and GBP 1,084.25 per ounce.
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Monday, February 13, 2012
Is Gold Money?… Don't Ask Ben Bernanke, Examine the Federal Reserve / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Peter Krauth writes: If you really care about your financial future, here's something you need to know.
It's about a story that received almost zero coverage from the mainstream press. I can't say that I am surprised.
It involves gold.
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Monday, February 13, 2012
2012: A Political Year for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
This year our screens, radio and the media in general will be dominated by politics as electioneering goes into overdrive in a massive attempt to convince us that their man has all the answers. Alas, the political machinery has long since lost our respect, but that will not deter them and so we must endure this attack on our senses from all directions. The presidential elections in the United States is high profile at the moment but there are other very important elections also taking place, a few of which we touch on below:
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Sunday, February 12, 2012
Can We Profit From Gold Price Seasonality? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Seasonality is observable in a wide variety of variables. In business, sales, production, inventory, man hours and the best time to discount can be at least partially predicted by seasonal effects. Gold is no different. In different months price swings occur somewhat predictably year after year. What causes this, to what magnitude does it occur and most importantly – how can we profit?
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Sunday, February 12, 2012
Where a Nation's Gold and Your Gold Should Be Held: Part II / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
In Part I of this article we looked at the growing trend of governments moving their gold into their own home vaults to remove the influence and potential seizure of their gold when political policies clash with the country where the holding central bank was situated. We covered the dangers of holding gold at home and the difference in attitude individual's should have towards the problem of where and how to hold gold.
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Saturday, February 11, 2012
Barley Investing Better Than Gold and Silver? / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
Over the past five years, barley, of the eighteen commodities we follow, was the top performer. Rising by 180+% it bested Gold, +170%, and Silver, +150%. But why quibble? Nearly all commodity prices have done than paper equities. And perhaps they should, as real assets require real work to produce and are essential to the real world.
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Saturday, February 11, 2012
The Gospel of Gold According to Peter / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Peter Grandich believes that we're in the midst of a stealth gold bull market. Grandich, editor and publisher of The Grandich Letter, recently penned the book Confessions of a Wall Street Whiz Kid, the moniker "Good Morning America" gave to him after he predicted the Black Monday stock market crash in 1987. He's now predicting gold to top $2,350/oz in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report.
The Gold Report: Going back to your time as a fund manager in the '80s on Wall Street, how does what was happening then compare with what is happening now?
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Saturday, February 11, 2012
Warren Buffett Trashes Gold, But What About Silver? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
“Gold gets dug out of the ground, then we melt it down, dig another hole, bury it again and pay people to stand around guarding it. It has no utility. Anyone watching from Mars would be scratching their head.”-Warren Buffett
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Saturday, February 11, 2012
New Up-Cycle for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
My big-picture analytics of spot gold argue that a 5.5 month cycle low ended -- and a new cycle started -- at the Dec 29 low of $1522.48, after a multi-month correction from the Sep 6 high of $1921.50.
The 21% decline concluded an intermediate-term correction within the larger, multi-year bull market in gold.
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Friday, February 10, 2012
Gold Down on Week Following Rejection of "Weak" Greek Reforms / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
U.S. DOLLAR gold prices were on course for a second weekly fall Friday lunchtime in London, heading down towards $1700 an ounce following European ministers' rejection yesterday of Greece's latest austerity reforms.
Silver prices also traded lower, hitting $33.27 per ounce – 1.4% down on last week's close.
Stocks, commodities and the Euro all fell, while the Dollar gained along with prices for major nation government bonds.
Friday, February 10, 2012
Is Silver Outperforming The Gold Fractal? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Below, is an extract of my Silver Premium Update for 25 January 2012:
Since my last silver articles (here and here), the silver chart has been following the patterns, I have been tracking, quite nicely. Below is an updated version of the gold vs. silver fractal: