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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, November 13, 2014

Gold Sector Review - Inflation, Fundamentals, Psychology/Sentiment and Technicals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Gary_Tanashian

Below is a summary of some of the aspects we follow in NFTRH to gauge a future investment stance on the gold sector.  It is much more complex than simply hearing dogma that seems to make sense and then holding on for dear life…

Inflation

The hype is dying.  10 years of inflation hysterics have gone down the drain even as global policy makers pull out inflationary bazookas and use them at the slightest hint of economic trouble.  The BoJ’s recent action was just the latest and most striking in its timing.  Global markets were bouncing within correction mode and the Yen had just pinged a key resistance level.  The BoJ then blew the Yen up with policy designed to at once reward risk takers and asset holders and mercilessly punish the Japanese people, renowned for the ethic of saving.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 13, 2014

Gold Three Steps Forward, Two Steps Back / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: John_Mauldin

Jared Dillian writes: I have been a gold bull, unrelentingly, since 2005. It has been quite an adventure.

Nine years ago, I was 31—still pretty young. I hadn’t read enough Austrian economics to even understand why I should like gold, but I did nonetheless. Besides, it was going up. And coincidentally, the folks at State Street had just come out with GLD, the SPDR Gold Shares ETF, and I was a market maker in it. Without GLD to invest in, I wonder if I would have had the inclination to learn about investing in gold futures or physical gold.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 13, 2014

“Paper Gold” and Its Effect on the Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Casey_Research

By Bud Conrad, Chief Economist

Gold dropped to new lows of $1,130 per ounce last week. This is surprising because it doesn’t square with the fundamentals. China and India continue to exert strong demand on gold, and interest in bullion coins remains high.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 13, 2014

Our Take on the Swiss Gold Referendum / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

We have recently been asked to comment on the upcoming referendum in Switzerland on gold. In particular, we were asked if this could be the turning point for the gold (and other precious metals) market that has been declining for more than 2 years now. The simple law of supply and demand dictates that when the demand for something increases, its price should go up. However, things are rarely simple in the financial markets and it’s definitely not simple in case of gold. Will this be the start of a domino effect and escalation of gold price? You’ll find our take on this timely matter below.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 13, 2014

Now Is A Good Time To Buy Gold Says Fidelity Investments / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

Joe Wickwire, research analyst and portfolio manager at Fidelity investments, presented some very grounded, reasonable arguments as to why one should buy gold at the LBMA Precious Metals Conference in Lima, Peru which concluded on Tuesday.

Fidelity Investments are a largely family owned mutual fund and financial services company. It is one of the largest mutual fund and financial services groups in the world. Founded in 1946, the company has since served North American investors. This year they were voted best investment company in an online broker review by Stockbroker.com. They have gradually moved up in the rankings from eighth place in 2011.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 13, 2014

Gold's Smoking Gun / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Rambus_Chartology

Tonight I want to explore the relationship between the US dollar, the Japaneses Yen and gold. Most investors know that a rising US dollar is usually a bad sign for commodities and the precious metals complex. When the US dollar is falling commodities and the precious metals complex usually do pretty well. When the US dollar topped out in 2000 that's when gold and commodities started their bull markets that lasted until 2011. Since that time the US dollar has been slowly trending higher while most commodities and the precious metals complex have been moving lower. This long term monthly chart for the US dollar shows you the high in 2000 which marked the beginning of gold's bull market. At the bottom left hand side of the chart, in big base #2, point #4 marks the high for gold's bull market. Since that low at point #4 you can see how the US dollar has been slowly rising since 2011 which was the peak for gold and most commodities. One last note on the chart below. The US dollar is now in its third month of a breakout move from big base #2 which is a fractal of big base #1. If you've been wondering why the US dollar has been so strong lately it's because it's in breakout mode. This is what a breakout looks and feels like.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 13, 2014

Gold Long Short GDXJ, DGZ ETF Technical Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Austin_Galt

The analysis includes GDXJ which is a long gold fund and DGZ which is a short gold fund.

GDXJ Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF

The Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) is an equity index that provides exposure to small and medium sized companies that generate at least 50% of their revenues from gold and/or silver mining. It is listed on the American Stock Exchange (AMEX) with price last trading at $25.73.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 13, 2014

Crude Oil Price Sinking Or Rebounding / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Long positions with a buy limit order at $75.82 and a stop-loss at $73.47 are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Although crude oil moved lower after the market's open, the commodity erased losses later in the day, hitting an intraday high of $78.04 as concerns over the situation in Libya supported the price. In this way, light crude gained 0.45% and bounced off the recent lows. Will we see a post double-bottom rally in the coming days?

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 12, 2014

Silver and Gold Producers – a CALL TO ARMS! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Peter_Degraaf

How much longer are you going to let Wall Street determine the price you are permitted to charge for your product?

How much longer will you stand by and watch as computer traders raise and mostly lower the price of your product, by selling contracts in the futures market for metal they do not own, and do not produce? 

(Bud Conrad at Caseyresearch.com has just written an excellent article, with a number of charts, on this subject titled:  “Paper Gold and its effect on the Gold Price.”) 

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 12, 2014

The U.S. Dollar’s Crucial Role in the Commodity Cycle / Commodities / US Dollar

By: Harry_Dent

The U.S. dollar is falling and it’ll ultimately crash and go down to near zero. Not true… that’s what the gold bugs keep harping on but it’s not true.

This misinformation is very representative of what’s going on in the global economy and it’s almost as bad as the liberal economists and analysts who believe we should just print as much money as necessary to keep the economy growing.

Let’s just start with the truth.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 12, 2014

Swiss Regulator: “Clear Attempt To Manipulate Precious Metals ” … “Particularly Silver” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

Further proof of manipulation of gold and silver prices - if any were needed - came overnight as  Switzerland’s financial regulator (FINMA) found “serious misconduct” and a “clear attempt to manipulate precious metals benchmarks” by UBS employees in precious metals trading, particularly with silver.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 12, 2014

A Billionaire Insider Just Made a Bold Bet on Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: There was a very dramatic development in the oil market last week. It involved a well-known insider and a bullish bet on crude.

Harold Hamm, the CEO of Continental Resources Inc. (NYSE:CLR), announced that his company – a major producer in the Bakken and other U.S. unconventional oil basins – had unwound its hedge positions.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 11, 2014

Silver to S&P Ratio: What It Tells Us / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

Take the price of silver, multiply by 100, divide by the S&P 500 Index and chart it for 30 plus years.  What do we see?

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 11, 2014

New Currency Wars Cometh - Gold To Be “Last Man Standing” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

Currency wars are set to warm up again, after Japan's radical decision to further debase its currency through an intensification of already significant monetary easing. There was a palpable coldness from China's Premier Xi Jinping as he greeted Japan's President Abe at the APEC summit in Beijing.

Tensions are normally high between the two countries but are even more so in recent months. 

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 11, 2014

Switzerland - Vote Yes on Gold Initiative / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Axel_Merk

On November 30th, the Swiss are voting whether to amend their country's constitution on an initiative entitled 'Save our Swiss Gold.' The Swiss gold initiative appears widely misunderstood, both inside and outside of Switzerland. We discuss implications for gold, the Swiss franc and Switzerland as a whole.

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Commodities

Monday, November 10, 2014

Gold Price Rigging Settlement With UBS - Other Banks To Follow / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

Suspicions that the price of precious metals are frequently manipulated by a few international banks were further confirmed over the weekend. UBS agreed to settle with various international regulatory bodies investigating rigging in foreign exchange and precious metals markets.

While failing to admit wrongdoing one person familiar with UBS's internal probe said that the bank found “a small number of potentially problematic incidents at its precious metals desk," reports the Financial Times:

UBS is expected to strike a settlement over alleged trader misbehaviour at its precious metals desks with at least one authority as part of a group deal over forex with multiple regulators this week, two 
people close to the situation said. They cautioned that the timing of a precious metals deal could still slip to a date after the forex agreement.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 09, 2014

A Major Low in Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: WavePatternTraders

It's been a while since I have written an article on Gold, but the recent price action could well be the very clue we have been looking for. I have been very bearish Gold for a number of years/months, month by month the market has slowly moved towards the $1150 target we have been looking for.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 08, 2014

Gold And Silver - Charts Show Power Of Elite's Central Bankers / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_Noonan

When considering Precious Metals fundamentals do not apply, and that is key to understanding how to relate your holdings of physical and/or interest in gold and silver. Nothing else matters. There are many sites that give minute details of the depletion of gold and silver stocks on the COMEX and LBMA; many that report on the demand for and scarcity of both metals; just last week, the news flash heard around the PM community on how silver American Eagles were sold out...shades of 2013-type news that dominated for several weeks. [Yawn].

Consider this: everything you have heard, including information of which you have not heard but others have is already priced into the market! Compile every sort of bullish news available, and almost all of it is true, yet gold and silver hit recent 4 year lows. How are all those news events working out, and not just for fundamentalists? So far, none of this information has mattered, at least with respect to current price levels. Ultimately, all of these known factors will have an impact on price. For now, all anyone can conclude is that legitimate demand is not a market-driver.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 08, 2014

Did Gold and Silver Just Get Their Greenspan Put? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: John_Rubino

The world's central banks and derivatives traders have been having their usual fun with gold and silver lately, dumping huge volumes of futures contracts into thin markets to produce massive declines -- just when precious metals SHOULD have been soaring in response to near-global debt monetization.

But something interesting happened as this latest smack-down really got going. Physical buyers -- who goldbugs have for years been expecting to ride to the rescue, finally did. Chinese and Indian gold imports, which had trailed off earlier in the year, soared in response to the recent price declines. There's some debate about exactly how much these guys are buying, but it certainly looks like they're talking all that's being produced by the world's mines, and then some.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 08, 2014

What Crude Oil's Ratios Are Saying About Future Price Moves? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Without a doubt, Oct was the worst month for oil bulls since May 2012. In the previous month, the commodity lost over 11% as the combination of a stronger greenback, rising supplies and weaker demand weighted on the price. Additionally, the first days of the new month have been very negative for oil investors. After the breakdown below the psychologically important barrier of $80, oil bears pushed the price lower and light crude hit a four-year low of $75.84, breaking under long-term support lines. In this way, the commodity posted its sixth weekly loss in a row. Will light crude drop any further in the nearest future? Is it possible that crude oil's ratios will give us some interesting clues?

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