Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, May 05, 2015
Crude Oil Price Meets Solid Resistance / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
Although crude oil hit a fresh 2015 high on Friday, an increase in Iraq's export levels and a stronger greenback weighed on investors' sentiment and pushed the commodity lower. As a result, light crude lost 0.85% and closed the day under the previous high. Where will crude oil head next in the coming week?
On Friday, Baker Hughes showed in its weekly report that oil rigs fell by 24 last week to 679. With this drop, the number of active rigs has fallen for a record 21 weeks in a row (the lowest level since September 2010), but the pace of slowdown continued to decrease, which raised worries over another increase in domestic crude oil inventories.
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Monday, May 04, 2015
Gold Long-term Outlook for Massive Parabolic Run to $5,000 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Clive_Maund
In order to comprehend why the long-term outlook for gold (and silver) is so positive you only have to understand that global debt and balance sheets are set to expand indefinitely. The controllers of the system had the chance to demand that the books be balanced back in the financial crisis of 2008 - 2009, but they weren't interested - they were much more interested in taking the easy way out and lining their own pockets at the expense of society at large, by printing vast quantities of money which they gifted to themselves, and fleecing savers via zero and now negative interest rates. They were then able to use their Central Bank generated cash handouts to make even more money by speculating in global property and stockmarkets, and magnify their gains even more via the carry trade. In the past they would have been sent to prison for a long time for this, but since they control society they can make and amend laws to suit themselves, and with respect to themselves the laws are unenforceable anyway, and the ordinary population, who have been neutered, are going to stand up to them.
Monday, May 04, 2015
Silver Bear Market Downside Momentum Easing / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Clive_Maund
Silver's long bearmarket from its 2011 highs is believed to be "nested" within a larger bullmarket, along with gold's, as discussed in more detail in the parallel Gold Market update, to which the reader is referred. This is an echo of what happened in the 70's, when both gold and silver went into a heavy correction in 1975 and 1976 that was taken at the time to be a new bearmarket, but ended up leading into a massive parabolic ramp that took silver to dizzying heights as the Hunt brothers attempted to corner the silver market. The second major upleg of this bullmarket should take silver to levels that dwarf those of the 70's peak, and this is not some deluded fantasy but based on a sound assessment of the trends in currencies and debt now extant.
Monday, May 04, 2015
Silver and NASDAQ – Long, Medium and Short Trends / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
Courtesy of the High-Frequency-Traders and a wave of digital “money printing” the NASDAQ closed at a new high on Friday the 24th – a 15 year high. Silver, on the other hand, has been crushed – the near all-time high was 4 years ago. In this tale of two markets, we examine the silver to NASDAQ ratio over the long and medium term for clues about their next major moves.
Monday, May 04, 2015
Let's Make Silver Shine Even Brighter Than Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Money_Morning
Tom Gentile writes: In the world of precious metals, silver is considered the "Poor Man's Gold."
Anyone who believes this nonsense will stay away from investing in silver for all the wrong reasons.
With the S&P 500 pushing resistance once again at 2,100, perhaps it's time to visit the land of the contrarian trader, for as the saying goes, as the stock market falls, the precious metals markets rise.
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Monday, May 04, 2015
Six Silver Questions and Perspectives / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
The next time you find yourself contemplating, worrying, or wondering with anxiety whether it’s too simple to be true; it is not simple - it’s exceedingly complicated.
Not because the fundamentals are all that hard to understand. And not because in principle it is sound personal action in any time period.
But it is complicated because we’ve spent so many years off the rails of sound economic principles that we don’t recognize them when we see them.
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Monday, May 04, 2015
Gold Trading Week Ahead - 4 May 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Harley_Salt
Gold ended last week on a flat note having fallen below US$1,180/oz with better than expected jobless data out of the US pushing gold lower. It was a surprise to the markets to finally see positive data from the US, of late the majority of key data has been coming in below expectations. With one positive bit of data the market seemed to grab this and give hope to a near term rate rise which kept gold demand weak. We still do not believe the Fed will move on rates this year given the overall weakness in the US economy and the continuing flow of poor economic data.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 04, 2015
The Energy Complex: Very Interesting Chartology / Commodities / Energy Resources
By: Rambus_Chartology
Lets start by looking at the daily chart for WTIC I posted earlier this week that showed a potential inverse H&S bottom with a double bottom head. The brown shaded areas shows the left and right shoulders. WTIC has closed two days in a row above the neckline. So far so good.
Saturday, May 02, 2015
Gold And Silver - Thieving Bankers Operate In Open; Public Have Eyes Wide Shut / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Michael_Noonan
Who are the bankers? There are those known, doing a lot of dirty work, and there are those unknown, operating totally behind the scenes controlling everything, doing even dirtier work. What does that mean, controlling everything? How about the world's money supply, creating it, deciding who gets what and how it is to be spent.
How has a lot of the money been spent? Acquiring politicians, which means controlling governments and the political partied that make up governments. Bankers have paid for and gained control of the entire pharmaceutical industry, the AMA [American Medical Association], all of the huge Agri-business, controlling the like of Monsanto and GMOs. Bankers control the entire media industry, everything you watch on TV, hear on the radio, read in the newspapers and magazines, control over everything they want you to hear and read. The entire educational system is run by the government. Everything is done under the watchful eyes of the bankers. Nothing gets done without their approval.
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Saturday, May 02, 2015
Is Solar Power About To Crush Big Oil And Big Coal AND End Global Warming? / Commodities / Solar Energy
By: John_Rubino
Something amazing has happened in the energy market. The cost of solar power has fallen to the point where, in a growing number of places, it’s cheaper than the electricity that utilities deliver from their coal-fired power plants. And its price is still falling.
Saturday, May 02, 2015
Crude Oil Price Bear Market Is Over / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Austin_Galt
I've said it before and I'll say it again. Forget about testing the 2009 lows. It ain't gonna happen. Not as far as I'm concerned anyway. The final low appears to be in place and while I think the downtrend is over I suspect the volatility is not.
Let's check out the technicals beginning with the small picture and then finishing with the big picture outlook.
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Saturday, May 02, 2015
More Evidence Gold Stocks Have Bottomed Relative to Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
As we penn this article Gold is trading below $1180/oz and set to close at its lowest level in six weeks. Gold is less than 2% from its weekly low of $1158. It is fairly close to another technical breakdown. However, the gold mining stocks appear to be bucking the trend and showing increasing relative strength. It appears likely that the stocks have bottomed relative to the metal and maybe so in nominal terms.
Saturday, May 02, 2015
Gold and Silver Bear Squeeze Comes and Goes / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldMoney
This week started with a sharp bear squeeze, which took gold from $1178 to $1214, and silver from $15.70 to $16.71. These higher prices on Wednesday proved to be the peak for both metals, before they fell back sharply yesterday (Thursday) on better than expected US initial jobless claims. The Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) minutes, which admitted the US economy is softening, had little effect when released yesterday.
Friday, May 01, 2015
Gold Developments Say New Mine Supply Is Peaking / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jeff_Clark
Our curiosity was piqued as we reviewed the year-end reports of the primary gold producers. When we tallied the results, even we were surprised.
The upshot of what you’ll see is that at its current pace, new supply will be unable to keep up with demand. It may look like a story that doesn’t have much immediate impact, but this emerging new reality is staring us right in the face.
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Friday, May 01, 2015
Emerging Mexican Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
Mexico has long been a silver juggernaut. The indigenous peoples had been successfully mining this shiny-white metal since well before the Spanish colonials swarmed the shores in the 16th century. Several hundred years of Spanish development globalized Mexico’s silver prowess. And still today in the post-independence era silver mining is still going strong.
It is believed that Mexico is responsible for a whopping one-third of all silver ever mined in the history of the world. But despite such an extensive mining history, there’s still plenty remaining in the ground. With the miners of yore literally only scratching the surface via the exploitation of this country’s abundant high-grade outcroppings, there’s ample silver treasures at depth for the modern miners willing to dig deeper.
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Friday, May 01, 2015
JP Morgan Cornering Silver Bullion Market? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
- Why is JP Morgan accumulating the biggest stockpile of physical silver in history?
- Legendary silver analyst Ted Butler believes JP Morgan are in a position to corner silver market
- JP Morgan may be holding as much as 350 million ounces of physical silver
- JP Morgan realises the value of owning physical silver bullion today
- Silver at $16 today – Set to soar to over $50 again
Friday, May 01, 2015
Monetary And Economic Insights From Incrementum’s Advisory Board / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldSilverWorlds
Gold Silver Worlds has received the minutes of the latest Advisory Board meeting by Incrementum Liechtenstein and is pleased to summarize the key insights that were discussed by a panel of experts. Incrementum had launched the “Austrian Economics Golden Opportunities Fund,” a fund that takes investment positions based on the level of inflation based on their proprietary “Incrementum Inflation Signal.” Ronald Stoeferle, author of In Gold We Trust, is the managing partner along with Mark Valek.
Friday, May 01, 2015
How One Chart Is Changing My Outlook on Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Money_Morning
Dr. Kent Moors writes: Today, something truly unique is underway – and you can see it clearly in the one simple chart I’m about to share.
The advent of huge shale and tight oil reserves in the U.S. has fundamentally altered the terrain of the international energy game.
We still call these reserves “unconventional” to distinguish them from traditional vertically drilled non-fracked wells. But due to the fact that most of the new production is coming from these rock-confined sources, they are certainly becoming mainstream.
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Thursday, April 30, 2015
Did Commodity Prices FINALLY Just Bottom? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Commodity prices are down 60% from their 2008 peak... and they've lost a quarter of their value in the past year alone.
When will the bad times in commodities end?
They could already be over, actually...
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Thursday, April 30, 2015
Gold and the New U.S. and UK Recession - ZIRP to Continue / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
- U.S. first quarter GDP grew 0.2%, down from 2.2% last quarter
- U.K. GDP for first quarter was 0.3%, last than half the previous quarter’s figure
- Large inventory build up in the U.S. may mask deep recession
- Zero percent interest policies (ZIRP) to continue despite suggestions to contrary
- Global economy vulnerable to recession and depression