Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Saturday, November 10, 2018

In US Elections Both Parties Won. And Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

US mid-term elections are behind us. Surprisingly, both parties won! How is it possible? Let’s read our article and find out! We will also explain what the election results imply for the world and the gold market.

Democrats Win

The elections were very interesting. We provide you with the key takeaways, focusing on the possible implications for the precious metals. First, Democrats took control of the House, the first time in eight years. Their victory will make it harder for Trump to push his agenda forward. Given that investors liked his pro-business stance, the change should upset the Wall Street. It implies weaker greenback, while stronger gold.

Thursday, November 08, 2018

End in Sight for 'Unloved' Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund charts silver and explains why he believes the metal's prospects are changing. Silver continues to be a singularly neglected and unloved investment, and has been for years now, but as we will proceed to see, this is not a situation that is likely to continue for much longer.

On its 10-year chart we can see that silver has basically been moving sideways marking out a low base pattern since late 2014–late 2015, following a severe bear market from its 2011 highs. For a while this year it was thought to be marking out a downsloping Head-and-Shoulders bottom, but with the renewed decline from June through late August, it was clear that the pattern had morphed into something else, and on the basis of what we are seeing in other metals, principally copper, gold and platinum, it now looks like it may instead be completing a large Double Bottom pattern, and if this is what it is, then it is very close to the second low of the Double Bottom here, and thus at an excellent point to buy.

Thursday, November 08, 2018

Outlook for Gold & Silver Precious Metals Sector is 'Positive' / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

The precious metals sector continues to be viewed with disdain, posits technical analyst Clive Maund, who discusses the factors that he sees are behind changes in the market. The precious metals sector continues to be viewed with disdain and skepticism by the vast majority of investors, which is exactly what you want and expect to see at the earliest stages of a major bull market. However, the charts continue to shape up well, as we will now see.

Starting with the long-term 10-year chart for gold, we see that it is approaching completion of a more or less symmetrical complex Head-and-Shoulders bottom, with multiple shoulders. It is now believed to be rising up to complete the final Right Shoulder, that should be followed by a breakout above the resistance at the top of the pattern, which will be a positive technical development of huge significance.

Thursday, November 08, 2018

A Great Day for Metals as Platinum Price Breaks Out / Commodities / Platinum

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund tracks movements in the platinum, gold and silver markets.

It was a very good day for the metals Friday, as they rose sharply in response to the dollar going into reverse after a sizable run-up. A very significant development was that platinum broke out of its Head-and-Shoulders bottom on strong volume, a move which we had expected that marks the start of a bull market. Copper, gold and silver also rose with silver having a particularly strong day, and although copper and silver have yet to break out of their Head-and-Shoulders bottom patterns, the breakout by platinum is a sign that they will follow suit and break out soon. We can see the breakout by platinum out of its fine Head-and-Shoulders bottom on its latest 6-month chart below.

Thursday, November 08, 2018

Tale of Two Metals: One WAY More Valuable Than Gold, The Other Historically Undervalued / Commodities / Platinum

By: MoneyMetals

Gold is the metal of kings, the ultimate money, an eternal store of value, an untarnishable embodiment of beauty. Gold is all those things. But it is not the most valuable metal you can own on a cost-per-ounce basis.

Often, platinum commands a higher price than gold. Lately, platinum has traded at an abnormally large discount to the yellow metal.

Wednesday, November 07, 2018

Is Oil's Freefall Over? Here's a FreePass to Find Out NOW / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EWI

Dear Investor,

While most traders have been watching the S&P, oil plunged 18% in October. In the process, crude broke below a key long-term trendline. You know what that means: It's an exciting potential opportunity.

Wednesday, November 07, 2018

USD’s Weekly Breakout and the Gold Golden Spring / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

USDX’s Friday’s close was its highest weekly closing prices of 2018. This is an extremely significant confirmation of the bullish outlook for the US currency that followed the verification of the breakout above the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. The implications are clearly bullish for the US dollar. But are they clearly bearish for gold? The yellow metal ended the week close to its October lows and the SLV ETF closed at the highest level since late August. Is the outlook for the precious metals market really bearish?

Yes, it is. Precious metals’ reaction to the action in the USD could be delayed at times and it's most likely the case also this time. The current times are far from being calm due to the recent volatility on the stock market and because we are just before US elections. Consequently, it’s not that odd to see gold and silver hold up relatively well despite the build-up in the bearish implications from many long-term charts and from the USD Index.

Tuesday, November 06, 2018

Positive Implications for Gold Miners if Crude Oil Breaks Down / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Gary_Tanashian

It’s an over obsessed upon commodity, previously hyped for its (Hubbert’s) “peak” status by “experts” like T Boone Pickens and a whole clown show of promoters amplified by the media at the time.

Now WTI Crude Oil has reached a thick resistance zone (as managed in NFTRH for the last couple of years) and may be breaking down from a peak of a whole other kind. Here is the monthly chart we use.

Tuesday, November 06, 2018

Energy Markets Analysis FreePass / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: EWI

Dear Investor,

While most traders have been watching the S&P, oil plunged 18% in October. In the process, crude broke below a key long-term trendline. You know what that means: It's an exciting potential opportunity.

That's why we've got an exciting free event starting Tuesday, Nov. 6. We call it our Energy FreePass event, where we unlock our trader-focused Energy Pro Service for 3 days. It's free for everyone.

Monday, November 05, 2018

Is the Gold Bull Back? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Peter_Degraaf

The Price of Gold appears to have bottomed, after declining since 2011. Here is a look at the weekly trend.

Monday, November 05, 2018

Gold Stocks Winter Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks suffered a rough late summer this year.  A rare forced capitulation walloped them to deep new lows, short-circuiting their usual autumn rally.  That’s left this sector anomalously low as the subsequent winter rally gets underway, gold stocks’ strongest seasonal surge of the year.  Starting from beaten-down levels after skipping the prior seasonal rally gives gold stocks exceptionally-bullish upside potential.

Seasonality is the tendency for prices to exhibit recurring patterns at certain times during the calendar year.  While seasonality doesn’t drive price action, it quantifies annually-repeating behavior driven by sentiment, technicals, and fundamentals.  We humans are creatures of habit and herd, which naturally colors our trading decisions.  The calendar year’s passage affects the timing and intensity of buying and selling.

Monday, November 05, 2018

Will the US Mid-Term Elections Boost Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Democrats take control of the Congress and move Trump out of the White House. Sounds unbelievable? So what is probable and what is not? We invite you to read our today’s article about the upcoming US Mid-Term Elections and find out what are the likely consequences for the gold market.

Elections are approaching the US again. Two years after Donald Trump was elected as POTUS, American voters go to the polls again on November 6th for the mid-term elections. They will elect all 435 members of the House of Representatives and 35 of 100 Senators (as well as 36 state governors and many other local officers).

Monday, November 05, 2018

Gold Stocks are Not Close to Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

It has been a rough year for gold stock investors.

Since Gold failed to break to the upside and the US Dollar bottomed, gold stocks have been in a strong downtrend. In September they hit two and a half year lows.

The oversold condition since then has been corrected but that rebound has been quite weak.

Evidence of that can be seen in the GDX advance decline (A/D) line (an important breadth indicator) which is showing a negative divergence and hit a new low on Wednesday.

Sunday, November 04, 2018

Gold Price Sets Up For A November 2018 Rally To Near $1300 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Today’s upside price move in gold, already up over $18 (+1.5%), sets up a real potential for a move to near $1300 before the end of November.  We have been advising our followers that a strong potential for an upside move in the precious metals markets was likely and that a potential move to above $1300 was in the works prior to the end of 2018.

Saturday, November 03, 2018

Silver Bottoming Almost Complete / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Hubert_Moolman

The current silver bottoming process is very similar to that of 2001 to 2003. It took a while for silver to establish a base which set up the bull rally in the following years to 2011.

The current bottoming has been longer, but it fits the profile of the early 2000 bottom in many respects. Below, is a chart which show the similarity:

Saturday, November 03, 2018

Palladium Technical Analysis Price Forecast / Commodities / Palladium

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This a technical look at the prospects for the Palladium price. This analysis was first made available to Patrons who support my work. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Friday, November 02, 2018

Trump Is Not Thrilled. But What about Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Trump is going to influence the US monetary policy or even to destroy the Fed’s independence. This is what many analysts say after the recent President’s comments. But are they right? We invite you to read our careful examination of Trump’s remarks about the Fed’s policy and find out what does it imply for the independence of the US central bank and the gold market.

Friday, November 02, 2018

Iron Lady of Europe Quits. Will Gold Replace Her? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

On Thursday, Mr. Draghi held a press conference. But the real thunderbolt hit on Monday, when Ms. Merkel announced that she would step down this year as a leader of her conservative party. Will that lighting make gold shine?

Draghi Says That We Shouldn’t Worry

Let’s start with the latest ECB’s monetary policy statement and the following Draghi’s press conference. In short, the ECB kept its monetary policy unchanged, which means that the European quantitative easing will end in December 2018. Given a somewhat weaker economic momentum in the euro area and the turmoil in Italy, the lack of any changes might seem to be rather hawkish. However, the expansion of the euro area economy continues, while inflation pressure is gradually rising. According to Draghi, we should not worry about the weaker momentum, as “it’s simply that we're having growth returning to potential after 2017, where it was clearly above potential.”

Friday, November 02, 2018

Win Big in Gold and Silver without “Buying the Bottom” / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Last month in this space, I penned an essay titled "Are Silver and Gold 'at the Flood'"?. A few weeks later, two other essays on another widely-read site discussed this topic from the same perspective and sourcing – a case of "great minds thinking along similar lines"?

Please take time to read or review that Money Metals Exchange Post of August 28.

I made the case of a misalignment in the precious metals' markets regarding price versus value which had become so pronounced that – in the near term – an explosive change in trend catching most participants by surprise was pretty much baked into the cake.

Sunday, October 28, 2018

Gold Stocks Will Benefit From Cyclical Change / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

As we have noted over the many years of the gold sector’s bear market, the gold miners will not rally for real until the real sector and macro fundamentals come into place. Those fundamentals do not include commonly promoted inflation, China/India “love” trades, a US dollar collapse or especially, war, pestilence or any other human misery than economic. The more astute gold bugs do not fall for that.

The gold miners are counter-cyclical as they leverage gold’s performance (whether positive or negative) relative to cyclical assets and markets. Hence the handy picture showing the key fundamental items with the 4 largest planets orbiting the golden sun being the most important.