Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, May 15, 2015
German Gold Demand "Spikes"- Investment Demand Surges 63% / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
- Global gold demand marginally lower but robust – WGC
- Gold investment demand surges 63% as jewellery demand falls
- German gold demand spikes 20% in first quarter
- France, Switzerland and Austria see “double digit” rise in demand
- Fear of conflict with Russia, ‘Grexit’ and currency debasement
- Indian gold demand rises 15%
- Germany knows lessons of history and Weimar hyperinflation
Friday, May 15, 2015
Dry Bulk Shipping Index Chart Analysis Update 2015 / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Tony_Caldaro
In 2012 we thought we had identified a 13 year cycle in the shipping industry. Then in mid-2012 we published this report detailing the cycle and anticipating a rally in rates: https://caldaro.wordpress.com/2012/09/27/dry-bulk-shipping-industry/. The rally in rates did occur as the BDI more than tripled by late-2013. As a follow up to that we report we published an update in late-2013, which we got all wrong: https://caldaro.wordpress.com/2013/12/08/dry-bulk-shipping-update/.
Rates peaked a few days after that report and started to decline. The decline retraced much of the 2013 gains, but rates again turned higher in the second half of that year. Right around November 2014, as we were preparing to write an update, rates turned down again. This downturn took the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) to its lowest level since the index was created in the 1980’s, exceeding the 554 reading in July, 1986. Clearly the 13 year cycle had been usurped by market forces: diminishing demand and oversupply of worldwide tonnage.
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Thursday, May 14, 2015
The Next Gold Bull Market Starts Before October / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jeff_Clark
I’m going out on a limb: I think the next bull phase in the gold market gets underway before October.
Why?
China.
But not due to runaway demand…
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Thursday, May 14, 2015
Gold and the Trouble with Cash / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Alasdair_Macleod
When interest rates are zero and it costs a bank to look after your money it becomes an unattractive asset. Banks in some jurisdictions (such as Switzerland, Denmark and Sweden) are even charging customers interest on cash and deposits. And if you go to your bank and withdraw large amounts in the form of folding notes to avoid these charges you will be lucky if you are not treated as a sort of pariah. For the moment, at least, these problems do not extend to sound money, in other words gold.
Thursday, May 14, 2015
Commodities on the Rebound / Commodities / CRB Index
By: Tony_Caldaro
The last commodity update, https://caldaro.wordpress.com/2013/05/19/commodity-bear-market/, detailed our bearish view on most of the sectors. Since then many of the commodity sectors have sold off during 2013/2014. This update will suggest some sectors may have just started Primary wave counter-trend rallies that could last for a few years. First a look at commodities in general.
Thursday, May 14, 2015
Lumber Lambasted / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Austin_Galt
Lumber has been punished lately with around 30% lopped off the price already this year. The bulls have walked the plank and exclaimed “Shivers me timbers!”
Alright, enough hijinx. Let’s analyse the technicals using the weekly, monthly and yearly charts.
Thursday, May 14, 2015
GOLD and Crude OIL Elliott Wave Analysis / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Gregor_Horvat
Gold is going higher following our 4 hour chart count to complete a wave C in ending diagonal pattern larger degree. We would like to see this metal to go through 1.213 price point which will confirm that current path is further up. If we measure A from last lows and project it to measure wave C, target for this move should be between 1.245-1.250 levels.
Thursday, May 14, 2015
What Might be behind Gold Price Jump / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Michael_J_Kosares
Over the years, I have written occasionally about the connection between the demand for U.S. government debt and quantitative easing. My contention is straightforward. The primary determinant for quantitative easing is not, as we are constantly told, to keep the unemployment rate down, nor is it to stimulate the economy. (I emphasize the word “primary” as opposed to the word “only”) It is to support the government debt market and keep government in business – not just in the United States but wherever it is employed.
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Wednesday, May 13, 2015
Silver Bullion Buying Outstripping Supply – Solar Demand Ramps Up / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
- Silver one of most undervalued assets in world today
- Fundamentals for silver market very strong
- Total demand for silver outweighed supply by almost 22% last year
- Industrial demand set to surge as solar energy projects are expanded
- Artificially low prices have forced some mines out of business which may lead to a supply crunch
- Smart money including JP Morgan acquiring silver
- Silver to outperform assets including gold
Wednesday, May 13, 2015
Debunking the Newest Crude Oil Price Myth / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: We've seen massive shifts in crude oil prices in recent weeks.
Of course, this has brought back some rather specious arguments by talking heads on TV and pundits spinning the next Armageddon scenario.
The latest is about how rising oil prices will prompt more volume to come online from a particular type of well (called DUCs), sending oil into another tailspin.
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Wednesday, May 13, 2015
Saudi Arabia Continues To Turn Screws On U.S. Oil Shale / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
Saudi Arabia continues to ratchet up production, taking market share away from U.S. shale producers.According to OPEC's latest monthly oil report, Saudi Arabia boosted its oil output to 10.31 million barrels per day in April, a slight increase over the previous month's total of 10.29 million barrels. That was enough for the de facto OPEC leader to claim its highest oil production level in more than three decades.
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Wednesday, May 13, 2015
The Real Key to This Week’s Crude Oil Price Uncertainty / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: Quick update on oil, because it’s been quite the week already…
This morning West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the benchmark crude oil futures rate in New York, rose over $1 a barrel in less than three hours. Meanwhile in London, Brent (the more widely used international dated benchmark) has increased even faster – over $1.50 during the same period. Here’s where we stand as I write this:
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Tuesday, May 12, 2015
Gold Price 3 Primary Scenarios / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Gary_Tanashian
There are many more details and indicators that inform well balanced ongoing analysis, but the three scenarios below are the general options before us. Excerpted from this week’s edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 342:
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Tuesday, May 12, 2015
What's Next for the Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Axel_Merk
Will gold zoom higher with Greece on the brink of default? Or will it crash as the Fed pursues an "exit?" Why has gold not rallied with the recent retreat of the dollar? To understand where gold may be heading, keep in mind that this shiny metal isn't changing; it's the world around it that is. We contemplate why investors may want to hold gold as part of their portfolio.
Monday, May 11, 2015
Buy Silver or You Will Die! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jeff_Clark
It’s the news everyone dreads—a call from the hospital. And it’s about one of the most important people in the world…
Your mother.
[Every ALL-CAPS ITEM below contains silver or is required in its use.]
You hear the nurse talking urgently through your TELEPHONE and you realize it’s serious…
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Monday, May 11, 2015
Gold Prices In 2020? Debt Drives Gold and Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
US National Debt: We know the progression of debt – it increases, or it increases rapidly. Since 1913 the official US national debt has increased about 9% per year – every year. Has the economy increased 9% per year? Of course not! And that is why, in truly simple terms, prices rise. The same is largely true in the UK, Europe, and Japan. It is the same old story throughout the history of other fiat currency experiments.
Prices rise for consumer goods and for gold, stocks, and almost everything else (gasoline no longer costs 15 cents nor coffee 5 cents per cup).
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Monday, May 11, 2015
Is Crude Oil Price Rally Over? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions with a stop-loss order at $65.23 are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
On Friday, crude oil moved lower after the market’s open weakened by a stronger U.S. dollar. Despite this move, the commodity reversed and rebounded in the following hours, gaining 0.85% and closing the day above $59, but did this upswing change anything?
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Monday, May 11, 2015
Gold Trading Week Ahead - 11 May 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Harley_Salt
After a big week last week with the UK election and US non-farm payroll data released, this week also has a number of key events and releases that will influence the direction of gold, particularly mid-week.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 11, 2015
Gold Price Nearing An Important Pivot Point / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldSilverWorlds
In this article, we show gold’s developing story in 7 amazing charts. As usual, we look at gold from different angles. If anything, it becomes clear that the precious metals market is nearing a pivot point. We cannot be sure in which direction this will resolve, we can only keep on monitoring the developments in the weeks and months ahead until we see a trend. Based on our analysis, we are quite convinced that a new trend in precious metals will arise in the next few months.
Sunday, May 10, 2015
Gold Price Remains Range-Bound Creating A Perfect Opportunity For Scalping / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Submissions
Nicholas Kitonyi writes: Over the last two months, the price of gold appears to have taken a sideways movement as it oscillated within the $1,175 and $1,220 price levels.
This is contrary to the movement witnessed from January to late March, when the price of the yellow metal recorded massive rallies and declines, at some point rising from about $1,165 an ounce to above the $1,300 level, before falling again to well below $1,150. There have been reports suggesting that gold could touch $1,300 again by May this year, but based on the current trend, that does not seem like it is going to happen any time soon.