Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, January 28, 2013

Is The Gold Tide Now Turning? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Brian_Bloom

An open mind is essential for economic survival in today’s fast changing world – but one should be conscious of the potential for being attracted to arguments that lead to prejudicial outcomes.

The chart below (courtesy stockcharts.com) is a 5% X 3 box reversal Point &Figure chart of the ratio of gold shares/gold price. I have chosen this scale for the purpose of identifying long term trends

Monday, January 28, 2013

Gold and Silver Miners Making Waves and New Trends / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The precious metals sector has been dormant since both gold and silver topped in 2011. But the long term bull market remains intact. As long as we do not have the price of gold close below the lower yellow box on the monthly chart then technical speaking precious metals should continue much higher.

Large consolidation periods (yellow boxes) provide investors with great insight for investments looking forward 6-18 months upon a breakout in either direction (up or down). The issue with investing during these times is the passage of time. One can hold a position for months and sometimes years having their investments fluctuate adding extra stress to their life when they really do not need to.

Sunday, January 27, 2013

Corn – Smart Money Putting On Short-Squeeze Clinic / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Michael_Noonan

While most eyes remain fixed on gold and silver, and the stock market, to a
lesser extent, the Fed having driven the little investor away, we take a fresh
look at the corn market. It has been some time since we last visited grains,
and corn deserves some attention. What do traders in PMs, S&P, Natural Gas,
Notes, or Corn have in common? To them, nothing. Being chart-driven, for
us all charts are the same. An opportunity is what we look for, and it matters
not from which sector that opportunity arises. Nor does not matter what the
underlying product is in any chart. We are equal-seeking opportunists.

Sunday, January 27, 2013

The Time Is Now For All Gold Investors! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Darah_Bazargan

Sunday, January 27, 2013

Gold And Silver – All Fundamentals/Opinions Are Useless / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

All general statements are untrue, [including the one above and this one].
There are exceptions to every general rule, so they cannot always be true.

There is truth to the consideration that all fundamentals and opinions are
useless in the markets, as they pertain to timing, and timing plays a huge
role when investing/trading. What fundamentals/opinions do is put one’s
belief system into a context with regard to the market[s]. If one wants to
profit from any belief, he/she is then pitted against the forces of the
marketplace in their exercise.

Saturday, January 26, 2013

Greenland Future Resources Boom / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Richard_Mills

Greenland is located in the North Atlantic Ocean adjacent to the Canadian arctic archipelago. About 80 per cent of Greenland is ice cap that can be up to 3kms thick. Approximately one-twentieth of the world's ice and one-quarter of the earth's surface ice is found in Greenland – the ice-free zone around the ice cap is up to 300 kms wide and covers an area of 410,000 km² (area of Germany is 357,000 km).

Saturday, January 26, 2013

Encouraging Gold Mining Stocks Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: P_Radomski_CFA

In our updates we regularly reply to questions regarding gold and silver investments that we receive from our subscribers. The question that we received this week along with our reply provides a good introduction to more detailed analysis of the precious metals mining stock charts.

Q: Back in early November of last year, with gold at 1685 and the Dow at 13,100, GDX was at 50. Compared to today, GDX has to gain $5 just to return to that status, where miners were already beaten down.

Friday, January 25, 2013

Gold Price Forecasts - "It's All My Fault" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jeff_Clark

Common sense dictates that when you need information or advice on something you're unfamiliar with, you consult with a professional. That's what people do, whether refinancing a home, choosing an insurance product, or fixing a broken heater. While professionals certainly have their own agendas, they still know more about their products or services than others, and can at least help them make more informed decisions.

Friday, January 25, 2013

Silver Investing and the Sanctity of Savings / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

A basic issue with silver investing for many people is that the actual metal is scarce, valuable and increasingly vulnerable to explicit and implicit confiscation.

Yet silver is not only an investment vehicle. It also acts as an alternative savings vehicle to saving wealth in fiat currencies.

Friday, January 25, 2013

The Price of Silver in the Age of Broken Promises / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The price of silver remains at the mercy of the big banks that make of the majority of the short side at COMEX — which is still the primary paper pricing mechanism for silver.

Could silver prices go above $50 and beyond this year — and then perhaps retest $50 as a floor?

Friday, January 25, 2013

Gold Backed Bonds - An Alternative To European Economic Austerity? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,670.25, EUR 1,243.39, and GBP 1,058.93 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,677.00, EUR 1,258.06, and GBP 1,059.18 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $31.55/oz, €23.54/oz and £20.04/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,689.00/oz, palladium at $723.00/oz and rhodium at $1,200/oz.

Friday, January 25, 2013

Gold Looking Sloppy Short term, But Pullback Attractive / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

The GOLD PRICE slipped back to last night's near-two week lows at $1665 per ounce Friday lunchtime in London, heading for a 1.1% drop on the week as world stock markets and other "risk assets" rose.

Silver also ticked lower to trade 2.7% beneath Wednesday's 5-week highs.

Germany's Ifo index of business sentiment meantime hit its best level since June.

Friday, January 25, 2013

Natural Gas – Uncovering Trade Potentials / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Michael_Noonan

We like Natural Gas from the long side, ever since the 9 January "double bottom." What was needed was a weak correction, or retest of that day's low, but it never came as price kept rallying higher every day. Last night, while reviewing markets, in general, this chart jumped out for a short-term short position.

The first thing noticed was the wide range bar on Tuesday, second bar from end. The close was weak, just under mid-range the bar, and volume increased. Increased volume on a wide range bar is always worth noting. Turns out, there was also a three day clustering of closes, and all of this occurring at a potential resistance area, noted by the broken horizontal lines where a downside gap formed.

Friday, January 25, 2013

Uranium $100+/Pound Needed to Satisfy Stealth Demand / Commodities / Uranium

By: The_Energy_Report

What's the easiest way to track the ups and downs of energy markets? Watch what governments are doing rather than what they are saying, says S&A Resource Report Editor Matt Badiali. He has been watching behind-the-scenes nuclear energy importing in Germany and Japan and has concluded that the uranium market has hit bottom and is coming back up. What companies could benefit from these gyrations? He has an answer to that one in this Energy Report interview, plus some words of wisdom on U.S. oil and gas bottlenecks.

Thursday, January 24, 2013

Bored Gold Traders But Long-Term Case "Robust" as Russia Buys / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

PRECIOUS METALS prices fell in Asian and London trade Thursday morning, taking gold and silver to 1-week lows as commodity prices also dropped and stock markets stalled.

Shares in Apple Inc. were set to open New York trade 8% lower after the gadget giant reported weak Christmas sales.

New purchasing managers' data today showed business activity and sentiment in China rising to a two-year high.

Thursday, January 24, 2013

Forget Germany, Check Out Turkey's Central-Bank Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

Now here's a central bank really putting gold to good use...

AMID the brouhaha over Germany's gold reserves at the Bundesbank, there's another central bank using gold actively to bolster its currency and financial stability.

The strategy looks the same – sitting on big stockpiles of the stuff. But the aim differs, because gold is much closer to the everyday financial system. The tactics differ too. Because the central bank hasn't bought and paid for this gold. Private citizens have.

Thursday, January 24, 2013

Faber to Shiller: “You Keep Your U.S. Dollars And I’ll Keep My Gold” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,677.00, EUR 1,258.06, and GBP 1,059.18 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,692.25, EUR 1,268.84, and GBP 1,066.19 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $31.92/oz, €24.05/oz and £20.26/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,692.75/oz, palladium at $718.00/oz and rhodium at $1,200/oz.

Thursday, January 24, 2013

Australia’s Metal Miners hitch a Ride to China’s Economy  / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Gary_Dorsch

Navigating a metals mining company through the treacherous seas of the global economy is no easy task. There are many headwinds that can capsize a mining company or steer it far off course, if the captain of the ship doesn’t read the signals of the marketplace correctly. And it’s not only shareholders that can get hurt from calamitous decisions, but also CEO’s, such as Rio Tinto’s boss, who was sacked last week, because of a string of $34-billion of write downs, stemming from ill-timed and over priced acquisitions of aluminum and coal mines.

Thursday, January 24, 2013

Buy Silver if Global Economy Strengthens / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: InvestmentContrarian

George Leong writes: In April 2011, when silver was trading at $50.00 an ounce, Bank of America Merrill Lynch was extremely bullish and suggested $80.00 was possible. (Source: “Prospect of silver hitting $80 shakes up stock, ETF markets,” International Business Times, May 1, 2011, last accessed January 22, 2013.) Of course, this hasn’t been the scenario, as the metal faces tough resistance at $35.00. Until there is a strong breakout here, I doubt the $40.00-level will be achievable.

Wednesday, January 23, 2013

Goldman Sachs Short-Term Bullish, Long-Term Bearish Call On Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Richard_Shaw

Goldman Sachs predicts a gold spike in the near term to $1800+, but eventual decline to about 1200 by 2018.  Their view is that safe haven seeking behavior will reduce as economies heal and interest rates rise, and risk assets appreciate.  In particular, they are concerned that when interest rates revert from negative real rates to positive real rates, the price of gold will experience strong negative pressures, which they feel will probably outweigh other factors that may produce positive price pressures.