Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Silver Price Recoups Sharp Loss, Rising on Record Volume / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,378.75, EUR 1,070.21 and GBP 908.39 per ounce.  
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,353.75, EUR 1,051.95 and GBP 890.86 per ounce. 

Gold climbed $19.40 or 1.43% yesterday to $1,384.30/oz and silver finished 2% higher. 

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Gold Stocks Big Rally Forecast / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

1. Huge rallies begin from these conditions

Below is the NYSE Gold Miners Index which is tracked by the GDX ETF. Look at the RSI. Not only did it reach a multi-decade low but it has remained oversold far longer than during the comparable periods. In the four previous periods, the market rebounded suddenly and strongly in percentage terms. Meanwhile, the bullish percent index, a breath indicator is more oversold than in 2008. We plot the indicator with a 10-week moving average that shows it as far more oversold than in 2008. While this indicator does not go back that far, odds are it is likely at a 13-year low.

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Gold Prices Dead Cat Bounce / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Bob_Kirtley

On Monday, May 13, 2013 we wrote that Gold Prices would Re-Test $1350/oz level and so they did, trading sub $1340/0z at one stage. Gold had fallen for 7 straight days from $1470/oz before the slide was arrested earlier today with a bounce that pushed gold up to $1391/oz.

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Resurgence of the Nuclear Reactor, The Coming Uranium Bull Market / Commodities / Uranium

By: Casey_Research

In August 1956, the Calder Hall Power Plant in Seascale, England began generating electricity and earned the distinction of being the world's first commercial nuclear power plant. It was a humble beginning for nuclear power; the plant only had a 50-megawatt (MW) output capacity, whereas the smallest US plant today has a 478 MW capacity. Nonetheless, Calder Hall represented the launch of a new era in energy that promised to bring electricity too cheap to meter.

But early on, the promising power source had its detractors. They objected to the high initial cost of constructing nuclear plants, the problems of radioactive waste disposal, and the risks of nuclear accidents and nuclear proliferation.

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Gold Market Motive, Means, and Opportunity / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: DeviantInvestor

MOTIVE: The various governments of the world and their central banks produce and distribute a product – paper currencies. Those currencies are backed by confidence, faith, and credit, but not by gold, oil, or anything real. Those currencies are digitally printed to excess, since almost all governments spend more than their revenues. The UK, Japan, and the USA are prime examples.

Monday, May 20, 2013

Silver Surges From Lows After Being Slammed 10% Lower In 4 Minutes / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,353.75, EUR 1,051.95 and GBP 890.86 per ounce.
Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,376.75, EUR 1,069.15 and GBP 903.62 per ounce.

Gold fell $22.20 on Friday to $1,364.90/oz and silver closed at $23.632.

Monday, May 20, 2013

Gold and Bank Account Balances / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Alasdair_Macleod

There has been a growing shift in favour of assets relative to bank deposits. This was initially encouraged by zero interest rates, but more recently there is little doubt that Cyprus's bail-in has accelerated the trend. This explains the bull markets in bonds and equities, which conveniently underwrites the entire banking system. It is however too early to offer evidence of falling deposit balances held by non-banks and the general public because depositors as a whole have been remarkably complacent, but there is ample evidence that liquidity from monetary expansion is inflating financial assets faster than bank deposits.

Monday, May 20, 2013

Silver More Weakness Before Price Takes off Higher Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Clive_Maund

Much of what is written about the macro factors affecting gold applies equally to silver, and will not be repeated here.

Silver's post plunge relief rally was considerably weaker and more stunted than gold's, and with it now back near to its April plunge lows after the drop last week, the chances are considered high that it will break to new lows soon. That said, its latest COTs and sentiment indicators are now strongly bullish, so that although it may well break to lower lows soon, it is thought unlikely that there will be much downside follow through before it hits bottom. We can see all this on its 9-month chart below, and how it is clinging on by its fingernails to the support at the April lows. Before leaving this chart, notice the large gap between the price and the 200-day moving average, which just by itself is a positive factor.

Monday, May 20, 2013

Bottoming Gold Should be Bought as Stocks Approach Blow off Top / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Clive_Maund

For those of you who are short of time and are accustomed to scrolling down to the bottom of an article to read its conclusions I'm going to save you the trouble by putting the conclusions at the start: the broad US stockmarkets are approaching a parabolic blowoff top and should be sold, and gold and silver are bottoming and should be bought. If you have fallen to the floor laughing at this suggestion it is a sign that you have been brainwashed by The Ministry of Disinformation and you are warned to pull yourself together and take the time to calmly consider the hard facts presented below - otherwise you won't be laughing at all in a few months when YOU will be lying face down in the dirt with tire tracks across your back.

Monday, May 20, 2013

Commodities Bear Market Elliott Wave Analysis / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: EWI

We have written about the commodity market over the years, and have been generally bearish for quite some time. The typical commodity bull market lasts about 13 years, followed by about a 21 year bear market. This is the 34-year cycle. Commodity bull markets usually begin near the beginning of stock market Secular inflation/deflation cycles. Then end just before these cycles end. During the stock market Secular growth cycles commodities remain in a longer term bear market.

Sunday, May 19, 2013

Gold Supply and Demand Fundamentals for Q1 2013 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jason_Hamlin

Global gold demand for the first quarter of 2013 declined both in terms of tonnage (-13%) and dollars (-16%).

The volume decline was driven primarily by 177 tonnes of outflows from ETFs, versus inflows of 53 tonnes last year. If we remove this component from the mix, total global demand actually increased by 8% during the first quarter.

Sunday, May 19, 2013

Why You Should Short Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Submissions

Tom Clayton writes: Short Gold is at the top of my list of a possible continuous of the deterioration in the $Price of Gold.  Using the the Charts, It is easier to visualize.  With the stockmarket making new highs weekly, why own gold. With Inflation under control, according to Fed figures, if you can believe after eliminating the Volatile Prices of Food and Energy.. which is the heart of Inflation..Right?  The rate of inflation is reported at 3.1% but if you include Food & Energy.. it would be over 10% and unemployment would be 15% after eliminating those who have given up looking for a job, according to John Williams of Shadow Statistics. Anyway, inflation of 3.1% is “no reason to own Gold”? 

Sunday, May 19, 2013

Crude Oil Price Rides With The Asset Bubble - But Not Forever / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andrew_McKillop

BUBBLE TROUBLE
Indicators as wide-ranging as real-versus-official inflation indexes, T-bond fundamentals against daytrade technicals and all major stock markets hitting the roof have a faithful tracker in the paper oil asset boom. For many, the orgy of central bank "easing" is a prime mover of this megatrend, and the attitude of central bankers can be gleaned by the comment, reported by Reuters May 13, from the head of Italy's central bank, Ignazio Visco, who is also a policymaker of the European Central Bank. Visco suggests that the ECB could cut its deposit rate below zero, effectively charging banks for parking any spare cash they do not lend. Although paper gold has now wilted, with plenty of help from market manipulators oil has temporarily, only temporarily gone the other way.

Sunday, May 19, 2013

Gold And Silver True Story Is All About Time - Be Prepared / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

We are going to start off with one of the most eye-popping pictures of just one central bank, the privately owned corporate Federal Reserve, and its purported gold holding. Occasionally, we drop a bit of history that most people either ignore or simply do not believe, but this one cannot be conveniently shunted aside.

One of the provisions in the FEDERAL Constitution, the 14th Amendment, [the original, organic Constitution had only 10 provisions, aka The Bill Of Rights], a hornet's nest for an unsuspecting public, we our focus in on the one germane to the graph below. It is found in Section 4:

Saturday, May 18, 2013

Commodities Boom to be Driven by the Urbanisation of 1 Billion More People / Commodities / Demographics

By: Richard_Mills

Many, many years ago during a lengthy argument with a friend he told me to 'give it a doubt' - he meant I was wrong.

The herd is convinced the commodities boom is over. Doom and gloom, the sky is falling, the bears argument sounds convincing - growth has stopped, economies are slowing. Looking at the TSX.V's performance (most of the world's mineral exploration firms call the Venture Exchange home) it's as if people are convinced the need to search for, develop and mine new mineral deposits is over.

Friday, May 17, 2013

The Last Investable Moment for Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

In the context of the current U.S. Dollar valuation bubble, silver’s eventual price rise seem inevitable. This paper currency bubble commenced with a desperate flight to quality, despite the fact that the U.S. Dollar had been an intrinsically worthless currency since it was taken off the gold standard by Nixon in the early 1970’s.

Silver is one of many sought after investment choices when risk aversion is high. What makes it a convenient choice happens to be that the metallic commodity has special qualities that have historically made it one of the best forms of money.

Friday, May 17, 2013

Silver COT Report - The Day the Numbers Lied / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Prices ended down slightly once again for both silver and gold last week. There was no great change noted in the COT reports for either precious metal, and the monthly Bank Participation Report was a non-event for silver. This is once again leaving many observers scratching their heads about the suddenly questionable reliability of these numbers.

Friday, May 17, 2013

Gold Wars: U.S. Undermining Iranian Currency By Blocking Gold Imports / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,376.75, EUR 1,069.15 and GBP 903.62 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,377.00, EUR 1,070.01 and GBP 904.32 per ounce.

Friday, May 17, 2013

The Key Reason to Buy Gold Stocks Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Money_Morning

Tony Daltorio writes: One of the most successful long-term strategies when hunting for the best stocks to buy is contrarian investing.

It's a rather simple strategy: buy something when it is out of favor and everyone else is selling, which leads to bargain prices. Then wait for sentiment to turn, sell and pocket your profit.

Friday, May 17, 2013

Will Soaring Stock Market Indices Hit the Ceiling? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: DailyGainsLetter

Moe Zulfiqar writes: The stock market rally that began in March of 2009 is gaining attention once again. The key stock indices have surpassed the highs they registered before the U.S. economy was hit with a financial crisis and the ones made at the peak of the tech boom.

With all this, the direction in which the key stock indices are headed next has become a topic of discussion among investors: can they go any higher? Or we are bound to see another market sell-off, like the one we saw in 2008 and early 2009?