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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, April 15, 2016

How Do the Gold ETFs Really Work? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

To understand the relationship between the gold ETFs’ inventories and the price of gold it is necessary to grasp how the ETFs work. As we already know, the aim of gold ETFs is to replicate the performance of gold. How do they achieve that? Surely, they purchase and hold the gold bullion (at least SDPR Gold Trust claims to do it, since many other gold ETFs hold gold futures contracts rather than bullion, but it does change the underlying mechanism at work). This is basically why the ETFs net assets value (NAV) tracks the price of gold so well. What is NAV? It is the sum of funds’ assets less any liabilities, divided by the number of outstanding shares. Assume that there are 1000 shares of an ETF, which holds 100 ounces of gold. If the price of gold is $1200 per ounce, the NAV amounts to $120. Since SPDR Gold Trust holds only gold bullion, the net assets value of a GLD share will naturally move by the same percentage as the gold prices (regardless of the absolute level of gold inventories).

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Commodities

Friday, April 15, 2016

Gold Miners Arrived At Huge Resistance After An Incredible Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: InvestingHaven

Gold is definitely story of 2016, at least so far. The yellow metal rose some 25% in the first quarter. That rally was impressive, but the performance of precious metals miners was even better, as the rally of most gold miners surpassed 100%  in 2016. Incredible.

Is this the time to enter the gold mining space or stay on the sidelines?

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Commodities

Thursday, April 14, 2016

Silver Manipulation Cultists Cheer “Proof” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

Ah yes, the silver manipulation crowd is ecstatic this AM as they gleefully point to news that Deutsche Bank has agreed to settle in a class action lawsuit which claimed that it, along with several other large banks, had been rigging the silver price at the London Silver Fix.

The claim by the silver cultists is that the bank would not have agreed to settle if they had done nothing wrong. Hello? Ever heard of companies settling nuisance lawsuits to make them go away? Nowadays it is called the “cost of doing business”.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 14, 2016

Gold Could Explode Higher as Precious Metals Become Shariah Compliant / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

You won’t find any mainstream articles on the Jubilee Year’s secret timeline for financial ruin. Hell, you won’t even find alternative media articles on it – except here at TDV. But that doesn’t mean people aren’t aware of what’s going on. In this case, the top money men in the Middle East are racing to get gold approved as a Shariah compliant asset.

You can bet the smart Middle Eastern money is getting ready to hit the yellow metal hard. The demand may contribute to the gold market’s already significant buoyancy this year – as Middle Eastern buyers jump into considerable tonnage as soon as possible.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 14, 2016

Tesla And Other Tech Giants Scramble For Lithium As Prices Double / Commodities / Lithium

By: OilPrice_Com

Demand for lithium -- the hottest commodity on the planet and the only commodity to show positive price movement in 2015 -- is poised to continue on its upward trajectory, becoming the world's new gasoline and earning the moniker of "White Petroleum". And the battle for market share in and around this commodity has everyone from major tech players to trend-setting investor gurus vying for a foothold.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 13, 2016

Gold and Silver Shares – How High Can They Go? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Dudley_Baker

In December 2003 Edward Gofsky wrote a great article titled,

“The 21st Century Gold Rush:
How High Can Gold and Silver Stocks Go?
Higher Than You Might Think!!”

Being a bull on the precious metals I thought then what a great article. I have been in touch with Edward and he has given me permission to use his article.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 13, 2016

Buy Gold – Advises HSBC / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Buy gold is the call of HSBC technical analysts who are becoming increasingly bullish on gold and increasingly bearish on stocks as reported by Business Insider.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 13, 2016

Natural Gas Rebound Meets Resistance / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: AnyOption

The recovery in gas prices from the March lows continues to play out, although it is increasingly evident that fundamental conditions will not alleviate the downside pressure on prices over the near-to-medium term especially as seasonal demand factors subside.  With production possibly to climb amid higher prices, the stage is set for a renewed downturn in prices following the technical correction higher in prices, aided in part by a brief cold front that swept across the United States.  Demand growth on its own will not be enough to offset the record seasonal storage levels, with only falling supply helping to correct the ongoing imbalance.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 12, 2016

Commodities Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

Commodities (S&P GS commodity index) saw their first rally in three weeks last week with a gain of 3.98% to close at 329 (thanks to Friday's 4.05% gain). If BWI hadn't moved into a confirmed sell-mode last week, commodities look as if they are extending the Jan. rally. Bulls wait for a close over the March high at 337. Bears get short on any sign of a double top near that same level.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 12, 2016

Surging Mining Stocks Point to Big Move Ahead in Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Spring has sprung for precious metals mining stocks.The HUI gold stocks index surged 6.2% on Monday to close at a 14-month high. The HUI chart shows a strong base was built from last summer through this January, and from that base a new bull market has begun.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 12, 2016

Gold Money or Digital Money? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

Guest Post from Graham Reinders, an intelligent man with vast experience. (slightly edited)

What Do We Want From Gold?

  • Roosevelt proved that gold was a political/financial tool, and its value is politically governed.
  • Nixon proved two things: that the “Gold Standard” was nothing more than an arbitrary political tool, and indeed he made gold “legally” not money anymore. To make it illegal is an easy step if necessary. Gold is now such a small fraction of the economy I do not think it matters except as an underground currency.
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Commodities

Tuesday, April 12, 2016

Gold Commitments of Traders / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

There was little change in this week’s Commitments of Traders report when it came to the positioning of traders within the gold futures market.

Here is an updated chart reflecting the current composition.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 12, 2016

Silver Price Surges 8% In 6 Days To Over $16 Per Ounce / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Silver bullion prices surged 3.65% yesterday and have surged 8% in just six trading days. Silver rose 56 cents from $15.34 to $15.90 per ounce yesterday, made further gains in Asian and early European trading and broke above the psychological resistance of $16 per ounce.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 12, 2016

Long and Intermediate Trends Crushing Gold and Silver Commercials… / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the tug-of-war going on between the Japanese yen and the U.S. dollar/Chinese yuan, and its effect on precious metals.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 12, 2016

Silver Price Climbs to $16, Confirming Gold’s Breakout / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jason_Hamlin

Hi Ho Silver, Away!

Precious metals have registered a blistering start to the year. After more than four years of defeat, gold bulls once again have something to be excited about. The gold price is up 19% year to date and the mining stock ETF (GDX) is up over 60% since the start of the year. Not bad for a barbarous relic!

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Commodities

Monday, April 11, 2016

HUI Goldbugs Index : Some Perfect Chartology / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

Below is a daily chart for the HUI which shows one of the original patterns that formed the, what turned out to be a Diamond reversal pattern to the upside. There are at least several more reversal patterns that formed at this most important low. As you can see the Diamond had seven reversal point making it a reversal pattern to the upside. The breakout was accompanied by a gap and then a backtest to the top rail. Everything looked good to go at that point then after just four days of rallying the HUI quickly reversed direction and traded below the apex of the blue triangle which is not what I wanted to see as that usually is a bearish setup in this case.

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Commodities

Monday, April 11, 2016

Crude Oil Stocks - For the Bulls or Bears? / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: Nadia_Simmons

In the previous month, crude oil extended gains and climbed above the barrier of $40. Despite this improvement, the combination of resistance levels encouraged oil bears to act, which resulted in erasing 40% of the previous upward move. What happened at the same time with oil stocks? What's next for the XOI? Let's jump right into charts (chart courtesy of http://stockcharts.com ) and find out what can we infer from them about future moves.

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Commodities

Monday, April 11, 2016

Commercial Gold Traders Appear to be Losing Their Grip! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Peter_Degraaf

For years the best trading strategy in gold and silver has been to buy when the ‘net short’ position of commercial traders was low, and sell when the numbers were high.

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Commodities

Monday, April 11, 2016

Gold Mining Shares Topping, Drop Due / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Either we saw a top in the mining shares Friday or we will see it on Monday. The cycles suggest a low around April 19th and the e-wave pattern suggests a continuation higher after the bottom is put in, likely into early June.

The 8 year low still looms in the fall. I still believe we will see lower prices after the spring rally terminates, and lower stock prices and a strong dollar play havoc with the commodity sector.

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Commodities

Saturday, April 09, 2016

Is Silver a Long Term Buy or Bull Trap / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Submissions

Vimal Patel writes: Conflicting charts patterns suggest we may be entering a long term Bull market

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