Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, November 30, 2016
A 6 Step Plan for Trump to Make Our Money Great Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jp Cortez & Stefan Gleason : Donald Trump will be sworn in as the 45th president of the United States in January. Americans will then find out then if "Make America Great Again" is more than a campaign slogan.
It isn't going to be easy. On day one, he will inherit a $20 trillion federal deficit and a moribund economy increasingly reliant on low interest rates and central bank stimulus.
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Wednesday, November 30, 2016
Indian Demonetization Denotes Severe Stress in the Global Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
It is becoming clear that the Indian currency demonetization is actually a planned attack on Indian gold demand, launched to disrupt gold prices and discredit gold as an asset class. The attack was required to alleviate severe stress in the global gold market that is becoming increasingly difficult for the Deep State controllers to contain.
For two decades, physical gold has been migrating from the west to the east in increasing quantities. Numerous reports cross-confirm that the world’s leading refineries are operating at capacity to convert western gold into the kilo products demanded by Asian buyers. Refiners also confirm that the sourcing of western gold has become problematic, as supplies dry up in the face of voracious world, and particularly eastern demand.
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Tuesday, November 29, 2016
Owning Gold and Silver in Troubling Times / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
I am writing this article for the gold and silver bullion purchaser who wants the comfort, the insurance of owning some gold and silver in what are very troubling times.
There's a lot going on in the world - from Trump being elected in the U.S. to turmoil in the middle east, the China Sea and Turkey, Russia is flexing it's still considerable might, North Korea's flinging it's nukes helter skelter, Japan's rearming, disease runs rampant and fear escalates about virus mutation, there's shortages of fresh water with many rivers not reaching their former endpoint and of course climate change is rearing its head to destabilize natural rhythms or cycles. Add in out of control population growth, the divide between races, religion and wage inequality - the have and have not's - and a coming major economic collapse caused by interest rate increases on the trillions and trillions of dollars of global debt and it'd be hard to go back in history and pick a period of time when things weren't so combustible.
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Monday, November 28, 2016
Simple Yet Powerful Technical Trading Tools / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Jeffrey Kennedy discusses technical tools that support Elliott wave analysis
In this new interview, Jeffrey Kennedy gives a trading lesson on how to use trendlines, trend channels, price gaps and other technical tools in conjunction with Elliott wave analysis.
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Sunday, November 27, 2016
Gold Price is Oversold but Broken / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Last week we wrote that the 2016 bull market in Gold and gold stocks had gone off course. It had moved too far out of the historical boundaries to remain a bull market. There was also other evidence of such including but not limited to rising real yields. Gold’s last hope was to hold $1200-$1210 and rebound back to the highs. It has broken bull market support ($1200-$1210 and $1230) and could be on its way to $1050 in the next few months.
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Sunday, November 27, 2016
This Past Week in Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.
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Saturday, November 26, 2016
What Does Trump Mean for Gold Investments? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The market reaction to Trump's election victory—stocks and the dollar up, gold down—was the opposite of what had been widely foreseen. Money manager Adrian Day takes a look into what happened and why, and discusses the outlook going forward.
At the core of the market reaction are interest rates. Bonds declined sharply on the Trump victory. They had already been falling for the last several months, and the growing conviction of a rate increase in December stepped up the decline. Trump, with his grandiose spending and debt plans, only exacerbated that decline.
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Saturday, November 26, 2016
Gold Price Down 13.5% In 13 Days - Opportunity For Geometric Price Cost Averaging / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
- Gold down 13% in 13 trading days since Trump election
- Factors that have led to lower gold prices
- Trump bearish for gold in coming four years?
- ‘Trumpflation’ cometh
- Sharia gold – vaulted gold accessible to 110 million new investors
- What to do? Diversify and geometric price cost average
Saturday, November 26, 2016
What Investors Can Learn from Gold Yen Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Our Market Overview would be incomplete without remarks about gold priced in the Japanese yen. Chart 1 shows nominal gold prices denominated both in the U.S. dollar and the Japanese currency, while Chart 2 plots the indices of gold prices in these two currencies.
Chart 1: The price of gold in U.S. dollars (yellow line, right axis) and in Japanese yen (red line, left axis) from January 1979 to September 2016.
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Thursday, November 24, 2016
The Gold Bears Are in For a Massive Surprise / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
If you’re serious about making money from investing in the financial markets, you need to be able to read the crowd… and go against it.
Let me give you an example… Currently one of the consensus views is that the Gold rally is over and gold is dead as an investment.
Right off the bat, you know this sentiment is at an extreme. Despite its recent sell-off, Gold is still crushing stocks in terms of performance year to date.
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Thursday, November 24, 2016
A little perspective on the post-election Gold market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Most of gold’s downside is geared not to the financial decisions of millions of investors around the globe, as the mainstream media would have you believe, but rather to linear computer algorithms geared to the dollar index. The trading part of the software has been told to automatically place trades at certain correlated price levels and that is why we get these waterfall drops. The rocket launch trajectories to the upside come when the trading function is told to buy and cover the previous shorts.
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Wednesday, November 23, 2016
Gold and Monetary Populism: The Oligarchs’ Mortal Enemies – The Peoples’ Salvation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Desperation is setting in. The blatant attacks on gold are occurring almost exclusively during the Comex floor-trading hours now. Every night gold pushes higher as Asia’s appetite is seemingly voracious. The two most systemically dangerous banks right now, it was revealed according to the IMF, are JP Morgan and Citibank. I’m sure part of the smash is in response to that. All this action between gold and the dollar means is that the counter-force reaction to what the Fed is doing is going to be even more forceful. They already can’t control the dollar and the strong dollar is going to decimate Q4 revenues and earnings. Give it 6 months and I bet they start talking about the need to print more money. Gold will sniff that out well ahead of time.
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Wednesday, November 23, 2016
Russia Gold Buying In October Is Biggest Monthly Allocation Since 1998 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Russia gold buying accelerated in October with the Russian central bank buying a very large 48 metric tonnes or 1.3 million ounces of gold bullion.
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Wednesday, November 23, 2016
Why Mexico’s Oil Reform Is A Huge Opportunity For Investors / Commodities / Oil Companies
When a massive country de-nationalizes its entire energy sector and opens its oil and gas doors for the first time ever to foreign companies, the opportunities are staggering.
Welcome to the ‘new’ Mexico, and welcome to the early stages of an oil and gas game that will be bigger—from an investor’s perspective—than anything in history.
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Wednesday, November 23, 2016
Silver and Gold - We Can’t Understand It for Them / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
For years I have calmly, patiently, and for the most part rationally, listened to friends, family, patients, and colleagues grapple with the notion of precious metals.
The majority understand the basic reasons why some portion of portfolio allocation is necessary or prudent, but very few have (or will) taken action.
Often, people are shocked that I would be interested in the matter to begin with. I think subconsciously people understand to be a “Doctor” is to be a teacher, but on the surface most people find it odd and uncomfortable to accept my interest and quest in something that rarely occurs to them.
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Tuesday, November 22, 2016
Will Crude Oil Price Rally to $50? / Commodities / Crude Oil
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Long positions (with a stop-loss order at $41.39 and initial upside target at $49.53) are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
On Friday, crude oil moved higher once again as optimism over an OPEC deal to limit production continued to weigh on investors' sentiment. In this environment, light crude gained 0.83% and closed the day above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. What does it mean for the commodity?
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Tuesday, November 22, 2016
Gold Price Forecast: Nasty Naughty November Gold Price Trend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
As all are well aware the price of gold initiated a new bull market since December 2015 (rising from $1,050 to its $1,376 peak in early July this year. Indeed it was a spectacular bull price run where gold soared more than +30% in only six months. Indeed spectacular!
Subsequently, the bull trend petered out in early July. Since then the price of gold has been steadily declining. Moreover, there are several reasons for this on-going price consolidation…and why it has yet to put in a bottom:
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield Soaring
- US$ Index Surges
- US$ vs 3-Month T-Bill
- Weekly $UST1Y vs USD Chart
- Point&Figure Projections (Gold, USD and Silver)
- Traditional November Gold Price Decline
Monday, November 21, 2016
This Past Week in Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest movements in the gold and silver markets, and shows why investors can expect lower prices overall.
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Monday, November 21, 2016
Energy Sector Cycle Turns Up / Commodities / Energy Resources
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts a new buy signal in the energy sector.
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Monday, November 21, 2016
Silver Is Not Real Money / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Is silver real money? I don’t think so. But I know that my proclamation will likely draw vociferous contradictions from others who consider themselves “hard-money advocates”.
That’s okay. Let’s look at the facts. And in order to be consistent with the introduction of my companion article GOLD IS REAL MONEY, let’s start similarly here. In this case though, I will list what silver is rather than what it is not. Silver is:
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