Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, January 04, 2017
The Gold Owner's Guide to 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Michael_J_Kosares
Reversal, resurgence and renewal on the road to the new year
Read full article... Read full article...Quietly, while all attention was riveted on the U.S. election, gold made a notable comeback in 2016. The gain was not spectacular at 8.7%, but it was respectable, and it came after three straight down years. (Silver had an even better year with a 15.2% gain.) In addition and perhaps even more importantly, global investment demand registered its fourth largest increase since the 2011 post-crisis peak. That resurgence suggests that down years for gold did not temper the global inclination to own it. To be sure, these numbers in tandem represent an important turnaround for gold and a break from the near-term past. It is also perhaps the first hint that we may have turned the page from the corrective phase of the cycle to resumption of the long-term secular bull market for both gold and silver.
Tuesday, January 03, 2017
Commodities: New Year's Promises Vs. Elliott Wave Patterns / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: EWI
2011, 2014, and 2016: The year's performance has consistently followed its Elliott wave script
It's that time of year again, when before us an entirely new blank slate is laid, which we eagerly fill with promises of better health, habits, and life choices.
But, according to Statisticsbrain.com, only 8% of people successfully carry through with their New Year's resolutions -- or as I like to call them, Maybe-lutions.
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Tuesday, January 03, 2017
What IF Gold has a Drop Dead Line? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Rambus_Chartology
In part 2 of this Weekend Report we’ll take an indepth look at gold and especially the long term view. Again, this is just for entertainment purposes only until gold can close below a very important trendline. I’ve been following this potential scenario since shortly after the US elections. Up until the elections this pattern I’m about to show you didn’t show its self, but now it’s one of the most important chart patterns for gold that I’ve posted in several years. As we discussed in part 1 , please read forward with an open mind regardless of what other information you re processing and what your current expectations are. This is an exercise in my preferred method of Technical Analysis , Chartology.
Tuesday, January 03, 2017
The No.1 Silver Stock for 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
By: OilPrice_Com
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Tuesday, January 03, 2017
Silver Prices and the Russian Connection / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: DeviantInvestor
Silver prices nearly reached $50.00 in April of 2011. They crashed to a low under $14 in December of 2015 and currently (December 2016) sit at about $16.
Silver prices, in our increasingly unreal debt based fiat currency world, streak higher and subsequently crash to unbelievable lows.
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Monday, January 02, 2017
Gold: Getting There A Little At A Time / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: John_Rubino
One of life’s hardest-to-learn but most necessary lessons is that things usually take a lot longer to work out than you’d like them to.
That’s where the sayings “Being too early is the same as being wrong” and “The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent” come from.
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Sunday, January 01, 2017
Gold And Silver 2017 – The Golden Lye / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Michael_Noonan
Lye – [noun] a strongly alkaline solution, esp. of potassium hydroxide, used for washing or cleansing.
There has indeed been an ongoing cleansing in the precious metals market since the spike highs five years ago. Remember, there have been calls for a massive turnaround in prices for both gold and silver since 2013…2014…again, even more so in 2015. 2016 has just freshly passed, and both metals continue to flirt with their lows from a year ago. A few years ago, all the rage was for the man and woman on the street to be buying gold and silver coins, long lines, especially in China, forming for blocks to make purchases for the inevitable rally “sure” to soon follow.
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Saturday, December 31, 2016
Gold and the SPX Stocks Bull Market / Commodities / Stock Market 2017
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2264. On Tuesday the market rallied to SPX 2274 in the opening minutes and then started to pullback. The pullback lasted all week, with one 9 point rally along the way, and hit SPX 2234 on Friday before bouncing to end the week at 2239. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 1.0%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 1.5%. Economic reports for the week were slightly positive. On the downtick: pending home sales, the Chicago PMI, plus the trade deficit increased. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, consumer confidence, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims decreased. Next week economic highlights: monthly payrolls, FOMC minutes and the ISMs. Happy New Year!
Saturday, December 31, 2016
Ready for New Year 2017 Massive Rally in Gold and SIlve rand Junior Miners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
By: Jeb_Handwerger
The Trump presidential election win has pushed capital into a major risk on rally, benefiting stocks, energy and the US dollar.
Interest rates are soaring in line with the Dow breaking 20k indicating major inflationary pressures.
Commodities such as industrial metals, copper and oil are rallying.
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Friday, December 30, 2016
Gold: No Bold Predictions for the New Year / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Kelsey_Williams
I’m not much of a fan when it comes to New Year’s predictions. There seems to be an almost fanatical obsession with ‘fortune telling’ when it comes to the financial markets. And gold is no exception.
Some twenty years ago when I was advising my financial planning clients to own gold shares as part of a diversified investment portfolio, my focus was more permanent and long-term. Of course, that is the way I viewed other asset classes as well. There were certainly no ‘predictions’ about performance over the next year or so. Since I retired in 2005, I have noticed that the time periods which we consider and focus on with respect to analysis and investing – be it stocks, real estate, etc. – have become increasingly short-term. In fact, the financial markets seem to be more characteristic of casino-type activity. Investing has become speculation.
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Friday, December 30, 2016
Gold Surges Above $1,150, Mining Stocks Rocket Higher, Time to Buy the Dip? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Jason_Hamlin
The gold price is showing strength heading into the close of 2016. The gold price has advanced for five straight days and is back above $1,150. The price put in a double bottom around $1,125 during December and the recent really suggests this may have been the bottom. After taking out $1,150, the gold price steadily climbed above $1,160 per ounce today.
Thursday, December 29, 2016
These Commodity Markets Resource Sectors Will Soar in 2017 / Commodities / Resources Investing
By: The_Gold_Report
A perfectly timed opportunity and a deep-value contrarian speculation are setting up in the resource sector, says Lior Gantz, editor of Wealth Research Group.
Thursday, December 29, 2016
Surging US Dollar in 2017 a Catalyst for Gold Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Gold has suffered recently in the wake of higher real interest rates while the US Dollar, thanks to higher yields has reached a 14-year high. Stronger real rates hurt Gold but so does a stronger US Dollar, which remains the dominant global currency. In addition to falling real interest rates Gold likely needs the US Dollar to approach a major peak. It may sound perverse to gold bugs but the sooner the US Dollar climbs and the stronger it gets, the closer Gold could be to the start of a new bull market.
Wednesday, December 28, 2016
Investing for Max Commodity Market Profits During a Trump US Presidency / Commodities / Investing 2017
By: Peter_Degraaf
By listening to President-elect Trump we can anticipate the effect his administration will have on the US economy.
Here is what we know: Mr. Trump plans to beef up the military, and improve US infrastructure, including a wall at the southern border.
While there are other priorities, such as improving on healthcare, just his two main goals will require many billions of dollars.
Being a successful businessman is his asset, and no doubt the new president will surprise us with funding that will be new and novel, such as enticing US companies with overseas assets to repatriate those funds and put them to work in the USA.
Tuesday, December 27, 2016
Gold Price Due for a Bounce, But Remains in Long-term Bearish Trend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Submissions
Bruce Powers writes: Spot gold (XAU/USD) remains in a long-term downtrend following a test of resistance at the long-term downtrend line over multiple weeks from July to September, and then again in November. A swing high of $1,375.15 was reached during that time, which was also a 2016 high and the highest price since March 2014.
Sunday, December 25, 2016
Gold As A Percentage Of Global Financial Assets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: I_M_Vronsky
In 2014 Total Global Assets Topped $105 TRILLION (i.e more than $105,000,000,000,000)
An astronomical amount by any standards. Interestingly, only a small fraction of this monumental amount has been allocated to gold investments. Here below is the record of gold investments since 1980. To be sure a brief history of gold investment demand will indubitably put our analysis into sharp perspective.
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Saturday, December 24, 2016
US Dollar Euphoria and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Zeal_LLC
The US dollar has rocketed higher since early November’s US presidential election, rivaling the massive gains seen in the stock markets. With the world’s reserve currency catapulted to extreme secular highs, dollar euphoria has naturally exploded. Traders are overwhelmingly betting the dollar’s strong upside will continue. But this greed-drenched currency looks very toppy and ready to fall, which is very bullish for gold.
Saturday, December 24, 2016
Deutsche Bank Settlement: Seasonal Intraday Charts Provide Evidence for Gold Market Manipulation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Dimitri_Speck
Answer UBS trader: "yeah, we smashed it good."
Deutsche Bank is a defendant in more than 7,000 lawsuits worldwide. In two of them it has recently agreed to settlements and is prepared to pay tens of millions of US dollars in restitution and fines. This includes the settling of lawsuits over gold and silver price manipulation. Associated court proceedings against other financial institutions are still underway.
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Thursday, December 22, 2016
U.S. Shale Oil Cash Flow Is Now Neutral / Commodities / Shale Oil and Gas
By: OilPrice_Com
Oil prices are probably already high enough to spark a rebound in shale production.
The IEA says that in the third quarter of 2016, the U.S. shale industry became cash flow neutral for the first time ever. That isn’t a typo. For years, the drilling boom was done with a lot of debt, and the revenues earned from steadily higher levels of output were not enough to cover the cost of drilling, even when oil prices traded above $100 per barrel in the go-go drilling days between 2011 and 2014. Even when U.S. oil production hit a peak at 9.7 million barrels per day in the second quarter of 2015, the industry did not break even. Indeed, shale companies were coming off of one of their worst quarters in terms of cash flow in recent history.
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Wednesday, December 21, 2016
The War on Cash and Then on Gold / Commodities / War on Cash
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Clive Maund says liquidity issues with banks could lead to restrictions on cash and precious metals.
The global financial system continues to groan under the strain of the accumulated weight of trillions of dollars worth of debt and derivatives, which have built up to even more fantastic levels than those that precipitated the near collapse in 2008, thanks to the policy of solving liquidity problems near term by creating even more debt and derivatives, Quantitative Easing being the most obvious example. However, while the majority considers the situation to be hopeless, there is actually "light at the end of the tunnel."
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