Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, December 12, 2016

Agri-Commodities: Birthing a New Bull Market? / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

An investment reality is that neither bear nor bull markets last forever. From high, July 2014, to low, October 2016, the Agri-Food Price Index fell 23%. Since that low, this index of 18 Agri-Commodity prices has risen 19%, and is nearing a new 52-week high. If we accept the popular notion that a 20% rise from a low signals a new bull market, Agri-Commodity prices may be birthing a new bull market. Chart below is for Agri-Food Price Index over the past year.

Monday, December 12, 2016

Buying Gold Into A Fed Hike: As Dumb As It Sounds? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Bob_Kirtley

The Fed will hike rates this week. The US Dollar is strengthening. Fiscal policy is about to ignite economic growth. The ECB has reduced its rate of QE purchases. It doesn’t sound like now is the time to be buying gold, does it? And yet, the setup is remarkably similar to this time last year, before the yellow metal put in a near 30% rally. What matters most is not what will happen, but what will happen relative to expectations. It is fair to say that the market has some lofty expectations built in at present, which is why it could be a case of buying the rumour and selling the fact over coming months.

Monday, December 12, 2016

Tech Breakthrough Could Make This The Biggest Winner Of OPEC’s Cut / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: OilPrice_Com

As far as the markets are concerned, OPEC’s 32.5-million bpd output cut deal agreed to two weeks ago could go either way, and the uncertainty makes it anyone’s guess—but MCW Energy, the pioneer of breakthrough clean oil sands extraction in Utah, is not concerned:

If oil prices remain low, its production costs are dramatically reduced, and in any scenario, its breakthrough technology makes everything from Utah’s vast oil sands to the Permian Basin’s massive offerings easier to extract.

Monday, December 12, 2016

Gold and Gold Stocks Setup for Post-Fed Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold and gold mining stocks have been very oversold but have struggled to rally. The sector looked to be starting a rebound until Friday's decline which pushed Gold to a new low. However, positive divergences remain in place as gold stocks and Silver remain above their recent lows. While the Federal Reserve could say something hawkish next week, the setup continues to favor a rebound in the precious metals sector rather than an immediate decline to new lows.

Saturday, December 10, 2016

Gold Fools, US Dollar Bulls and The Long Term Outlook for Both Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Sol_Palha

"If pleasures are greatest in anticipation, just remember that this is also true of trouble." ~ Elbert Hubbard

Many experts penned numerous articles this year proclaiming that the Gold market was ready to take off and that 2016 would be the year that the Gold bull resumed its upward trend. They spoke of our high debt, a weak economy and listed a plethora of reasons as to why Gold was ready to soar. Needlessly to say, their fear mongering proved to be fruitless for instead of taking off, Gold nose dived. Early in the year we stated that we did not expect much from Gold this year; we wrote several articles but will highlight points from one of them as it adequately sums our overall theme for 2016.

Saturday, December 10, 2016

Gold and Silver, Just the Facts Man / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

This first precious metals combo chart is one I try to show you at least twice a week so you can follow the price action as it’s unfolding in real time. Except for SLV the other indexes have now traded below their respective neckline for five weeks now. If you look at the sidebar you can see which sectors are doing the best and which ones are weakest. As you can see GLD has been by far the weakest of the four while SLV has been the strongest. To negate these H&S tops we would need to see the price action close back above the necklines. The necklines are your lines in the sand, above is bullish and below is negative.

Friday, December 09, 2016

Gold Futures Selling Exhausting / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold has suffered brutal, withering selling pressure in the month following the US presidential election.  The stock markets’ surprise surge after Trump’s surprise win has led speculators and investors alike to rush for the gold exits.  As usual the former group’s extreme selling came largely through gold futures.  But this gold-futures dumping has been so severe that it is rapidly exhausting itself, a bullish omen for gold.

Friday, December 09, 2016

ECB ‘Bazooka’ Extended – Will Buy EUR 60 Billion Per Month Until At Least December 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

The ECB’s ‘Bazooka’ is back and ‘Super Mario’, the European Central Bank’s monetary magician did not disappoint QE addicted markets yesterday by extending ultra loose monetary policies and quantitative easing until at least December 2017.

The euro fell and gold rose 1.1% in euro terms from €1,090/oz to €1,102.85. Stocks globally moved higher, and European stocks look set for their best week since February, supported by the extended ECB currency printing and a calm, some would say complacent and irrationally exuberant, reaction to the Italian referendum.

Thursday, December 08, 2016

Trump Could Fuel A Nuclear Energy Boom In 2017 / Commodities / Uranium

By: OilPrice_Com

With Trump at the helm, sentiment gives way to practicality in the energy industry. For the vast untapped potential of the nuclear energy industry and the uranium that feeds it, this could contribute to a market-disrupting revival that no longer bows to fear and the politics of economy.

While there have been some oversupply issues keeping uranium prices down, the bigger problem has been negative sentiment rather than real fundamentals, but the Trump presidency will see through that.

Thursday, December 08, 2016

Crude Oil and Gold, Silver Precious Metals Link / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions (with a stop-loss order at $54.51 and initial downside target at $45.43) are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

On Tuesday, crude oil moved lower and lost 1.66% after data showed that OPEC production rose to about 34.2 million barrels per day in Nov, hitting another record high. In this environment, light crude slipped under $51 and approached the barrier of $50, and thus the short position that we had opened early during yesterday’s session were already profitable at its end. Will we see a drop below the key $50 level in the coming days?

Wednesday, December 07, 2016

Gold: Warren Buffett Is Absolutely Right (And Wrong) / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Kelsey_Williams

And many others are, too.

Among their various characterizations of gold are the following:  it is an unproductive asset; it doesn’t ‘do’ anything; it just sits there; it’s too volatile; stocks are a much better investment.

Wednesday, December 07, 2016

Silver Bullion Price Buying Opportunity for 2017? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Nadeem_Walayat

In my second video in this series looking at prospects for previous metals investing for 2017, I take a look at the silver bullion price. Also remember to check out the other videos in this precious metals series.

Tuesday, December 06, 2016

Gold Bullion Price Buying Opportunity for 2017? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the first in a series of video analysis that take a look at the precious metals and their stocks. The Gold price has recently taken quite a battering with the price having fallen form a 2016 high of $1378 to its last close of $1171 which is not far from its low for 2016 of $1071 set early on in the year which is perking my interest on whether now could be time to accumulate some more of the golden precious metal that mankind has been obsessing over ever since we sought out the gold and silver shimmering signs of water on the horizon on the sun baked parched east african savanna as has been imprinted within our DNA.

Tuesday, December 06, 2016

Shariah Gold Standard Approved for $2 Trillion Islamic Finance Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

by Jan Skoyles, Editor Mark O’Byrne : The Accounting and Auditing Organisation for Islamic Financial Institutions (AAOIFI) and the World Gold Council have made an important decision which was announced yesterday at the World Islamic Banking Conference in Bahrain.

This decision is about one of the most important markets in the world: the gold market, an invest-able market worth an estimated $2.4 trillion and is also of significance for the world of Islamic finance.

Tuesday, December 06, 2016

THE Gold Play for 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: OilPrice_Com

I'll keep this short...

The Trump gold rally begins on January 20th, 2017.

Tuesday, December 06, 2016

Crude Oil Price New Highs Ahead Us? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

On Friday, crude oil gained 1.21% as OPEC deal continued to support the price of the commodity. In this environment, light crude re-approached the Oct high. Will we see fresh 2016 peak in the coming week?

Let's take a look at the charts below to find out (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

Tuesday, December 06, 2016

Trump Sets The Stage For A Huge Gold Rally In 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: OilPrice_Com

Global political tensions have not been this palpable since 9/11, when gold prices jumped 32.87% in a single day, and the amount of uncertainty being ushered in for 2017 promises to be great for the precious metal—our age-hold hedge against chaos and instability.

For a fully-funded junior gold miner backed by heavy hitters in one of the world’s hottest venues--Fiore Exploration Ltd (TSXV–F.V) the timing is brilliant, the production costs fantastic, and the future golden.

Monday, December 05, 2016

Crude Oil Prices: "Random"? Hardly / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EWI

The more emotional the market, the more predictable it is.

Last week's shocking spike in crude oil prices is +12% and counting, the biggest one-week gain in five years. Media stories blame one culprit: the November 30 OPEC agreement to cut production.

In absolute terms, the agreed-to cut is small: 1.2 million barrels a day, less than 2% of daily global oil production. Given the existing supply glut, that's a drop in the bucket (no pun intended). Yet, it was a bigger cut than the market expected; plus, the fact that OPEC members came to an agreement at all was enough to play a role in soaring prices.

Monday, December 05, 2016

This Past Week in Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.

Monday, December 05, 2016

Gold Relief Rally Coming and in Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Last week we wrote that Gold was broken but noted the oversold condition in the precious metals sector as well as the relative strength in the gold stocks. At one moment last week, the gold stocks were trading above where they were in mid-November when Gold was trading some $60/oz higher. In other words, Gold plummeted $60/oz and made a new low yet the gold stocks did not. It took a bit longer than we expected but Gold and gold mining stocks may have started their rebound at the end of last week.