Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, April 15, 2008
Rising Inflation Pushes Commodity Prices Higher / Commodities / Inflation
Last week, the Federal Reserve released the minutes from its March 18 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. At that meeting, the Fed cut the fed funds rate by 75 basis points to the current level of 2.25 percent. The FOMC's post-meeting statement said, “Downside risks to growth remain. [The] outlook for economic activity has weakened further.”Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 15, 2008
Peak Oil and Weak Dollar Driving Gold Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold is up in London and is up in early trading in New York this morning. Gold was up $1.80 to $925.40 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday and silver was up 10 cents to $17.77 per ounce. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $ 931.75, £473.55 and €588.30 (from $917.75, £464.80 and €580.854 yesterday).Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 15, 2008
Gold Strong on Crude Oil New All Time High / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD rose to a four-session high in Asian and London trade on Tuesday, gaining almost 1% overnight as world stock markets crept higher and US bond prices rose.Crude oil jumped to a fresh record high above $112.80 per barrel.
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Tuesday, April 15, 2008
Russian Gold and Texas Tea / Commodities / Russia
What do Texas and Russia have in common?
Is it the vast wide open spaces that are prevalent to both Texas and Russia ? Or is it the references to the "Texas of Russia" for the regions of the former Soviet Union that have shown an independent, “wild west” spirit, just like Texas past? Why even George Bush and Vladimir Putin have been barbequing together in Texas . Is that it?
Tuesday, April 15, 2008
IMF Gold Sales Will be Very Good for the Gold Price / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Most commentators we now read are taking the potential I.M.F. gold sales as a foregone conclusion. With the unknown quantity of the U.S. Congress [who are fully aware of just how good an investment gold has been and will likely be], who blocked the sales last time it was proposed, the sale is by no means a foregone conclusion. But of far greater importance is the question of how these sales could affect the gold price. The answer is exceptionally positive, after we consider the views of the I.M.F. itself on just how the sales will be orchestrated.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 15, 2008
The Global Food Crisis and Gold's Valuable Role / Commodities / Gold & Silver
With all the discussion about housing, a declining US dollar, and the inevitable recession, I feel that many people may be overlooking a potentially more devastating economic factor- rising food costs. Before I continue with why I believe this is the case, I want to mention an article that I wrote several months ago titled, Food Inflation: What's The Story. The article provides an introductory view on food inflation. I must also point out that food prices are even higher now than when the article was first published in SeptemberRead full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 14, 2008
Gold Correlation with Fed Funds Rate, Euro and Risk / Commodities / Gold & Silver
"...Four charts, one metal, and the whole world wrapped up in trying to price risk and reward in a fast-shrinking currency..."
YOU CAN LINK the historic surge in Gold Prices starting mid-August 2007 to many apparently disparate things.
Pick the right link, and you might be able to tell whether it's worth you buying or holding gold today.
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Monday, April 14, 2008
Precious Metals Juniors- The Next Mania / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As suggested in our last meeting , you can fool some of the people some of the time, but you apparently can't fool investors anymore, evidenced by the failure in attempting to engineer a dollar ($) rally. The question then arises however, is this week's failed $ rally the result of relative economic weakness in the States, where it's perceived an extended recession has commenced; or, is this just the result of continued ‘party line talk' out of the European Central Bank (ECB)? You see European central bankers are simply doing their part in the expectations management game in talking hawkish, with fresh comments this week halting the $ rally in its tracks. In this respect it's obvious the international brotherhood of central bankers wish to manage the $ lower to relieve the key global consumer (the only people crazy enough to run up credit balances to the stars), but they may have gone too far this time, especially if they are serious about defending $1,000 gold .Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 14, 2008
Gold Strong as US Dollar Weakens / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold is up marginally in trading in London this morning. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $917.75, £464.80 and €580.854 (from $ 934.25, £471.08 and €587.95 on Friday).Gold is stronger as the dollar has weakened despite leaders of the G7 and IMF governing council saying they would do all in their powers to provide market stability. Continuing worries about the health of the international financial sector has led to declines in stock markets internationally and renewed risk aversion.
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Monday, April 14, 2008
Gold Rallies as US Dollar G7 Bounce Fails to Hold / Commodities / Gold & Silver
FOUR WEEKS AFTER Gold 's peak of $1,034 per ounce, the Gold Price recovered a 1.1% drop early Monday as the US Dollar failed to hold onto a sharp bounce following this weekend's meeting of G7 finance ministers in Washington.The physical Gold Market had earlier slipped to a three-day low beneath $915 per ounce and the Euro gapped down 1.5¢ against the Dollar at the opening in Asia .
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Monday, April 14, 2008
Uranium Bull Market: Not Over Yet / Commodities / Uranium
When it bottomed at $7 per pound in 2001, uranium was one of the most derided commodities on earth. The most common associations with uranium were Chernobyl and bombs. Environmental protesters were calling for the shuttering of nuclear reactors, and plants continued to be mothballed.
What a difference six years has made. Uranium rocketed from less than the cost of a pizza to $138 per pound in June 2007. Articles appeared in financial publications like MoneyWeek and Forbes on investing in this “white-hot” market. Dr. Patrick Moore, a co-founder of Greenpeace, started supporting nuclear plants as a clean and safe fuel. Even oil producers such as Egypt and Saudi Arabia have expressed interest in nuclear power. 1
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Sunday, April 13, 2008
Gold and Silver Bullish Chart Indications / Commodities / Gold & Silver
“Risk is clearly to the… downside for gold and silver, even if relatively minor advances are seen intraweek.” ~ Precious Points: Still Unstable, April 06, 2008
Tuesday was a good week for commodities, including the precious metals, but any readers of this update should have been skeptical, particularly since the rally in gold was halted exactly at the 5-day and 5-week moving averages! Though a relatively unsophisticated and unglamorous technique amongst the analysts' varied tools, moving averages continue to be incredibly telling in the precious metals.
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Sunday, April 13, 2008
Sure Fire Sign that Gas Prices are Heading Higher / Commodities / Gas - Petrol
The U.S. Energy Department said earlier this week that it expects average monthly gasoline prices to peak at $3.60 a gallon this spring, since the high prices will serve to curb demand.
For investors who are tired of feeling like they've been mugged every time they fill up at the corner gas station, this forecast had to nurture a feeling of relief - as well as a belief that pump prices will finally start to decline.
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Sunday, April 13, 2008
Gold Marking Time Before Next Down Leg / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Although gold closed the week about 1.2% ahead of last week it still seems to be going nowhere. Over the past month it has been tracing a lower low and lower high scenario. It looks like it is about to go into its next lower low phase but let's check the charts and indicators.
WHAT! ME WORRY?
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Friday, April 11, 2008
Global Gold Bull Markets / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Of all the countless investments worldwide, gold is easily the most universally recognized. From the biggest banks in premier cosmopolitan cities to the smallest vendors in this planet's dustiest corners, everyone knows gold. This metal's timeless intrinsic value is beyond dispute and is welcome everywhere.
But although recognized, gold is not perceived the same way everywhere. We all view it through the unique lenses of our own home currencies. Most of us are born, reared, and socialized in a single country. By the time we reach investment age, our minds are hardwired to judge value exclusively relative to our particular country's currency.
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Friday, April 11, 2008
Gold Trades Sideways as Stocks Slide Ahead of G7 Crisis Meeting / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD moved sideways in London trade early Friday, recovering last night's US close near $929 per ounce after a 1.1% fall, as finance ministers from the G7 group of seven richest economies met in Washington to discuss the on-going global banking crisis."We do not have the luxury of waiting for markets to stabilize before we think about the future," said Ben Bernanke, head of the US Federal Reserve, in a speech on Thursday.
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Thursday, April 10, 2008
Uranium Stocks Outlook Looking Brighter / Commodities / Uranium
Every day looks brighter and brighter. With another up day in the uranium stocks the trend is changing although we still have a ways to go to be all gung-ho bullish. The Merv's Daily Uranium Index closed higher by 0.062 points or 2.21%. There were 26 winners, 20 losers and 4 unchanged. Of the five largest stocks Cameco gained 4.8%, Denison gained 7.1%, First Uranium lost 0.9%, Paladin lost 1.1% and Uranium One lost 0.2%. Although the losses were small we still have three of the five largest stocks moving lower.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 10, 2008
Ethics: Investment implications Benefit Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver
The following is a quote from an article which discusses the current disruption in the airline industry in the USA, as the FAA moves to enforce its rules:
“ The FAA and airlines are responding, in part, to heightened scrutiny by Congress, led by Representative James Oberstar, Democrat of Minnesota and chairman of the House Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure, who is a longtime activist on aviation safety.
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Thursday, April 10, 2008
Investing in Gold and Silver for Retirement / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Individual Retirement Accounts (IRAs) can be funded with physical gold and silver, yet very few investors are aware of this fact. They are exempt from all capital gains taxes, so if your investments perform well over a long period of time, it can result in huge savings.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 10, 2008
Six Ways to Play Money Morning's Prediction That Gold is Headed to $1,500 / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Back in October - when gold was trading at only $770 an ounce - I told Money Morning readers that the "yellow metal" was looking like a very good bet. Since then, gold soared to more than $1,000 an ounce, creating quite a nice return for investors who acted on our prediction. Since achieving that peak, gold prices have declined a bit. In fact, just last week, gold prices dropped below the $900 mark, prompting gold bears to say that the great gold bull market has reversed itself.
Let me say right now: They're wrong.
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