Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, April 07, 2008
Gold Correction or Price Collapse? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Darryl_R_Schoon
Conduct your victory as a funeral - Tao Te Ching , Lao-tzu
Gold's recent sell-off from a high of $1033 has sent once jubilant gold investors to the sidelines to reassess gold's present malaise. Rest assured, gold is going higher, much higher. While there will be corrections along the way, gold will someday break out and explode upwards towards yet to be reached heights.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 07, 2008
Gold Rises to 4 Session High as Global Equities Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
GOLD PRICES jumped to a four-session high above $918 per ounce in London trade early Monday, rising 0.5% from last week's close as crude oil rose 1% and world stock markets ticked higher.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 07, 2008
Gold and Silver Trend Still Unstable / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Joe_Nicholson
“With a potential negative crossover in the MACD possible for next week, gold could face increased selling pressure if it cannot clear the 5-week sma in short order. The long term prospects for precious metals continue to be favorable, but a little patience now could prevent a lot of frustration later.” ~ Precious Points: Dear Prudence, March 29, 2008Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, April 06, 2008
Gold Lower Highs and Lows Signals Bearish Trend / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Merv_Burak
Although the week started horrible it ended on an up note. Now the question is, “will the up note continue”? The step manner of the recent decline should be fodder for Elliott Wave analysts but I'll just keep it simple.
GOLD : LONG TERM
Well, the long term P&F chart has been bullish for some time now and finally is in a precarious position. It has not yet given a reversal signal to the bear but is getting close. For those of you who do not know my criteria for the issuance of a P&F reversal signal it's quite simple. In this case, to give a bear signal the chart must break below the established up trend line and below two previous lows. Well, it had broken below two previous lows earlier (at $900) but had not moved below the up trend line.
Sunday, April 06, 2008
Elliott Wave on Crude Oil and the US Dollar / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Dan_Stinson
Short Term ForecastThe USD and Crude appear to be in triangle patterns, currently in wave (D). (The Euro also appears as a triangle in wave (D).)
The action has been very corrective for the USD and Crude indicating that a brief new high for Crude and a brief new low for the USD is expected. We can confirm that a triangle pattern is in play if we see a bounce off the trendlines at the wave (D) intercepts.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, April 06, 2008
Gold and Silver Set to Soar in Euros! / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Julian_DW_Phillips
The focus in the gold market has always been on the $ price of gold and yet we have ample evidence of why we should not price gold in the US $, just as the oil price should not be priced in the US $. The fall of the $ has clouded the state of the global economy, its monetary system, as well as most of its markets. The gold and silver price has moved fairly closely with the € in the opposite direction to the $. But should it be attached so faithfully to the €? Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 05, 2008
Commodities 2008: Record Year in the Making / Commodities / CRB Index
By: Donald_W_Dony
KEY POINTS:• Declining U.S. dollar set for sub-$0.70 prices by mid-year; this is fuel for commodities
• Short-term pullback expected for most raw material prices in April and May
• Up too far, too fast within bull market for CRB index; support at 370
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 04, 2008
HUI Gold Bugs Stock Index Big Daily Moves Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
By: Zeal_LLC
For precious-metals stock traders, weathering outsized volatility is a fact of life. Yet again over the last few weeks this truth was really driven home. The flagship HUI gold-stock index experienced some neck-snapping swings. And this generated much angst for those not yet steeled against such extreme volatility.
While long-term investors shouldn't care one bit, big swings can be very perilous for speculators. These big daily moves tend to generate intense levels of greed or fear. And these emotions are the mortal enemies of all speculators, the primary challenge that must be overcome if one is to succeed in trading.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 04, 2008
Gold Prices Wrong-Footed as US Payrolls Sink / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
SPOT GOLD PRICES dipped, bounced and then fell back again from a four-day high early Friday on news that US job losses exceeded expectations last month.Non-Farm Payrolls for March showed a loss of 80,000 jobs vs. Wall Street forecasts of 50,000 cuts. Even the ever-bearish Briefing.com had penciled in only a 70,000 fall.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 03, 2008
Buy Gold and Silver Stocks With Both Hands and Feet / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
By: Clive_Maund
The sudden about-face last night to become bullish on gold and silver stocks again requires some explanation. We have been aware for some considerable time that Precious Metals stocks have been woefully underperforming gold and silver, a point made clear by Mr Bob Moriarty of www.321gold.com in his recent article Buy with both hands , but were not minded to go long because our research indicated that another heavy decline in gold and silver was imminent, which is what we have just seen. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 03, 2008
Capital Controls- Are Gold and Silver Enough Protection? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Julian_DW_Phillips
As we watch the credit crunch wend its toxic way across the developed world, we are seeing defensive action by some nations to lower its dependence on the U.S.A. so as to duck the recession that is now hitting there. The future of the U.S. in global trade has been damaged, with its currency's weakness providing some defense for the nation. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 03, 2008
Gold Dips Below $900 as Paulson (Almost) Admits US Recession / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD gave back an overnight rally to $905 per ounce early in London on Thursday, slipping $10 per ounce as the US open drew near.Government debt prices ticked higher, pushing US bond yields further below the rate of inflation, as Asian stock markets closed higher but Wall Street futures pointed lower after US Treasury secretary Hank Paulson finally admitted that "we need to have this correction."
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 03, 2008
Gold Downtrend Forecast Update / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is an update to the gold price forecast posted on the 20th of March which illustrated a downtrend target for gold of $850. Subsequent price action now enables me to refine the forecast trend as illustrated by the below graph.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 03, 2008
Elliott Wave on Gold and Silver Retracements / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Dan_Stinson
Short Term ForecastThe price action for Gold and Silver appears to be in a wave (2) or wave (B) correction. We should see the price of Gold and Silver advance to the recent highs attained on Mar 26th 2008. This wave up will also confirm if the intermediate highs are in place for the metals.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 03, 2008
Gold Works Off Oversold Condition Ahead of Next Downleg / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The strength off of yesterday's low at 86.05 to 88.40 in the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) represents a recovery bounce within an incomplete downside correction that projects into the 83.00 target zone prior to completion. The only question for me is whether or not "the bounce" continues higher to 90.00 prior to the next rollover. My intraday work is telling me that at the very least, the GLD needs more time to work off the near-term oversold condition ahead of the next downleg. I will remain on the sidelines for now.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 03, 2008
A New Floor in the Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
"...And here's where the thick red-wax crayon joins the slump of Spring 2008 to the big spike of May 2007..."
AFTER NOTING an historic move higher in the Gold Price last month, maybe we should be wary of picking a bottom today.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 02, 2008
A $1 million Wager for Gold Bears / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Gold bullion is under water at the moment with the price having dived sharply over the past two weeks. This move has triggered a myriad opinions ranging from the end of gold's 7-year bull market to a mere healthy correction in an ongoing uptrend. But few pundits have as strong a conviction as Jim Sinclair who is putting his money where his mouth is – $1 million smackaroos, to be exact, that the gold price will trade at US$1,650 before the second week of January 2011. Any takers? (Let's hope this is not Jim's version of an April Fool's hoax!)Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 02, 2008
Gold Recovers as Emerging Economies Scramble to Cap Food-Price Inflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
THE PRICE OF GOLD rose steadily in European trade early Wednesday, adding more than 1% from last night's New York finish as Asian stock markets closed sharply higher.European stock markets held flat, however, while crude oil added one dollar to $101.96 per barrel and short-dated US Treasury bonds bounced higher from Tuesday's sell-off.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 02, 2008
Gold and Silver- What's Changed? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Bill_Bryan
The Metals, both Gold and Silver , as well as the entire commodity spectrum in recent sessions have been/are being pounded for hefty losses as crimson litters the landscape.It is apparent that the entire complex now seems to be taking the "elevator down".
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 02, 2008
Soaring Rice Prices Cause for Developing World Food Riots / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
Rice is an all important staple food in much of the world. In the past year, the price of rice has rocketed from under $11 to more than $19, and even above $20 in overnight electronic trading. These prices are now the cause of food riots around the world. In recent times they occurred in Guinea, Mauritania, Mexico, Morocco, Senegal, Uzbekistan and Yemen (NY Times,29 Mar 2008) . In the Philippines, the government is worried about hoarding as that nation imports almost twenty percent of its rice consumption. Restrictions on global supplies are slowly developing.Read full article... Read full article...