Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, May 02, 2015
Gold and Silver Bear Squeeze Comes and Goes / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
This week started with a sharp bear squeeze, which took gold from $1178 to $1214, and silver from $15.70 to $16.71. These higher prices on Wednesday proved to be the peak for both metals, before they fell back sharply yesterday (Thursday) on better than expected US initial jobless claims. The Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) minutes, which admitted the US economy is softening, had little effect when released yesterday.
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Friday, May 01, 2015
Gold Developments Say New Mine Supply Is Peaking / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Our curiosity was piqued as we reviewed the year-end reports of the primary gold producers. When we tallied the results, even we were surprised.
The upshot of what you’ll see is that at its current pace, new supply will be unable to keep up with demand. It may look like a story that doesn’t have much immediate impact, but this emerging new reality is staring us right in the face.
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Friday, May 01, 2015
Emerging Mexican Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Mexico has long been a silver juggernaut. The indigenous peoples had been successfully mining this shiny-white metal since well before the Spanish colonials swarmed the shores in the 16th century. Several hundred years of Spanish development globalized Mexico’s silver prowess. And still today in the post-independence era silver mining is still going strong.
It is believed that Mexico is responsible for a whopping one-third of all silver ever mined in the history of the world. But despite such an extensive mining history, there’s still plenty remaining in the ground. With the miners of yore literally only scratching the surface via the exploitation of this country’s abundant high-grade outcroppings, there’s ample silver treasures at depth for the modern miners willing to dig deeper.
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Friday, May 01, 2015
JP Morgan Cornering Silver Bullion Market? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
- Why is JP Morgan accumulating the biggest stockpile of physical silver in history?
- Legendary silver analyst Ted Butler believes JP Morgan are in a position to corner silver market
- JP Morgan may be holding as much as 350 million ounces of physical silver
- JP Morgan realises the value of owning physical silver bullion today
- Silver at $16 today – Set to soar to over $50 again
Friday, May 01, 2015
Monetary And Economic Insights From Incrementum’s Advisory Board / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Gold Silver Worlds has received the minutes of the latest Advisory Board meeting by Incrementum Liechtenstein and is pleased to summarize the key insights that were discussed by a panel of experts. Incrementum had launched the “Austrian Economics Golden Opportunities Fund,” a fund that takes investment positions based on the level of inflation based on their proprietary “Incrementum Inflation Signal.” Ronald Stoeferle, author of In Gold We Trust, is the managing partner along with Mark Valek.
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Friday, May 01, 2015
How One Chart Is Changing My Outlook on Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil
Dr. Kent Moors writes: Today, something truly unique is underway – and you can see it clearly in the one simple chart I’m about to share.
The advent of huge shale and tight oil reserves in the U.S. has fundamentally altered the terrain of the international energy game.
We still call these reserves “unconventional” to distinguish them from traditional vertically drilled non-fracked wells. But due to the fact that most of the new production is coming from these rock-confined sources, they are certainly becoming mainstream.
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Thursday, April 30, 2015
Did Commodity Prices FINALLY Just Bottom? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Commodity prices are down 60% from their 2008 peak... and they've lost a quarter of their value in the past year alone.
When will the bad times in commodities end?
They could already be over, actually...
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Thursday, April 30, 2015
Gold and the New U.S. and UK Recession - ZIRP to Continue / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
- U.S. first quarter GDP grew 0.2%, down from 2.2% last quarter
- U.K. GDP for first quarter was 0.3%, last than half the previous quarter’s figure
- Large inventory build up in the U.S. may mask deep recession
- Zero percent interest policies (ZIRP) to continue despite suggestions to contrary
- Global economy vulnerable to recession and depression
Thursday, April 30, 2015
Uranium Price Is About to Rocket / Commodities / Uranium
Peter Krauth writes: While oil and coal may be struggling, that's not the case all across the energy sector.
Right now, the world's two most populous nations are forging ahead with one specific form of power: uranium.
For many, it's a forgotten or overlooked sector of the energy market, especially in the wake of Japan's Fukushima disaster. But given the burgeoning demand for, and limited supply of, this crucial component of the energy mix, it's time for a closer look at uranium. And one recent major deal is drawing serious attention… for good reason.
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Wednesday, April 29, 2015
Putin: Czar Of Natural Gas, Crude Oil, Uranium & GOLD / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Well-known Moscow journalist Dmitry Kalinichenko expressed it well: “Very few people understand what Putin is doing at the moment. And almost no one understands what he will do in the future. No matter how strange it may seem, but right now, Putin is selling Russian oil and gas only for physical gold.”
Nonetheless, the above comments provide valuable insights into what President Putin’s plan is most likely to be…and how it will eventually and materially benefit the Russian economy.
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Wednesday, April 29, 2015
Have Natural Gas Prices Bottomed? / Commodities / Natural Gas
Last Friday we finally got confirmation of where all the natural gas supply has been coming from as Cabot (COG) reported its earnings. Just like Chesapeake (CHK), they reduced natural gas output, but on a much grander scale. CHK has yet to report and will do so on May 6th providing even more color on the subject.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 29, 2015
Gold Ideals and Management / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Given its ancient history as money and jewelry, its religious connotations, the fact that it is both beautiful and laborious to dig out of the ground, process and store, gold is an asset that promotes strong and often emotional views and so it is the perfect central figure for this thought exercise.
I want to be careful in criticizing fellow market participants because as a lowly human myself, I am subject to the same pitfalls as anyone else. But being an advocate of the sound reasons for owning gold, even through a violent bear market, I have learned a lot over the last few years about how many market participants think. That includes myself, which I will address first.
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Tuesday, April 28, 2015
Gold Price Rises, Silver Surges – Physical Demand and Greece, Ukraine, Russia Risks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
- Gold rises over 2% while silver surges 4.4%
- Speculators caught off guard as prices rose forcing them to cover their short positions
- Concerns re defaults by Greece and Ukraine
- Geopolitical risk of conflict in Middle East and with Russia remain
- Price rises were accompanied by strong physical demand
Monday, April 27, 2015
Strawberry Picking Undervalued Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
a href="https://www.theaureport.com/pub/htdocs/expert.html?id=10612">Randall Abramson, CEO/portfolio manager with Toronto-based Trapeze Asset Management, says that picking stocks can be like picking strawberries. If a strawberry looks terrific, other than a tiny blemish, you simply remove it and enjoy the rest. But if the fruit turns out to be rotten, the entire strawberry is for the birds. Is the stock price below fair market value because there's a little blemish and the market is overreacting? Or is it a sign that the stock is rotten to the core? In this interview with The Gold Report, Abramson offers a fist full of small- and large-cap gold equity names for investors that can look past the blemishes to see quality fruit.The Gold Report: A 10-year U.S. bond yields 2% currently. How is that changing the market?
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Monday, April 27, 2015
Rock-Paper-Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
The old game is Rock-Paper-Scissors in which rock breaks (wins against) scissors, scissors cuts (wins against) paper, paper covers (wins against) rock. The game is balanced with wins, losses, and draws.
The new version is Rock-Paper-Silver and the definitions and rules have changed.
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Monday, April 27, 2015
Gold Flows East - China, India Import Massive Quantities of Gold from Switzerland / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
- Singapore, India and China continue to import staggering volumes of gold from the West
- U.K. exports of bullion to Switzerland increase 6 fold to a very large 97 tonnes
- Gold exports from Switzerland to both China and India doubled in March
- Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) becoming most important centre for physical gold trade
- LBMA says London gold trade will not move to exchange
- Gold price languishes at all time inflation adjusted lows despite robust demand …
- Gold will protect Asian peasants and western middle classes …
Monday, April 27, 2015
What’s Really Driving Gold and Silver Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
This week a subscriber shared with me an interesting and well-written analysis. The focus was mainly relative to gold. He wondered if I might shed light on silver - based on similar parameters.
First and foremost, I do not deny the complex tertiary dynamics with regard to the movement of physical gold. I am also painfully aware of the secondary technical indicators that arise from the short-term price action.
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Monday, April 27, 2015
Gold and Silver - It's ALL about The Big Picture After All / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Today I would like to focus in on the bigger picture by looking at some long term charts for the precious metal complex. I know most enjoy the action by looking at the minute charts but they're more likely to morph into something different as time goes on. On the other hand looking at the long term charts changes come much more slowly and they're less likely to morph into something else. A short term bottom on a minute chart vs a long term bottom on a monthly chart have two completely different meanings. If you see a big bottom on the monthly chart you know that the move will last more than just a few weeks or even a few months. It took a lot of smart investors with deep pockets to build out a bottoming formation that aren't going to bail out of their potions easily. Minute charts have their place in trying to fine tune and entry or exit point. They can also be used when a bigger pattern is building out with smaller individual chart patterns that end up creating the much bigger finished product. I also have a lot of ratio charts to show you that compare gold to the stock markets and some commodities.
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Sunday, April 26, 2015
Corn Commodity Buying Opportunity Looms / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Corn has just broken support so there looks to be a bit more downside in store before a more solid bear rally takes place.
Firstly, let’s briefly look at the fundamental factors. The main factors causing the price of corn to drop recently appear to be an oversupply of corn combined with the recent outbreak of bird flu or avian influenza.
Sunday, April 26, 2015
This Industrial Metal Is Leaving Gold in the Dust / Commodities / Metals & Mining
Sean Brodrick writes: Precious metals are stuck in low gear (though the miners are starting to look much better). Many Oxford Club Members have asked how they should fulfill the metals portion of their portfolios.
I believe one outperformer this year will be zinc. It’s already up 12.9% since March 17. That’s much better than gold. And the good news is zinc is poised to go higher yet.
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