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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, February 09, 2016

Crude Oil Price Continues to Drill Downward / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Ed_Carlson

Last week's forecast for a high in the Dow on February 1st was a perfect hit. As of last Friday, the Dow has fallen 438 points since last Monday's high.

Crude spent last week trying to breakout from the 34-dma but, in the end, fell $2.73/bbl. for the week closing at 30.89 and printed an engulfing bearish candlestick on the weekly chart.

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Commodities

Monday, February 08, 2016

Top Silver Mining CEO: Don't Laugh, We Could See Silver $100+ / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Exclusive Interview with First Majestic CEO Keith Neumeyer on Metals, Mining, and Manipulation

Mike Gleason, MoneyMetals.com: It is my privilege, now, to be joined by Keith Neumeyer, founder and CEO of First Majestic Silver Corp. One of the top Silver mining companies in the world.

Keith has an extensive background in the resource and finance sectors, and has been an outspoken voice about concerns that there is some level of price suppression going on in the silver futures market. It's a real privilege to have him on with us today.

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Commodities

Monday, February 08, 2016

Gold, Investment Leadership Changes Permanent? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

In the Summer of 2015 a major discontinuity occurred in financial markets. That which was, was no longer. That which had not been, suddenly was. Reasons for that abrupt shift in the character of financial markets are not entirely clear. Was it exhaustion of both bullish and bearish runs? Was the anticipation of an interest rate increased so certain that financial markets began to immediately incorporate such an event? Whatever, Gold related investments now clearly dominate returns and growth fantasies have collapsed. That shift may be more permanent than many acknowledge.

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Commodities

Monday, February 08, 2016

Gold and Silver Up 5% Last Week As Stocks Fall Sharply / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Gold and silver surged over 5% last week as concerns about the U.S. and global economy saw more sharp stock market falls and reduced expectations of the Fed increasing interest rates.

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Commodities

Monday, February 08, 2016

Crude Oil's True Message / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Michael_Pento

The pervasive narrative on Wall Street is that the collapse in oil prices will, any second now, restore consumers to their profligate spending ways. In fact, financial pundits have been calling for plunging energy prices to imminently rescue the economy for the past 18 months. Most importantly, these same gurus, who love to espouse the benefits of a collapse in oil prices, never connect the dots to what this collapse says about the state of global growth. Instead they argue it is solely a function of a supply glut that is the result of increased production.

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Commodities

Monday, February 08, 2016

Gold Bear Market Bottom : Mr. Bear has left the PM Sector for Greener Pastures / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Plunger

Goldtent, it appears the great gold bear of 2011-2016 has now ended. Mr Bear has now completed his work of cleaning up all the garbage and malinvestment created by reckless management teams over the past 15 years. Our sought after ultra low of HUI 66 where we were all going to ring the bell and back up the truck is not going to happen in my opinion. The bottom is in! This is my first and only call of a bear market bottom since the bear started in 2011. Its been brutal, but I believe its over. This is my best judgment based on the pieces of the puzzle I see.

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Commodities

Monday, February 08, 2016

Silver Price Workup / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

Silver finally managed to push through its upside resistance just above the $14.50 level this week and attracted some additional upside follow through as the US Dollar weakness brought on the macro trade (Dollar down - BUY commodities). For that matter copper also rallied, as did platinum. Clearly the latter two metals are not moving higher based on signs of increasing demand but rather because of those macro trades just referenced. It is purely a matter of money flows related to the movements in the foreign exchange markets, especially considering that fact that the preference in the markets at the moment is generally RISK AVOIDANCE.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 07, 2016

Why Crude Oil Prices Could Continue FALLING From Here / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Jesse

By Brett Eversole

Oil prices HAVE to go higher... Or do they?
 
Crude oil is already down 17% this year. It broke into the $20 range last month. And the total fall since July 2014 is 72%.
 
You (and nearly everyone else) expect much higher oil prices after a crash like we've seen. But that's the problem...
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Commodities

Sunday, February 07, 2016

Gold and Silver Cup and Handle - How Sweet It Is / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jesse

“After spending many years in Wall Street and after making and losing millions of dollars I want to tell you this: it never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It was always my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight!

Those who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon. I found it one of the hardest things to learn.” Jesse Livermore

I had such a feeling that these jokers were going get stuffed on the usual Non-Farm Payrolls precious metals hit. And I may have had some modest wagers in that direction from this morning.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 07, 2016

Silver COT Paving Way for Sustained Upside Breakout Sharp Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Clive_Maund

Like gold, the bearmarket in silver should be brought to an end by the dollar breaking down, and especially the powers that be resorting to massive global QE in a last desperate effort to beat back the forces of deflation caused by gargantuan debts that are strangling the life out the world economy. Since you cannot beat the problems caused by debt by creating more debt, the end result of this will be the ruin associated with hyperinflation - and you don't to be a genius to work out what will happen to the prices of both gold and silver when that happens. The timing of the launch of the big global QE program will determine when gold and silver really take off in a big way, but it cannot be far off.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 07, 2016

US Dollar Double Top, Gold Prospects Brightening Rapidly / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Clive_Maund

For the 1st time in years, everything is in place for a major bullmarket phase to get underway in gold and silver. There are two big reasons for this. One is that the dollar is looking set to drop - and has started to already. The other reason, which is of course related, is that those in power look set to attempt to loosen the intensifying deflationary stranglehold on the world economy by unleashing a global QE blitz that could dwarf anything that has come before, and will end in hyperinflation. Egon Von Greyerz talks about this in an article on King World News entitled Legend Warns Global Panic Is Coming. Don't be put off by the lurid, blood-curdling presentation - I believe that what Von Greyerz writes makes perfect sense, and his gold bullion service outside of the banking system sounds like an attractive option - remember that "What's yours is theirs", so if it is inside the banking system they will simply appropriate (steal) it, if it suits them, when the time is right. Note that I have no association with Von Greyerz or KWN and no incentive for mentioning all this.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 07, 2016

Gold And Silver - Is A Bottom In? Nothing Confirmed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_Noonan

Confirm - verb - establish the truth or correctness of (something previously believed, suspected, or feared to be the case). State with assurance that a report or fact is true.

We are again seeing more and more experts and non-experts calling for the bottom for gold and silver, but none can confirm it as a proven fact. Few realize how important it is to have confirmation that one's position is correct and will be profitable. It is confirmation that gives validity to a prior market move/event. This is the theme of our analysis, today.

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Commodities

Saturday, February 06, 2016

Gold Stocks Something has Changed / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

In our missive last week we noted that:

While good things are happening under the surface for Gold, its lack of a strong rebound in recent months argues that such a rebound is in the future but not imminent. Gold's steady downtrend could resume in the next week or two.

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Commodities

Friday, February 05, 2016

Gold Price, Mining Stocks Rocket Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold and its miners’ stocks are rocketing higher as speculators and investors alike return to this left-for-dead sector.  This sudden deluge of capital inflows has crowned gold stocks the best-performing sector of this young new year by far, shocking traders.  And this stunning reversal of fortunes in both the metal and the companies producing it is only starting, so it’s exceedingly important to understand what’s going on.

Gold was inarguably the world’s most-hated investment in recent years.  No one wanted anything to do with it, because no one felt any need for it.  The world’s stock markets were relentlessly levitating, thanks to record easing by the world’s elite central banks.  And with stocks seemingly destined to do nothing but rally indefinitely, there was little demand for counter-moving gold for prudent portfolio diversification.

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Commodities

Friday, February 05, 2016

Crude Oil Price Bottoms and Blues / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: DeviantInvestor

Crude oil prices have dropped from about $106 in June of 2014 to briefly under $30 in January of 2016 – down about 74% peak to trough.  This appears to be an on-going disaster for oil companies, the banks who loaned money to frackers, oil exporting countries, global stock markets and others.

Conventional wisdom suggests that crude oil prices will stay low for a long time because of low demand (global recession), huge supply (Iran, fracking, etc.), decline in commodity prices globally, and at least ten more reasons.

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Commodities

Friday, February 05, 2016

Is the Gold Price Manipulated? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The claim that the gold prices are manipulated is one of the most popular notions within the gold investing community. Probably, no other market (except the silver market) holds such a belief so strongly. The core argument goes as follows: an increase in price of gold signals inflation and the decline in the value of fiat currencies, especially the U.S. dollar, which undermines confidence in the contemporary monetary system. Thus, governments, central banks and their collaborators from the financial system are heavily interested in suppressing the price of gold.

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Commodities

Friday, February 05, 2016

Gold And Silver Best Performing Assets – Up 9% and 8% YTD / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Gold is 3.6% higher this week and is now over 9% higher year to date. The dollar saw sharp falls this week on growing doubts that the Federal Reserve will be able to raise interest rates. The gains this week were due to increasing concerns about the U.S. and global economy.

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Commodities

Friday, February 05, 2016

Gold Stocks Sector: Rubber, Meet Road / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

You may have noticed that I have written relatively little publicly about the gold sector over the last few years (we have covered it consistently in NFTRH to keep subscribers aware of the bear’s status, and protected against it). Is that strange for a writer who was probably known first and foremost as a ‘gold guy’? Not at all! It’s just that it is not desirable to get bogged down obsessing on a sector in a bear market when there are other fish to fry on the global macro landscape. But the process of finding and confirming a bottom in the gold sector is now front and center as more of the fundamentals that actually matter come into place. To those fundamentals, we need to marry the technicals.

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Commodities

Friday, February 05, 2016

Gold and Silver: Ripe for a Recovery! China May well Change the Game / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Peter_Zihlmann

  • China lifts reading of cenbank gold holdings by 57 pct
  • Gold now accounts for 1.65 pct of total forex reserves

 

According to Central Bank Data, China's gold reserves stood at 1,658 tonnes at the end of June of last year. This was up 57 percent from the last time reserve were adjusted more than six years ago.

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Commodities

Friday, February 05, 2016

Gold Price Soars on Revised FED Expectations / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jason_Hamlin

If FED backtracks from rate hikes, gold miners can go up 50%. – CNBC Feb 4th, 2016

We have been predicting for months that the FED would not be able to raise rates as aggressively as the market was expecting. Thus, we have been long gold and mining stocks believing that a reset in expectations for how fast the FED would raise rates would be bearish for the USD and bullish for gold.

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