Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Stock Markets and the History Chart of the End of the World (With Presidential Cycles) - 28th Aug 20
2.Google, Apple, Amazon, Facebook... AI Tech Stocks Buying Levels and Valuations Q3 2020 - 31st Aug 20
3.The Inflation Mega-trend is Going Hyper! - 11th Sep 20
4.Is this the End of Capitalism? - 13th Sep 20
5.What's Driving Gold, Silver and What's Next? - 3rd Sep 20
6.QE4EVER! - 9th Sep 20
7.Gold Price Trend Forecast Analysis - Part1 - 7th Sep 20
8.The Fed May “Cause” The Next Stock Market Crash - 3rd Sep 20
9.Bitcoin Price Crash - You Will be Suprised What Happens Next - 7th Sep 20
10.NVIDIA Stock Price Soars on RTX 3000 Cornering the GPU Market for next 2 years! - 3rd Sep 20
Last 7 days
Gold Asks Where Is The Inflation - 20th Oct 20
Last Chance for this FREE Online Trading Course Worth $129 value - 20th Oct 20
More Short-term Stock Market Weakness Ahead - 20th Oct 20
Dell S3220DGF 32 Inch Curved Gaming Monitor Unboxing and Stand Assembly and Range of Movement - 20th Oct 20
Best Retail POS Software In Australia - 20th Oct 20
From Recession to an Ever-Deeper One - 19th Oct 20
Wales Closes Border With England, Stranded Motorists on Severn Bridge? Covid-19 Police Road Blocks - 19th Oct 20
Commodity Bull Market Cycle Starts with Euro and Dollar Trend Changes - 19th Oct 20
Stock Market Melt-Up Triggered a Short Squeeze In The NASDAQ and a Utilities Breakout - 19th Oct 20
Silver is Like Gold on Steroids - 19th Oct 20
Countdown to Election Mediocrity: Why Gold and Silver Can Protect Your Wealth - 19th Oct 20
“Hypergrowth” Is Spilling Into the Stock Market Like Never Before - 19th Oct 20
Is Oculus Quest 2 Good Upgrade for Samsung Gear VR Users? - 19th Oct 20
Low US Dollar Risky for Gold - 17th Oct 20
US 2020 Election: Are American's ready for Trump 2nd Term Twilight Zone Presidency? - 17th Oct 20
Custom Ryzen 5950x, 5900x, 5800x , RTX 3080, 3070 64gb DDR4 Gaming PC System Build Specs - 17th Oct 20
Gold Jumps above $1,900 Again - 16th Oct 20
US Economic Recovery Is in Need of Some Rescue - 16th Oct 20
Why You Should Focus on Growth Stocks Today - 16th Oct 20
Why Now is BEST Time to Upgrade Your PC System for Years - Ryzen 5000 CPUs, Nvidia RTX 3000 GPU's - 16th Oct 20
Beware of Trump’s October (November?) Election Surprise - 15th Oct 20
Stock Market SPY Retesting Critical Resistance From Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arc - 15th Oct 20
Fed Chairman Begs Congress to Stimulate Beleaguered US Economy - 15th Oct 20
Is Gold Market Going Back Into the 1970s? - 15th Oct 20
Things you Should know before Trade Cryptos - 15th Oct 20
Gold and Silver Price Ready For Another Rally Attempt - 14th Oct 20
Do Low Interest Rates Mean Higher Stocks? Not so Fast… - 14th Oct 20
US Debt Is Going Up but Leaving GDP Behind - 14th Oct 20
Dell S3220DGF 31.5 Inch VA Gaming Monitor Amazon Prime Day Bargain Price! But WIll it Get Delivered? - 14th Oct 20
Karcher K7 Pressure Washer Amazon Prime Day Bargain 51% Discount! - 14th Oct 20
Top Strategies Day Traders Adopt - 14th Oct 20
AMD is KILLING Intel as Ryzen Zen 3 Takes Gaming Crown, AMD Set to Achieve CPU Market Dominance - 13th Oct 20
Amazon Prime Day Real or Fake Sales to Get Rid of Dead Stock? - 13th Oct 20
Stock Market Short-term Top Expected - 13th Oct 20
Fun Stuff to Do with a Budgie or Parakeet, a Child's Best Pet Bird Friend - 13th Oct 20
Who Will Win the Race to Open a Casino in Japan? - 13th Oct 20
Fear Grips Stock Market Short-Sellers -- What to Make of It - 12th Oct 20
For Some Remote Workers, It Pays to Stay Home… If Home Stays Local - 12th Oct 20
A Big Move In Silver: Watch The Currency Markets - 12th Oct 20
Precious Metals and Commodities Comprehensive - 11th Oct 20
The Election Does Not Matter, Stick With Stock Winners Like Clean Energy - 11th Oct 20
Gold Stocks Are Cheap, But Not for Long - 11th Oct 20
Gold Miners Ready to Fall Further - 10th Oct 29
What Happens When the Stumble-Through Economy Stalls - 10th Oct 29
This Is What The Stock Market Is Saying About Trump’s Re-Election - 10th Oct 29
Here Is Everything You Must Know About Insolvency - 10th Oct 29
Sheffield Coronavirus Warning - UK Heading for Higher Covid-19 Infections than April Peak! - 10th Oct 29
Q2 Was Disastrous. But What’s Next for the US Economy – and Gold? - 9th Oct 20
Q4 Market Forecast: How to Invest in a World Awash in Debt - 9th Oct 20
A complete paradigm shift will make gold the generational trade - 9th Oct 20
Why You Should Look for Stocks Climbing Out of a “Big Base” - 9th Oct 20
UK Coronavirus Pandemic Wave 2 - Daily Covid-19 Positive Test Cases Forecast - 9th Oct 20
Ryzen ZEN 3: The Final Nail in Intel's Coffin! Cinebench Scores 5300x, 5600x, 5800x, 5900x 5950x - 9th Oct 20
How Soon Will We See Stock Market SPX 4000? - 8th Oct 20
Stock Market Spy ETF Testing March Price Peak – What Do the Charts Say? - 8th Oct 20
5 Consequences of US Debt at $50 Trillion - 8th Oct 20
Long Term Cycles Suggest Stock Price Reversion Pending & Gold Price About To Explode High - 8th Oct 20
AMD Zen 3 Ryzen 5000 Launch - Performance, Prices Skews, Cinebench r20 Scores, 5800x, 5900x, 5950x - 8th Oct 20
Gold vs. Silver – Absolutely No Comparison - 8th Oct 20
Gold: Why You Should Be Wary of the "Consensus" - 8th Oct 20
UK Covid-19 Hospital Admissions and Deaths Since Testing Positive in 28 days Analysis - 7th Oct 20
Amazon Prime Day 2020 Sales Top Tips of How To Get Big Savings! - 7th Oct 20
Want To Win Big In Forex Trading? Leverage Is Your Friend - 7th Oct 20
Why I am Voting for Donald J. Hitler - 6th Oct 20
Markets Chop & Grind: Gold, Stocks & Commodities - 6th Oct 20
Silver Price Great Buy Spot Ahead of Second Big Upleg - 6th Oct 20
Forget RTX 3080 Get Zen 3 Ryzen 5900x / 5950x - GPU vs CPU - PC Bottlenecking - 6th Oct 20
How to Get Budgies / Parakeets to Eat Vegetables for the First Time - 6th Oct 20
How to Pick a Reputable Double Glazing Window Company - 6th Oct 20

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Election Oracle

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

ElectionOracle

Saturday, October 17, 2020

US 2020 Election: Are American's ready for Trump 2nd Term Twilight Zone Presidency? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: N_Walayat

In the rum up to the 2016 US presidential election the pollsters, pundits, markets and bookies all concluded that Hillary Clinton would win the election, which is precisely the case today in the run upto the 2020 election where everyone thinks Biden is going to win. Though at 2016 time I concluded that Trump would win as illustrated by several videos at the time.

The best description of the past 4 years is one of a dimension as vast as space and as timeless as infinity. It is the middle ground between light and shadow, between science and superstition, and it lies between the pit of man's fears and the summit of his knowledge. This is the dimension of imagination. It is an area which we call the Trump Twilight Zone.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Thursday, October 15, 2020

Beware of Trump’s October (November?) Election Surprise / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Dan_Steinbock

In the 2020 election, Americans’ national priorities, discontent with the Trump administration and its economic and pandemic failures would seem to work for the Democrats.  But beware of the October (or even November) surprise.

Recently, President Trump tested positive for COVID-19, which initiated contact tracing in the infected White House – after nine months of failed pandemic leadership, violations of basic public-health procedures, premature exits from the lockdowns and earlier-than-anticipated secondary waves.

The consequences have been severe. The number of Americans that have perished in the pandemic (close to 220,000) is already nearly four times higher than the total of US deaths in the Vietnam War.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Saturday, October 10, 2020

This Is What The Stock Market Is Saying About Trump’s Re-Election / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Avi_Gilburt

While reading of the title of this article may cause you to make certain assumptions about what you are about to read, I can assure you that this is not a politically motivated article. In fact, politics has absolutely nothing to do with the analysis and conclusions presented herein.

I want to start with the assumption that we have spoken about so often, and that it is social mood which directs our actions in life, including our willingness to buy stocks. As Robert Prechter noted in a study he published in 2012 on this topic, “[s]ocionomic theory proposes that unconscious social mood regulates social actions.”

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Tuesday, October 06, 2020

Why I am Voting for Donald J. Hitler / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Robert_Singer

First they came for the socialists, and I did not speak out – because I was not a socialist. Then they came for the trade unionists, and I did not speak out – because I was not a trade unionist. Then they came for me, and I didn’t need to speak out, I voted for Adolph J. Trump

I have been trying to explain the millions of Americans—Republicans Christians, Jews, Blacks, Hispanic and college-educated white voters— who watched Trump stand in the middle of 5th Avenue and shoot freedom, equality and justice in the head, and are still voting for him in November.

They don’t care that he lost more money than any other American, bankrupted his businesses six times, is an adulterer, a liar, and that he grabs women by the p*ssy.

It’s not an enigma wrapped in a riddle. Roe vs Wade, Moving the Embassy to Jerusalem, the Wall, the Economy, Iran or Climate Change, none of them solve the mystery.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Saturday, October 03, 2020

Debate Debacle: What Biden and Trump SHOULD Have Been Asked / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: MoneyMetals

Tuesday night’s presidential debate between Donald Trump and Joe Biden won’t go down as a great moment in the annals of American democracy. That much both camps, as well as independent observers of the chaotic spectacle, can agree upon.

The post-debate debate over whose interruptions or insults were most egregious totally overlooked the glaring failure of moderator Chris Wallace to ask any substantive questions about the country's unprecedented financial predicament.

Record budget deficits? Unsustainable debt growth? Open-ended Federal Reserve currency creation?

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Friday, October 02, 2020

Trump Tests Positive for CoronaVirus, Is Biden Infected? Pence vs Harris Presidency? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

President Trumps incompetent handling of the chinese coronavirus pandemic has resulted in over 210,000 american deaths, that looks set to reach 250,000 by voting day and who now himself has tested positive for Covdi-19.

Given his antics of lack of social distancing and mask wearing and holding huge enclosed space election rallies the only surprising thing is that he made it this far without getting infected.

Can Trump survive Covid-19? After all it came close to killing Britain's equally moronic 50 year old Prime Minister Boris Johnson earlier in the year.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Tuesday, September 29, 2020

How Trump co-opted the religious right and stacked the courts with conservatives / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Richard_Mills

“We’re not giving lifetime appointments to this President, on the way out the door, to change the Supreme Court, for the next 25 or 30 years.” 

That was Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell in 2016, defending his controversial decision to block President Obama’s appointee to the Supreme Court, Merrick Garland. 

The veteran Republican lawmaker enraged Democrats by refusing to hold a Senate confirmation hearing on Garland’s appropriateness for the position. Under the US Constitution, the Senate Judiciary Committee conducts hearings examining the background of the nominee and questioning him/ her about their views on a variety of cases and their judicial philosophy.

Yet when faced with a vacancy on the court after the recent death of liberal Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, McConnell vowed to replace her in a Senate vote, before the Nov. 3 election. Like in 2016, a Supreme Court judge had died just before the President’s four-year term had ended (actually six weeks prior this year, vs 8 months in 2016). 

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Tuesday, August 18, 2020

Mail-in ballots in order to Fraudulently steal US Presidental Election 2020? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: James_Quinn

WHAT DIFFERENCE DOES IT MAKE?

During questioning by Senator Ron Johnson in 2013 about the false narrative of a Prophet Muhammed video spurring a spontaneous demonstration, presented by National Security Advisor Susan Rice and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, regarding the Benghazi attack that killed Ambassador Christopher Stevens and three other Americans, Clinton angrily responded with her now famous quote.

“With all due respect, the fact is, we had four dead Americans. Was it because of a protest or because of guys out for a walk one night who decide to kill some Americans, what difference at this point does it make?” – Hillary Clinton

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Tuesday, July 21, 2020

US Election 2020: ‘A Major Bear Market of Political Decency’ / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: John_Mauldin

I know many of you are wondering what happens if Joe Biden wins the 2020 presidential election? What happens if Donald Trump wins?

So, I called my friend Doug Kass to basically “wargame” the next 12 to 24 months. He’s a veteran trader and investor, one George Soros tried to hire on several occasions. So, when he has something to say, I listen closely.

Doug and I went back and forth on a few issues, but the bottom line is the same: We are in for a very rough ride.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Sunday, February 16, 2020

Ignore the Polls, the Markets Have Already Told You Who Wins in 2020 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Graham_Summers

Ignore the naysayers, the Trump administration has successful engineered an economic boom.

I was recently on Cheddar discussing the markets when the anchor raised the fact that the Trump administration failed to achieve its economic goals.

This is false.

First and foremost, the economic data put out in the U.S. has become EXTREMELY politically biased.

The reason for this is simple, many of the people who compile this information are Democrats who hate the President (the bulk of Government employees live and work in Northern Virginia/ D.C. which went 92% for Hillary Clinton in 2016).

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Wednesday, January 29, 2020

Trump vs Cortez - Clash of the Titans / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Peter_Schiff

In the decades that I have been listening to politicians clumsily trying to explain the economy there has never been a period, with the possible exception of the early Reagan years, in which major party leaders were able to present a solid grasp of economic principles. But I have never seen a time in which the levels of ignorance coming from those in leadership positions is so extreme.

The state of affairs can be illustrated by two interviews last week by Donald Trump and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez for the Democrats, the two undisputed leaders of our major political parties. Both put forth visions this week that are illogical, incoherent, and that completely ignore both data and experience. But these leaders are putting out beacons under which the vast majority of Americans are congregating. It's worse than the blind leading the blind, and it bodes very poorly for our ability to deal with the next economic crisis, which I believe is certainly slouching towards Washington, waiting to be born.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Friday, December 13, 2019

Why Jo Swinson and the Lib Dems LOST Seats General Election 2019 - Sheffiled Hallam Result / ElectionOracle / General Election 2019

By: N_Walayat

According to the pollsters such as Yougov, the Lib Dem's were supposed to hoover up seats in REMAIN constituencies from at least Labour if not the Tories. But that's not what happened! They FAILED to win seats where they were ahead in the polls such as in the Sheffield Hallam constituency. Even Jo Swinson the Lib Deam leader lost her seat to the SNP! Resulting in the Lib Dems dropping from 20 MP's to just 11!

Find out why in this precient video posted the day BEFORE polling day for why the Lib Dem's had burned their support in many consituencies across Britain, such as in Sheffield Hallam where the polls said they were ahead by 4% i.e. 36% to 32% Labour. Instead Labour held onto the seat by 700 votes.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Thursday, December 12, 2019

UK General Election 2019 BBC Exit Poll Forecast Accuracy Analysis / ElectionOracle / General Election 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Over 50,000 polling stations are open today across the UK to cope with the expected demand from an estimated 34 million voters out of a total of approx 49 million eligible to vote. With all eyes turned to the next big event of election night, the BBC EXIT POLL to follow within minutes of the polls closing at 10pm. Which unlike the multitudes of daily opinion polls that have been all over the place during the past month, the exit poll should provide an accurate gauge of what is the probable outcome of the general election some 5 hours before enough seats have been counted to make the actual result clear.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Thursday, December 12, 2019

UK Election Seats Forecasts - Tories 326, Labour 241, SNP 40, Lib Dems 17 / ElectionOracle / General Election 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Here's a quick summary of my general election seats per party forecasts ahead of the polls opening.

  • Conservatives 326
  • Labour 241
  • SNP 40
  • Lib Dems 17
Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Thursday, December 12, 2019

UK General Election 2019 FINAL Seats Per Political Party Forecast / ElectionOracle / General Election 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

FINAL SEATS PER POLITICAL PARTY FORECAST

This is my final seats per political party forecast based on extensive analysis published at the market MarketOracle.co.uk website over the past 3 weeks a fraction of which was posted to youtube.

The whole of this analysis was first made available to patrons who support my work that includes my final seats forecast at 12pm on the 11th of December 2019.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Wednesday, December 11, 2019

What UK CPI, RPI INFLATION Forecasts for General Election Result 2019 / ElectionOracle / General Election 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's the economy stupid! The party in government tends to lose elections to the opposition on the basis of where the economy stands at the time of the general election. So whilst Boris Johnson's "Get Brexit Done" headline grabbing mantra sounds like it could deliver the Tories enough votes to win. However, if the economy is on the slide then all slogans and promises will be ignored, much as was the case for Theresa May's 2017 all about getting Brexit done election campaign.

So the focus of this analysis is where the economy in terms of Inflation stands and it's direction of travel relative to where economy stood in the run up to the June 2017 General Election as one of the 9 key election forecasting lessons learned from the outcome of the 2017 general elections.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Wednesday, December 11, 2019

Opinion Pollsters, YouGov MRP General Election 2019 Result Seats Forecast / ElectionOracle / General Election 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is my final analysis of a 6 part series that aims to apply lessons learned from the 2017 general election towards a forecast that at it's core is based on my UK house prices momentum analysis that was first made available to Patrons on the 24th of November 2019.

Tory Seats projection analysis to date :

  1. UK House Prices 322 - UK House Prices Momentum General Election Core Forecast (24th November 2019)
  2. Manifestos Bribes 311 - Labour vs Tory Manifesto Voter Bribes Impact on UK General Election Forecast (30th November 2019)
  3. Economy 324 - What the UK Economy Predicts for General Election 2019 (4th December 2019)
  4. Marginal Seats 326 - UK General Election Tory and Labour Marginal Seats Analysis, Implied Forecast 2019 (7th December 2019)
  5. Social Mood (patrons) - Social Mood and Leaders Impact on General Election Forecast 2019 (9th December 2019)
  6. Final Forecast (patrons) - Opinion Polls, Betting Markets and Final Forecast Conclusion (11th December 2019)

Analysis to date averages to 3xx Tory seats which shows little deviation against my core house prices based forecast of 322 tory seats.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Wednesday, December 11, 2019

UK General Election Tory and Labour Marginal Seats Analysis, Implied Forecast 2019 / ElectionOracle / General Election 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The 2019 December 12th general election will be won and lost in the marginal seats that is be the focus of my fourth in-depth analysis in this series that aims to fine tune my core election forecast based on UK house prices as the most accurate predictor of UK General Elections.

First a recap of my seats projections analysis to date:

  1. UK House Prices 322 - UK House Prices Momentum General Election Core Forecast (24th November 2019)
  2. Manifestos Bribes 311 - Labour vs Tory Manifesto Voter Bribes Impact on UK General Election Forecast (30th November 2019)
  3. Economy 324 - What the UK Economy Predicts for General Election 2019 (4th December 2019)
  4. Marginal Seats (patrons) (UK General Election Tory and Labour Marginal Seats Analysis, Implied Forecast 2019 (7th December 2019)
  5. Social Mood (patrons) (Social Mood and Leaders Impact on General Election Forecast 2019 (9th December 2019)
  6. Final Forecast (patrons) - Opinion Polls, Betting Markets and Final Forecast Conclusion (11th December 2019)
Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Wednesday, December 11, 2019

UK General Election 2019 - Tory Seats Forecast Based on GDP Growth / ElectionOracle / General Election 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's the economy stupid! The party in government tends to lose elections to the opposition on the basis of where the economy stands at the time of the general election. So whilst Boris Johnson's "Get Brexit Done" headline grabbing mantra sounds like it could deliver the Tories enough votes to win. However, if the economy is on the slide then all slogans and promises will be ignored, much as was the case for Theresa May's 2017 all about getting Brexit done election campaign.

So the focus of this analysis is where the economy stands and it's direction of travel relative to where economy stood in the run up to the June 2017 General Election as one of the 9 key election forecasting lessons learned from the outcome of the 2017 general elections.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Tuesday, December 10, 2019

YouGov's MRP Poll Final Tory Seats Forecast Revised Down From 359 to 338, Possibly Lower? / ElectionOracle / General Election 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

YouGov is set to update their MRP methodology based election polling seats forecast at 10pm today. Their existing forecast as of 27th November is for Boris Johnson to win a majority of 68 on 359 seats, whilst Labour drops from 242 to 211. As apparently Yougov accurately called the June 2017 General Election! We'll that's what Yougov and the mainstream press keep iterating and thus the obsession with their MRP forecast for 2019.

A quick search reveals - "As the dust of the general election settles, many commentators are still stating they didn’t see it coming. But we did." https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2017/06/14/how-we-correctly-called-hung-parliament , Yougov.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Page << | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 30 | >>