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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Election Oracle

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

ElectionOracle

Saturday, May 18, 2019

BrExit Party EarthQuake Could Win it 150 MP's at Next UK General Election! / ElectionOracle / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Betrayal of voters and failure to follow through on Manifesto promises ensures that Nigel Farage's insurgent BrExit Party is set to storm the European Elections on the 23rd of May, winning more seats than UKIP's previous tally of 24 won in 2014. However, the pain for Westminster mainstream parties won't end with the EU elections for given the state of the Tory government barely clinging onto power with the help of the erratic DUP then a General Election later this year is increasingly becoming likely.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, May 17, 2019

Brexit Party Set to Storm EU Parliament Elections - Seats Forecast / ElectionOracle / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Britain's walking dead Labour and Conservative zombie political parties are about to reap the whirlwind for not just failing to deliver on the 2016 EU referendum result of LEAVING the EU on the 29th of March 2019. But having effectively ignored near half the electorate for the past 2 decades, who have increasingly became disengaged from the 2 parties, who in reality have become largely the SAME party!

The first shock to the system was the UKIP victory in the 2014 European Elections by winning 24 seats, and then came LEAVE winning the 2016 EU Referendum. And so voters on the 23rd of May look set to deliver the next BREXIT SHOCK to the political establishment, where most MP's have long since sold out the British people to the bankers and billionaires who effectively run the show the most notable consequence of which was ConLab BAILING OUT the BANKING CRIME SYNDICATE in 2008-2019, the price for which has been borne by ordinary British people resulting in a decade of stagnating earnings for most workers.

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ElectionOracle

Thursday, May 16, 2019

How Many Seats Will Brexit Party Win - EU Parliament Elections Forecast 2019 / ElectionOracle / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Britain's walking dead Labour and Conservative zombie political parties are about to reap the whirlwind for not just failing to deliver on the 2016 EU referendum result of LEAVING the EU on the 29th of March 2019. But having effectively ignored near half the electorate for the past 2 decades, who have increasingly became disengaged from the 2 parties, who in reality have become largely the SAME party!

The first shock to the system was the UKIP victory in the 2014 European Elections by winning 24 seats, and then came LEAVE winning the 2016 EU Referendum. And so voters on the 23rd of May look set to deliver the next BREXIT SHOCK to the political establishment, where most MP's have long since sold out the British people to the bankers and billionaires who effectively run the show the most notable consequence of which was ConLab BAILING OUT the BANKING CRIME SYNDICATE in 2008-2019, the price for which has been borne by ordinary British people resulting in a decade of stagnating earnings for most workers.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Sunday, May 12, 2019

BrExit Party MEP Seats Forecast in EU Elections 23rd May 2019 / ElectionOracle / European Elections

By: N_Walayat

Will the lying toe rags in Westminster (Labour and Conservatives) who never had any intentions of honouring the outcome of the 2016 EU Referendum reap the whirlwind at the May 23rd European Elections? If so then how many of the 73 MEP seats can Nigel Farage's new Brexit Party hope to win? Find out in my latest Brexit video.

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, March 19, 2019

Could a Lurch Toward Socialism Sink Democrats in 2020? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: MoneyMetals

Rahm Emanuel, the former Chief of Staff for President Barack Obama and now Mayor of Chicago, is worried about socialism. Of course, he’s a proponent of redistribution and collectivist initiatives such as socialized medicine. He just thinks it’s bad politics.

He believes too many Americans aren’t yet keen on overt socialists running for office.

According to Emanuel, Democratic candidates and operatives should distance themselves from using the word “socialism” and find other ways to describe their agenda.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, November 09, 2018

US Mid-terms Post-Election Run Down: Biggest Winner, Biggest Loser / ElectionOracle / US Congressional Elections

By: MoneyMetals

Tuesday's elections produced some winners, some losers, some surprises, and some lingering uncertainties.

For investors, the potential for a major shock to the markets was averted. But with Democrats poised to take control of Congress, new legislative threats to wealth holders loom on the horizon.

Even though the GOP lost the House of Representatives, it gained seats in the Senate – a rare feat during a mid-term election for a party that controls the White House. President Donald Trump hailed the night a “tremendous success.”

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, November 06, 2018

US Midterm Elections Forecast 2018 / ElectionOracle / US Congressional Elections

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Several patrons have messaged me asking for my views on the mid-term US elections. Whilst I’ve not been following these elections too closely i.e. in terms of betting on them, nevertheless here is my view which is primarily based on the fact that usually the party that holds the White House tends to do badly in the mid-terms.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, August 22, 2018

US False Flag Election / ElectionOracle / US Congressional Elections

By: BATR

A conventional election cycle gets serious and begins when the Labor Day holiday is over. Well, there is nothing normal in a country which is divided among establishment statists, global corporatists, extreme anarchists, Marxists authoritarians vs. Trump 'Deplorables'. The prospects of the 2018 midterm U.S. Federal elections have the entire political structure of the power elites in a panic. The President ran on a platform as a 'Disrupter' and he has fulfilled the dismantling and substitution of many unaccountable Deep State operatives with honest public servants.  Brace yourself for much more than the silly season of campaigns. Get ready that the danger level of a monumental false flag is upon us and that the country faces a shock heard round the world.  

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ElectionOracle

Friday, May 04, 2018

Sheffield Local Elections Full Results - Labour Loses Seats to Tree Felling Protests / ElectionOracle / Sheffield

By: N_Walayat

Labour paid the electoral price for their arrogance against the expressed wishes of tens of thousands of Sheffielders, increasingly angry at the felling of thousands of healthy street trees as the local elections saw the Labour ruling regime lose a net 3 councilors, 1 to the Liberal Democrats and 2 to the Green Party, whilst UKIP lost their only standing councillor at these elections to the Lib Dems.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, May 04, 2018

UK Local Election Results - Pollsters and Pundits Wrong Again! Trees Fell Sheffield Labour Council / ElectionOracle / UK Local Elections

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The mainstream press backed up by the polling industry had once more built themselves up into a frenzy of reporting with much certainty that the Conservatives were heading for an electoral blood bath in the local elections, with the London epicentre expected to ripple out across the regions as Corbyn's Labour party was expected to build on last years shock General Election results that crippled Theresa May's government which had the effect of throwing the Tories into a state of panic that had many Labour councils already counting their electoral chickens before they were hatched.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, May 02, 2018

UK Local Elections 2018 Shock Predictions! Labour London Gains Offset by Regional Losses / ElectionOracle / UK Local Elections

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The mainstream press backed up by the polling industry has once more built themselves up into a frenzy of reporting with much certainty that the Conservatives are heading for an electoral blood bath in the local elections, with the London epicentre rippling out across the regions as Corbyn's Labour party is expected to build on last years shock General Election results that crippled Theresa May's government which has had the effect of throwing the Tories into a state of panic whilst many Labour councils are already counting their electoral chickens before their hatched. All whilst forgetting that the same pollsters and pundits got last years general election very badly wrong! And so one has to beg the question are they all badly wrong AGAIN? Which would be for SIXTH ELECTION IN A ROW!

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ElectionOracle

Monday, April 30, 2018

Labour Local Elections Landslide, Are Opinion Pollsters & Pundits Wrong Again? Sheffield Trees Case / ElectionOracle / UK Local Elections

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The mainstream press backed up by the polling industry has once more built themselves up in a frenzy of reporting with much certainty that the Conservatives are heading for a blood bath in the local elections, with the epicentre London ripping out across the regions as Corbyn is NOW expected to build on his shock General Election result of last year that crippled Theresa May's government. All whilst forgetting that the same pollsters and pundits got last years general election very, very badly wrong! And so one has to beg the question are they wrong AGAIN, likely for the FIFTH TIME IN ROW!

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ElectionOracle

Sunday, April 29, 2018

Sheffield City Region Mayoral Election Results Forecast (South Yorkshire) / ElectionOracle / UK Local Elections

By: N_Walayat

On May 3rd in addition to the local city council elections, the larger Sheffield city region (Sheffield, Doncaster, Barnsley, Chesterfield, Rotherham and apparently including large chunks of Derbyshire) will also hold an election for South Yorkshires first Mayor (sorry people who live in Derbyshire your now part of South Yorkshire). The candidates will likely be unknown to most voters, and all that voters can really go is where they are from, live and work. And what they represent in terms of party politics.

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ElectionOracle

Saturday, April 28, 2018

UK Local Elections Forecast 2018 - Trees vs Labour Sheffield City Council / ElectionOracle / UK Local Elections

By: N_Walayat

The local elections will be held in less than 1 weeks time on Thursday 3rd of May 2018 when 1/3rd of Sheffield's city council seats are up for election, that's 28 out of a total of 84 seats. The current make up of the council has the Labour party on 56 seats resulting in an commanding majority of 28. Which has effectively allowed the Labour council free reign to adopt whatever policy they chose fit regardless of electoral consequences, and when criticised for some of their 'crackpot' actions such as signing a contract with a Spanish owned contractor that includes a target to to fell HALF of Sheffield's street trees at a time of climate change catastrophe, Labour councilors have tended to respond by referring to their strong electoral mandate.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, April 27, 2018

Will Tree Protests Fell Sheffield Labour City Council? Local Election Results Forecast 2018 / ElectionOracle / UK Local Elections

By: N_Walayat

The local elections will be held in less than 1 weeks time on the 3rd of May 2018 when 1/3rd of Sheffield's city council seats will be up for election, that's 28 out of a total of 84 seats. The current make up of the council has the Labour party on 56 seats resulting in an commanding majority of 28. Which means that the Labour council can do whatever it wants regardless of electoral consequences, and when criticised for some of their crackpot actions such as signing a contract with a Spanish owned contractor to fell HALF of Sheffield's street trees, tends to respond with the fact that the people of Sheffield voted for them.

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ElectionOracle

Saturday, April 21, 2018

Sheffield Ruling Labour Party Could Lose 10 Council Seats at May Local Elections / ElectionOracle / UK Local Elections

By: N_Walayat

A growing peaceful street revolution had been under way against Sheffield city councils ruling Labour regime in the countdown to the May 2018 Local elections in response to the rampant felling of thousands of street trees where there exists a contractual target to fell as many as half of Sheffield's Street trees during the lifetime of the PFI contract with Amey.

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ElectionOracle

Sunday, July 30, 2017

Hacker Cracks US Voting Machine - If Politics Seem Messy Now, Just Wait / ElectionOracle / US Politics

By: John_Rubino

It’s already widely understood that the electronic voting machines used by a growing number of US states are easy to hack. But just how easy may not be clear. Consider this from today’s Wall Street Journal:

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ElectionOracle

Monday, July 10, 2017

How to Accurately Forecast the UK General Election in Nine Steps / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: Nadeem_Walayat

In early April everything appeared to be going smoothly for Britain, Article 50 had been triggered without any significant political opposition apart from the SNP's shrill cry for another independence referendum from north of the Scottish border. But then Theresa May made the fatal mistake of believing the tripe that calls itself Britain's polling industry, that convinced her that a snap general election would yield a landslide victory, thus strengthening her hand in the about to begin BrEXIT negotiations.

And so started Britain's decent into chaos, an election campaign that had many Tory supporters asking if Theresa May was actually trying to lose the election by her antics most notable of which was her u-turn on the manifesto dementia tax. Whilst on the other hand the mainstream media was totally blind to the way Jeremy Corbyn was galvanising the anti-austerity vote, where every pundit and forecaster without exception right up until the polls closed on June 8th expected the Conservatives to win with an INCREASED majority, on a tally ranging to as high as 414 seats, though most clustered around 365 seat for the Tories.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, July 07, 2017

UK Election Forecasting - YouGov Snatches Defeat from the Jaws of Victory! / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The most notable outlier forecast of the 2017 UK general election was YouGov's seats forecast announced about 2 weeks prior to the general election that was contrary to every other pollster and analysts at the time. Initially YouGov forecast that the Tories would only achieve 310 seats.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, July 07, 2017

UK House Prices the Most Accurate General Election Forecast Predictor / ElectionOracle / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

UK house prices wealth effect once more proved to be the MOST accurate forecaster for the outcome of UK general elections i.e. April house prices data implied 342 Tory seats, which far more reliable when compared to the a range of forecast expectations primarily by pollster based analysts that extended 375 seats just prior to polling day.

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