Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, September 24, 2014
Gold And Silver Voodoo Analysis Price Forecasts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Austin_Galt
Both gold and silver have had an uncharacteristic and bad month. Gold and silver usually shine in the month of September. Not the case this year. Quite the opposite really!
And I have been no better predicting a rally in both metals. Market 1, myself 0. The markets can be quick to humble and I am certainly not immune. But one key to being successful in this game is being able to drag oneself up from the mat when the chips are down and soldier on. So it is with a clear head and renewed focus that I present where the technicals currently stand as I see them.
Wednesday, September 24, 2014
GOLD Bewitching Hour of a Triple Bottom is Upon Us / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Bob_Kirtley
Background
The last time gold sparkled was in the summer of 2011 when an all-time record of $1900/oz was achieved. Alas since then it has been a torturous journey as gold prices has trekked south arriving at today’s price of $1216/oz, registering a loss of 36%. However, for the year to date gold is still trading above its low of $1180/oz as it grimly hangs on to a modest gain of 3%. The question we face now surrounds gold’s direction; will it test the previous low of $1180/oz and bounce to higher levels or will it penetrate this support level and set the stage for sub $1000/oz gold prices.
Wednesday, September 24, 2014
How Falling Oil Prices Could Trigger an "Unpredictable and Dangerous Mess" / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Money_Morning
Dr. Kent Moors writes: The dive in crude oil prices continued yesterday as yet another selloff targeted the energy sector for a particularly big hit.
Of course, this too shall pass.
The crude oil markets are oversold and a rebalancing will bring prices back up a bit over the near term.
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Tuesday, September 23, 2014
Silver, Gold, Debt and Taxes / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: DeviantInvestor
I’m convinced – we can’t escape debt and taxes. Essentially all currency is created as debt, and our financial system creates more debt and more currency into circulation every day. Taxes are insufficient to pay the massive expenditures that our politicians deem essential, so our national, state and local governments fall deeper into debt every year. I think we can all agree – expect more debt and more taxes.
Tuesday, September 23, 2014
Has The Gold Price Drop Run Its Course? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: GoldSilverWorlds
The gold price dropped in the last weeks, to close on Monday September 22nd at USD 1212 and EUR 942. Dollar gold is close to retest its bottom for the third time since mid-2013, a price level which was seen only in the summer of 2010. For readers seeking to understand what is going on, we are providing a comprehensive view on the gold market. We take all perspectives into account: price and chart patterns, the technical picture, sentiment, the fuures market, physical demand, gold miners, the influence of the dollar, correlation with commodities, monetary policy and inflation/deflation.
Tuesday, September 23, 2014
Can Gold Act as a Safe Haven Again? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
By: The_Gold_Report
PI Financial mining analyst Christos Doulis says six years ago when the financial crisis was in full swing, safe-haven buying made gold skyrocket. Today, the fear component is down, as is the price of gold. That is why Doulis believes investors need to own bulletproof, low-cost names that can survive this environment. In this interview with The Gold Report, Doulis discusses some M&A possibilities and points to management teams getting the most out of their low-cost precious metals assets.
Monday, September 22, 2014
China Moves To Dominate Gold Market With Physical Exchange / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: GoldCore
Shanghai Gold Exchange International Board
China is slowly moving to dominate the global gold market and it is important to join the dots regarding a few key recent developments in China relating to gold.
When the International Board of the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) was launched last Thursday September 18 during an evening trading session, it was notable that the first transactions were put through by a diverse group comprising HSBC, MKS (Switzerland), and the Chinese banks, ICBC, Bank of China and Bank of Communications.
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Sunday, September 21, 2014
Long Term Gold Price Chart with Retracements / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Jesse
Our friend Lenny sent the patrons of the café a long term gold chart that is quite interesting We have certainly been through the ups and downs of these markets together,
It shows the strong support at 1180, and the longer term trend line that works on a logarithmic chart.
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Saturday, September 20, 2014
Gold And Silver - Current Price Is The Story / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Michael_Noonan
Forget all the news, all the fundamentals, all the [mostly errant] price projections. There is a reason why a picture is worth more than 1,000 words, and this is one of those times where it is best to focus on pictures of the market, over various time frames, to get a better handle on what to expect moving forward. Put to rest every so-called PMs pundit or blogger that has persistently been calling for higher prices or saying the low is in.
We keep saying that the best and most reliable indicators come from the market. Time to stop listening about what others have been saying about the market and pay closer attention to what the market is saying about others. Several months ago, we expressed the thought that 2014 would likely be more like 2013 and to not expect a dramatic increase in gold and silver prices. Even that was optimistic as silver just reached recent 4 year lows.
Saturday, September 20, 2014
Russian Sanctions 'Putin' Pressure On Uranium Supply / Commodities / Uranium
By: Jeb_Handwerger
Summary
- Spot uranium price rebounding strong over the past few weeks, rallying more than $3 per lb or more than 10% in a short timespan.
- End users such as the nuclear utilities with deep pockets need safe and secure long term supplies from stabile jurisdictions.
- Recent sanctions with Russia could already be putting pressure on uranium supply. Europe and the U.S. relied on cheap uranium from Russia for decades.
- What happens when the cheap uranium runs out? Look for off take agreements, M&A and strategic equity investments in junior uranium miners.
- Sanctions on Russia and Putin could be putting pressure on the supply side of uranium.
Saturday, September 20, 2014
Cheap Gold Stocks Upleg Intact / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold stocks have plunged in September, crushed by the withering selling pressure from heavy futures shorting hammering gold. As usual, these falling prices have kindled extreme bearishness on this left-for-dead sector. But despite this rotten sentiment, gold stocks’ young upleg remains very much intact technically. This impressive resiliency is fueled by these miners’ incredibly-cheap fundamental valuations.
Gold stocks are without a doubt the most despised sector in all the stock markets. Thanks to the Fed’s brazen debt monetizations and manipulations of interest rates, the global markets are distorted beyond belief. Stock markets have soared to extreme valuations on the Fed’s implied backstopping, leading to epic complacency, greed, and hubris. That artificial levitation sucked vast capital out of alternative investments.
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Saturday, September 20, 2014
The London Gold Pool - 1961 to 1968 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Julian_DW_Phillips
Of course the Gold Price is manipulated, that's the point!
By the beginning of the 1960s, the U.S.$ 35 = 1 oz. Gold price was becoming more and more difficult to sustain. Gold demand was rising and U.S. Gold reserves were falling, both as a result of the ever increasing trade deficits which the U.S. continued to run with the rest of the world.
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Friday, September 19, 2014
Finding Zero / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
“If you want to find the secrets of the universe, think in terms of energy, frequency and vibration.”
― Nikola Tesla
The silver market is always one day from panic. The same could be said for the bond market or the dollar. In the age of electronic price discovery and massive reckless monetary Imbalance anything can happen - and it probably will.
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Friday, September 19, 2014
Another Miserable Week for Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Alasdair_Macleod
Gold and silver drifted lower over the course of the week, with a challenge to the $1200 level for gold becoming a distinct possibility. Silver is struggling to hold $18.50. Mainstream opinion has been negative for commodities generally, with a strong dollar undermining them. Brent crude, for example, is now well under $100.
Friday, September 19, 2014
Bird's Eye View of the Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Since last summer, investing in the mining sector has been akin to riding a mini roller coaster. There have been two huge rallies, two sudden and sharp declines while more than a handful of individual stocks have rebounded over 200% from their lows. Nevertheless, as we noted a few weeks ago the weakness of the metals won out and are dictating the terms. Since we covered the metals in our last missive we wanted to focus soley on the miners. A look at the bear market analog chart as well as a very long-term chart of GDM illustrates the coming risks and opportunities.
Friday, September 19, 2014
Silver Price at Critical Juncture / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Austin_Galt
Silver has just kept tanking and tanking over the last couple of months. And taking my silver longs with it. It's been painful stuff. That will teach me to trade against the trend. It's certainly a different picture to all the hooting and hollering of the bulls back in June.
Silver is now back to just above its major yearly low of US$18.17 set in 2013. I often remark how the market likes to take things to the extreme and once again we have a clear case of that here. So, we are now at a critical juncture. If price were to break to new yearly lows now then price would likely capitulate. I just do not see this happening. Let's investigate.
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Friday, September 19, 2014
Silver - Almost Time to Backup the Truck and Load up / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Joseph_Russo
The following is a plausible forecast / prediction
Despite my known disdain for time and price predictions, I base the plausible forecast for an October 2014 generational low in the dollar-denominated value of Silver upon the cyclical duration of a prior elongated bear market that occurred from May 1968 thru November 1971.
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Thursday, September 18, 2014
Silver Price: A Collapse and a Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: DeviantInvestor
Complaint From A Silver Bull
The last 3 plus years have been difficult. My faith in the silver bull market and my fear of fiat currencies has been shattered. There is no joy in "Silverville" - nothing but worry and despair!
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Thursday, September 18, 2014
Silver Buyers Keep Stacking And Demand Higher Despite Falling Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: GoldCore
The silver price has remained subdued this year, falling just less than 5% year-to-date, and is now near a 14 month low. Naturally, investor psychology has been affected by the price weakness.
Quoted today in Bloomberg News, Mark O’Byrne, director of GoldCore said that “sentiment remains quite bad in the silver market.”
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Thursday, September 18, 2014
Monetary Policy Weighs on Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Bob_Kirtley
Background
Gold has an inverse relationship with the US Dollar so when the dollar declines gold rises. The dollar is affected by monetary policy as decided by the various central bankers across the planet. We recently covered the effect of the European version of QE with an article entitled; ‘Why ECB QE Is Bearish For Gold Prices’ so today we will take a quick look at the ramifications for the precious metals sector emanating from the monetary policy meeting of the Federal Reserve held today.