Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, October 08, 2014
Gold: Time to Prepare for Big Gains? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Casey_Research
Years of a severe downturn in the gold market have left very few bulls to speak out in favor of the yellow metal. Here are some positive opinions on the future of the precious metal, from the recently concluded Casey Research Fall Summit.
David Tice, founder of the Prudent Bear Fund, believes we are heading for a “global currency reset” that will reduce the role of the dollar in global trade. Central banks, he says, don’t possess all the gold they claim to, and the unwinding of the paper gold market probably isn’t far down the road—it could even ignite the next major crisis.
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Wednesday, October 08, 2014
Gold and Silver Stocks Apocalypse Now, Bear Market Review / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
By: Rambus_Chartology
In part I, Phase III-Dead Ahead, we established the macro case for the final phase of the gold stock bear market. As the bear market progresses the economies key constraint remains the level of debt, specifically the size and composition of the national balance sheet which has baked in the cake a deflationary outcome. It is this wave of deflation that will drive the final phase of this bear market to unimagined lows. The good news, however is when it's finally over the precious metals will transition into the next bull market. We will examine this process and the sign posts along the way as we complete phase III of the bear market and transition into the beginning of the next bull market in the precious metals.
Wednesday, October 08, 2014
Gold; a Simpleton’s View / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Gary_Tanashian
First off, if you have an interest in the price of gold and have not already done so, I highly recommend you check out Steve Hochberg’s 2-part Elliott Wave video presentation on gold (disclosure: free sign up to Club EWI brings a small commission to yours truly 
). With all his zigs, zags, waves and patterns he ends up at the same place I do with my simple version. I may use less cluttered methods, but I find this stuff very interesting.
With markets at a key juncture, the US dollar over bought (but bullish), the precious metals, commodities and increasingly, global markets over sold but bearish and US stocks acting as if October 2014 could at least recall memories of October 2008, I want to try to weave all this together around the simplistic monthly chart of gold, which is the asset that would provide liquidity for asset market refugees if the macro really were to get very negative.
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Wednesday, October 08, 2014
Ebola and Global Recession Risks Send Stocks Sliding / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: GoldCore
Hardly a day goes by without a headline on the spread of the deadly Ebola virus in West Africa and now in Spain and in the U.S. With more than 3,500 deaths and about 8,000 reported cases, it is one of the most severe disease outbreaks in recent years.
Wednesday, October 08, 2014
The Gold Bug is Set to Bite Back / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: EWI
Since hitting a record high of $1921.50 per ounce in September 2011, gold prices have erased 30% in value. By the end of day on October 3, 2014, gold prices were circling the drain of a 15-month low.
After such devastation, the global community of gold analysts, advisors and investors finds itself scattered as an anthill colony after being stepped on by a giant bear paw. This recent Forbes article captures the divisiveness among gold watchers:
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Tuesday, October 07, 2014
Gold and the S&P 500 Index: Sum and Ratio / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: DeviantInvestor
The US national debt in 1989 was about $2.8 Trillion. Twenty Five years later, in 2014, that debt had increased by a factor of about 6.3 to $17.8 Trillion.
For many decades the US piled on more debt, increased the currency in circulation much more rapidly than the economy grew, and of course, caused consumer prices to increase substantially. Naturally the S&P 500 Index increased, as did the price of gold, since each dollar was worth less.
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Tuesday, October 07, 2014
Huge Reversal in USD and Gold - Finally! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions (full) in gold, silver and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
The precious metals market finally rallied yesterday. Gold moved lower in the first hours of the session, getting very close to the Dec. 2013 low, but it rallied before the session was over, finally closing over $16 higher. Is the final bottom in?
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Tuesday, October 07, 2014
Silver “Particularly Cheap” as “Blood On The Commodity Streets” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: GoldCore
With few exceptions, commodity prices have fallen sharply in recent months, to their lowest levels in over a year.
Tuesday, October 07, 2014
Why NED Davis is Dead Wrong About Gold Price Falling to $660 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Jason_Hamlin
John LaForge, commodities strategist at Ned Davis Research says gold is going to $660 an ounce.
In an appearance on CNBC on Thursday, LaForge said that the end of the current “supercycle” for gold could push the precious metal down to $660 an ounce, or about 40% lower than where it is currently trading.
LaForge said that in the 1980s, the price of gold fell about 65% from peak-to-trough as the precious metal endured a 20-year bear market. And after hitting $1900 an ounce in 2011, gold should see a similar peak-to-trough decline in the current cycle.
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Monday, October 06, 2014
Gold Price Support At $1,180/oz and $1,161/oz, Then At $1,000/oz / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: GoldCore
Gold had a torrid September and suffered further losses last week of 2.2%.
Gold in U.S. Dollars, 5 Years (Thomson Reuters)
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Monday, October 06, 2014
Long-term Forecast for Commodity Prices and Mining Industry Funding / Commodities / Metals & Mining
By: Dr_Volkmar_G_Hable
Rising global scarcity of resources – metals, minerals and energy – that an ever-increasing human population uses every day to sustain its unsustainable lifestyle, has been the most important topic since the burst of the dotcom bubble in 2000. The reason is simple: we live on a planet with a distinctly finite resource base and a rapidly growing population.For over the last twelve years supply has struggled to keep pace with demand. Yet we experience a collective breakdown among junior miners of epic historical proportions. Confused investors have been questioning their portfolio strategies and have withdrawn their money from “value in the ground” to re-invest it into scarily overvalued internet companies with questionable earnings and even more precarious business models built on promises of more bites and bytes. Today’s situation displays eerie similarities to the business and economic developments leading up to year 2000 and the events we remember all too well. I am considering a new article with the title “50 shades of investor insanity”.
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Sunday, October 05, 2014
CRB Heading into its Three Year Cycle Low / Commodities / CRB Index
By: Toby_Connor
Now that oil has made a lower intermediate low warning bells are ringing that the commodity complex has more than likely begun the move down into its three-year cycle low. That bottom isn’t due until May or June of next year at the earliest.
Saturday, October 04, 2014
Gold And Silver - Elites V Gold: Still No Contest / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Michael_Noonan
Without question, the least understood, least visible force that affects almost everyone's lives, certainly in the Western world, is that of the elites, the moneychangers, the relative handful that controls everything, from the BIS, IMF, and down to the central bankers. These individuals remain nameless and faceless, but their roots are founded by that widely known banking clan, the Rothschilds.
There has been an increase in the vague awareness of the elites acknowledged as forces that control everything, but by and large, such people are pseudo-intellectually aware, a part of the "crowd" that professes to know more than the average individual [which is an easy accomplishment, anyway], but in effect it is a false sense of awareness because these individuals otherwise lead a similar life to the less informed. Both groups remain a part of the "system," maintaining bank accounts, use of credit cards, registered to vote, in fact registered to do everything to meet the requirements of the system that keeps everyone suppressed.
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Saturday, October 04, 2014
Gold Price Look Out Below / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Sy_Harding
Gold experienced a spectacular bull market run from its low at $250 an ounce in 2001 to its peak above $1,900 an ounce in 2011. Its long bull market was largely supported by expectations that the Fed’s easy money policies would create spiraling inflation, of which gold, the historical hedge against inflation, would be the big benefactor.
However, spiraling inflation did not materialize. In fact, inflation remained quite benign, and in 2011 gold gave up on the idea. It rolled over into a 37% bear market decline to $1,200 an ounce.
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Saturday, October 04, 2014
Gold and Silver to Face More Body Blows / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Gold has broken below $1200 this morning in what should begin the final breakdown. In weekly and monthly terms $1200 was the remaining support. Sure Gold could bounce from $1180 but todays breakdown is more significant. Both metals are now in breakdown mode while the mining stocks continue to slide. There is more downside ahead and bulls should continue to stand aside before a favorable buying opportunity emerges.
Saturday, October 04, 2014
The Sound Money Business: Four Years Past and Future Forecast / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Peter_Schiff
Yesterday, I launched a new website and announced the rebranding of my gold bullion dealer from Euro Pacific Precious Metals to SchiffGold. I started this company four years ago to provide a trustworthy option for my Euro Pacific Capital brokerage clients, but it has since grown to become a major US gold dealer in its own right. This landmark for my company comes in the midst of a historic time for the precious metals. The past four years have had highs and lows. We have been experiencing the inflation of remarkable new asset bubbles, and gold’s response has been mixed. But I have reason to believe that over the next four years, gold and silver investors will witness shocking macroeconomic events that put to rest any doubts about the importance of having sound money in every portfolio.
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Friday, October 03, 2014
Nevada’s Newest Gold Miner / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
By: Zeal_LLC
Nevada is well known as the United States’ top gold-mining jurisdiction. The numerous mines within its massive gold trends combined to produce a whopping 5.4m ounces in 2013, which accounted for 74% of total domestic output. This output ranks Nevada as the world’s fourth-largest gold producer, behind only the countries of China, Australia, and Russia.
With Nevada’s geopolitically-stable mild desert region pumping out more gold than global juggernauts South Africa, Peru, and Canada, it is naturally a top destination for mining companies looking to hit it big. And emerging producer Midway Gold has hit the trifecta with a trio of advanced-stage projects poised to add to Nevada’s gold-mine tally.
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Friday, October 03, 2014
Gold & Silver Shorts, Failing Economies and The Quarter-End / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Alasdair_Macleod
Precious metals have faced adverse weather as evidence mounts that major economies may be sliding into recession. Yesterday the ECB finally responded to the deteriorating situation in the Eurozone by announcing a discretionary form of QE to last up to two years if necessary. The only clues are the ECB will buy in covered bonds and asset backed securities issued in euros in the Eurozone with an objective to increasing the ECB's balance sheet by about €1 trillion.
Friday, October 03, 2014
Gold Price Q4 Outlook as Global Bond Market On Edge Of “Cliff” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: GoldCore
The current U.S. bond market faces a "liquidity cliff" and looks like an asset "bubble" that could burst when interest rates start to rise, according to the senior U.S. securities regulator. This is something we have been warning of in recent months.
The consequences of the bursting of the bond bubble would be rising interest rates, which would likely impact property and stock markets and benefit safe haven gold bullion.
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Friday, October 03, 2014
Gold, Comfort, Karma, and Money Velocity / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
I keep hearing..."You don't want a world where silver is $350 or gold is $10000".
Maybe not. But the probability of that happening, with all the "known, knowns" of risk - make it crucial to own some amount just in case.
Obviously, you know this as well as anyone. And no one wants chaos, suffering, and war. Just as no one wants a world of extreme, speculative excess that is so dangerous and extreme that very little remains of a real economy.
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