Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, July 17, 2015
Where is Support for Precious Metals Markets? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The gold miners have broken below their 2008 to 2014 support while Silver is essentially trading at a six year low. Gold looks set to make a new monthly low and weekly low but has yet to break its daily low at $1140/oz. Barring a sudden short squeeze Gold could be hours or days away from cracking in the way Silver and the miners have in recent weeks. The trend for the sector is obviously down and sentiment is following. However, the more important issue for long term bulls is where is the strong support for these markets.
Friday, July 17, 2015
Retail Silver Premiums - The Candle Blowing in the Wind / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Despite the continued technical, paper induced bias to the downside, recent news that the US Mint has stopped silver eagle production is once again is being singled as the likely cause for the premium surges now being observed across all physical silver retail products.
Is this true physical demand bleeding through the paper charade?
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Friday, July 17, 2015
Greek Vote: The Three Energy Aftershocks You Need to Know Now / Commodities / Energy Resources
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com 
Dr. Kent Moors writes: In the small hours of the morning, Athens time, the Greek parliament passed a tough set of reforms as the price for another European bailout. The aftershocks of this will be felt throughout the energy sector.
However, even this tough pill is not likely to be enough. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) reported on Monday that Greece may not pull through without an absolute reduction in the debt owed. Germany has already bristled over the prospect of a creditor “haircut” and the prospects of another round of negotiations has everybody fit to be tied on both sides of the conversation.
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Thursday, July 16, 2015
Gold and Hit Again - Pervasive Nonsense / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jesse
Gold and silver we hit again today, but silver managed to hang on to its 15 handle, and gold bounced back to 1050.
I suspect that this was the usual sort of antics we see whenever some Fed head appears before the Congress for some 'confidence building.'
Gold and silver are now both short term oversold, and at some key support areas.
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Thursday, July 16, 2015
Credit Deflation and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Alasdair_Macleod
There is a common view in financial markets that credit deflation is bad for gold prices, because gold nowadays is regarded as an asset to be sold in the scramble for cash when people are forced to pay down their debts. When asked by Congressman Ron Paul his opinion on gold four years ago, Ben Bernanke replied it was not money, just another asset, appearing to confirm this view.
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Thursday, July 16, 2015
The Multi-Trillion Dollar Oil Market Swindle / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
In the past, I documented the overstatements by both the IEA and EIA in 2014 & 2015 in terms of supply, inventory and understatements of demand. Others also noticed these distortions and, whether intentional or not, they exist and they are very large in dollar terms. These distortions, which are affecting price through media hype and/or direct/indirect price manipulation, are quite possibly the largest in financial history. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 15, 2015
‘Black Swan’ Taleb Warns Financial Market Calm Before The Storm / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
- Is the apparent calm of the West a signal of latent instability?
- Increasing symptoms of instability in West as proposed by Nassim Taleb
- Wider public and mainstream press believe “experts” have everything under control
- Black Swan approaches and we may be experiencing “the calm before the storm”
Wednesday, July 15, 2015
Here’s the Next Big Source of Energy Profits / Commodities / Energy Resources
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: Not long ago, the idea of disconnecting from the electrical grid and opting to live a “self-powered” life was limited to either “survivalists” or the realm of science fiction.
That’s beginning to change.
Back in 1973, the English economist E. F. Schumacher published Small Is Beautiful. The idea of the best-seller was to treat economics “as if people mattered.” The best way to do that, Schumacher posited, was by bringing the main elements of people’s lives closer to where they lived (remember, this was at the peak of the 1973 oil crisis). Basic human needs and well-being should be prized above materialism and the “bigger is better” mentality.
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Wednesday, July 15, 2015
How to Obtain Silver Coins and Rounds in Short Supply / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: MoneyMetals
There are two kinds of constraints when it comes to supply in the physical markets, and anyone building a position in physical metal needs to know the difference.
The first type is temporary. The other signals a sea-change, the rush for physical metal going mainstream. When it happens, it’ll be “go time” in the physical markets. The time get your hands on products widely available at low premiums will be over.
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Wednesday, July 15, 2015
OPEC, Get Ready For The Second U.S. Oil Boom / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
What OPEC countries fear most is a follow-up technological revolution that will lead to a second oil boom in the U.S., and that fear is now being realized. A technological revolution spurred the U.S. oil boom that resulted in the greatest increase in domestic oil production in a century, and while that has stuttered in the face of a major oil price slump and an OPEC campaign to maintain a grip on market share, the American response could be another technological revolution that demonstrates that the first one was merely an impressive embryonic experiment.
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Tuesday, July 14, 2015
Silver Pretty, Silver Ugly / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
The big picture in simple terms:
- US national debt is huge, ugly, unpayable, and accelerating higher.
- Silver Eagles are pretty and are priced low.
- Silver prices will increase erratically, driven higher by a devalued dollar, along with increasing debt.
- Silver is currently at the low end of the silver to national debt ratio.
- Silver is currently at an 81 month cycle low.
Tuesday, July 14, 2015
Greeks Cannot Access Cash, Gold, Silver In Bank Safety Deposit Boxes / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
- Greek capital controls also prevent access to contents of safe deposit boxes
- Restrictions on safe deposit access doesn’t protect banking system unless contents confiscated
- Readers should heed warnings by Marc Faber and Ian Spreadbury of Fidelity
- Important to own assets outside banking system and not in bank safe deposit boxes
- Own physical bullion in private safety deposit boxes and the safest private vaults
Monday, July 13, 2015
Gold Price Seasonal Tendencies for July 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Mike_McAra
“History doesn’t repeat itself but it rhymes” the saying goes. If this is in fact true, and what has happened before might imperfectly repeat itself in the future, this might be used in financial markets. But how to use it exactly? Is there a way to get clear indications as to what used to happen in the past to get a notion of what might come?
It is frequently difficult to quantify past events in a meaningful way to get an idea of the possible future tendencies. At Sunshine Profits, we have come up with a methodology to look at the past and recognize tendencies that might repeat themselves in the future – we have developed a tool called True Seasonals to analyze this sort of patterns.
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Monday, July 13, 2015
Silver Bullion Demand High – Price Falls and Premiums Surge / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
- Silver imports into U.S. surge 33%
- Silver Eagle demand very robust
- Silver Eagles and Maples see 25% surge in premiums and shortages
- Silver price falls over 3.8% on same day as U.S. Mint runs out of silver eagles
- Total ETF Silver holdings remain robust – over 500 million ounces
- Increase in demand seems to becoming from large entities buying bars
- Silver is great value sub $20 per ounce
Monday, July 13, 2015
Gold, Silver and the Two Horsemen of The Apocalypse / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Alasdair_Macleod
If we can reassign meanings given to the biblical Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse from the original, we can then say financial markets saw two of them this week. The first brought us the Greek Crisis which went from very bad to impossible to resolve, and the second was a collapsing stock market in China. Between them these two events triggered another flight into the US dollar, which would have been far worse without central bank intervention. With the dollar rising against the euro, commodity prices, particularly energy and oil, have fallen sharply, with US Crude down over 15% in the last month.
Monday, July 13, 2015
Gold Price Peculiar 6 Month Cycles / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Rambus_Chartology
In this report I'm going to show you some more of the same precious metals stocks we've been following as more are joining the impulse move to the downside adding confirmation. Unlike the US stocks markets that have been trading sideways since the December high of last year, the precious metals stocks are in a confirmed impulse move down and that's where the real money is made.
Monday, July 13, 2015
Silver Price Remains in Long-term Downtrend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Clive_Maund
It's a strange situation - the long-term charts for silver continue to look awful, but there has been a quite dramatic improvement in its COTs, which now look positive, with readings that in the past have consistently lead to rallies. However, this doesn't mean that any rally that develops soon will succeed in breaking silver out of its long downtrend.
Silver's 8-year chart shows the as yet unrelenting downtrend from its 2011 highs involving a classic "staircase" decline. On this chart it looks set to drop again, but perhaps after another rally first towards the upper boundary of the downtrend channel.
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Monday, July 13, 2015
Gold Price Awaiting Outcome of Greece Crisis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Clive_Maund
The situation is paradoxical - the charts of just about everything are positioned for a plunge - or a turnaround and limited recovery, which reflects the fact that markets are waiting on some sort of resolution of the standoff with Greece, either Greece walking away, a Grexit, or a fudge solution where Greece accepts defeat and is denied debt relief or it is obfuscated sufficiently for the markets to buy it and this may involve another "can kicking" exercise. While the charts for many commodities look scary, including gold and silver, their COTs now look bullish, which suggests that the fudge solution will be the outcome.
Sunday, July 12, 2015
Corn, Soybeans, Wheat Agricultural Commodities Price Forecasts / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
By: Austin_Galt
The prices of agricultural commodities of corn, soybeans and wheat have all exploded higher recently. This has been expected and was laid out in analysis back in February 2015. Now that the rallies have kicked off let’s revise the technicals of all three soft commodities.
Saturday, July 11, 2015
Gold and Silver Calm Before the Storm / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jesse
Gold and silver were in the usual capping mode today, although silver managed to finish the week on a slight gain.
I am liking silver more and more here, and am not adverse to some small buys at regular intervals with a longer term time horizon. Nibbles, if you will.
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