Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, June 27, 2015
Gold And Silver – Three Choices: Sell, Hold, Hold and Add. A Trading Treatise / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Michael_Noonan
Last year, the rage was the record-setting number of coins various mints were selling to the public, such an incredible demand that would surely impact the demand factor for gold and silver. Then the focus changed to how many tones China and Russia were buying each and every month, scooping up all available supply with their insatiable demand. Gold and silver responded by going lower.
The most popular gold/silver sites, the most respected gold/silver analysts from around the world all chiming in how gold and silver will go through the roof while both metals continue to still languish in the basement, as it were.
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Friday, June 26, 2015
Renewable Energy the Fastest-Growing Energy Sector of 2015 and Beyond / Commodities / Renewable Energy
By: Investment_U
David Fessler writes: I’ve been talking about renewable energy at conferences for the last eight years. Every year, I’ve said renewables will continue to be the fastest-growing energy sector.
And every year, the data proves me right.
Renewable energy sources now generate 28% of the world’s electricity, up from 25% in 2013.
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Friday, June 26, 2015
Crude Oil Price Nearing Exhaustion / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Bob_Loukas
For an asset like Crude, which is normally extremely volatile, the current prolonged sideways range is very much out of character. Crude has us accustomed to daily swings of 2% to 3%, and to shorter term rallies/declines that draw in traders before reversing suddenly. Crude is generally an asset that fluctuates in price, so the current “flat-line” action is rare. Since the last Daily Cycle peaked on May 6th, Crude oil has been locked in a sideways trading range. Short term traders, expecting the usual crude oil volatility, are being chopped to pieces.
Friday, June 26, 2015
Extreme Gold/Silver Shorting / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold and silver are languishing near major lows, trudging through the barren sentiment wasteland of the summer doldrums. The major factor behind this weakness is extreme shorting by American futures speculators. But their heavily-bearish bets are actually very bullish for both precious metals. Not only do these traders as a herd always bet wrong at price extremes, their shorts are guaranteed near-future buying.
American futures speculators’ trading has utterly dominated gold and silver price action in recent years. This single group of traders doesn’t normally wield such outsized influence. But with Western investors largely missing in action since early 2013, futures speculators have gone unchallenged. Couple this with the extreme leverage inherent in futures trading, and its stranglehold on gold and silver prices is ironclad.
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Friday, June 26, 2015
QM and XLE Energy Sector Charts Analysis / Commodities / Energy Resources
By: Gary_Savage
It’s starting to look more and more likely that the counter trend bounce in oil (and commodities) may be over. If so then my expectation is that oil will test $35 at some point before the 3 year cycle low is complete.
I was expecting a little more out of the bear market rally. Possibly a move to the mid 60’s before heading back down, but it’s looking more and more likely that oil is going to come up short of my original expectation and traders should probably now start looking for lower prices than hoping for one more pop higher.
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Friday, June 26, 2015
Gold Price Target of USD 2,300 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
- “Gold remains in secular bull market”
- System is addicted to unsustainable debt
- Persistent deflationary forces threaten system
- Monetary authorities to take increasingly risky measures to engender inflation
- Debt based monetary system is crux of problem
- “All available means” deployed to prevent global government bond bubble from bursting
- Aversion to owning any gold whatsoever displays “ignorance of monetary history”
- Gold’s qualities as store of value and medium of exchange to be “rediscovered”
- Have “gold price target of USD 2,300” in three years
Friday, June 26, 2015
Gold and Silver - Another Successful Option Expiration For the Insiders / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jesse
The Bucket Shop managed to hold gold below the 1180 level, thereby allowing most of the calls for the option expiration to go out worthless. Oh well done.
There was intraday commentary about the Greek situation which may be actually coming to some sort of resolution over the next few weeks. You may read that here.
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Friday, June 26, 2015
Why Buffett Bet A Billion On Solar Energy / Commodities / Solar Energy
By: OilPrice_Com
Miles Per Acre Per Year During the late innings of the ICE-age (as in the Internal Combustion Engine age) it has become clear that feeding gasoline and diesel to the next billion new cars is not going to be easy, or cheap. In China alone, 500 million new vehicles can be expected to jam the roads between now and 2030.
That may sound far-fetched but considering annual sales have already made it to 25 million units per year (vs. around 17 million in the U.S. – China became the top market in 2009), it only requires a 4 percent growth rate to reach that target in fifteen years.
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Thursday, June 25, 2015
Ron Paul Warns “They Can’t Print Money Forever” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
- Former U.S. Congressman blasts Fed’s role in markets
- Gives scathing analysis of modern economics and markets
- Highlights complete disregard of economic fundamentals in investment decisions today
- As will be the case with Greece, U.S. will eventually be forced to liquidate debt
- Attempts to forecast day of reckoning are futile as it is a function of psychology
- “They can’t print money forever”
- Gold and silver will weather and thrive in currency devaluation
Thursday, June 25, 2015
In Gold We Trust 2015: Gold Remains In A Secular Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldSilverWorlds
The ninth edition of In Gold We Trust is out. It is another outstanding, world class report full of unique insights for investors. In Gold We Trust 2015 is focused on the impact of the unusual montary policies on the financial system, investing, and precious metals. In sum, the debt problem is bigger than it seems, and it remains widely misunderstood. This report is a master piece in clarifying the future consequences of the huge global debt burden.
The report is written by Ronald Stoeferle who is the managing partner at Incrementum AG in Liechtenstein, and Mark J. Valek who is the founding partner and investment manager. They manage a global macro fund, focusing on a proprietary management approach, influenced by the Austrian School of Economics.
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Wednesday, June 24, 2015
Why I'm Revising My Crude Oil Price Outlook… Upward / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Kent Moors writes: I just left a closed-door meeting in Paris. Assembled here were some high-powered oil practitioners, the traders selling their productions, and the bankers financing all of it.
As often happens, the pundits and talking heads have been discussing matters quite similar to what was on our agenda. And as usual, their perspectives are very different from those of us "behind the scenes."
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Wednesday, June 24, 2015
Gold and Silver Price Headed for Breakdown / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Gold and Silver rebounded following the Fed minutes released last Wednesday. However, one week later both metals are back below pre-Fed levels and moving dangerously close to important support. Silver fell 2% on Tuesday to $15.81/oz, which is only 2.2% above its lowest weekly close of $15.46 which occurred seven months ago. Meanwhile, Gold closed at $1177/oz, which is only $20/oz from its lowest weekly close. In short, precious metals are flashing code red as a breakdown could begin in the next few weeks.
Wednesday, June 24, 2015
Sweet Spot for Gold Stock Investors / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: Chris_Vermeulen
There is no question that precious metals along with gold and silver mining stocks are clearly out of favor with investors. Most of these stocks are 50, 70, even 85% since the 2011 top. It has been a painful ride to the bottom for those who invest with the buy, hold and hope strategy.
The good news is that I see light at the end of the tunnel, meaning gold, silver and miners are showing serious signs of bottoming. While the fundamentals have been bullish on metals for years which is a positive, we also know that fundamentals don’t really play into immediate price action of any specific asset when it comes to trying to time a market.
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Wednesday, June 24, 2015
Three Ways a Greek Debt Settlement Will Affect the Energy Sector / Commodities / Energy Resources
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: There are now rising indications that the Greek government and its creditors are going to avert a full-blown financial meltdown…
And this means there are some positive developments coming for the energy sector.
As I have been noting over the past couple of weeks, whatever emerges at the 11th hour will be at best merely another thumb in the dike. Completing the metaphor: Nobody has any actual plans to repair the leaking levee.
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Tuesday, June 23, 2015
The Forgotten History (and Potential Future) of Silver as Money / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: MoneyMetals
Stefan Gleason writes: In contemporary discussions of sound money, silver tends to get short shrift. Even among staunch sound money advocates, the historic role of silver as money is often marginalized or ignored altogether.
People who equate sound money with gold and tout the advantages of returning to a gold standard should also embrace silver as a complementary – and necessary – partner with gold in re-establishing sound money.
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Tuesday, June 23, 2015
First Strike Capability - Gold or War / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
We’ll circle back to the first strike later. Let’s frame the problem:
- The War on Cash: Charles Hugh Smith brings clarity to the issue:
“Why are governments suddenly so keen to ban physical cash? The answer appears to be that the banks and government authorities are anticipating bail-ins, steeply negative interest rates and hefty fees on cash, and they want to close any opening regular depositors might have to escape these forms of officially sanctioned theft. The escape from bail-ins and fees on cash deposits is physical cash, and hence the sudden flurry of calls to eliminate cash as a relic of a bygone age—that is, an age when commoners had some way to safeguard their money from bail-ins and bankers’ control.”
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Tuesday, June 23, 2015
Gold and Silver Forget Greece, Eyes On the Options / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
"Real consumption expenditures have yet to show signs of a significant pickup from a slowdown in winter."
NY Federal Reserve, US Economy In a Snapshot, June 2015
Today was certainly interesting.
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Monday, June 22, 2015
When Net Worth Becomes Net Survival / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
In a world of full of concessions, and a financial system rife with complexity, it is often too easy to lose sight of basic economic principles. This is especially true when it stops becoming a show that you watch and begins to be a reality you experience.
We’ve all been astounded at one point or another when confronted by the layer upon layer of law and complexity around income tax. Your taxes have nothing to do with the government's need for money.
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Monday, June 22, 2015
An Inconvenient Truth: The HUI:GOLD Ratio / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Rambus_Chartology
There are no words to describe the Carnage that Precious Metals Stocks have suffered for the 12 years. There is no consoling those who have invested in this sector, many who have literally lost their life's savings as they watch this horror unfold in utter disbelief.
The best way to gauge this complete evisceration of Precious Metals Investors is to follow the HUI:GOLD Ratio.
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Sunday, June 21, 2015
GOLD: Will Summer 2015 Rally Mark A Cyclical Turning Point? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldSilverWorlds
It was another volatile week in the markets. The interest rate decision by the U.S. Fed on Wednesday was a non-event with no change in the Fed’s monetary policy. The market reacted with a spike in stocks, bonds, and precious metals, while the U.S. dollar took a dive. Also, the unfolding drama in Greece spooked markets and metals; stock markets are nervous while metals mostly get bids each time the Greek crisis flares up.
We focus on gold’s seasonality in this column and what it could mean for gold’s secular trend.
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