Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, January 09, 2017

Gold Stocks - How Bull Markets Work / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: Gary_Savage

Gold and Silver Index

Folks, prepare to get schooled on how bull markets work.

Monday, January 09, 2017

Agri-Stocks and Agri-Food Prices: Both Strong / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

When has food been more valuable than technology? Aside from all of history, that was especially true in 2016. Chart below is our Investment Scoreboard for 2016. In it are portrayed the returns for a variety of important market measures. Gold stocks, Silver, oil, and Agri-Equities clearly owned the year. Agri-Equities, number four in chart, substantially outperformed most of the equity markets. In 2016 food was clearly more valuable than those tired, old, over owned technology and internet stocks as indicated by the NASDAQ 100 being far down in the list.

Monday, January 09, 2017

Gold Stocks Leading but Approaching Trump Resistance Levels / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Although we expected a rally in the gold mining sector, we have been surprised by its strength and recent buying pressure. From the lowest ticks, Gold has rallied less than 6% but GDX has gained 25% and GDXJ has soared 36%. This rebound adds to the evidence that the gold stocks are leading the metal. That being said, the gold stocks are approaching some strong resistance levels which coincide with Trump's election victory.

Monday, January 09, 2017

The Two Hottest Commodities For Investors In 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: OilPrice_Com

Monday, January 09, 2017

Gold Price US$700? OR US$7000? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Kelsey_Williams

Does either of the above preclude the other?  In other words, if we expect gold to reach $7000 per ounce, and we are correct, does that mean that we can’t reasonably expect gold to go as low as $700 per ounce? Conversely, if we are predicting or expecting gold to continue its current decline, and even breach $1000 per ounce on the downside, can $7000 per ounce, or anything even remotely close to that number, be a reasonable possibility?  

Saturday, January 07, 2017

Now Is the Time to Face Reality and Invest in Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: David_Galland

Stephen McBride writes: Since reaching multi-year highs in July, gold has plummeted 17%. Having risen 22% in the first seven months of 2016, many believed the yellow metal had moved too far, too fast.

They were right.

Gold’s fall quickened post-election, caused by an uptick in optimism about America’s future. The economy was seen as ready to “take-off” in 2017 once Trump’s pro-growth policies kicked in. The Fed’s December rate hike just added fuel to the fire.

Saturday, January 07, 2017

Gold, Zince, the Ultimate Resource Investing Portfolio for 2017 / Commodities / Investing 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Investors can profit in resources, says Lior Gantz, editor of Wealth Research Group, by partnering with and investing like the big players in the field.
The natural resource industry is a maze of companies—thousands of them—but when you get right down to it, this entire sector is 95% made up of average businessman and a small and tight-knit group of top dogs.

Friday, January 06, 2017

Gold Stocks Shine in 2017 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks are rocketing higher again after suffering a rough few months.  Following sharp selloffs on gold-futures stops being run, the Trumphoria stock-market surge, and a more-hawkish-than-expected Fed, this battered sector had largely been left for dead.  But gold stocks’ strong fundamentals finally overcame the dismal herd sentiment last week, paving the way for this sector to shine again in 2017.

This “shine again” assertion likely seems dubious to casual observers, since the gold miners’ stocks suffered a miserable Q4’16.  The leading HUI NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index plunged 21.1% in a quarter where the benchmark S&P 500 broad-market stock index surged 3.3%.  Naturally gold miners’ profits are fully dependent on gold prices, and this metal fell 12.7% in Q4 which proved one of its worst quarters ever.

Friday, January 06, 2017

The Gold Market in 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

How can we summarize the last year in the gold market? First of all, it was a mixed year for gold. The first half of 2016 was excellent for the yellow metal. Actually, the several-month long bull market in gold started in December 2015, when the shiny metal found a bottom at $1,049, after the FOMC historical meeting and the first interest rate hike for almost a decade. From then, the shiny metal made higher highs and higher lows, reaching a peak at $1,366 at the early July in the aftermath of the British referendum on the withdrawal from the EU. Gold was one of the best performing assets that time, and gained about 30 percent, as one can see in the chart below.

Friday, January 06, 2017

Gold Surges Over 30% in GBP In 2016 After Brexit / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Gold gains in USD, GBP, EUR, CAD, AUD, NZD, JPY
– Gold gains in CNY, INR & most emerging market currencies
– Gold surges 31.5% in British pounds after Brexit shock
– Gold acted as hedge and safe haven in 2016 … for those who need safe haven
– Further signs of market having bottomed and bodes well for 2017
– What drivers will gold respond to in 2017?
– EU elections and contagion risk, Geo-politics, terrorism, war and cyber war
– Outlook for gold good during Trump Presidency (2017 to 2020)

Friday, January 06, 2017

Gold and Silver Outlook 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: MoneyMetals

Clint Siegner writes: Precious metals had a wild ride in 2016, launching higher in the first half of the year and then falling much of the way back to earth in the second half. Our outlook for 2017 hinges on some of the drivers that figured prominently in last year’s trading. There are also a couple of new wrinkles.

Thursday, January 05, 2017

The Rising U.S. Dollar and the Impact on Commodities / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Donald_W_Dony

The FOMC has raised its benchmark interest rate up for the second time since the recession of 2008 and 2009. And as the U.S. is the only G8 country, over the last eight years, to start increasing its rate, there is little to no competition for the currency.

The impact of a raising currency are many.

On the plus side, it creates higher demand for U.S. Treasuries, lower borrowing costs for the Federal government and foreign demand for U.S. assets (including stocks).

Thursday, January 05, 2017

Gold – Half Cycle Low Due Soon / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Gary_Savage

Gold is 13 days into its daily cycle. At some point soon there will be a dip into a half cycle low. That will be the next opportunity to buy long.

Thursday, January 05, 2017

Now Is the Time to Buy Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: John_Mauldin

John Grandits : The Fed finally raised its target interest rate and issued guidance for 2017. Trump shocked the political world and stocks seem to be making new highs daily. Investor sentiment is at two-year highs, fueled by optimism for renewed economic growth, de-regulation, and tax cuts.

Wednesday, January 04, 2017

Here’s the Real Oil Price Russia Needs to Break Even / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: John_Mauldin

BY JACOB SHAPIRO : We published our 2017 forecast earlier this week. One of our predictions is that Russia is in for a difficult year economically. This is because Russia’s economy depends significantly on oil.

The price of oil in 2016 has averaged roughly $43 a barrel. That’s a far cry from two years ago, when it was more than double. According to Russia’s Federal Customs Service, oil-export revenue accounts for 26 percent of total revenue from Russian exports. For an economy with exports making up almost 30 percent of GDP, that’s fairly significant.

Wednesday, January 04, 2017

The Gold Owner's Guide to 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Reversal, resurgence and renewal on the road to the new year

Quietly, while all attention was riveted on the U.S. election, gold made a notable comeback in 2016. The gain was not spectacular at 8.7%, but it was respectable, and it came after three straight down years. (Silver had an even better year with a 15.2% gain.) In addition and perhaps even more importantly, global investment demand registered its fourth largest increase since the 2011 post-crisis peak. That resurgence suggests that down years for gold did not temper the global inclination to own it. To be sure, these numbers in tandem represent an important turnaround for gold and a break from the near-term past. It is also perhaps the first hint that we may have turned the page from the corrective phase of the cycle to resumption of the long-term secular bull market for both gold and silver.

Tuesday, January 03, 2017

Commodities: New Year's Promises Vs. Elliott Wave Patterns / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: EWI

2011, 2014, and 2016: The year's performance has consistently followed its Elliott wave script

It's that time of year again, when before us an entirely new blank slate is laid, which we eagerly fill with promises of better health, habits, and life choices.

But, according to Statisticsbrain.com, only 8% of people successfully carry through with their New Year's resolutions -- or as I like to call them, Maybe-lutions.

Tuesday, January 03, 2017

What IF Gold has a Drop Dead Line? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Rambus_Chartology

In part 2 of this Weekend Report we’ll take an indepth look at gold and especially the long term view. Again, this is just for entertainment purposes only until gold can close below a very important trendline. I’ve been following this potential scenario since shortly after the US elections. Up until the elections this pattern I’m about to show you didn’t show its self, but now it’s one of the most important chart patterns for gold that I’ve posted in several years. As we discussed in part 1 , please read forward with an open mind regardless of what other information you re processing and what your current expectations are. This is an exercise in my preferred method of Technical Analysis , Chartology.

Tuesday, January 03, 2017

The No.1 Silver Stock for 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: OilPrice_Com

Tuesday, January 03, 2017

Silver Prices and the Russian Connection / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: DeviantInvestor

Silver prices nearly reached $50.00 in April of 2011. They crashed to a low under $14 in December of 2015 and currently (December 2016) sit at about $16.

Silver prices, in our increasingly unreal debt based fiat currency world, streak higher and subsequently crash to unbelievable lows.