Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, January 28, 2013

Fracking - U.S. Going Down The Wrong Road / Commodities / Water Sector

By: Robert_M_Williams

Some things are so sad that you have to laugh. One of the big rallying cries in Washington is that we’ll make the US ‘oil independent’ in a decade or two, meaning we’ll no longer have to depend on foreign imports. Of course it’s typical of Washington that no one tells you what the cost of such a bold venture will be, and I’m not necessarily talking about the dollar cost either. The supposed key to breaking the shackles of foreign oil is a process called “fracking”. Fracking is a process that injects a mixture of water and rock-shattering chemicals (all benign, according to industry) into an underground shale formation with the goal of opening fissures in the rock that allow hydrocarbons to flow to the surface.

Monday, January 28, 2013

What Past and Future Speculative Bubbles Indicate for Gold and Silver! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: DeviantInvestor

This is not a prediction of future prices of gold and silver; it is an indication of what could happen in a speculative bubble environment based on the history of previous bubbles.

I’ll summarize a simple analysis of past bubbles.

Monday, January 28, 2013

Crude Oil and Energy Stocks Trend Forecast / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Crude oil has been trading ways for the past year between the 2011 high and low. The trading range through 2012 has been contracting with a series of lower highs and higher lows. This pennant formation because it is taking place after an uptrend is a bullish pattern with $110 and possibly even $140+ per barrel in the next 6-18 months.

If you look at the weekly investing chart of crude oil the key support and resistance levels area clearly marked. A breakout of the white pennant will trigger a move to the next support or resistance level. And judging from the positive economic numbers not only form the USA but globally the odds are increased for the $110+ price target to be reached sooner than later.

Monday, January 28, 2013

Is "Saudi America" Oil Becoming a Reality? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Tony Daltorio writes: U.S. energy independence has been a dream since the oil embargoes of the 1970s. But this vision of a "Saudi America" has always been just a dream.

Investors and non-investors alike started talking in earnest about realizing that dream last November. That was after the International Energy Agency's (IEA) latest World Energy Outlook said that the U.S. would overtake both Saudi Arabia and Russia in oil output by the second half of this decade.

Monday, January 28, 2013

Central Bank Gold Buying Frenzy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Money_Morning

Tony Daltorio writes: Anyone investing in gold should recall that before the financial crisis in 2008 central banks were dumping the yellow metal - when it was trading for less than half of where gold prices are today.

But that certainly has changed in recent years.

In 2012, the world's central banks added the most gold to their reserves since 1964. Net official gold purchases added up to 536 metric tons, a gain of 17.4% from the previous year according to a report from Thomson Reuters GFMS. The estimate from the World Gold Council for such purchases is similar at 500 metric tons.

Monday, January 28, 2013

Russian Gold Reserves Up 8.5%, Palladium Reserves “Exhausted” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,656.75, EUR 1,232.43, and GBP 1,052.77 per ounce.
Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,670.25, EUR 1,243.39, and GBP 1,058.93 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $30.90/oz, €23.08/oz and £19.74/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,689.00/oz, palladium at $741.00/oz and rhodium at $1,200/oz.

Monday, January 28, 2013

Gold and Silver Fall While Stock Markets Hit 5-Year Highs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Ben_Traynor

THE U.S. DOLLAR gold price extended its losses from last week Monday, dipping to a near-three-week low below $1655 per ounce during London's morning trading, as stock markets ticked higher, with the FTSE 100 hitting its highest level since May 2008.

The S&P 500 meantime climbed above 1500 last week for the first time since December 2007.

Monday, January 28, 2013

The Big Picture behind Germany Taking Half of Its Gold Home / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Bundesbank announced last week that they'll repatriate 674 metric tons of their total 3,391 metric tonne gold reserves from vaults in Paris and New York to restore public confidence in the safety of Germany's gold reserves. The transfer from the Federal Reserve is set to take place slowly over a seven year period and will only be completed in 2020.

Monday, January 28, 2013

Bank of England Gold - The Doubts Remain / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Last week I wrote about the mess the Bundesbank has found itself in over its gold bullion. But they are not alone: the Dutch, Austrian, Mexican and now even the Swedish central banks are also coming under public pressure to explain themselves and to repatriate their gold.

Monday, January 28, 2013

Is The Gold Tide Now Turning? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Brian_Bloom

An open mind is essential for economic survival in today’s fast changing world – but one should be conscious of the potential for being attracted to arguments that lead to prejudicial outcomes.

The chart below (courtesy stockcharts.com) is a 5% X 3 box reversal Point &Figure chart of the ratio of gold shares/gold price. I have chosen this scale for the purpose of identifying long term trends

Monday, January 28, 2013

Gold and Silver Miners Making Waves and New Trends / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The precious metals sector has been dormant since both gold and silver topped in 2011. But the long term bull market remains intact. As long as we do not have the price of gold close below the lower yellow box on the monthly chart then technical speaking precious metals should continue much higher.

Large consolidation periods (yellow boxes) provide investors with great insight for investments looking forward 6-18 months upon a breakout in either direction (up or down). The issue with investing during these times is the passage of time. One can hold a position for months and sometimes years having their investments fluctuate adding extra stress to their life when they really do not need to.

Sunday, January 27, 2013

Corn – Smart Money Putting On Short-Squeeze Clinic / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Michael_Noonan

While most eyes remain fixed on gold and silver, and the stock market, to a
lesser extent, the Fed having driven the little investor away, we take a fresh
look at the corn market. It has been some time since we last visited grains,
and corn deserves some attention. What do traders in PMs, S&P, Natural Gas,
Notes, or Corn have in common? To them, nothing. Being chart-driven, for
us all charts are the same. An opportunity is what we look for, and it matters
not from which sector that opportunity arises. Nor does not matter what the
underlying product is in any chart. We are equal-seeking opportunists.

Sunday, January 27, 2013

The Time Is Now For All Gold Investors! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Darah_Bazargan

Sunday, January 27, 2013

Gold And Silver – All Fundamentals/Opinions Are Useless / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

All general statements are untrue, [including the one above and this one].
There are exceptions to every general rule, so they cannot always be true.

There is truth to the consideration that all fundamentals and opinions are
useless in the markets, as they pertain to timing, and timing plays a huge
role when investing/trading. What fundamentals/opinions do is put one’s
belief system into a context with regard to the market[s]. If one wants to
profit from any belief, he/she is then pitted against the forces of the
marketplace in their exercise.

Saturday, January 26, 2013

Greenland Future Resources Boom / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Richard_Mills

Greenland is located in the North Atlantic Ocean adjacent to the Canadian arctic archipelago. About 80 per cent of Greenland is ice cap that can be up to 3kms thick. Approximately one-twentieth of the world's ice and one-quarter of the earth's surface ice is found in Greenland – the ice-free zone around the ice cap is up to 300 kms wide and covers an area of 410,000 km² (area of Germany is 357,000 km).

Saturday, January 26, 2013

Encouraging Gold Mining Stocks Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: P_Radomski_CFA

In our updates we regularly reply to questions regarding gold and silver investments that we receive from our subscribers. The question that we received this week along with our reply provides a good introduction to more detailed analysis of the precious metals mining stock charts.

Q: Back in early November of last year, with gold at 1685 and the Dow at 13,100, GDX was at 50. Compared to today, GDX has to gain $5 just to return to that status, where miners were already beaten down.

Friday, January 25, 2013

Gold Price Forecasts - "It's All My Fault" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jeff_Clark

Common sense dictates that when you need information or advice on something you're unfamiliar with, you consult with a professional. That's what people do, whether refinancing a home, choosing an insurance product, or fixing a broken heater. While professionals certainly have their own agendas, they still know more about their products or services than others, and can at least help them make more informed decisions.

Friday, January 25, 2013

Silver Investing and the Sanctity of Savings / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

A basic issue with silver investing for many people is that the actual metal is scarce, valuable and increasingly vulnerable to explicit and implicit confiscation.

Yet silver is not only an investment vehicle. It also acts as an alternative savings vehicle to saving wealth in fiat currencies.

Friday, January 25, 2013

The Price of Silver in the Age of Broken Promises / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The price of silver remains at the mercy of the big banks that make of the majority of the short side at COMEX — which is still the primary paper pricing mechanism for silver.

Could silver prices go above $50 and beyond this year — and then perhaps retest $50 as a floor?

Friday, January 25, 2013

Gold Backed Bonds - An Alternative To European Economic Austerity? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,670.25, EUR 1,243.39, and GBP 1,058.93 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,677.00, EUR 1,258.06, and GBP 1,059.18 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $31.55/oz, €23.54/oz and £20.04/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,689.00/oz, palladium at $723.00/oz and rhodium at $1,200/oz.