Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, August 28, 2014
New Technology Could End The Debate Over Pipeline Safety / Commodities / Oil Companies
Who could have ever imagined that North America would surpass Saudi Arabia as the world’s largest producer of oil and natural gas liquids? A decade ago, that would have seemed laughable.
Yet that’s exactly what has happened; and it’s not just Saudi Arabia that has been left in North America’s dust -- Russia has, too.
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Wednesday, August 27, 2014
The Risky Business of Methane-Rich “Fire Ice” / Commodities / Natural Gas
Dr. Kent Moors writes: During the height of the Deepwater Horizon tragedy four years ago, I had my graduate students monitor the flow of oil from the sunken platform in the Gulf of Mexico.
Most of their work involved rather straightforward calculations based on undersea camera footage.
But from time to time, flimsy protoplasmic-like structures would float across the screen. The students called them “ghosts.”
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Wednesday, August 27, 2014
CFR Recommends Policy Shift that is Very Bullish for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The “Foreign Affaird” publication of the influential and policy-setting Council of Foreign Relations made an announcement that could have huge ramifications for monetary policy going forward. In an article titled “Print Less but Transfer More: Why Central Banks Should Give Money Directly to the People,” the authors argue that the current quantitative easing and debt monetization is not generating broad-based stimulus to the economy.
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Wednesday, August 27, 2014
Gold Shines Most in September on Seasonal Buys / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,285.00, EUR 974.96 and GBP 775.40 ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,286.50, EUR 974.77 and GBP 775.79 per ounce.
Gold climbed $6.20 or 0.49% to $1,282.40 yesterday and silver rose $0.03 or 0.15% to $19.40 per ounce yesterday. Gold in Singapore was virtually unchanged overnight but has ticked up marginally in London trading.
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Wednesday, August 27, 2014
How to Invest in Silver Today for Double-Digit Gains / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
If you've been watching silver for some time, you know it's been in the doghouse.
After peaking at $49 back in April 2011 the white metal is down 60%, having languished between $19 and $22 for the past two years.
But a confluence of factors is building that make today's silver prices look downright cheap.
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Wednesday, August 27, 2014
Gold Market and the Interest Rate Trap / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
"Interest rates on Treasury securities, which have been exceptionally low since the recession are projected to increase in the next few years as the economy strengthens and to end up at levels that are close to their historical averages (adjusted for inflation).” – Budget Outlook for 2014, Congressional Budget Office
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Tuesday, August 26, 2014
How The Coming Silver Price Bubble Will Develop / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Ted Butler writes: What is an asset bubble? An asset bubble occurs when a large number of buyers, normally not usually prone to speculate in an asset, bid the price of that asset much higher than underlying valuations would support, most often fueled by leverage or borrowed money. Typically, towards the terminal phase of the bubble the most compelling reason for continuing to buy the asset is due to the rising price itself, as all caution is thrown to the wind amid the collective belief that prices can only move higher still. Then, when the last possible speculator has purchased the asset, the inevitable occurs and the price of the asset collapses as previous buyers turn into sellers and attempt to get out. Since the formation of the bubble and its inevitable collapse are driven by the collective emotions of greed and fear, it is generally impossible to predict how long an asset bubble will persist and how high the price can climb, as well as the timing and extent of the subsequent collapse.
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Monday, August 25, 2014
Will Canadian Regulators be Able to Avoid Final Fatal TSX Venture Exchange (TSX-V) Crash? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Dr. Volkmar Hable writes: The answer of course is no, if history is any guidance. So what is wrong with the central Canadian market place, the world’s most important stock exchange for the junior resource and energy sector?
The last 3 years have seen a meltdown in the TSX-V share values that brought it right back where it started almost 10 years ago. We have been witnessing on the TSX-V an unprecedented historical annihilation in shareholder value that has not been seen in this form on any other stock exchange in the world.
Monday, August 25, 2014
HUI Gold Mining Stocks Elliott Wave Projection / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Miners bull and bear markets structures can be clearly identified with the Elliott Wave Principle and look ready soon to enter a new impulsive move up. Keeping an eye on the Elliott Wave structure is important as this tool is mostly used by institutionals and hedge fund managers.
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Monday, August 25, 2014
CME Halt Electronic Gold and Silver Futures Trading Due to “Technical Glitch” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,281.00, EUR 965.12 and GBP 772.29 ounce. Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,280.50, EUR 965.03 and GBP 772. 32 per ounce.
Gold climbed $3.10 or 0.24% to $1,280.40 on Friday and silver rose $0.01 or 0.05% to $19.38 per ounce.
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Monday, August 25, 2014
Non-Reportable Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
"If I hold gold at a bank in Switzerland, is that reportable to the IRS?"
That little question sure kicked open a can of worms...
Lawyer Joel Nagel had just opened the floor for questions at a conference at the fancy California Club in L.A. Right away, he was hit with that one.
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Monday, August 25, 2014
Gold Price Manipulation Still Alive / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
If one looks at a longer term chart of the last two years it’s very clear that gold is being capped at certain levels, and those levels are slowly forcing gold lower and lower. Each one of these manipulation zones are being defended successfully and that has some serious connotations going forward.
This all started right after the announcement of QE3. Gold was driven below $1700 and held below that level for 2 months. This got the ball rolling so to speak, it broke an intermediate cycle and started the bear market. Of course we all remember the call by GS to sell gold short followed by the premarket attack on April 12 that took out the stops below $1520 leading to a waterfall decline. That had to be one of the most blatant cases of manipulation in market history.
Sunday, August 24, 2014
LNG Catalysts About to Hand You the investment Opportunity of the Decade / Commodities / Natural Gas
A century ago, the opening of the Panama Canal changed the face of global trade.
By joining the Atlantic and Pacific oceans, ships from the East Coast no longer had to make the treacherous 8,000-mile trip around Cape Horn to reach the markets in Asia or on the West Coast.
Now, 100 years later, the 50-mile long canal is about to do it all over again.
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Sunday, August 24, 2014
Gold And Silver Low Prices Are NOT The Reason To Own Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
"ISIS poses a greater threat than 9/11. This is way beyond anything we have ever seen. We must prepare for everything. Get ready!" US Secretary of Defense, Chuck Hagel.
Whoa, Chuckie...back off a bit, here. Just who do you think it was that helped create the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant, aka ISIS, fund them, train them, and provide the best weapons for them? Can you spell U S, as in a part of your title description as Secretary of Defense? Are you really telling America, and the world, that you are actually that clueless?
Saturday, August 23, 2014
Gold and Crude Oil Price on the Verge of Something Big - Hero's Rarely Win / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Everyone has been calling for a bottoming Gold the last year. But the fact is that gold and gold stocks are still clearly in a bear market. Just look at the 200 day moving averages. The previous trends were down and prices have been moving sideways for the past year.
A lot of newsletter and analysts are calling a bottom. Technically it's just a consolidation pattern. Consolidation patterns are a continuation pattern, meaning if the previous trend was down, which it was from 2011 till now, the odds favor price will continue lower after this consolidation.
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Friday, August 22, 2014
Gold Rising Interest Rate Fallacy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Gold has slid during this past week on mounting fears of interest-rate hikes. Between the latest FOMC meeting’s minutes and the Fed’s annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, American futures speculators’ rising-rate phobias have been whipped into a fever pitch. They worry gold will be crushed when the Fed eventually starts normalizing rates. But history shatters this fallacy that rising rates are gold’s nemesis.
Today there is a near-universal belief among futures traders that rising interest rates are very bearish for gold. The underlying logic is simple. When interest rates rise, so do yields on bonds and cash in the form of money-market funds. This makes bonds and cash relatively more attractive to investors than gold, which yields nothing. Therefore they jettison their gold holdings to migrate capital back into bonds and cash.
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Friday, August 22, 2014
Jackson Hole: Myth of the All Powerful Central Banker Continues / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,281.00, EUR 965.12 and GBP 772.29 ounce. Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,280.50, EUR 965.03 and GBP 772.32 per ounce.
Gold fell $13.80 or 1.07% to $1,277.30 and silver slipped $0.03 or 0.15% to $19.47 per ounce.
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Friday, August 22, 2014
Silver Price Fix - Out With the Old - In With the Same / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The further markets become detached from reality, the greater the need for distraction. Justice is displaced by a rash of propaganda. The methods may be absurd, but they are effective.Over the summer, the big news in the world of silver has been the official end to the old (London fix) and the beginning of the new (electronic) fixing.
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Friday, August 22, 2014
Gold and Crude Oil Elliott Wave Outloook / Commodities / Commodities Trading
GOLD is falling, now beneath 1279 July low so looks like market is making a new impulse down from around 1322 that can either be wave c) or wave iii) in both cases we see room for a decline to 1255/1260 in the near future. From a bigger point of view we still see chances for a corrective decline from 1345 bullish price action may follow by the end of August, but we need a recovery back above 1302 if not 1319 to confirm a return back to July high.
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Friday, August 22, 2014
Gold and Silver Price Getting Set To Explode Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Can you feel it? That air of desperation creeping into the mindset of the gold and silver bulls. It seems like only yesterday that the bulls were hooting and hollering and calling the next great bull market underway. Calls of "$2000 gold here we come", "$100 silver here we come". Yeehaaaa!!!
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