Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, October 28, 2014
The End of QE and the Price of Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Bob_Kirtley
Background
The programme known as Quantitative Easing is due to be halted at the end of October, coinciding with the next meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee which is scheduled for 28/29 October 2014. Monetary policy plays a big role in gold’s fortunes and so the strategies put in place by the central banks around the world need to be watched very carefully.
Tuesday, October 28, 2014
Oliver Gross Says Peak Gold Is Here to Stay / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: The_Gold_Report
The wave of zero-interest liquidity washing over the financial world could result in a short-term gold bottom of $1,000 per ounce, reports Oliver Gross of Der Rohstoff-Anleger (The Resource Investor). The good news is that Peak Gold is here to stay, which means that midtier producers will soon be desperate to buy low-cost, high-quality deposits. In this interview with The Gold Report, Gross argues that this could be the opportunity of a lifetime for contrarian investors, and suggests a half-dozen best bets to be taken out.
The Gold Report: Earlier this month, the broader equities markets suffered huge losses as gold made significant gains. Then, after the broader markets recovered, gold fell. Is there now an inverse relationship between the health of the broader markets and the price of gold?
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Tuesday, October 28, 2014
Total War over the Petrodollar / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Marin_Katusa
The conspiracy theories surrounding the death of Total SA’s chief executive, Christophe de Margerie, started the second the news broke of his death. Under mysterious circumstances in Moscow, his private jet collided with a snowplow just after midnight. De Margerie was the CEO of Total, France’s largest oil company.
He’d just attended a private meeting with Russian Prime Minister Medvedev, at a time when the West’s relationship with Russia is fraught, to say the least.
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Tuesday, October 28, 2014
Does Gold Price Always Respond to Real Interest Rates? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Generally, the real interest rates are negatively correlated with the gold price, i.e. the rising interest rates adversely impact the yellow metal. Based on this adverse relationship between real interest rates and price of gold, Elfenbein built a model for the price of gold. According to it, whenever the dollar's real short-term interest rate is below 2%, gold rallies, and whenever the real short-term rate is above 2%, the price of gold falls. Another rule of thumb is that gold moves eight times stronger than the difference between real interest rates and 2%. If the model is correct, the Fed's future interest rates hike may be detrimental for the price of gold. However, there are many objections to the use of such a simple model, and generally to the adverse relationship between gold and real interest rates.
Tuesday, October 28, 2014
Crude Oil Price Sinking Or Rebounding / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions.
On Friday, crude oil lost 0.68% as concerns over a global oversupply continued to weigh. Additionally, soft U.S. housing data pushed the commodity below $82 per barrel. Will we see another test of the strength of the psychologically important level of $80?
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Sunday, October 26, 2014
Mining CEO Calls on Fellow Miners to Halt Physical Silver Sales to End the Paper Manipulation / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
By: Jason_Hamlin
I have always been in favor of mining companies holding back the sale of a portion of their metals when prices dip. Furthermore, they should hold reserves beyond the amount needed to run daily operations in gold and silver, not fiat cash. It can always be converted if and when necessary. Lastly, offer an option to pay dividends in physical metal, cutting out the middlemen.
Keith Neumeyer of First Majestic Silver was one of the first mining CEOs to do this and I applaud his actions. In the latest quarter, First Majestic held back 35% of their production, rather than selling it at deeply discounted paper prices.
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Saturday, October 25, 2014
Gold And Silver Price - Respect The Trend But Prepare For A Reversal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Michael_Noonan
When events "happen," they happen in a directed way by the elite's mainstream media outlets. News is presented in a way that is designed to appeal to mass emotions so as to discount reasoned thinking. You get government pimps, be they congressmen, heads of agencies, even presidents who add their fiat 2 cents in order to give some weight to an otherwise weightless argument. While the "news event" is largely untrue, there is a sufficient amount of plausibility added to disguise the misleading [never verified] facts. In other words, psychological manipulation is the main menu of options for the elites to keep the masses "informed," while still very much uninformed.
Saturday, October 25, 2014
Gold Price Rebounds but Gold Miners Struggle / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Several weeks ago the entire precious metals space was extremely oversold and due for at the least, a reflex rally. Gold was down in nine of twelve weeks with Silver down in eleven of those twelve weeks. The miners experienced a nasty September and were down five consecutive weeks. With Gold rallying from $1185 to $1255, we would expect Silver and the mining stocks to rebound strongly in percentage terms. However, those markets have lagged Gold badly. The mining stocks are essentially back to their lows and Silver hasn’t fared much better. The recent stark underperformance of Silver and the mining stocks especially is a warning sign of further downside.
Friday, October 24, 2014
Bullish Silver Stealth Buying / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Zeal_LLC
Battered silver remains deeply out of favor, recently plumbing miserable new lows after drifting sideways for most of 2014. This metal’s relentless and oppressive weakness continues to break the wills of long-suffering contrarians. But professional investors are taking advantage of the epically-bearish psychology plaguing silver. They’ve been steadily accumulating positions all year long in massive stealth buying.
Silver certainly wasn’t always a loathed market pariah. Back in early 2011, silver blasted up above $48 on widespread enthusiasm from investors and speculators. It was one of the 2000s’ greatest bull markets, up an astounding 1105% during a 9.4-year span where the benchmark S&P 500 limped to a 20% gain. The brave contrarians fighting the herd to buy silver low in the early 2000s greatly multiplied their wealth.
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Friday, October 24, 2014
Blood in the Streets to Create the Gold Stocks Investor Opportunity of the Decade / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
By: Casey_Research
By Laurynas Vegys, Research Analyst
Gold stocks staged spring and summer rallies this year, but haven’t able to sustain the momentum. Many have sold off sharply in recent weeks, along with gold. That makes this a good time to examine the book value of gold equities; are they objectively cheap now, or not?
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Friday, October 24, 2014
Gold and Silver Subdued as Panic Over / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Alasdair_Macleod
For gold and silver it has been a week of two halves: first prices rallied to a peak on Tuesday, then declined to show net losses for the week on Wednesday for silver and Thursday for gold. Broadly these precious metals reflected first weakness then strength in the US dollar. And equities reversed the nervousness of the previous week after a FOMC member suggested QE would be extended, with the S&P 500 closing up 7% on Thursday from its October 15 low.
Friday, October 24, 2014
Swiss ‘Yes’ and ‘No’ Gold Initiative Campaigns Compete at Launches in Bern / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: GoldCore
by Ronan Manly, GoldCore Consultant
Contents
- Introduction
- ‘Yes’ Campaign Launch
- Paper Decays, Gold Holds Its Value
- ‘No’ Campaign Launch - Alphabet Soup
- Unsaleable Gold Like an Unusable Fire Extinguisher?
- Swiss Electorate 5.2 Million
- Double Majority Including Cantons
- Referendas by the Dozen
- Sometimes There are Shock Results
Friday, October 24, 2014
Saudi Move to Cut Oil Prices Is Now Russia's Biggest Economic Threat / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Money_Morning
As I discussed recently (Why the Saudis Are Cutting Oil Prices), Saudi Arabia has made headlines by cutting oil prices, not production.
It seems the Saudis are more interested in grabbing market share than in attending to the present state of the market.
That move seems calculated to undercut the effect the United States has on global oil markets, even though that effect is indirect.
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Friday, October 24, 2014
New Profit Points in the Shifting Balance of Power, Welcome to Saudi America / Commodities / Energy Resources
By: Money_Morning
Kent Moors writes: There’s a new wrinkle in the energy markets.
It revolves around what I call the “energy balance,” and its changing fast.
It’s not about new energy breakthroughs or big oil discoveries. And it’s certainly not about entirely new structures.
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Thursday, October 23, 2014
Prepare for Global Gold Confiscation and Orwell's 1984, Warns Rickards / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: GoldCore
Microchips embedded in the arms of citizens to track their activities, the total destruction of the middle classes and a cashless economy where an authoritarian state can freeze the accounts of dissenting citizens excluding them from all economic activity….. These are all part of the cheery scenario painted by the highly respected author and IMF-insider with connections to the Pentagon, Jim Rickards in his most recent article for Agora Financial.
Thursday, October 23, 2014
The BIS Paves the Way for Silver and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Behind the scenes (or rather, behind the curtain of propaganda) the most influential of the banking class is sending out smoke signals. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS), which is the bank for central banks, has telegraphed the next major world financial downturn. As if you could not see it coming. Recently, the Bank for International Settlement (BIS) warns of 'violent' reversal of global markets.
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Thursday, October 23, 2014
Where the Energy Sector Goes From Here / Commodities / Energy Resources
By: Money_Morning
Dr. Kent Moors writes: With the stock market now roaring back, investors are left to wonder whether the worst is behind us – or if there’s more pain yet to come.
Given the size of the sell-off, it’s clear a slew of folks expected a “correction,” and to that extent received a self-fulfilling prophecy.
However, at times the decline was more like a snowball cascading down a hill with no overall rhyme or reason.
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Thursday, October 23, 2014
The Better Short: Gold or Silver? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By: Bob_Kirtley
The fundamentals for the precious metals are weak. This has been highlighted in recent weeks by the lack of a major rally in gold and the losses in silver despite a spike in volatility to its highest since 2011. Improving economic data, the tapering of QE, and discussion of when the first rate hike will be have resulted in heavy losses over the past two years in the precious metals, and are to blame for the poor performance in the recent risk off market conditions stemming from the Ebola fears.
Wednesday, October 22, 2014
Focus on Graphite Companies with Green Energy and Technology Strategies / Commodities / Graphene
By: The_Gold_Report
Graphite equities continue to trade sideways, but a handful are starting to emerge as best-in-class plays as they race to secure offtake agreements by derisking their projects through resource upgrading and economic studies. Ron Struthers, editor and publisher of Struthers' Resource Stock Report, says that investors need to focus on companies with strategies designed to position themselves with green energy and technology firms. In this interview with The Gold Report, he names a few players that make the grade.
Wednesday, October 22, 2014
Crude Oil Price Hitting Bottom / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Submissions
Bob Loukas writes: In the past, we’ve discussed at length the structural problems facing Crude. So the pressure the energy markets are under, both from the demand and supply sides, should come as no surprise. This double whammy to the Crude market is not likely to be resolved overnight; demand-supply issues require time to work through a market.
Through hydraulic fracking and a massive influx of investment capital, the US has again become a major oil producer. But it’s the speed with which new supply from the US has come on line that has taken the market by surprise and rocked prices.
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