Most Popular
1. Dow Max Drawdown Bear Stock Market 2022 - Accumulating Deviations from the Highs - 21st Feb 22
2.Putin Starts WW3 in Ukraine, Will Use Tactical Nuclear Weapons, China Prepares Taiwan Blitzkrieg - 28th Feb 22
3.World War 3 Phase 1 - Putin WINS Ukraine War! - 25th Feb 22
4.INVESTORS SEDUCED by CNBC and the STOCK CHARTS COMPLETELY MISS the BIG PICTURE! - 10th Feb 22
5.Will There Be A 2024 US Presidential Election? - 3rd Mar 22
6.Gold and SIlver, Precious Metals Sector Is at a Terrific Buy Spot - 6th Feb 22
7.Why Putin Wants the WHOLE of Ukraine - World War 3 Untended Consequences - 6th Feb 22
8.Dow Stock Market Expected Max Drawdown 2022 - 19th Feb 22
9.Stock Market Calm In the Eye of the Inflation Storm - 4th Mar 22
10.M = F - Everything is Waving! Stock Market Forward Guidance - 7th Mar 22
Last 7 days
Why APPLE Could CRASH the Stock Market! - 21st May 22
Why Is Crude Oil Ignoring US Inventories? - 21st May 22
Here is Why I’m Still Bullish on Gold Mining Stocks - 21st May 22
THE INFLATION MEGA-TREND QE4EVER! - 20th May 22
US Real Estate Investors – Is There An End In Sight? - 20th May 22
How Technology Affected the Gaming Industry - 20th May 22
How To Set And Achieve Reasonable Goals For Your Company - 20th May 22
How Low Could the Amazon (AMZN) Stock Price Fall? - 19th May 22
Bitten by FANG? Clocked by Cryptos? -- 'Air Pockets' Everywhere - 19th May 22
Northern General Hospital Orthopedics Fractures and and Ankle Clinic Consultations Real Patient Experience - 19th May 22
Cathie Wood Goes All in on Teladoc, ARKK INSANE Noob Investing Strategy! - 17th May 22
This is Anything but Positive for US Housing Market - 17th May 22
What Should We Do If There Is No Fed Monetary Policy Pivot? - 17th May 22
All Possible Ways to Earn Free Litecoin - 17th May 22
How low Could the Amazon Stock Price Fall? - 16th May 22
Cathy Wood ARKK INSANITY There is NO Coming Back! - 16th May 22
NASDAQ 100 Stock Market LOWER LOWS & LOWER HIGH - 16th May 22
Sanctions, trade wars worsen US inflation - 16th May 22
AI Tech Stocks Earnings BloodBath Buying Opportunity - 14th May 22
Futures Contract – Trading Crude Oil With USO - 14th May 22
How to Get Kaspersky Internet Security for 80% Discount! Do not Pay Renewal Price! - 14th May 22
Sagittarius A* Super Massive Black Hole Monster at Centre of Our Galaxy REVEALED! - 14th May 22
UK Public Debt Smoking Inflation Gun - 13th May 22
What Happens When the Stock Market Dip Keeps Dipping? - 13th May 22
Biden Seeks Inflation Scapegoats; Gold Advocate Wins GOP Primary - 13th May 22
Apple and Microsoft Nuts Are About to CRACK and Send Stock Market Sharply Lower - 12th May 22
The War on Gold Ensures the Dollar’s Downfall - 12th May 22

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

The Gold Bug is Set to Bite Back

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014 Oct 08, 2014 - 08:43 AM GMT

By: EWI

Commodities

Since hitting a record high of $1921.50 per ounce in September 2011, gold prices have erased 30% in value. By the end of day on October 3, 2014, gold prices were circling the drain of a 15-month low.

After such devastation, the global community of gold analysts, advisors and investors finds itself scattered as an anthill colony after being stepped on by a giant bear paw. This recent Forbes article captures the divisiveness among gold watchers:


"'Survey Participants Split Over Gold Price Direction' as a potential decline in the U.S. dollar competes against 'geopolitical reasons' for prices to bounce."

This magnifies an important point, namely:

Mainstream financial analysis uses news events to gauge where prices may be headed. The problem with this strategy is that it does not anticipate trend changes -- it only reacts to the changes that have already happened, almost always leaving you one step behind.

Naturally, this reliable unreliability leads to uncertainty among those invested in the market's trend.

Elliott wave analysis takes a radically different approach. Rather than looking outside the market for clues into future price action, Elliotticians look to the price charts themselves. There, they identify fixed and finite patterns which shape the market's near- and long-term character.

You can use gold's 3-year-long sell-off as a prime example. Back in 2010-2011, gold's bullish "fundamental" picture was allegedly in the bag. The U.S. Federal Reserve just launched its $1-trillion-a-year quantitative easing program, which was widely expected to fuel gold's inflationary fire. An August 25, 2011 Gallup Poll confirmed:

"Americans Choose Gold as the Best Long-Term Investment."

Elliott Wave International, however, saw a different outcome for gold on the metal's price chart: an impending decline. In the September 2011 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, our analysis included the following chart, which showed gold prices at or near the end of a decade-long, 5-wave advance.

"Gold's wave structure is consistent with a terminating rise. [Elliott waves progress and therefore top out in 5 waves]. As this monthly chart shows, prices exceeded the upper line of the channel formed by the rally from the 1999 low in what Elliott terms a throw-over. A throw-over occurs at the end of a fifth wave, and represents a final burst of buying. The pattern is confirmed as complete once prices close back under the upper line, which currently crosses $1650."

So, that was then. What about now?

Today, the mainstream is divided between opposing fundamental forces. But at the San Francisco Money Show in August 2014, Elliott Wave International's chief market analyst Steve Hochberg identified a very compelling reason to form a united front in gold's future -- an Elliott wave triangle pattern.

You can hear the exact point when Steve shared this exciting development to his audience via this clip from his Money Show presentation:

Steve goes on to explain how pinpointing this triangle helps him lay down a forecast for "what gold is going to do from here on out."

Would you believe that gold prices should "rally" for a year, maybe even two??

Would you also believe you can watch Steve's entire Money Show presentation on gold (not just the 30-second preview featured here!), FREE?

Well, you absolutely can. For a limited time only, Elliott Wave International is releasing Steve's Money Show presentation on gold -- in two 5-minute long videos.

This very special offer is FREE to all Club EWI members. Simply complete your free Club EWI profile and get instant access to Steve's presentation >>


This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline The Gold Bug is Set to Bite Back. EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

About the Publisher, Elliott Wave International
Founded in 1979 by Robert R. Prechter Jr., Elliott Wave International (EWI) is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in