Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, March 13, 2008
HUI Precious Metals and Mining Stocks Liftoff! as S&P Breaks Down / Commodities / Resources Investing
The US Dollar DX index has hit my 72 target on this latest leg of its breakdown. The news is all wretched. Iran , Nigeria , and even tiny Vietnam are rebelling against the crippled buck. The Persian Gulf Arab nations are trying to find a graceful way to detach from their devastating US$ peg that has wrought horrendous price inflation to the region. The end of the defacto PetroDollar standard will be the biggest external event concerning the US Dollar this year, while the failure of prime Exploding ARMs will be the biggest internal event. The prime adjustable mortgages of unique detonation design and typical amplified destructive leverage are due to explode this summer, sure to change the false label promoted. The current bank problems originated with subprime mortgages, but they have extended inroads into primes and now have begun to enter commercial avenues.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 13, 2008
Gold Hits $1000 as US Dollar and Stocks Sink, Crude Oil Hits $110 / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES Hit $1,000 per ounce in London on Thursday as the US Dollar sank to new record lows, oil traded further above $110 per barrel, and world stock markets sank."Concerns in the credit market, persistent Dollar weakness, and gradual acceleration of inflationary pressures is providing a foundation of support for gold," says James Steel of HSBC.
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Thursday, March 13, 2008
Uranium Stocks Trend Remains Bearish Despite Recent Rally / Commodities / Uranium
Another up day but nothing to celebrate. The Merv's Daily Uranium Index closed higher by 0.027 points or 0.82%. There were 27 winners, 19 losers and 4 unchanged. Of the top five based upon market value, Cameco gained 1.9%, Denison gained 5.9%, First Uranium was unchanged, Paladin gained 4.2% and Uranium One gained 4.9%. The best performer was Energy Fuels with a 24.1% gain while the worst performer was Aurora Energy with a loss of 8.8%.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Gold Rules for a Decade / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Well, gold continues to hover around 1,000 an ounce. It won't be long before it crashes the 1,000 dollar level. Our world is in a bigger mess than most folks care to acknowledge.
Boris Sobolev – “Instead of trying to guess tops and bottoms, the best strategy is to continue to accumulate bullion as well as shares of junior producers, exploration and development companies on weakness. Gold price is going much higher in the coming years and the prices of undervalued junior stocks are going to explode as they become targets for acquisition. A few short years down the road, the trepidations experienced today by investors in small cap gold stocks will look quite silly.” Boris Sobolev, 3-6-2008
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Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Gold Rises as Central Bank "Crisis Action" Fails to Ease Money-Market Fears / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES rose out of a tight 1% range as the US opening drew near on Wednesday, while global stock markets continued to bounce after four months of losses in response to yesterday's historic "crisis action" from seven of the world's biggest central banks.Short-term Dollar lending pressures eased in London , but the cost of borrowing Euros continued to rise. The US currency fell towards a new record low vs. the Euro at $1.5490.
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Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Gold Up as the $500 Trillion Derivatives Time Bomb Keeps Ticking / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold was up $4.10 to $974.30 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday silver was down 3 cents to $19.64 per ounce. In Asian and early European trading gold has traded sideways to slightly up. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $975.75, £483.26 and €630.90 (from $980.50, £485.47 and €633.40 yesterday).Gold may continue to consolidate prior to the much anticipated rally to the $1,000 mark. But given the continuing weakness in the dollar (se FX below), record high oil prices and the continuing credit crisis, gold will likely continue to surprise to the upside. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Gold Parabolic Trend Targets $1500 as US Dollar Destined for Financial Oblivion / Commodities / Gold & Silver
When a ball is thrown into the air, the speed of that ball decelerates until gravity becomes the more powerful force. Balls, when thrown into the air, do not suddenly rise at a faster rate. Such is the way physics works, and the way markets work. Were this not true, the sky would be filled with balls and the NASDAQ would still be above 5000. $Gold, as wonderful as it is, is not immune to financial gravity.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 11, 2008
Will Gold Catch-up with Crude Oil? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Oil and gold have had a long association in the minds and hearts of investors. Where one goes, the other seems to follow. So when OPEC made its announcement last week to maintain production at current levels, gold market participants might have taken it as a suggestion that gold would be basing at just under $1000 instead of forming a top. When comparing oil and gold on the inflation-adjusted charts, however, there appears to be more to the story than the possibility that we have reached an interim bottom.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 11, 2008
Gold and Crude Jump as Investment Funds Pile into Commodities / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES rose 1.1% at the London opening on Tuesday, reaching a three-session high above $984 per ounce.
Crude oil surged to its fifth consecutive all-time record, while Tokyo stocks closed higher for only the second time this month. European shares jumped more than 2% by lunchtime in London after the European single currency came within shouting distance of $1.55.
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Tuesday, March 11, 2008
Gold and Dow Jones 40 Year Long-term Price charts / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold was down $1.80 to $970.20 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday silver was down 44 cents to $19.28 per ounce. In Asian trading gold traded sideways but in early European trading gold and silver have again rallied strongly. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $980.50, £485.47 and €633.40 ($973.15, £481.52 and €633.03 yesterday).Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 10, 2008
Gold and Commodities Follow Stocks Lower on Vicious Cycle of Forced Selling / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES gave back and then reversed early gains on Monday, losing $9 per ounce by lunchtime in London to trade at $964.50.Energy and soft commodity prices also slipped – taking WTI crude oil just below $104.50 per barrel – as short-term bond yields fell and Asian stock markets sank once again, led by a near-10% drop in Malaysia after the ruling coalition lost one-third of its seats in the weekend elections.
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Monday, March 10, 2008
Deepening Credit Crunch Supports Bullish Gold Trend / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold was down $3 to $972.00 per ounce in trading in New York on Friday and silver was up 3 cents to $20.16 per ounce. In Asian trading gold rose to $980.22 but has sold off slightly in early European trading. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $973.15, £481.52 and €633.03.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 10, 2008
Peak Oil - True or False? / Commodities / Crude Oil
The arguments are so one-sided, it's practically a given that "peak oil" is real and threatening. Or is it? This article examines both sides. It lets readers decide and deals only with supply issues, not crucial environmental ones and the need to develop alternative energy sources. First some background.
The name most associated with "peak oil" is M. King Hubbert. He became the world's best known geologist when he worked for Houston-based Shell Oil Company from 1943 to 1964. His theory goes something like this. Oil is a finite resource. Peak oil, or Hubbert's peak, is the point at which maximum world production is reached, after which its rate terminally declines.
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Monday, March 10, 2008
Beat the Panic With Commodity ETF's - Major Action Alert / Commodities / Exchange Traded Funds
Sean Brodrick writes: These commodity markets are going wild, and I'm responding with major action — new commodity ETF recommendations I'm going to issue by mid-week, probably Wednesday. If you want to jump in, I must hear back by Tuesday.
Think the recent price explosions have been climactic?!
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Sunday, March 09, 2008
Gold Short-term Giving Worrying Technical Signals / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Despite some volatile daily moves, on a chart this past week it looked like a sideways trend, even possibly a topping action. Let's see.
GOLD : LONG TERM
Taking away most of the trend, support and resistance lines from the P&F chart and leaving only a few primary lines gives an interesting view of the bull market since 2001. With the present units and reversals used in the chart the original primary up trend line, if extended, shows the action of the past several months just hugging the line, slightly above at times and slightly below at other times.
Friday, March 07, 2008
What Will Take Gold Through the $1,000 Barrier? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold and silver prices are making new ground every day and are consolidating, seemingly in preparation for an attack on $1,000. Thereafter, who will buy gold and pay over $1,000? It seems a daunting price for any new Investor or even one with a sizeable holding already.
A Psychological Barrier
Why is $1,000 such a barrier? The move to four figures implies it is in a new league, in top gear and can't hold that level. If one looks at the gold price in the € the picture changes. In those, now distant days, when the € was worth $1.25, the € price of gold battled heavily to get past €530; it now sits at €640. It seems that a 20% rise is not so outrageous as we thought. Look at gold in the Australian $ or the Japanese Yen. There hasn't been any where near such a rise as we have seen in the US$ price of gold?
Friday, March 07, 2008
Gold Resilient in the Face of Hedge Fund Panic Forced Selling of Assets / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE PRICE OF PHYSICAL GOLD BULLION dipped once again early in London on Friday, after recovering yet another sharp fall sparked by a forced sale of stocks, bonds and mortgage-backed assets from heavily indebted fund managers.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 07, 2008
Gold Technically Overbought But Supported by Strong Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold was down some 1.1% or $11.10 to $975.00 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday and silver was down some 2.3% or 49 cents to $20.13 per ounce. In Asian trading gold rose to $984.75 but has sold off slightly in early European trading. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $978.50, £486.14 and €635.18.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 06, 2008
Natural Gas Pushing Highs / Commodities / Natural Gas
Although my next optimal near-term target zone in the U.S. Natural Gas Fund ETF (AMEX: UNG) is 49.50-50.00, the larger pattern is so bullish and has so much upside potential that I will not be surprised to see the price structure accelerate to the upside in a vertical assault on the 56.00 to 58.00 measured intermediate-term target zone. Frankly, I am eyeballing 50.00 as a viable exit area for my current long (model portfolio) position, but if and when we approach the nearest-term target, I will assess the two-way risks of NOT taking profits sooner rather than later. In the meantime, as we speak the UNG is pushing up against yesterday's high at 48.12, which should be hurdled and should trigger the upmove to 50.00.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 06, 2008
Gold Touches $992 New High As the US Dollar Sinks / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE PRICE OF PHYSICAL gold bullion moved in a tight 0.8% range early Thursday, re-touching yesterday's new all-time high above $992 per ounce as the US Dollar sank once again.As the opening drew near in New York – where a small bomb damaged an army recruitment center in Times Square overnight – crude oil jumped to a new record above $105 per barrel.
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