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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, August 21, 2014

Gold and Silver Trading Alert as U.S. Dollar Soars to New Highs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion no speculative positions in gold, silver and mining stocks are now justified from the risk/reward perspective.

The back-and-forth trading in the USD Index ended as it pierced through the short-term resistance and also above this year’s high. As we have emphasized many times previously, the U.S. currency is after long-, medium- and short-term breakouts so the surprises should be to the upside. Consequently, yesterday’s rally was not unexpected. What was surprising was the lack of real decline in the precious metals sector. Does this mean that the USD rally won’t hurt gold and silver investors? Let’s take a closer look (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 20, 2014

Peak Gold? Russia To Surpass Australia As World No 2 Gold Producer / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,294.50, EUR 973.75 and GBP 777.76 ounce. Yesterday’s AM fix was was 1,300.25, EUR 973.75 and GBP 781.17 per ounce.

Today’s LBMA Silver Price was USD 19.42 per ounce. Yesterday’s LBMA Silver Price was USD 19.66 per ounce.

Gold and silver fell yesterday - gold fell $3 to $1,295.90 and silver fell 19 cents to $19.49 per ounce.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 20, 2014

The Gold War - Thinker, Trader, Holder, Why? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: John_Mauldin

By: Grant Williams

Sometimes, just sometimes, you need to stop for a second, take a step back, and reconsider the simplest pieces of any puzzle.

David John Moore Cornwall was a real-life spy. A spook. An agent. He worked for Britain’s MI5 and, later, MI6 intelligence services.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 19, 2014

The US Gold in Fort Knox is Secure, Gone, or Irrelevant? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

In 1950 the US owned about 20,000 metric tons of gold - approximately 640,000,000 troy ounces. By August 15, 1971 when President Nixon "temporarily" closed the "gold window" that hoard had decreased to about 8,100 tons (Fort Knox, the NY Fed, and other locations). The US government had been overspending, exporting dollars oversees, and other governments had "cashed in" those dollars for gold. At that rate of decrease, the US gold hoard would have been entirely dissipated by now. Perhaps it is gone!

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Commodities

Monday, August 18, 2014

Why Chinese Citizens Invest In Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: I_M_Vronsky

The US$ price of gold has soared +377% from 2001 to date. That’s a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) equal to 13.4%. Contrast gold’s monumental appreciation with the pathetic performance of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index and the miserly return of US Treasuries.   

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Commodities

Monday, August 18, 2014

Palladium Reaches 13-Year High Over $900 oz as Gold Trading Volumes Surge 66% / Commodities / Palladium

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,302.75, EUR 972.93and GBP 778.51 per ounce.
Friday’s AM fix was was USD 1,313.60, EUR 981.69 and GBP 786.78 per ounce.

Today’s LBMA silver price was USD 19.59 per ounce.
Friday’s LBMA silver price was USD 19.86 per ounce.

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Commodities

Monday, August 18, 2014

Crude Oil Price Decline – To What Price? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andrew_McKillop

Triple Digit Prices are Not Forever
In what is only superficially amazing at a time when Islamic insurgency, including Boko Haram in Nigeria and ISIS in Iraq may be threatening the state, civil society and the oil sector in major exporter countries, oil prices are declining quite rapidly. The “magic three digit” price level for oil - $100 a barrel  come rain or shine – has been seriously eroded for US WTI and may soon also be attacked for Brent. The major reason for this decline is sharper than expected and forecast decline in leading economic indicators for many large importer countries, including Japan and the EU28. Monthly oil import demand outturns for China and India are variable, but have suffered major contractions relative to previaling rates before 2010.

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Commodities

Monday, August 18, 2014

New Silver Price Fix Procedure / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

I shall come to this important event later in this market report; but first, our customary look at this week’s trading. From Monday through Wednesday the gold price found firm support at the $1305 level before gaining a few bucks to $1313 by close of play last night.

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Commodities

Monday, August 18, 2014

The TLT:GLD Gold Ratio Chart / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Rambus_Chartology

Below is a combo chart that shows the TLT:GLD ratio chart on top and the GLD on the bottom. This chart shows you when the ratio is falling GLD is rising and when the ratio is rising GLD is falling. Notice back in 2008 the ratio was at its high and GLD was at its low.

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Commodities

Sunday, August 17, 2014

Why King Coal is Bigger than Oil or Gas / Commodities / Coal

By: Money_Morning

Lost in the debate about exporting U.S. oil and natural gas is any mention of America’s greatest energy export.

Coal.

And while legislators, corporations, environmentalists and others argue over pipelines, refineries, tariffs and trade agreements in the oil and natural gas industries, the U.S. sends tons of coal to eager customers all over the globe. Coal usage is at a 45-year peak, and Europe and Asia will take every ounce we can export…

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Commodities

Sunday, August 17, 2014

Autocalls Syndrome In The Silver Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Submissions

François Lenôtre writes: Autocallable products, or “autocalls” are structured notes popular primarily in Asia but also, to a lesser extent, in Europe. They offer the buyer an enhanced coupon linked to the behavior of an underlying market. With rates currently so low, vast amounts of autocalls linked to equity and commodity markets have been sold to investors, enabling them to receive 10 to 15 % annual yields (sometimes more) with the risk of seeing their capital wiped out in case of a collapse of the underlying reference market.

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Commodities

Friday, August 15, 2014

Gold Stocks Major New Upleg / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold stocks are almost certainly in the early stages of a major new upleg.  Given the widespread apathy and antipathy still plaguing this beaten-down sector, that’s hard for most traders to swallow.  But the gold stocks’ performance this year has already been outstanding.  And heading into gold’s strong season, their gains should only accelerate.  Gold stocks’ overdue mean reversion higher is well underway.

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Commodities

Friday, August 15, 2014

HUI, Gold and Silver; Fun With Monthly Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Gary_Tanashian

Outside of the sound practice that is physical gold ownership in a time of monetary gamesmanship, the precious metals sector is all about speculation, at least according to 9 out of 10 chart jockeys and momentum junkies micro managing every short-term twist and turn.

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Commodities

Friday, August 15, 2014

New 'LBMA Silver Price' - Still Not Transparent / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

Today’s LBMA silver price was USD 19.86 per ounce. Yesterday’s LBMA silver fix was USD 19.86 per ounce.

Gold and silver remained in lockdown today and yesterday - gold rose a tiny $1.40 yesterday to $1,313.00/oz and silver a marginal 8 cents to $19.92/oz.

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Commodities

Friday, August 15, 2014

Gold and Silver Price Consolidation Before Fateful September / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Why could September be fateful for the precious metals complex? First, consider its history within the current secular bull market. The years 2005, 2007, 2009 and 2010 have seen very important breakouts in either or both Gold and gold stocks in the month of September. Conversely, September marked important peaks in 2008 as well as in each of the past three years! Currently, Gold and more so the gold miners are consolidating their recent gains just below very important resistance. This consolidation figures to end before the end of September which means September will produce another important inflection point.

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