Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, December 17, 2012
Gold And Silver – Footprints Are One Thing, Bootprints Are Another / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Around 7 p.m., [CST], on Thursday, [lucky] 13 December, when there is normally
very little activity in precious metals, a series of High Frequency Trades mysteriously
came to life and pummeled the silver market, hard. What makes this ever more
suspicious is that this activity was on the heels of a breakout characterized by
strong supportive volume and a high-end range close.
Monday, December 17, 2012
Gold Vs Gold Stocks ($HUI) Who is Leading Who? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
The Gold stocks have failed to deliver on my expectations of a move higher and it has caused me to re-think the direction of the yellow metal.
The past few weeks I have suspected that Gold stocks and Gold was a corrective pullback but should have been a shallow pullback, relative to the ideas I was expecting. With the breakdown in the $HUI, it strongly suggests Gold and the Gold stocks could be in some trouble.
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Sunday, December 16, 2012
SILVER Window of Opportunity @ $29.68 – $26.23 by Jan 18 2013? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The following is a quick update to our Silver Lining report from October 21, 2012.
The daily chart below illustrates the latest price action in Silver. From the secondary lower high at $34.39, the trend has been down for the past 11-sessions, setting a print low on Friday at $32.22. As such, Tuesday marks session-13 from that secondary high, and offers the potential for marking a short-term turn-pivot low.
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Saturday, December 15, 2012
Short-Free Price" For Silver is $101.35 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Afcarl submits:
Saturday, December 15, 2012
Warning For Gold From Inflation, U.S. Dollar, And Mining Stocks! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Historically gold has been seen as a safe haven in times of rising inflation. No surprise then that it’s been in a long and impressive bull market since 2002, when a string of significant events began that were expected to create a substantial surge in inflation.The 2001 recession resulted in significant monetary easing by the Fed in an effort to re-stimulate the economy. The 9/11/01 terrorist attacks resulted in dramatic increases in government spending on Homeland Security and the subsequent invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq.
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Saturday, December 15, 2012
Harvesting Profits From Weak Hands in the Silver Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
In financial market jargon, those investors described as having “weak hands” typically means that they cannot hold onto a position they have established for very long if it goes against them substantially.
This term is often used to contrast such investors to those with “deep pockets” who can instead afford to take deeper drawdowns in their portfolio before they feel the need to exit their positions.
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Saturday, December 15, 2012
Gold and Silver: Of Cartels, Algorithms and Artificial Price Manipulation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Those who follow the day to day developments in the gold and silver markets have typically seen rampant market manipulation by large traders and bullion banks.
Although supposedly against the rules — and even being subjected to an ongoing investigation by the CFTC that now reaches into its fifth year — this market bullying is nevertheless allowed to happen over and over again without effective regulatory intervention.
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Saturday, December 15, 2012
Gold Stocks Golden Points To Ponder / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Investors seeking leverage to precious metals should focus on junior resource companies who own the world's undeveloped gold and silver deposits as they provide the best exposure to a rising precious metals price environment.
You need to find the quality management teams with money in the treasury, the ability to raise more and owning the advanced projects that are well along the development path towards a mine.
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Friday, December 14, 2012
Inflation Targeting is Dead, Long Live Inflation! / Commodities / Inflation
The Fed actually thinks it can drive 315 million souls through a 0.2% gap in its forecasts...
REMEMBER INFLATION? Central bankers do – and they want to get rid of it, writes Adrian Ash.
Not in the way they used to get rid of it. Back then they would raise interest rates to curb debt-fuelled spending. Whereas now they want to throw inflation out of their policy targets instead.
Friday, December 14, 2012
Silver’s Strong Upleg / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Although you wouldn’t know it from listening to all the bearish commentary out there, silver is actually enjoying a strong young upleg. Its technicals are very bullish, contradicting the prevailing pessimism gripping traders. This glaring disconnect between price action and sentiment won’t last forever. It has hammered silver stocks to depressed levels that offer a smorgasbord of opportunity for brave contrarians.
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Friday, December 14, 2012
Euro Flag, Reversal Candlestick in Stocks and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Yesterday we saw substantial declines in the whole precious metals sector (the only important exception was palladium that actually managed to close higher after a huge price drop earlier during the day) even though the Fed announced Wednesday that it would continue its monthly purchases of $85 billion in Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities. This makes it probable that the Fed announcement was already priced into the market, hence the lack of its reaction.
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Friday, December 14, 2012
Natural Gas Will be Trigger for Commodities Bull Run / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Last summer I told traders to watch the oil cycle as the CRB was working its way down into a final three year cycle low. At the time I was confident that the entire commodity complex was just waiting for the oil cycle to bottom. Once it did, the rest of the commodity complex launched out of that bottom like a rocket.
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Friday, December 14, 2012
Natural Gas 2013 Forecast: Bullish Reasons Why Now Is The Time to Buy / Commodities / Natural Gas
Dr. Kent Moors writes: Natural gas is developing into a very different market from oil, one that offers plenty of opportunities for investors to make big profits in 2013.
There are two contrasting dynamics when it comes to natural gas prices. First, the amount of recoverable volume has been accelerating, thanks to increasing unconventional (shale, tight, coal bed methane) reserves and technological improvements to extract it.
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Friday, December 14, 2012
Market's Fed Reaction "Could Be Worrying Sign for Gold" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
SPOT MARKET gold prices looked to be headed for a third weekly loss in a row Friday lunchtime in London, after failing to break above $1700 an ounce, while stocks and US Treasuries were little changed on the day, with no signs of progress from Washington on the so-called fiscal cliff.
Silver was also headed for a third losing week in a row, trading around $32.60 an ounce for most of this morning, as other commodity prices gained slightly.
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Friday, December 14, 2012
Queen Asks Bank of England ‘Why Did Nobody Notice?’ / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,696.50, EUR 1,297.32 and GBP 1,051.38 per ounce. Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,694.75, EUR 1,299.16 and GBP 1,051.46 per ounce.
Silver is trading at $32.58/oz, €24.99/oz and £20.29/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,621.50/oz, palladium at $697.00/oz and rhodium at $1,060/oz.
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Friday, December 14, 2012
Gold $XAU Death Cross / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Summary and conclusion
The behaviour of the gold share index may be an early warning sign that Quantitative Easing is about to take a back seat and be replaced by an emphasis on balancing the US budget. Should this turn out to be the case it will place a lid on “growth” of the US economy and will shift the focus of the authorities towards the desire to maintain the economy’s equilibrium. This will allow for a slow (multi year) deflation of the debt bubble but will be hostile to the mainstream investment world. Wealth Creation activities will offer (high business risk) investment opportunities.
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Friday, December 14, 2012
Platinum Market Fear vs. Fundimentals / Commodities / Platinum
In October of last year, we published a platinum-market overview in the Casey International Speculator and concluded by saying: "We recommend avoiding South Africa, and in this context it means staying away from platinum producers located there. If the energy situation spins out of control, miners' strikes continue, and the local trouble puts an indefinite halt to a significant portion of platinum production, some speculative opportunities may appear in the physical-metal market or platinum-backed investment tools. If we see signs of that happening, we may speculate on the results."
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Friday, December 14, 2012
Gold Investor Profit and Protection Despite Banking Cartel Intervention / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
“Western central banks conceal their gold loans and swaps because information about them is ‘highly market-sensitive and accountability about them would hinder secret currency market interventions by central banks, according to a confidential report by the International Monetary Fund obtained this week by GATA. …
“This is, the explicit but secret policy of Western central banking toward gold is to deceive and manipulate markets, as GATA long has complained. …
“…they considered that the Special Data Dissemination Standard reserves template should not require the separate disclosure of such information but should instead treat all monetary gold assets, including gold on loan or subject to swap agreements, as a single data item.”
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Thursday, December 13, 2012
Gold Bullion Christmas Dinner / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
Aside from the presents, getting the biggest Turkey in the shop, making sure the house is warm and festive and the compulsory family argument the other tradition at Christmas is the vast expense it costs us all.
Christmas has always been expensive but over the past few years it seems to have really crept up. Whilst factors such as weather conditions are frequently blamed on meat and vegetable price hikes our research shows that when the Christmas dinner is priced in gold oz or gold grams, rather than British pounds or dollars, prices haven’t crept up anywhere near as much, and in some cases are going down in price.
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Thursday, December 13, 2012
The Pangaea Resource Mountain / Commodities / Energy Resources
The supercontinent Pangaea was as above all vast, and its formation then movement have left vast resources of all hydrocarbons, often located more than 2000 metres below current land surfaces and ocean floors. Plate tectonics helps us understand the processes.
One example of how different the world was about 220 million years ago, was India's status of an island separated from the Asian continent by the vast Tethys Sea. When Pangaea broke apart, India began moving north-east away from the future Africa, taking about 170 million years before it collided with Asia.
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