Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, December 27, 2012
Silver is a Low Risk Buy Now! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Bob_Clark
Is this a great time to be buying the metals?
The fundamental analysts have good reasons why it should go up. Then again, they have good reasons why it should go down as well. For example a financial regime change in Japan points up. The financial cliff and debt ceiling issues in the USA points down.
Tuesday, December 25, 2012
Gold Price Forecast 2013 - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Will 2013 be any better than 2012 was for Gold bugs?
Here is a video summary of my analysis including a detailed trend forecast for Gold for 2013.
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Monday, December 24, 2012
Gold Regains Some Ground / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: Ben_Traynor
ON THE FINAL day before Christmas, gold prices edged higher Monday morning, climbing to $1665 per ounce and recovering some of the ground lost last week.
Friday afternoon's London gold fix was $1651.50 an ounce, a 2.6% weekly fall and the biggest weekly drop since June.
"[Gold's fall] opens up a move to the next major support, which are the lows in the $1520s," says Friday's technical analysis note from Scotiabank.
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Monday, December 24, 2012
Silver Recent Price Drop is Just a Storm in a Teacup / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: Clive_Maund
Many silver longs were upset by the rather sharp drop over the past week or so, but as we will now see, this drop looks like a 'storm in a teacup' on longer-term charts.
On its 12-year chart, which goes back to the start of the bullmarket, we can see that the top boundary of the uptrend from 2004 is defined by the line drawn across 4 important peaks, and it is from this line that the parallel supporting trendline beneath is derived.
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Monday, December 24, 2012
Gold Looks Messy Going into 2013, Dollar and Stocks Could Breakdown / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Clive_Maund
After gold's losses of the past couple of weeks there is increasing talk about its bullmarket being finally over. In this update we will use long-term charts to determine whether these claims have any substance.
On its 12-year chart, which goes back to the start of the bullmarket, we can see that the top boundary of the uptrend from 2006 is defined by the line drawn across 3 important peaks, and it is from this line that the parallel supporting trendline beneath is derived. While there is no law stating that the lower trendline has to be parallel, it is nevertheless likely, and it is regarded as no coincidence that the strong support at recent lows, which needs to hold, and this lower trendline are more or less coincident at this time - if the current reaction continues this is where it should stop and reverse, although as we will see later on the 6-month chart it may not drop back any further than where it is now.
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Monday, December 24, 2012
GDX Gold Miners At a Low! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013
By: Darah_Bazargan
The history of the stock market reveals how specific patterns come into being, and how it influences subsequent behavior. Pattern sequences of a previous time are reborn and under the right circumstances, can identically repeat. It is simply a reproduction of how investors are behaving collectively at two different points in time. But knowing that a pattern has a particular script it follows can constitute a path that holds (or leads to) a likely outcome!
Monday, December 24, 2012
Gold Price Forecast 2013, Buying Opportunity?, is Silver Cheaper? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Gold and Silver bugs have had an abysmally poor 2012 against expectations for new all time highs, where a 1 year bear market from the August 2011 high into the May 2012 low failed to spark a sustained run to new all time highs. The rally from which petered out by early October at $1800, followed by another trend back to leave Gold at $1657 as per the last close, this despite reams and reams of material plastered all over the internet that hoped for an eventual return to a gold standard or "Sound Money" as being the ultimate outcome of our ongoing global debt and money printing crisis.
Sunday, December 23, 2012
Gold Market Rehypothecation Fraud: Banks Pledge Same Gold to Numerous People / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: Washingtons_Blog
Banks Pledge Same Collateral Numerous Times
Big banks pledged the same mortgage to numerous people.
Saturday, December 22, 2012
The High-risk World of Junior Resource Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
By: Casey_Research
As many people know, I'm a frequent traveler. This means I spend a lot of time standing in lines at airports, taxi stands, train stations, and so forth. My habit has been to use this time reading books, playing with lines of poetry, or simply thinking about whatever needs thinking about. If I believed in sin, the cardinal sin in my book would be to waste time; every squandered minute is a piece of my life I will never get back.
Saturday, December 22, 2012
Gold Bugs Christmas Cheer / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: Jeff_Clark
While the price of gold has languished in a trading range much of the year, leaving some investors scratching their heads, many have been buying – and in some cases, really loading up.
It's a tad puzzling that gold hasn't broken into new highs, despite enough catalysts to move a herd of stubborn mules. But that's the hand we're dealt right now. We can't get up from the table until the game reaches its conclusion. Besides, I think the stall in prices is giving us one last window to buy before prices break permanently into higher levels for this cycle.
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Saturday, December 22, 2012
Gold Bull Market Forecast to Pause in 2013 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: The_Gold_Report
Many gold analysts are forecasting much higher gold prices in 2013. In this interview with The Gold Report, Rohit Savant, senior commodity analyst at the CPM Group, says he believes all of the positive gold fundamentals, such as global turmoil, are already factored into the gold price. So, in 2013, he sees the trend being flat to down a bit. He also discusses what roles India, China and central banks play in the gold price.
The Gold Report: Rohit, in a recent interview you said gold is "not a guaranteed safe haven." In your view, what are effective ways to preserve capital?
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Saturday, December 22, 2012
Gold in Doesn't-Beat-Stocks Shocker! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: Adrian_Ash
Gold in 2012 is set to underperform the US stock market for the first time since 2004...
SO the WORLD DIDN'T END on the shortest day of 2012, as forecast by no-one beyond lazy journalists and internet frauds.
Friday, December 21, 2012
Why QE3 is so Bullish for Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: Zeal_LLC
Silver has been selling off relentlessly since the Federal Reserve expanded its third quantitative-easing campaign last week. As that decision was highly inflationary, silver’s subsequent weakness has really vexed traders. But its counter-intuitive selloff had nothing to do with fundamentals. As the Fed’s past QE campaigns demonstrated abundantly, QE3 will eventually prove to be very bullish for silver’s fortunes.
Friday, December 21, 2012
Silver Prices and the Return of the Yen Carry Trade / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
In the futures pits, silver traders are seeing prices move downward as a result of the expression of market structure.
Nevertheless, that market structure and its macro economic back drop is now changing, as the currency wars heat up once again as the world moves into a new year.
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Friday, December 21, 2012
HFT and Gold and Silver Price Management Getting Easier Every Day / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Regulation within a market tends to make it harder for legitimate traders to operate because every 'edge' they identify essentially becomes insider information. Nevertheless, the powerful electronic traders are still allowed legal access to front run pricing and large orders on the exchanges by being permitted to locate their servers onsite.
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Friday, December 21, 2012
Gold from the Non U.S. Dollar Perspective / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: P_Radomski_CFA
This was a week of declines for precious metals, very strong ones, indeed. It seems that the main culprit was not the U.S. dollar, that should have actually helped the whole sector, as it declined heavily too, but the fears concerning the “fiscal cliff”, that we discussed some time ago, and the lack of any solutions from the government so far. We believe that as soon as the problem is solved, the whole sector will rally strongly. That is even more likely, as gold and silver are currently extremely oversold, as we’ll see in the technical part of this essay. To see the true magnitude of the plunge, and try to guess where we can go from this point, we’ll have a look at the yellow metal from the perspective of different currencies. But first things first – we’ll start with the usual long-term chart of gold priced in USD (charts courtesy by http://stockcharts.com.)
Friday, December 21, 2012
Desperately Seeking A Gold Cycle Low / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: GoldSilverWorlds
A Dollar in decline, a 3 Year Cycle Top, and a “Dollar pummeling into the New Year” all sound wonderful for Gold. Ordinarily of course gold would be rocketing from here as the dollar collapses. For gold to drop this far while the dollar collapses is only masking the true severity of the precious metal decline.
As for the gold Cycle, we officially have to contend with remarking our Cycles to better understand what the market is doing. Remember that Cycles are the true interpretation of what the asset has done, there is no ambiguity, a Cycle by its very definition can never be wrong. The fault lies with the Cyclists, the analyst who attempt to predict the movement of the asset by predicting the type of Cycle we’re going to experience based on pasted evidence.
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Friday, December 21, 2012
Gold and Silver Head for 4th Straight Weekly Drop But / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: Ben_Traynor
WHOLESALE gold bullion prices hovered around $1650 an ounce Friday morning in London, having earlier hit fresh four-month lows, while stocks edged lower and US Treasuries gained despite little evident progress in Washington to avoid the so-called fiscal cliff.
Silver traded either side of $30 an ounce meantime, having yesterday dipped below that level for the first time since August, while oil prices dipped slightly and copper ticked higher.
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Friday, December 21, 2012
Iraq Quadruples Gold Reserves In Two Months - First Time In Years / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: GoldCore
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,648.25, EUR 1,246.97 and GBP 1,014.56 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,667.00, EUR 1,259.25 and GBP 1,024.96 per ounce.
Silver is trading at $29.89/oz, €22.73/oz and £18.49/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,551.25/oz, palladium at $673.00/oz and rhodium at $1,040/oz.
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Friday, December 21, 2012
Profiting from Your Thirst as Global Elite Rush to Control Water Worldwide / Commodities / Water Sector
By: Submissions
Jo-Shing Yang writes: The New “Water Barons”: Wall Street Mega-Banks and the Tycoons Are Buying up Water at Unprecedented PaceA disturbing trend in the water sector is accelerating worldwide. The new “water barons” --- the Wall Street banks and elitist multibillionaires --- are buying up water all over the world at unprecedented pace. Familiar mega-banks and investing powerhouses such as Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan Chase, Citigroup, UBS, Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse, Macquarie Bank, Barclays Bank, the Blackstone Group, Allianz, and HSBC Bank, among others, are consolidating their control over water. Wealthy tycoons such as T. Boone Pickens, former President George H.W. Bush and his family, Hong Kong’s Li Ka-shing, Philippines’ Manuel V. Pangilinan and other Filipino billionaires, and others are also buying thousands of acres of land with aquifers, lakes, water rights, water utilities, and shares in water engineering and technology companies all over the world. Read full article... Read full article...