Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, July 15, 2014
Silver, Gold and Living By The Sword / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
It is said that, “If you live by the sword, you die by the sword.” Let’s expand the concept and confirm that ancient bit of wisdom.
If you depend upon your sword for self-defense and aggression, you can reasonably expect that someday you will meet another swordsman who will slice your body and kill you.
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Monday, July 14, 2014
Silver Best Investment Opportunity of Your Life / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: "There's a situation in the silver market now that we absolutely must take advantage of," I told my True Wealth subscribers last month.
"It is the best opportunity to buy silver in over a decade – and possibly one of the best times you will ever see in your life."
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Monday, July 14, 2014
The Silver Price Manipulation Conspiracy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Ted Butler writes: It’s now going on close to 30 years since I first discovered that silver was manipulated by excessive and concentrated short selling on the COMEX. I remember the exact moment like it occurred yesterday. It’s hard to believe I was in my 30’s when this started. As I’ve explained previously, I was looking for an answer to Izzy Friedman’s question as to how and why silver prices remained so low when the market was in a supply/demand deficit.
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Monday, July 14, 2014
Commodities 2014 Halftime Report / Commodities / Commodities Trading
What a difference six months can make. After a disappointing 2013, the commodities market came roaring back full throttle, outperforming the S&P 500 Index by more than 4 percentage points and 10-year Treasury bonds by more than 6.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 14, 2014
Gold And Silver Price Golden Cross / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Clay Tom writes: Week before last I send you theis Daily 10year Chart on Gold showing and imminent Golden Cross of the 50EMA/200EMA. I will narrow the time down and focus in on the past six months below the 10 year chart. Notice that the Macd are stabilized above Zero which means an Uptrend is in.
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Monday, July 14, 2014
Gold Price Rally Could Fail Due to COT Extreme / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Whilst acknowledging that "this time it could be different" we have no choice but to call gold and silver lower on the basis of their latest extraordinary COT charts, which reveal that the normally wrong Large specs are already "betting the farm" on this rally.
Let's start by looking at the latest 6-month chart for gold. On this chart we can see that following its big up day in mid-June gold has only managed to creep about $20 higher.
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Monday, July 14, 2014
Silver Price Breakout Not Looking Promising / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Whilst acknowledging that "this time it could be different" we have no choice but to call gold and silver lower on the basis of their latest extraordinary COT charts, which reveal that the normally wrong Large specs are already "betting the farm" on this rally. This is especially the case with silver where the Commercial short and Large Spec long positions are already way in excess of what we saw at the March peak.
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Sunday, July 13, 2014
Gold and Silver Poised on a Knife's Edge / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The World Cup final is on Sunday, and the punters have Germany and Argentina as fairly even odds with a bit of an edge to the Germans. I would call it pretty even, especially since it is only one game, and a typically low scoring one at that which can turn on a few events and an emotional tide.
Speaking of too close to call, gold and silver turned in a satisfactory week's performance, and are on the verge of breakouts.
Sunday, July 13, 2014
Reality Blows Crude Oil Price Seriously Off Course / Commodities / Crude Oil
Friday the 13th For Oil Came On Friday 11th July
In classic fashion market operators and manipulators gave a false signal to hopeful speculators, by nudging up oil prices on the Nymex, ICE and other oil markets, on Thursday 10th July. Then the market riggers crushed them, Friday 11th, with a 2.2% one-day crash of prices. To be sure we have to wait for Monday 15th trades to see if the new canonical oil price of $100-per-barrel can be set back in place like Humpty Dumpty, and will hold.
Sunday, July 13, 2014
The Truth About High Gas Prices / Commodities / Gas - Petrol
Gas prices at the pump during the July 4th extended weekend were the highest they have been in six years. This, of course, has little to do with supply-and-demand economics. It has everything to do with supply-and-gouge profits.
Over the past decade, the five largest oil companies have earned more than $1 trillion in profits. Last year, the Big Five—BP, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Exxon Mobil, and Shell—earned about $93 billion in profits. Their CEOs last year earned an average of about $20 million. Included within the profits is $2.4 billion in taxpayer subsidies because it’s hard to make a living when your hourly wage, assuming you work every hour of every day, is only $2,283.
Sunday, July 13, 2014
Could China Make Your Smartphone Disappear? / Commodities / Rare Earths
Oil and Energy Investor Staff writes: The mines where iPhones are born – along with Toyota Priuses, wind turbines, lasers, disc drives, automotive catalytic converters, and many other indispensable elements of modern technology – may look like giant craters.
But they’re really battlegrounds in the geopolitical power grab known as the “Great Game.” And just as the balance of power among the U.S., China, the Middle East, and other nations is continually shifting in the energy industry, so, too, are there power struggles over the minerals we call rare earths: the elements critical to thousands of high-tech devices.
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Saturday, July 12, 2014
Gold And Silver Price Trend Change Developing, Just Not Confirmed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
If you never read a newspaper, listened to television/radio, or read any one of the numerous blogs that exist and were left with just charts to look at, the information contained in the them would put you head and shoulders above everyone else.
Why?
Charts contain the resulting input from all the decision-makers, from the most informed to the least informed, and the aggregate information that can be gleaned from news, regardless of source, including blogs and so-called expert opinions can not be superior to that combination of price and volume over time, found in the charts.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Black Gold: Oil Option Trade Setup – Will Oil Bounce? Who Cares! / Commodities / Crude Oil
Oil futures were on the tip of every political and financial pundits’ tongues less than a month ago as geopolitical tensions in Iraq heated up. Fast forward to today, and tensions in the Middle East have intensified further. However, since June 25th oil prices have been falling fast.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Massive Gold and Silver Futures Buying / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Both gold and silver have enjoyed massive buying by American futures speculators in recent weeks. It all started with Fed chair Janet Yellen’s cavalier dismissal of inflation, but the buying momentum persisted well after that. Happening in the midst of the summer doldrums when global precious-metals investment demand is weak, this is an exceptionally-bullish portent. It is setting up the PMs for a major autumn upleg.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Destroying Confidence – the Last 40 Years / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Chart 1: Confidence in the US congress per Gallup surveys. The downward trend is clear.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Silver Up 10.3% YTD - Outperformance To Continue / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Today we look at silver and why it is an important allocation in all portfolios
- Why Silver is in a Bull Market and How High Could it Go?
- Is Silver About Returns Or A Hedge Against Inflation & Systemic Risk?
- Silver: Very Small Global Supply
- Silver: Increasing Technological and Industrial Demand
- Silver: Medical Demand
- Silver’s Unique Properties
- Silver: Increasing Investment Demand
- Silver Undervalued Versus Gold
- Conclusion
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,336.50, EUR 981.78 and GBP 779.39 per ounce. Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,343.25, EUR 985.22 and GBP 784.61 per ounce.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Crude Oil Price Time for Recovery? / Commodities / Crude Oil
On Thursday, crude oil gained 0.94% as profit taking and upbeat U.S. jobless claims data supported the price. As a result, the commodity bounced off a very important support zone and came back above $102 per barrel. Does it mean that the bottom of the recent correction is in?
Although crude oil hit a 2-month low of $101.55, declining to slightly below the June low, the commodity reversed and rebounded as traders who had bet on falling prices made purchases yesterday to close those positions.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Silver in the Aftermath of Fragility / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Despite the persistence of the recovery meme, financial markets are more fragile to risk than ever before. On top of this, witness the slow creep of policy disguised as regulation. It comes for the low hanging fruits. The final labors of society. What lies ahead is a paper blood bath.They are coming for your pensions and retirement accounts.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
The Perfect Crime and the Plight of the Modern Silverite / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Silver is not just any old commodity. It is old money. Despite massive efforts and price fixing, clipping and manipulation, it has remained central to monetary and political systems for centuries. Today it is small and relatively dark in the context of modern investing.Desperate times call for desperate measures. And the desperation to buy and hold metal should simply be proportional to the desperation of the will of the monetary powers to maintain the status quo.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Gold and Silver Price Positive Developments / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Gold and silver had a good week after the US holiday last Friday. From a low of $1312 on Tuesday, gold rose to a high point of $1345 yesterday, and silver from $20.84 to $21.60. Open interest is climbing too for both metals, as shown in the following charts.
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